Risk of explosion with heat pumps after power failure???

The recent concern in Germany about heat pumps posing an explosion risk after a power failure stems from a multi-day blackout in southwest Berlin, caused by a suspected arson attack on infrastructure.

Amid freezing temperatures, warnings circulated — especially in media and online – about potential dangers to monoblock heat pumps.

Frost-covered outdoor heat pumps in a snowy backyard during twilight, illustrating the risk of frost damage due to power failure.

The recent concern in Germany about heat pumps posing an explosion risk after a power failure stems from a multi-day blackout in southwest Berlin, caused by a suspected arson attack on infrastructure.

Amid freezing temperatures, warnings circulated — especially in media and online – about potential dangers to monoblock heat pumps.

The primary issue is frost damage, not an immediate explosion:

  • When power fails for an extended period (days) in sub-zero temperatures, the circulation pump stops.
  • Heating water in exposed outdoor pipes or the heat exchanger can freeze, expand, and burst components.
  • This can cause expensive total damage to the heat pump (e.g., cracked heat exchangers or pipes).

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From The Blackout- News

Two outdoor monobloc heat pumps covered in frost, surrounded by snow, with valves and piping visible.

Monobloc heat pumps can suffer severe frost damage in the event of a blackout lasting several days because their water-bearing components are located outside the building. As soon as the power fails, the circulation pump stops, and the heating water no longer circulates through the outdoor unit. At sub-zero temperatures, pipes and heat exchangers can freeze. In the process, the ice expands and bursts pipes or components. This is exactly the pattern that threatened in the southwest of Berlin, where around 50,000 households were affected, and persistent cold exacerbates the risk of frost damage (businessinsider: 05.01.26).

This is how frost damage occurs in the outdoor unit – and why Berlin can be particularly affected

Many operators underestimate the frost damage, because the system runs inconspicuously in everyday life. Monobloc units are located completely outside, i.e. including compressors and heat exchangers. That’s why a prolonged power outage hits them harder than systems with more technology in the house. In areas such as Nikolassee, Wannsee, Zehlendorf and Lichterfelde, heat pumps are also likely to be installed more often, because many owners have modernised there.

The problem is in the heating water circuit, because heating water flows from the house to the outdoor unit and back again. As long as there is electricity, the circulation pump keeps the water moving and the water in the pipes remains liquid. If the supply is lost, the water stands still and frost first attacks unprotected, above-ground sections. Then frost damage often occurs abruptly because the ice bursts the components from the inside.

80 percent monobloc – high prevalence increases the risk of frost damage

The Berlin Heating Guild estimates the proportion of monobloc design in air-to-water heat pumps at around 80 percent, which increases the number of potentially endangered systems. The specialist portal IKZ Select has already warned against deceptive security, although many installations appear technically clean. The mechanism of damage remains decisive.

The IKZ formulates this drastically: “The fact is: If the heat exchanger freezes and bursts as a result, this is tantamount to a total loss of the heat pump”.

Such a total loss hits operators twice because, in addition to the costs, there is also a lack of time. Manufacturer services sometimes only come after weeks, and the house remains without a reliable heat source during this phase. After that, discussions with insurers or contractual partners often begin. If you want to avoid frost damage, you therefore need a clear technical strategy.

Insulation, valves, emptying: What helps against frost damage and where the limits lie

IKZ advises solid pipe insulation up to “200 percent insulation”, but this often fails in practice. Many plumbers avoid huge wall openings of 40 or 50 centimeters because they hardly fit structurally. In addition, insulation only brings time, because it “only delays the cooling of the pipes, it cannot be prevented.” With several frost days, even a thick shell can lose, although it protects in the short term.

Technically more robust are shut-off and emptying options near the outdoor unit, because operators can then react in a targeted manner. A classic thermostatic freeze valve opens at a low temperature and drains heating water, leaving too little water in the heat exchanger for destructive pressure. However, the valve costs energy because it remains uninsulated and allows heat to escape. An indoor variant reduces losses, but the operator has to open it manually as soon as a long power outage becomes apparent.

Scandinavian frost protection cycle – less frost damage, but noticeable loss of efficiency

In Scandinavia, many systems solve the risk differently because winters there are long and cold. Operators often use an additional outdoor circuit with antifreeze, while the normal heating water remains in the house. This reduces the risk of frost damage to the water-bearing part, because there is no longer pure heating water outside. The system works more stably, but it costs efficiency.

IKZ gives a concrete parameter for this, because a water/glycol mixture with about 25 percent glycol reduces efficiency by around 15 percent. Nevertheless, many operators accept the disadvantage because they want to avoid failures in frost. In Sweden, the bill is easier because the electricity price there is regularly below 25 cents per kilowatt hour. Germany, on the other hand, is discussing costs more intensively, although resilience in the event of power outages is becoming increasingly important.

Fritz Vahrenholt: A lesson from the terrorist attack

Fritz Vahrenholt, a German chemist, former SPD politician published an article in early January 2026 titled “Eine grundsätzliche Lehre aus dem Terroranschlag auf das Berliner Stromnetz” (translated: “A Fundamental Lesson from the Terrorist Attack on the Berlin Power Grid”).

His Monthly newsletter refers to the arson attack on January 3, 2026, on high-voltage cables in southwest Berlin, claimed by the far-left extremist group Vulkangruppe. This sabotage caused a multi-day blackout affecting tens of thousands of households, businesses, hospitals, and public transport. German authorities investigated it as a terrorist act.

Silhouette of people waiting at a bus stop in a dark, snow-covered street at night with faint headlights visible in the background.

Fritz Vahrenholt, a German chemist, former SPD politician published an article in early January 2026 titled “Eine grundsätzliche Lehre aus dem Terroranschlag auf das Berliner Stromnetz” (translated: “A Fundamental Lesson from the Terrorist Attack on the Berlin Power Grid”).

His Monthly newsletter refers to the arson attack on January 3, 2026, on high-voltage cables in southwest Berlin, claimed by the far-left extremist group Vulkangruppe.

This sabotage caused a multi-day blackout affecting tens of thousands of households, businesses, hospitals, and public transport. German authorities investigated it as a terrorist act.

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From The Klima Nachrichten

A professional portrait of a smiling older man with gray hair and glasses, wearing a blue suit with a white shirt and a patterned pocket square.

Monthly newsletter from Fritz Vahrenholt

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

the global temperature continued to decline significantly in December 2025. It is only 0.3 degrees Celsius higher than the long-term average. Overall, 2025 was significantly cooler than 2024. The cooling trend continues.

Graph showing UAH satellite-based temperature data of the global lower atmosphere from 1979 to December 2025, indicating a +0.30 degrees Celsius departure from the 1991-2020 average.

A fundamental lesson from the terrorist attack on the Berlin power grid

The shutdown of the electricity supply in the south of Berlin has made us aware of the fragility of the policy of the energy transition. The aim of the energy transition is not only to convert the electricity supply to wind and solar energy, but also to convert the other two pillars of the energy supply, namely the heat supply and the transport sector, to electricity. Everything on electricity means doing without gas and oil in the heating sector and oil (petrol/diesel) in the motor vehicle sector.

Sector coupling was the name given to this narrowing of the energy supply to one energy source. This sector coupling was disseminated and celebrated by the green high priests as a sustainable model for the future. In its origin, it was an attempt to correct the weakness of renewable energies, which lead to unusable surpluses in times of high wind and solar power. These useless surpluses were to be pushed into the heating sector and the motor vehicle sector after storage. The fact that this sector coupling leads to an exorbitant increase in costs has been described often enough here. Frontier economics estimates the total cost of the energy transition by 2045 at an unaffordable 4800 to 5400 billion euros.

But now the attack in Berlin shows us that such an energy system, based solely on electricity, is highly vulnerable. We learn that in the event of a power failure, the heat supply also fails, at least if it is to be generated by heat pumps. And to make matters worse, we learn that in sub-zero temperatures, heat pumps are threatened with total loss due to bursting pipes. In any case, this package insert has not yet existed with Habeck’s heating law, which the black-red federal government wants to continue seamlessly. The content of the law will remain the same, but so that the citizens do not really notice it, the name of the law is to be changed.

We also learn that in the event of a large-scale power outage, e-vehicles can only help if they happen to have been charged before the bang. Otherwise, this use will also be cancelled. Until now, there has been a great deal of resilience associated with being able to rely on two storable systems for 75% of the energy supply, namely the gas supply for heat and the fuel supply for mobility. The fact that the third pillar, the electricity supply, which has so far provided 25% of energy consumption, is now also being made weather-dependent and is then supposed to serve all three pillars, has turned out even more clearly since the Berlin events to be a left-green ideological pipe dream that will not survive the reality test.
The text of the first claim of responsibility makes use of the context of the justification of green and left-wing ideologies of climate anxiety:

“In the greed for energy, the earth is drained, sucked dry, burned, maltreated, burned down, raped, destroyed. Entire regions are made uninhabitable under the heat. They simply burn. Or habitats disappear under the floods during floods or due to rising sea levels. Shutting down fossil fuel power plants is manual work.”

Except for the last sentence, one could read similar formulations in party congress resolutions of the Greens, the Left and the SPD. The sentence “Entire regions become uninhabitable under the heat” even comes from a UN report from 2022. The ideological justification for the energy transition stems from the same context of climate alarmism that the Vulkangruppe uses to justify its criminal actions.
 

On our own behalf

This newsletter is shorter, because I would like to spare myself the intensive research that you are used to so far, in this and the next newsletters. I have started to write a book, together with Björn Peters, about the future of nuclear energy. The book will be published by Langen-Müller in autumn and requires intensive research. That’s why I have to cut back on the newsletter, which has always cost me 4-5 working days, for two or three months. I hope you understand.