โ€˜Stay at homeโ€™ during cold snap, public told

This Arctic blast has also affected parts of Europe and North America, but the “stay at home” messaging in the UK has drawn comparisons to Covid-era advice in some outlets, though it’s primarily focused on safety during extreme weather rather than mandates.

A snowy residential road lined with frosted trees and houses, with visible footprints in the snow.

A severe cold snap has gripped the UK in early January 2026, prompting authorities and charities to urge the public to stay at home where possible to avoid risky outings on icy roads and paths.

This Arctic blast has also affected parts of Europe and North America, but the “stay at home” messaging in the UK has drawn comparisons to Covid-era advice in some outlets, though it’s primarily focused on safety during extreme weather rather than mandates.

The Met Office and other forecasters indicate the cold conditions may persist into mid-January in some areas, with ongoing yellow warnings for snow and ice. If you’re in the affected regions, standard advice includes keeping homes heated to at least 18ยฐC, layering clothing, and limiting outdoor exposure.

A snowy street scene in the UK during a severe cold snap, with footprints in the snow, icy road conditions, and trees covered in frost.

_____________________________________________________________________________________________

Snow causes hundreds of school closures and travel disruption with temperatures set to dip as low as -12C

Snow and ice warnings remain in place for Tuesday after snowfall caused travel disruption and hundreds of school closures across large parts of the country on Monday. The Telegraph has the story.

Yellow warnings for snow and ice are in place across all of Scotland and much of northern England, with further warnings covering the east of England and the west of Wales as well as Devon and Cornwall.

Ice warnings are also in place for all six counties of Northern Ireland, with warnings continuing through to Tuesday morning.

Temperatures could dip as low as -12C (10F) overnight, according to the Met Office, which said there was a chance that central and northern Scotland would be disrupted by snow until Tuesday evening.

Advice about how to stay safe in the cold ranged from suggestions to stay at home where possible and walking like a โ€œpenguinโ€.

Adam Stachura, the policy director at Age Scotland, urged people to stay at home where possible.

He said: โ€œWith such cold temperatures and icy conditions ahead, try and make sure you have enough food and any important medications at home to reduce the need for unnecessary and potentially risky trips.

โ€œThis is particularly important if you have mobility challenges or are unsteady on your feet.โ€

The NHS advised people to โ€œwaddle like a penguinโ€ to avoid accidents and hospital stays.

โ€œWalking like a penguin helps keep your centre of gravity over your feet, reducing the risk of falls that can lead to serious injuries,โ€ NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde said.

โ€œIt might look funny, but waddling really works,โ€ Laura Halcrow, the falls prevention lead, added, warning that slipping on ice was dangerous especially for older people.

The NHS has previously suggested that the public โ€œkeep their feet on a stoolโ€ to stay warm, as well as reminding people to wear socks.

The lowest temperatures recorded overnight into Monday were -10.9C in Shap, Cumbria, -10.3C in Sennybridge, Powys, and -9.9C in Bala, Gwynedd, according to the Met Office.

Loch Glascarnoch in the Scottish Highlands saw 34cm of snow, while Dyce in Aberdeenshire and Altnaharra, Sutherland, recorded 27cm, the Met Office said.

The UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) has issued an amber cold health alert that runs until Friday, with an early warning that adverse temperatures were likely to affect health and wellbeing in England.

Agostinho Sousa, the head of extreme events and health protection at UKHSA, urged people to check in on vulnerable friends, family and neighbours.

He said: โ€œThe forecast temperatures can have a serious impact on the health of some people, leading to increased risk of heart attacks, strokes and chest infections, particularly for individuals over the age of 65 and those with pre-existing health conditions.โ€

Temperatures are expected to drop to as low as -5C in Scotland and -4C for large parts of the south on Monday night, with the mercury dropping to -5C in Yeovil.

Heading into the week, temperatures are set to improve, remaining above 0C by Wednesday night in most of England and a milder -2C for most of Scotland, apart from in some isolated locations like Lairg which are set to drop to -6C.

The Met Office said that Monday night would be โ€œvery cold with a widespread frost and icy stretchesโ€. The south of the country was expected to stay dry and clear but become โ€œcloudier in the north as a band of snow moves inโ€.

Its website said Tuesday would be โ€œanother cold day with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow across the northโ€. It was expected to be drier in the south before similar conditions arrived in the evening.

Temperatures are expected to fall to -7C around Oxford on Tuesday and will not rise above 4C in any part of Britain.

Read the full story here.

โ€˜Historicโ€™ Snowstorm Impacting Southern States

It is ironic that the day after President Trump essentially moved to nullify U.S. Climate Policy, the coldest and deepest winter storm in over 40 years descends on the country.
When normally hot-headed for โ€œweather is climate changeโ€ CNN calls it, you know itโ€™s gonna be big.

From Watts Up With That?

By Anthony Watts

It is ironic that the day after President Trump essentially moved to nullify U.S. Climate Policy, the coldest and deepest winter storm in over 40 years descends on the country.

When normally hot-headed for โ€œweather is climate changeโ€ CNN calls it, you know itโ€™s gonna be big.

Winter Storm Warnings have been posted and stretch from the U.S.-Mexico border all the way to Duval County, Florida. Get this: 3-5 Inches of snow is in the forecast for Houston, TX; 2-5โ€ณ for New Orleans; and up to 3โ€ณ along the west Florida panhandle through Wednesday.

lready there have been reports of snow in the area, along with strong winds and freezing temperatures. In one case posted on Twitter, a swamp airboat was turned into a snowmobile โ€“ h/t to โ€œPaul in the heightsโ€ on Twitter:

And it gets more interesting. For example, a Blizzard Warning was issued for the Lake Charles area by the National Weather Service serving New Orleans/Baton Rouge. Thatโ€™s something you donโ€™t see every day.

Meanwhile, in Kansas City, the temperature has dipped to -9ยฐF this morning. This breaks the old daily record low of -6ยฐF set in 1935.ย 

And it isnโ€™t just Kansas City, much of the nation is seeing new cold records today. Dozens if not hundreds of cold weather records have been set. Over 75% of the US expected to face freezing temperatures this week.

Other interesting examples:

Snow at the University of Houston, where they closed the campus:

The NWS in Jacksonville Florida predicts snow and freezing temperatures:

Further north, in Atlanta, the NWS says:

A Winter Storm Warning and a Winter Weather Advisory are in effect from 10 am Tuesday until 7 am Wednesday. Although the snow accumulations are highest over central (especially west central Georgia) in the Warning area, travel impacts will be the primary concern with ANY snow amount. Expect the afternoon and evening commutes Tuesday to be impacted, as well as Wednesday commutes.

Climate Scientist Dr. David Viner, who once famously bloviated:

However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become โ€œa very rare and exciting eventโ€.

โ€œChildren just arenโ€™t going to know what snow is,โ€ he said.

โ€ฆcould not be reached for comment. Likely because his blunder has been disappeared from the Internet.

You can bet though, that the usual suspects will start blaming this event on climate change, citing the climate driven excuses โ€œpolar vortexโ€ and โ€œweather whiplashโ€.

Note: Tweets from Chris Martz were used for some elements of this story.

2024 Natural Climate Factors:ย Snow

Previously I posted an explanation by Dr. Judah Cohen regarding a correlation between autumn Siberian snow cover and the following winter conditions, not only in the Arctic but extending across the Northern Hemisphere.

wallup.net

From Science Matters

Byย Ron Clutz

Previously I posted an explanation by Dr. Judah Cohen regarding a correlation between autumn Siberian snow cover and the following winter conditions, not only in the Arctic but extending across the Northern Hemisphere. More recently, in looking into Climate Model Upgraded: INMCM5, I noticed some of the scientists were also involved in confirming the importance of snow cover for climate forecasting. Since the poles function as the primary vents for global cooling, what happens in the Arctic in no way stays in the Arctic. This post explores data suggesting changes in snow cover drive some climate changes.

The Snow Cover Climate Factor

The diagram represents how Dr. Judah Cohen pictures the Northern Hemisphere wintertime climate system.  He leads research regarding Arctic and NH weather patterns for AER.

Dr. Cohen explains the mechanism in this diagram.

Conceptual model for how fall snow cover modifies winter circulation in both the stratosphere and the troposphereโ€“The case for low snow cover on left, the case for extensive snow cover on right.

1. Snow cover increases rapidly in the fall across Siberia, when snow cover is above normal diabatic cooling helps to;
2. Strengthen the Siberian high and leads to below normal temperatures.
3. Snow forced diabatic cooling in proximity to high topography of Asia increases upward flux of energy in the troposphere, which is absorbed in the stratosphere.
4. Strong convergence of WAF (Wave Activity Flux) indicates higher geopotential heights.
5. A weakened polar vortex and warmer down from the stratosphere into the troposphere all the way to the surface.
6. Dynamic pathway culminates with strong negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation at the surface.

From Eurasian Snow Cover Variability and Links with Stratosphere-Troposphere
Coupling and Their Potential Use in Seasonal to Decadal Climate Predictions by Judah Cohen.

Observations of the Snow Climate Factor

The animation at the top shows from remote sensing that Eurasian snow cover fluctuates significantly from year to year, taking the end of October as a key indicator.

For more than five decades the IMS snow cover images have been digitized to produce a numerical database for NH snow cover, including area extents for Eurasia. The NOAA climate data record of Northern Hemisphere snow cover extent, Version 1, is archived and distributed by NCDCโ€™s satellite Climate Data Record Program. The CDR is forward processed operationally every month, along with figures and tables made available at Rutgers University Global Snow Lab.

This first graph shows the snow extents of interest in Dr. Cohenโ€™s paradigm. The Autumn snow area in Siberia is represented by the annual Eurasian averages of the months of October and November (ON). The following NH Winter is shown as the average snow area for December, January and February (DJF). Thus, the year designates the December of that year plus the first two months of the next year.

Notes: NH snow cover minimum was 1981, trending upward since.ย  Siberian autumn snow cover was lowest in 1989, increasing since then.ย  Autumn Eurasian snow cover is about 1/3 of Winter NH snow area. Note also that fluctuations are sizable and correlated.

The second graph presents annual anomalies for the two series, each calculated as the deviation from the mean of its entire time series. Strikingly, the Eurasian Autumn flux is on the same scale as total NH flux, and closely aligned. While NH snow cover declined a few years prior to 2016, Eurasian snow has trended upward afterward.ย  If Dr. Cohen is correct, NH snowfall will follow. The linear trend is slightly positive, suggesting that fears of children never seeing snowfall have been exaggerated. The Eurasian trend line (not shown) is almost the same.

Illustration by Eleanor Lutz shows Earthโ€™s seasonal climate changes. If played in full screen, the four corners present views from top, bottom and sides. It is a visual representation of scientific datasets measuring ice and snow extents.

Hottest Year Evahย Update

Seoul has recorded its heaviest November snowfall since records began over a century ago in 1907.

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Joe Public

Seoul has recorded its heaviest November snowfall since records began over a century ago in 1907.

The South Korean capital was covered with at least 16 cm of snow on Wednesday โ€“ beating the cityโ€™s previous record of 12.4cm from November 1972.

It caused significant disruption across the country, with local media reporting that flights had been grounded, roads closed, and that there were delays to transport services.

At least one person is reported to have died in a weather-related traffic accident near Seoul.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpqdgw7lzw0o

Bloomberg: โ€œDonโ€™t be Fooled, Snow is Becoming a Thing of the Pastโ€

Ignore your lying eyes, what you are seeing is frozen heaps of global warming?

From Watts Up With That?

Essay by Eric Worrall

Ignore your lying eyes, what you are seeing is frozen heaps of global warming?

Donโ€™t Be Fooled, Snow Is Becoming a Thing of the Past

Storms will keep happening, but the long-term trend is warmer winters with less snowfall, which will bring severe consequences such as water shortages and lost economic activity.

8 January 2024 at 22:00 GMT+10
By Mark Gongloff

โ€ฆ

Winter storms like the one that blanketed parts of the Northeast in snow this weekend will keep happening but less frequently. The long-term trend, especially in the normally colder parts of the US and other countries, is one of warmer winters with less of the white stuff.

โ€ฆ

Snow has been scarce in the US lately. Aside from the blizzard that swept the Plains and Midwest around Christmas, snarling travel, most of the country has been well below snowfall averages for this time of year, according to the National Weather Service. Only about a fifth of the country was covered in snow before this weekendโ€™s storm, the lowest in more than a decade.

โ€ฆ

At the rate weโ€™re cooking the planet, this is all just a taste of whatโ€™s to come. The best thing we can do now is turn off the oven. As thatโ€™s unlikely any time soon, scientists and policymakers should be busy adapting to the headaches that shrinking winters and snowfall will bring โ€” the agricultural impacts, longer allergy seasons, resilient pests, water shortages, lost economic activity and more. Whatever our feelings about the season in the past, there is no doubt weโ€™ll miss it when itโ€™s gone.

Read more:ย https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-01-08/winter-storm-aside-snow-is-disappearing-because-of-climate-change?embedded-checkout=true

Back in the real world, the East Coast of the USA might have gotten off lightly for a couple of years, but China and Russia have endured extreme cold this year, and Europe and Britain are enduring freezing weather.

Given the widespread extreme cold in most of the Northern Hemisphere this year, calling the end of snow because the US North East got lucky with the weather seems profoundly ignorant.


Update (h/t Anthony, MW) :-

Bloomberg seems to be denying the veracity of the UN IPCCโ€™s recent sixth assessment report, which unequivocally says there is โ€œLow confidence in the direction of changeโ€ of ย โ€œSnow, Heavy snowfall and ice storm or Hailโ€, globally or regionally.ย  Here is a link to the relevant pages of the UN IPCCโ€™s recent sixth assessment report:ย Extreme Weather Assessment by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (UN IPCC) โ€ข Watts Up With That?ย ย Does Bloomberg no longer believe in the UN IPCCโ€™s scientific conclusions?

Coalโ€™s Life-Saving Role Ignored By Climate-Obsessed Media

Billions of people all over the world do not have access to secure sources of heat and electricity. For these, winter can be a death blow.

Watts Up With That?

By Vijay Jayaraj

January 04, 2024

On a recent cold winter day, residents of Munich were surprised to see people skiing in the street. Yes, that is how much snow fell in the German city and other parts of Europe during the early winter of 2023-2024.  

Despite a disruption to both ground and air travel, the Germans survived the freezing weather with access to heating and basic utilities. But not everyone in our world is as fortunate as those living off reliable energy sources in Western economies.

Billions of people all over the world do not have access to secure sources of heat and electricity. For these, winter can be a death blow. A political war against fossil fuels is making matters worse for those unprotected from frigid temperatures.

Snow is deadly and is not going away

The gravity of winterโ€™s hazard has been overshadowed by the prevailing discourse on purported man-made climate change. We have been inundated with warnings about the perils of warming. But historically, it is the cold that has been disastrous. It has altered the course of history across the world and left people scrambling for food as plant life dwindled.  

Winterโ€™s icy chill claims far more lives than scorching summer heat, according to global analyses of fatalities caused by various natural hazards. In fact, a 2023 health study conducted across 854 European cities reveals that an estimated annual excess of 203,620 deaths were due to cold while just 20,173 were attributed to heat. In comparative terms, only 1 in 10 excess deaths from extreme temperatures were attributable to heat while a majority were due to cold.  

The fearmongering around warming aside, winterโ€™s cold bite is going nowhere and will continue to test humankindโ€™s survival mechanisms. Since August 2023, snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere has remained at or above the 57-year mean.  

Pseudoscience endangers people with impractical energy policies

With climate science co-opted by a worldwide political crusade against allegedly human-induced global warming, communities may find themselves ill-equipped to face upcoming winter weather.

In regions with particularly harsh winters and limited access to reliable heating sources, the threat of death and illness due to anti-fossil fuel policies is grave.  

In places like Mongolia, where economic hardship and energy converge, staying warm is a continual wintertime focus. This year, the countryโ€™s imports of electricity from Russia were disrupted, resulting in load shedding to millions of people in the middle of winter.  

At minus 35-degrees Fahrenheit, the people of Mongolia were left to fend for themselves. To brave this harsh climate, they rely on just two crucial energy sources: internal electricity generation from their plentiful coal reserves and the direct use of coal for heating homes. When faced with below-freezing, snow-blanketed winter days, neither wind nor solar power can guarantee a steady energy supply.

In other countries of the region, the scenario is similar. Destitute communities in Afghanistan rely on coal to endure the winter. In Kyrgyzstan, the unreliability of hydropower results in a continuous need for coal. Likewise, people in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan depend on coal for warmth, although the latter is also increasing its reliance on gas.

It is easy for hypocritical politicians who fly in private CO2-emitting planes across the Western world to champion the elimination of fossil fuels. But their activism blatantly ignores the bone-chilling grip of winter on faraway communities.

It is long past time for the western media to boldly report the critical role of fossil fuels in supporting human life during harsh winter conditions. Such fact-based reporting would put to rest the false narrative of a world doomed by warming.

Vijay Jayaraj is a Research Associate at the CO2 Coalition, Arlington, Virginia. He holds a masterโ€™s degree in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia, U.K.

This article was originally published by RealClearEnergy and made available via RealClearWire.

Let it snow!

So, do we know the answer to the question:ย 

โ€œHas global warming/climate change resulted in More or Less snow worldwide (say, over the last 50 years)?โ€
We donโ€™t know.

From Watts Up With That?

Guest Essay by Kip Hansen โ€” 12 December 2023

Snow โ€“ those marvelous little crystals of frozen water that drift down from the sky โ€“ in gentle silence, in the fury of an arctic-like blizzard, or in any and everything in between.

Where I grew up, snow was something that we traveled a couple of hours to visit for the day.  Once a decade, weโ€™d rent a cabin up in snow- country and spend a week with aunts and uncles and cousins.  But I never had to live where it snowed in the winter โ€“ I surfed in the winter.  Sometimes university friends and I would drive up to sled and toboggan on Saturday and drive back down to surf on Sunday. 

[This essay is only 1500 words โ€” with a lot of graphicsโ€ฆ.]

I saw a few weeks ago that some climate skeptic had twitted  (Xed?) that snow was not decreasing, but rather increasing.  He used little graph:

Well, fair enough, that is the Rutgers Snow Lab graph for Fall Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent covering the satellite era (1967-present).  Most readers here are generally familiar with the climatic history of the last century or so, and might notice something:  during the โ€œGlobal Cooling Periodโ€  late 1960s through the mid-1970s there were years with very high fall snow extent, over on the left side, which are  similar to the last couple of decades, on the right.

Note:  NOAA and NASA (for weather and climate) use:  Meteorological seasons:  โ€œspring โ€ฆ includes March, April, and May; meteorological summer includes June, July, and August; meteorological fall includes September, October, and November; and meteorological winter includes December, January, and February.โ€

But, this is just the fall months: September, October, November (although Astronomical Winter does not begin until 21 December).  And it is only the Northern Hemisphere.  Only the Northern Hemisphere [NH hereafter] because almost all of the planetโ€™s snow, excluding the ice caps, is found in the Northern Hemisphere โ€“ there is some in the south up in the Andes of South America โ€“ but its extent is insignificant.  NASAโ€™s Earth Observatory offers this for Winter 2022:

If you look closely, you can see the little strip of white snow atop the western mountains ranges of South America. 

It is not valid to show just the Fall NH Snow Cover Extent and then say: โ€œSee, more snow, I told ya so!โ€. 

Total NH snow cover extent has been really very stable across the satellite period:

Both the highs and lows are pretty stable, at least since 1972  [I have some personal doubts about the two very high โ€˜lowsโ€™ prior to 1972 and will query Rutgers on those two data points ***].  The high extent seems to be centered on about 45,000,000 km2, maybe a little more.  The lowest extent somewhere between 25 and 75 million km2. between 25 and 75 million km2. (h/t Rick C)

*** Update: from Rutgers snow Lab: โ€œYes, it was early in the satellite record! For this reason, there are some missing snow charts. They are as follows: Weeks with no data: 1968 27-30, 1969 23-43, 1971 28-39 Missing months:  July 1968, June-Oct 1969, and July-Sep 1971โ€ โ€ฆ.. โ€œIt looks like those two data points represent May 1969 and June 1971 instead of August, which is missing during those years. I plan to add placeholders for this missing data in the text files. There is a note on the website but reformatting the data file will make the missing months more visible.โ€ โ€” from the very helpful Tom Estilow, at Rutgers Snow Lab

Hereโ€™s another way to look at it:

The red and blue traces are โ€œโ€ฆextremes are calculated using the 56-yr record from Jan 1967 to Dec 2022 โ€œ  so the highest for that week in the 56-year record and the lowest.  So, we can see that 2022, the black trace, was very near the highest extent in early Fall (late September) and Oct-Nov.  Otherwise, right on the mean through the Spring, and quite low late spring and through the summer. 

The point of that exercise was to show that snow cover extent  is variable, year to year, and within the same year, season-to-season โ€“ 2022 from lowest in 56 years in July to highest in 56 years in November โ€“ shifting to dropping below average Dec to Jan.  That is just one year.

Now, hereโ€™s what all that is composed of during the seasons:

So, snowier Falls, a bit snowier Winters, and less snowy Springs.   The vertical scales are very close, about million Km2 top to bottom, but each graph is a different portion of the whole vertical scale, it is not appropriate to set them side by side.  Properly, they look like this:

So, we see that the increase in the Fall and Winter does not quite make up for the decline in the winter and Spring.  But, looking back up at the NH Snow Extent graph up a bit  (itโ€™s blue) weโ€™ll see that there is a slight decline since the turn of the century, but overall stable. 

With snow, Snow Cover Extent is not the same as Amount of Snow โ€“ more commonly measured as depth  in inches (or cm or feet or meters) or as water content.  Snow is hard to measure โ€“ obviously there is fluffy snow, grainy snow, wet snow, powder snow โ€” many, many types of and conditions of snow โ€“ it is often said that the Inuit or the Greenlanders have โ€œ40-50-200-400 โ€“ take your  pick โ€“  words for snowโ€. [This is not strictly true, of course, but they do have a lot of words describing types of falling snow and snow conditions on the ground.]

The U.S. National Weather Service gives us this:

Three Types of Measurements are Reported:

  • Liquid equivalent of snowfall (last 24-hrs) reported in HUNDREDTHS (such as 0.22โ€ฒ)
  • Snowfall (newly fallen snow) is reported in INCHES and TENTHS (such as 2.4โ€ณ).  It is taken as soon as snow has stopped falling if possible and no more than 4 times a day.
  • Snow Depth (total depth of snow on the ground) is reported to the nearest WHOLE INCH (such as 11โ€ณ).  It is typically reported at 7am.

[This copy-and-pasted quote from weather.gov contains an error.  Liquid equivalent of snowfall is reported in hundredths of inches โ€“ โ€ โ€“ not feet โ€“ โ€˜ โ€“ as indicated above, see here. I have requested a clarification.  Just heard from NWS and they are correcting the typo.)

Snowfall totals are complicated and determining ground snow conditions can be complex.  This is illustrated by the many factors reported daily by National Weather Serviceโ€™s National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center   on its National Snow Analyses page:

This is the National Snow Analysis for 11 December 2023.  It is not yet winter in the northern hemisphere, only late fall.  In the U.S. Northeast, much of the existing snow was melted by extensive warm rain just yesterday (10 December) but higher elevations are now again snow covered this morning as temperatures plunged overnight while rain was still falling.  There is an amusing error in the Automated Model Discussion portion in the upper right:  the model reports 2,888.6 inches (240 feet) of snow as the maximum snow depth (cue: rants about models in comments). 

How about across the world?

If we want the statisticianโ€™s answer (statistical trends) to the question: โ€œAre we seeing more snow this century than previously?โ€,  we can again go to Rutgers Snow Lab for that answer โ€“ at least for Snow Cover Extent (not the same as โ€œmore snowโ€):

Over the satellite era (1967-present), Snow Cover Extent is increasing at a rate of about 2% per year for both Eurasia and Northern Hemisphere (alone) or NH+Greenland.  Note that including Greenland in the NH calculation reduces the percentage of increase.  Why?  Greenland doesnโ€™t change much, if at all. (Itโ€™s a math thingโ€ฆ.)

Snow Cover Extent is important climatically because it changes the albedo of the Earthโ€™s surface.  But in many other senses, such as hydrologically,  the water equivalent of the snow is much more important, because as the snow pack slowly melts it percolates down into the aquafers and  provides water to streams and rivers. 

So, do we know the answer to the question: 

โ€œHas global warming/climate change resulted in More or Less snow worldwide (say, over the last 50 years)?โ€

We donโ€™t know.

Even with satellites and advanced computer algorithms, the most recent paper on Snow Water Equivalentโ€”amount of water falling as snowโ€”measured by satellites concludes:

โ€œAt present, information on water stored as seasonal snow is highly uncertain. Because of surface monitoring limitations, satellite measurements are critical, but current missions are inappropriate for determining snow mass with the spatial, temporal, and accuracy characteristics required to deliver climate services, effective water resource management, and skillful environmental prediction such as streamflow.โ€ [ source ]

Bottom Line:

1.  As with many things climatic, the best answers to the posed question: โ€œAre we getting more or less snow over the last 30 years (1 climatic period)?โ€ is โ€œWe donโ€™t really know.โ€  And โ€œIt depends on what you mean.โ€

2.   If we just mean Snow Cover Extent, the answer is โ€œYes, we are seeing an increase of about 2% per decade over the last 50 yearsโ€ which is a  pretty good estimate from satellite measurements.  This does not mean that everywhere is seeing more snow โ€“ but only the worldwide and regional totals are seeing more snow. 

3.  Astronomical Winter arrives next week โ€“ and I say โ€œLet it snow!โ€

# # # # #

Authorโ€™s Comment:

The snow issue, as part of the overall global warming/climate change meme, is a mess.  The IPCCists and Climate Crazies demand that there must be less snow, less ice, shrinking glaciers because โ€œglobal boilingโ€.

It is much better for your mental and intellectual health to look at the actual measurements in a scientific way โ€” just look at them and let the measurements have their say.

Like so many climate-related metrics, the numbers available for snow may not be as accurate as we need and, in many cases, available metrics donโ€™t measure what we want to know.

So, Let It Snow!

Thanks for reading.

This Isnโ€™t the First Time in Human History Our Winters Have Becomeย Milder

Thisย Letter to the Editor,ย written by CO2 Coalition Memberย Euan Mearns, was published in The Press and Journal, October 26, 2023.

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Euan is firing on all cylinders now!!

Sir, with reference to the letter from Ivan Reid, 18th October. He is of course totally correct; our winters have become less snowy and milder than during our youth. I recall the deep snow drifts on Kirriemuir Hill in the 1960s.

And during my grouse beating days in Glen Clova in the 1970s they used to set aside a half day to shoot hares and another half day to shoot capercaillie. Times have changed, and in 2020 illegal shooting of mountain hares (culling) was banned in Scotland (Wikipedia). Thousands used to be shot every year. It does not seem to be necessary to call on climate change to explain the demise of the mountain hare. Hopefully the population will soon recover.

In the countryside I frequent most often in Aberdeenshire and Perthshire, there is an abundance of buzzards and ospreys, red-dear and roe-dear, seals, beavers and sadly many dead badgers along our main roads.

Melting Alpine glaciers are perhaps the most poignant symbol of a slowly warming world. However, a little-known fact is that Alpine glaciers have all but melted completely 12 times in the last 10,000 years (since the end of the last glaciation). This is known through Carbon 14 dating of woody fragments found in the ice. These dates form clusters signifying times when trees grew in the ice basins from where the glaciers now flow.

The exact cause of these cyclical changes in glacier length is unknown, but a likely candidate is cyclical changes to ocean currents. The depth of the last cold and snowy trough occurred around 1850 and warming will likely continue for another few hundred years until the glaciers have all but disappeared as was the case when Hannibal crossed the Alps with his elephants in 218 BC at a time called The Roman Warm Period. Perhaps Scotlandโ€™s climate is affected by these same cyclical forces?

PS With reference to Mr. Hannan, 19th October: pre-industrial CO2 in the atmosphere was 0.028% and today it is 0.042%. 3% is on the threshold of being harmful, but current levels are nowhere near this dangerous threshold.

Dr Euan Mearns

Aberdeen

Kilimanjaro Expecting Snow Every Day Once Again โ€“ Whereโ€™s Al Gore?

Do you remember, 15 years ago, when Al Gore lectured us in An Inconvenient Truth about how the Snows of Kilimanjaro are becoming no more? Well, here is the current weather forecast for Mt. Kilimanjaro this week. By the way, this is a pretty typical forecast for Mt. Kilimanjaro.

From ClimateRealism

By James Taylor

Do you remember, 15 years ago, when Al Gore lectured us in An Inconvenient Truth about how the Snows of Kilimanjaro are becoming no more? Well, here is the current weather forecast for Mt. Kilimanjaro this week. By the way, this is a pretty typical forecast for Mt. Kilimanjaro.

When will Al Gore quit attacking science?

James Taylor

James Taylor is the President of the Heartland Institute. Taylor is also director of Heartland’s Arthur B. Robinson Center for Climate and Environmental Policy.

Taylor is the former managing editor (2001-2014) of Environment & Climate News, a national monthly publication devoted to sound science and free-market environmentalism.