How a PNAS Study Confuses Institutional Authority with Truth

Every so often an academic paper appears that claims to analyze a problem while quietly defining the outcome in advance. The recent PNAS paper by Mosleh et al., “Divergent patterns of engagement with partisan and low-quality news across seven social media platforms,” is a textbook example.

A silhouetted figure stands by a tranquil body of water, gazing at a glowing ring in the sky, reflecting the orange hues in the calm surface below.

From Watts Up With That?

By Charles Rotter

Research article titled 'Divergent patterns of engagement with partisan and low-quality news across seven social media platforms' by Mohsen Mosleh, Jennifer Allen, and David G. Rand, published on October 30, 2025.

Every so often an academic paper appears that claims to analyze a problem while quietly defining the outcome in advance. The recent PNAS paper by Mosleh et al., “Divergent patterns of engagement with partisan and low-quality news across seven social media platforms,” is a textbook example.

Abstract

In recent years, social media has become increasingly fragmented, as platforms evolve and new alternatives emerge. Yet most research studies a single platform—typically X/Twitter, or occasionally Facebook—leaving little known about the broader social media landscape. Here, we shed light on patterns of cross-platform variation in the high-stakes context of news sharing. We examine the relationship between user engagement and news domains’ political orientation and quality across seven platforms: X/Twitter, BlueSky, TruthSocial, Gab, GETTR, Mastodon, and LinkedIn. Using an exhaustive sample, we analyze all (over 10 million) posts containing links to news domains shared on these platforms during January 2024. We find that news shared on platforms with more conservative user bases is significantly lower quality on average. Turning to engagement, we find—contrary to hypotheses of a consistent “right-wing advantage” on social media—that the relationship between political lean and engagement is strongly heterogeneous across platforms. Conservative news posts receive more engagement on platforms where most content is conservative, and vice versa for liberal news posts, consistent with an “echo platform” perspective. In contrast, the relationship between news quality and engagement is strikingly consistent: Across all platforms examined, a given user’s lower-quality news posts received higher average engagement, even though higher-quality news is substantially more prevalent and garners far more total engagement across posts. This pattern holds when accounting for poster-level variation and is observed even in the absence of ranking algorithms, suggesting that user preferences—not algorithmic bias—may underlie the underperformance of higher-quality news.

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2425739122

The authors announce, right up front, that they are studying “news quality,” political lean, and engagement across seven platforms. What they never seriously do is justify what “quality” means. Instead, they import it wholesale from an ideological ecosystem that has already decided which voices are acceptable.

Their own description is telling:

“We measure the quality of the news source linked to in each post using a ‘wisdom of experts’ approach in which ratings from a variety of fact-checkers, journalists, and academics are aggregated…”

This sentence does nearly all the work in the paper. It sounds neutral, technocratic, and authoritative. It is none of those things.

There is no definition of ideological diversity among these “experts,” no attempt to measure disagreement, and no adversarial testing. The paper simply assumes that journalists, professional fact-checkers, and academics constitute a politically neutral reference class. Anyone familiar with the modern media-academic complex knows that assumption is indefensible.

Worse, the authors openly admit that they are not measuring accuracy at all. Instead, they rely on reputation as a stand-in:

“We followed a standard practice in the literature and used the reliability of the publisher as a proxy for accuracy of content.”

A proxy is not a measurement. And this proxy commits a fundamental category error: individual claims are judged not by whether they are true, but by whether the institution publishing them has been blessed by the correct set of gatekeepers. A factual article from a disfavored outlet is permanently “low quality.” A false article from a prestige outlet remains “high quality” by definition.

Accuracy never enters the model.

One of the primary sources feeding these domain ratings is NewsGuard, an organization that has moved well beyond fact-checking into open policy advocacy, government partnerships, and content policing. Treating NewsGuard scores as an epistemic baseline is not neutral. It is ideological outsourcing.

Yet the paper anticipates this criticism and waves it away:

“The strong correlation between political leaning and source quality we observe… is unlikely to be the result of ideological bias among fact-checkers…”

This is not an empirical conclusion. It is a declaration of trust.

The authors argue that “politically balanced crowds” produce similar ratings, implying this somehow proves neutrality. But political balance does not equal epistemic independence. A Democrat and a Republican who both consume the same legacy media, trust the same institutions, and defer to the same authorities do not magically cancel out shared priors.

Once “quality” has been defined this way, the paper’s headline results become tautological. The authors report:

“Lower-quality news domains are shared more on right-leaning platforms…”

Translated into plain English, this means: platforms populated by people skeptical of mainstream institutions tend to link to outlets disliked by mainstream institutions. That is not a discovery. It is a restatement of the setup.

Political lean itself is classified using GPT-4:

“To measure political lean, we used GPT-4o and asked it to rate domains…”

A large language model trained primarily on mainstream journalism and academic literature is being used to label ideological bias. The authors then “validate” these labels against other commonly used measures—measures built from the same institutional inputs. This is not validation; it is ideological echo.

The paper’s central behavioral claim is that users engage more with “low-quality” content than “high-quality” content, even when controlling for the user:

“Across all platforms examined, a given user’s lower-quality news posts received higher average engagement…”

This is framed as evidence that misinformation is inherently more engaging. But the authors quietly concede a far less flattering explanation for the institutions they favor:

“An important contributor appears to be comparatively low engagement rates of posts linking to The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, USA Today, and Reuters…”

In other words, elite legacy outlets perform poorly. Users are not stampeding toward fringe conspiracy sites; they are disengaging from institutions that have become repetitive, moralizing, and predictably wrong on too many major issues to count.

Rather than take this as evidence of institutional fatigue or earned distrust, the authors reach for familiar psychological clichés:

“This pattern suggests an underlying reason simply might be user preference—e.g., for novel, negative, or moralizing content…”

Notice what is never considered: that some content labeled “low quality” might be accurate, insightful, or correct earlier than elite consensus allowed. That possibility would require interrogating the rating system itself, which the paper treats as sacrosanct.

The study’s confidence in its framework is further undercut by its funding disclosure:

“We acknowledge funding support from the Open Society Foundation.”

This is not a moral indictment. It is contextual information. The Open Society Foundation has invested heavily in misinformation research, platform governance, and content moderation. A paper that defines quality via activist-aligned institutions, finds dissent engaging, and frames that engagement as a problem fits neatly within that agenda.

What the paper actually demonstrates—despite its intentions—is that institutional authority no longer guarantees attention. Users are selective. They are skeptical. They are increasingly uninterested in being told what is true by organizations that spent years insisting certainty where uncertainty reigned, and silence where debate was warranted.

A genuinely skeptical study would have examined claim-level accuracy. It would have tracked which “low-quality” claims later proved correct. It would have tested ideological variance among raters rather than asserting neutrality by credential. It might even have entertained the heretical notion that elite consensus is sometimes wrong.

This paper does none of that. Instead, it constructs a closed epistemic loop, defines disagreement as low quality, and then expresses concern that disagreement is popular.

The real finding is not about misinformation. It is about the collapse of deference—and the quiet panic of institutions that mistook authority for truth.

Facebook “Fact Checks” Prof. Will Happer

The only way to combat censorship is to shine a light on it whenever we see it.

In censoring material that contradicts the popular – though increasingly feeble – fiction of a climate crisis, Facebook is quick to discount the credentials of one of the world’s leading scientists while honoring sources of dubious credibility.

From Watts Up With That?

By Angela Wheeler

The only way to combat censorship is to shine a light on it whenever we see it.

In censoring material that contradicts the popular – though increasingly feeble – fiction of a climate crisis, Facebook is quick to discount the credentials of one of the world’s leading scientists while honoring sources of dubious credibility.

Our latest encounter with Facebook came in a message from the platform’s corporate entity, Meta, on December 4, which read: “Your Page, CO2 Coalition, didn’t follow the rules, so it isn’t being suggested to other people right now.”

Sorting through CO2 Coalition’s vast content to find what post could have been so egregious to prompt this reprimand, we found it to be a quote from the renowned Dr. William Happer, professor emeritus of physics at Princeton University and Chairman of the CO2 Coalition Board of Directors. Dr. Happer’s provocative quote?

“Nothing but good can come from more atmospheric CO2. The Earth has experimented with much higher CO2 concentrations than today many times over the Phanerozoic eon, the last 540 million years or so, where the fossil record of life is especially good. Life flourished at four times more CO2 than today. There is no geological evidence that more CO2 will be anything but good for life on Earth.”

Facebook’s “fact check” of Dr. Happer’s quote referenced a group called Climate Feedback that, based on an appearance on CNN, said Dr. Happer “misleads about the impact of rising carbon dioxide on plant life.”

We did a little fact-checking of our own. Having seen the group’s website and a list of financial backers, we believe there is ample reason to be doubtful of Climate Feedback’s adherence to science and veracity.

According to InfluenceWatch.org, Climate Feedback has the same parent company as “the left-leaning fact-checker Politifact.” Both appear to be part of a loose amalgamation of postmodern censors, whose hallmark is to spread misinformation in the form of half-truths and outright falsehoods by accusing others of doing the same.

Perhaps in this case, Facebook’s greatest sin is its willingness to discount – or utterly ignore – Dr. Happer’s record of accomplishment.

In addition to a distinguished career at a prestigious university, Dr. Happer has received numerous awards for service in government and private enterprise. He invented a laser-based technology that made possible President Reagan’s “Star Wars” defense initiative and has published more than 200 peer-reviewed papers.

In a recent paper, “The Role of Greenhouse Gases in Energy Transfer in the Earth’s Atmosphere,” Dr. Happer and his coauthor say that whatever greenhouse warmth may be in store for the planet that “basic physics and the geological record indicate that the warming will be small and probably good for life on Earth.”

This and other statements by Dr. Happer are supported by evidence accumulated over many decades – even centuries – by myriad researchers drawing on various disciplines that include physics, geology, biology and history.

Putting up Climate Feedback’s lame challenge against such a legacy of scientific exploration would be laughable if it weren’t for its furtherance of a “green” movement that has cost the world trillions of dollars in wealth that could have been used for something useful. Billions of people suffer for lack of energy resources made more expensive and less available by a fearmongering climate agenda of the ignorant and ignominious.

Facebook also noted on the CO2 Coalition account that they “covered” the offending post “so people can choose whether they want to see it.”

We believe it behooves seekers of truth to examine posts that Facebook chooses to obscure.

Angela Wheeler is Vice President, Marketing and Multimedia, for the CO2 Coalition, Fairfax, Virginia.

This post was originally posted by the CO2 Coalition here.

Other examples of arbitrary censorship:

Facebook and Climate Feedback censorship: here.

Linkedin censorship here.

In peer-reviewed scientific articles: here.

Another Climate Feedback example: here.

Politifact gets it wrong here.

New Queensland Environment Minister Affirms His Climate Skeptic Views

Great exploding watermelons! “… Powell doubled down, saying he was not “100% convinced of the human population’s role” in climate change. …”

Glass House Mp Andrew Powell

From Watts Up With That?

Essay by Eric Worrall

Great exploding watermelons! “… Powell doubled down, saying he was not “100% convinced of the human population’s role” in climate change. …”

Queensland environment minister stands by ‘scepticism’ about human-induced climate change

Andrew Powell first said he was not ‘100% convinced’ 12 years ago while holding the portfolio during the Campbell Newman era

Andrew Messenger
Wed 11 Dec 2024 19.31 AEDT

Queensland’s environment minister has told parliament he stands by his comments more than a decade ago that he was “a bit sceptical” about human involvement in climate change.

Andrew Powell returned to the environment, tourism, science and innovation portfolio last month, having held it under the former premier Campbell Newman in 2012.

Speaking to ABC radio in June of that year, he acknowledged climate was changing, but said that he “was still to be convinced of the degree to which we are influencing that”.

At a media conference the following day, Powell doubled down, saying he was not “100% convinced of the human population’s role” in climate change.

…

During Wednesday’s question time, Greens MP Michael Berkman asked Powell if he “was still a bit sceptical of anthropogenic climate change” 12 years after the comments.

…

The environment minister then said “I stand by those comments”.

…Read more: 

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/dec/11/queensland-environment-minister-andrew-powell-stands-by-scepticism-about-human-induced-climate-change

Berkman is still genuflecting to the need for reducing emissions, but in my opinion this represents a significant shift. Any senior Aussie politician pushing back against climate madness, even a tentative push back, is an encouraging sign.

The reality is the climate movement has been dead man walking for a while, it died the day their big tech sponsors realised they need an endless supply of cheap energy to remain competitive in the AI age.

The movement might stumble along for a while, some of our more intellectually challenged politicians still haven’t caught on. But within a few years even the slower politicians will catch on that all their green initiatives are withering and dying, that the money hose is now pointing in a new direction.

If you would like to know why AI needs such a crazy amount of energy, and why formerly green big tech companies are being forced to choose between embracing cheap energy or corporate failure, the following article delves into this in detail.

Mark Zuckerberg: Covid censorship was wrong and I wish I’d fought it

Mark Zuckerberg has said Facebook and Instagram were wrong to censor posts about Covid during the pandemic and that the company should have fought pressure from the Biden administration.

Facebook founder claims White House ‘repeatedly pressured’ his social media giant to censor posts

Mark Zuckerberg has said Facebook and Instagram were wrong to censor posts about Covid during the pandemic and that the company should have fought pressure from the Biden administration. The Telegraph has the story.

In a letter to a US committee investigating online content moderation, Mr Zuckerberg said senior White House officials “repeatedly pressured” the company after Joe Biden was inaugurated in 2021.

He said that Facebook “made some choices” that it would not have made today.

In a letter to Jim Jordan, the Trump-supporting head of the House of Representatives’ Judiciary Committee, Mr Zuckerberg wrote: “In 2021, senior officials from the Biden administration, including the White House, repeatedly pressured our teams for months to censor certain Covid-19 content, including humour and satire, and expressed a lot of frustration with our teams when we didn’t agree.

“Ultimately, it was our decision whether or not to take content down, and we own our decisions, including Covid-19-related changes we made to our enforcement in the wake of this pressure.

“I believe the government pressure was wrong, and I regret that we were not more outspoken about it. I also think we made some choices that, with the benefit of hindsight and new information, we wouldn’t make today.

“Like I said to our teams at the time, I feel strongly that we should not compromise our content standards due to pressure from any administration in either direction – and we’re ready to push back if something like this happens again.”

During the pandemic, Facebook added misinformation alerts to users when they commented on or liked posts that were judged to contain false information about Covid.

It also deleted posts criticising the Covid vaccine, or suggesting that Covid was developed in a Chinese laboratory, a theory that has since become supported by some mainstream scientists and government agencies.

In the 2020 election campaign, Mr Biden had accused Facebook of “killing people” by not clamping down on Covid posts more enthusiastically. He later rowed back on the comments.

Mr Zuckerberg also said Facebook was wrong to suppress a New York Post story about Hunter Biden, Mr Biden’s son, which revealed that Hunter had offered business contacts access to his father when he was vice president.

Read the full story here.

Facebook Censorship due to a Science Feedback “Fact Check”

Facebook’s censorship is totally out of hand, and their “independent and nonpartisan fact checks” are anything but. Now they are censoring “Climate: The Movie.” The supposed “fact checks” provided by Science Feedback and Climate Feedback (they are two branches of the same organization) have been shown many times to be both partisan and ideologically driven.

From Watts Up With That?

By Andy May

Facebook’s censorship is totally out of hand, and their “independent and nonpartisan fact checks” are anything but. Now they are censoring “Climate: The Movie.” The supposed “fact checks” provided by Science Feedback and Climate Feedback (they are two branches of the same organization) have been shown many times to be both partisan and ideologically driven. The “fact check” of Steve Koonin’s bestselling book Unsettled done by Climate Feedback was blisteringly criticized by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) in a lead editorial by the WSJ editorial staff.

The editorial includes the following:

“Mr. Koonin, whose careful book draws extensively on existing scholarship, may respond on the merits in a different forum. Suffice it to say here that many of the ‘fact check’ claims relied on by Facebook don’t contradict the underlying material, but instead argue with its perceived implications.

The fact-check attacks Mr. Koonin’s book for saying the “net economic impact of human-induced climate change will be minimal through at least the end of this century.” Minimal is in the eyes of the beholder, but the U.S. National Climate Assessment predicted America’s climate costs in 2090 at about $500 billion per year—a fraction of the recent Covid stimulus in an economy that could be four times as large.

The fact-check on the statement that ‘global crop yields are rising, not falling’ retorts that ‘while global crop yields are rising, this does not constitute evidence that climate change is not adversely affecting agriculture.’ OK, but that’s an argument, not a fact-check. …

Climate Feedback’s comment on a line from the review about ‘the number and severity of droughts’ does not identify any falsehood, but instead claims, “it doesn’t really make sense to make blanket statements regarding overall global drought trends.’ Maybe it doesn’t make sense for Facebook to restrict the reach of legitimate scientific argument and competing interpretations of data.”WSJ, May 7, 2021.

Steve Koonin’s rebuttals of the Climate Feedback post are here and here. I’ve also written about the erroneous Climate Feedback post here.

In other words, fact checks should check facts, not a difference of opinion between two scientists. “Fact checks” today are too often thinly disguised and very biased editorials, often confusing very left-wing interpretations of ambiguous data with facts. Then these supposedly “independent and nonpartisan fact checks” are used by Facebook, and sometimes by Linkedin, as excuses to censor legitimate and well-documented posts and movies. Documentation and references of the facts and interpretations presented in Climate: The Movie can be found here.

Further reading on the blatant bias and misinformation found the Science Feedback and Climate Feedback websites:

  1. Climate Feedback’s fraudulent and misleading fact check of a famous and well-respected peer-reviewed article by Ronan Connolly, Willie Soon, and 21 well qualified co-authors is refuted here.
  2. Climate feedback also gets a fact check of the CO2 Coalition completely wrong, as described here.
  3. Finally in their fact check of Gregory Wrightstone of the CO2 Coalition they make 13 wildly incorrect (lies?) about Wrightstone, as described here.

In summary, the Science Feedback and Climate Feedback website are both unreliable and misleading. Why Facebook and Linkedin put their trust in such a biased organization is unknown, unless they are also pushing an ideologically biased narrative.

Their overly long (4,700 words!!) critique of Climate: The Movie is fully debunked in my annotated bibliography of the main points made in the movie, but I can hit the main points here.

The first clearly false claim is that recent climate change is being driven by CO2 exclusively with no input since 1750AD from changes in the Sun or nature at large. This is an unsupported claim by the IPCC (AR6, p 5) that is frequently disputed in the peer reviewed literature [For example: (Soon, Implications of the Secondary Role of Carbon Dioxide and Methane Forcing in Climate Change: Past, Present, and Future, 2007), (Davidson, Stephenson, & Turasie, 2016), (Koutsoyiannis, Onof, Kundzewicz, & Christofides, 2023), and (Liu, et al., 2014)].

Second, there are very serious and well-documented problems with current measurements of global warming at Earth’s surface. These problems are discussed in the movie. Science Feedback attempts, in far too many words to be believable, that the measurements are accurate. The problems are all well documented in the peer-reviewed literature [For example: (Connolly, et al., 2023) and (Soon, et al., 2023)].

Third, the movie explains that temperatures today are within the normal range of temperatures seen in Earth’s recent and longer-term history and they are not unusual or unprecedented. This fact is very well documented in the peer reviewed literature [ (Kaufman & Broadman, 2023) and (Scotese, Song, Mills, & Meer, 2021)]. The Science Feedback critique first complains about this statement and then later agrees with it.

Then they go on to say that “warming trends” are unusual over the instrumental era (past 140 years or so) compared to ancient temperature trends, based upon uncertain climate proxies. The climate proxies used in the latest IPCC report (AR6) have a median temporal resolution (time between temperatures) of 164 years (Kaufman, McKay, & Routson, 2020). So how can they know whether the proxy trends are more or less than today? See here and here for the details. Also see this excellent post by Renee Hannon on the impact of comparing daily thermometer readings to climate proxies.

They make many other incorrect and misleading claims. They claim there is no evidence that polar bear populations are increasing, they are (Crockford, 2022). They claim that the Great Barrier Reef has not recently reached a record size, when it has according to Peter Ridd and the Australian Institute of Marine Science.

They make many other claims that statements from the movie are misleading, including claims that the IPCC/CMIP climate models are accurate, but the IPCC itself admits they are flawed:

“Hence, we assess with medium confidence that CMIP5 and CMIP6 models continue to overestimate observed warming in the upper tropical troposphere over the 1979–2014 period by at least 0.1°C per decade, in part because of an overestimate of the tropical SST trend pattern over this period.“(AR6 WGI, page 444).

In short, the Science Feedback post is clearly incorrect in its claims that the movie is misleading. Science Feedback looks at the same data and facts that the movie examines and draws different conclusions than the eminent scientists in the movie. They have a different opinion than the experts in the movie. That does not mean the scientists in the movie are factually incorrect. Look at the data yourself, support for all 70 serious scientific claims made in the movie can be found here for those that want to see more.

Download the bibliography here.

Facebook Fiasco – and the Fishes

Norfolk Island is an Australian territory in the South Pacific Ocean, with pine trees, jagged cliffs, sandy beaches include Emily Bay, where Susan swims most days on the low tide.

From Jennifer Marohasy

January 21, 2024 By jennifer 

We have been friends for some 20 years, she used to edit Online Opinion (and I used to write for it), when she lived in Brisbane – we both once lived in Brisbane, in Chelmer. Now Susan lives on Norfolk Island that is rather a long way to the East.

Norfolk Island is an Australian territory in the South Pacific Ocean, with pine trees, jagged cliffs, sandy beaches include Emily Bay, where Susan swims most days on the low tide.

Susan still provides writing, editing and proofreading services, and she also swims in Emily Bay, with the corals and fishes.

Over the last few years she hasn’t been selfish about this adventure, rather sharing photographs of the fishes, a pregnant eagle ray, and a growing problem with water quality with us via what had become a most wonderful resource and community Facebook page, https://www.facebook.com/norfolkislandtime

Then last week, her Facebook was hacked, and while the site is still sitting there, Susan has lost control of it.

They were not interested in the fishes.

But rather that this page, her Facebook page, links to her writing page that links to PayPal.

The scam has apparently been going for three years at least what happened to Susan is exactly what was reported by Channel 9 as happening to other small businesses that long ago, with the same amount of money debited in the same way:

It took just 15 minutes for hackers to infiltrate Sydney single mum Sarah McTaggart’s Facebook page.

From there, they also took control of the account she uses to run her small business, wiping out 90 percent of the client base she has been building up for the past four years – almost in an instant.

Their target? The PayPal account she uses to buy Facebook ads for her business.

The professional IT advice that Susan has got is that this Facebook page is now lost to her control forever unless she can get the attention of Facebook administration.

It seems there is no way to get in touch with Facebook administration directly, so much for customer service. Susan had asked me to register a complaint from my Facebook account, but I can only report her page as ‘impersonating’ her, when what has happened is ‘identify theft’, that is not listed as an option.

I don’t want her Facebook account shut down, but rather handed back.

Susan has updated me:

I’m trying not to get too down about it. No help forthcoming yet apart from other scammers. I had an IT guy round here a few hours ago and he reckons it’s gone and without Facebook getting in touch with me regarding one of my reports I won’t be able to retrieve it.

I’ve reached out to anyone who I think is influential and may know someone who may be able to help, but no responses as yet.

No responses from Facebook either to any of the various reports that were submitted.

No phone number (well there is one, but they don’t answer it!).

No email address for Facebook.

And then I got a $320 charge from Meta (Facebook) via PayPal. It seems back in 2013 I linked PayPal to Facebook for some advertising for my Write-now business. So the hacker was able to make a charge.

PayPal say the charge is legitimate because it comes from my account (even though I don’t control it any longer!).

I’d already changed my bank passwords, and cancelled my card, so they won’t be able to do it again. I’ve also removed any linked cards from PayPal now, too.

As the IT guy said, it is now a case of pulling up the drawbridge! I’ve done a full computer scan and no trojans or whatever. So now I am filing fish photos, because at least that makes some sense!

One thing this has all brought home to me is how interconnected, interdependent, and beholden we are to the big IT companies like Facebook, PayPal etc etc.

Susan has emailed contact@9news.com.au, amongst others.

And she has explained to them:

My Messenger has also been taken over. As have my other linked pages (Write-now! is one). My deep concern is that those nearly 10,000 followers on Norfolk Island Time trust in my page and now they, too, are exposed to a hacker.

Fortunately, the fishes and the corals are unconnected, still under the waves at Emily Bay.

How many Facebook pages like Susan’s, replete with beautiful photographs of fishes, or something else, are now controlled by scammers – and what might they plan to do with a page like this into the future?

In the first instance this may be Susan’s worry. But if we truly care about community, it is all our problem, for sure.