
From NoTricksZone
Byย Kenneth Richardย onย 20. November 2023

Millennial-scale Arctic sea ice reconstructions do not corroborate alarmist claims of unprecedented sea ice losses in modern times.ย
Using sea ice biomarker proxy (IP25), scientists (Kolling et al., 2023) have determined that the sea ice extent in the Labrador Sea was nearly absent throughout the year (close to 0.0 ฮผg/gTOC) for much of the last 9,000 years. The sea ice was lowest (~0.1 ฮผg/gTOC) 9,300 to 8,900 years ago, and low (~0.4 ฮผg/gTOC) from 7,500 to 4,000 years ago.

The lack of a trend in sea ice loss across the Labrador Sea is consistent with observations that show the region has not warmed in the last 70 years (Yashayaev and Loder, 2017).

Other scientists (Wu et al., 2020) determined that from about 14,000 to 8,000 years ago, when CO2 lingered near 250 ppm, the Beaufort Sea (Arctic) was โnearly ice free throughout the yearโ (<0.2 PIP25) and ~4ยฐC warmer than today in winter.
With modern (1988-2007) CO2 at ~400 ppm, this region is 70-100% ice-covered (>0.8 PIP25) for 10 to 11 months per year.

Svalbard sea ice has expanded to its highest extent of the Holocene (11,700 years ago to present) during the last 500 to 700 years (Allaart et al., 2020).
The Holoceneโs sea ice maximum just developed during modern times, as the authors note there has been an โincrease in IP25ย concentrations after c. 0.7ยฑ0.2 cal. ka BP, with a maximum in the modern sediments.โ

A study site northeast of Svalbard, scientists (Brice et al., 2020) find todayโs sea surface temperatures of โ<0ยฐCโ are at least 4ยฐC colder than they were just a few thousand years ago, when the Arctic was sea ice free for all but โa couple of monthsโ every year.
Todayโs sea ice monthly duration (~11 months per year) and summer sea surface temperatures (zero degrees Celsius) are among the highest and lowest (respectively) of the Holocene.


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