Three Times the Cost, Causes Earthquakes–Roll on the Green Power Revolution!

Economically attractive, he says! What a joke. It is only viable because of the £3 million a year CfD subsidy plus that £1.8 million bung. And all for a miniscule contribution to UK electricity supply. The 3 MW quoted might generate 25,000 MWh a year, compared to total UK demand of 300,000,000 MWh.

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Ian Magness

More naive reporting from Matt Oliver:

The promise of underground riches is nothing new in Cornwall. But on Thursday, the region will plumb new depths in the quest to harness Britain’s natural resources.

For the first time, the United Downs deep geothermal power plant will start generating 24/7 electricity at a site near Redruth.

With an output of around three megawatts, enough to power roughly 10,000 homes, the plant cannot exactly be described as game-changing.

Yet experts believe it will help pave the way for similar projects across Britain aimed at tapping into the vast thermal resources below our feet.

The United Downs project, developed by Geothermal Engineering Ltd (GEL), will draw water at temperatures of around 190C from underground reservoirs that sit approximately five kilometres beneath the surface.

It takes advantage of a natural fault line using two wells, one that draws water up and one that pumps it back into the granite rock formations. Water that is brought above ground is run through a heat exchanger which uses another liquid with a lower boiling point to make steam and drive a turbine.

The result is power that is nearly always on – whatever the weather – save for short maintenance periods, says Ryan Law, the chief executive of GEL.

“Once you have done your drilling and the rest of it, the plant then runs 24/7 for about 96pc of the year,” he says.

In renewable energy, these kinds of numbers are virtually unheard of. Utility-scale solar tends to only push 25pc of the year while wind farms tend to land somewhere between 20pc and 40pc.

Full story here.

I’m not sure who these “experts” are. They would not be paid by GEL, by some chance?

The article also contains serious errors, not least the claim that solar power works at 25% efficiency. The true number is half that.

Bot the biggest error is this:

Matt Oliver obviously does not realise that £119/MWh is at 2012 prices! The current strike price is £170.50/MWh, three times the price of gas power:

Economically attractive, he says! What a joke. It is only viable because of the £3 million a year CfD subsidy plus that £1.8 million bung. And all for a miniscule contribution to UK electricity supply. The 3 MW quoted might generate 25,000 MWh a year, compared to total UK demand of 300,000,000 MWh.

But it gets much worse! The process has been causing earth tremors, as Oliver reports:

Like fracking, however, this kind of drilling can cause unnerving mini-earthquakes.

In Britain, ministers effectively outlawed fracking for oil and gas when they limited operations that create tremors of more than a 0.5 magnitude.

There are no such rules for geothermal, even though it has caused mini-tremors that were three times more powerful than this, with the industry instead regulated based on its surface vibrations. Law argues that this is more sensible because it measures the actual effects above ground.

So it’s OK to have earthquakes three times as powerful as from fracking, because geothermal is “good” and fracking “bad”.

FOOTNOTE

I have left comments for Matt Oliver, pointing out his CfD strike price error, but so far, the article still has not been corrected.

Storm Goretti

Storm Goretti is the first named storm of 2026 in Europe, officially named by Météo- France (the French meteorological service).

Satellite image of Storm Goretti, the first named storm of 2026, affecting Europe with a swirl of clouds and weather patterns.

Storm Goretti is the first named storm of 2026 in Europe, officially named by Météo- France (the French meteorological service).

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Storm Goretti has been making the headlines this morning.

From the BBC’s summary late last night:

Headline about Storm Goretti impacting the UK with strong winds.

Snow has been the main problem, though the tip of Cornwall suffered from strong winds:

Table displaying the latest wind gusts recorded from Storm Goretti, with Scilly St Marys reaching the highest gust of 99 mph.

The Scillies bore the brunt of them, as the strongest band of winds stayed offshore, but in terms of the mainland, wind gusts were in the 70 to 90 mph range, 60 to 78 kts.

To put Goretti into perspective, we only have to look at the infamous Burns Day Storm in January 1990:

These are all the locations with more than 60 kt winds. Down in Cornwall, they hit 93 kts, which is 107 mph.

BBC2 News reported two days later:

Less well known is the fact that the Burns Day Storm continued wreaking death and destruction on the Continent:

Swiss Re reported later that year:

A year of severe storms and great expense for primary insurers and reinsurers, 1990 has gone down in history. Cyclone Daria began on 25 January, the birthday of Scottish poet Robert Burns, and so became known as the Burns’ Day Storm. Storms Wiebke and Vivian followed later that same year.

A storm of new proportions

Even today, Cyclone Daria remains one of the most devastating and expensive storms the world has ever seen. In Northern and Central Europe, some 95 people died as a result of Daria and Swiss Re estimated the total cost of property damage to be around EUR 6 billion. The storm cost UK insurers in particular a considerable amount of money, with companies paying out almost GBP 3.37 billion. As the Daria travelled from Ireland to Denmark, around three million trees were felled, half a million households lost electricity and there were severe floods in the UK and western Germany in particular.

Strong winds caused devastation

The storm was preceded by a considerably warm winter. In Germany, for example, temperatures reached 20 degrees before Christmas. Daria started out as a cold front over the North Atlantic. On the morning of 25 January, the storm made landfall over Ireland and then moved east over Great Britain. Daria caused major damage along its path, mainly in the Netherlands, Belgium, France, Germany and Denmark. The strongest sustained winds recorded were between 110km/h and 120km/h, though strong gusts of up to 170km/h were reported – these gusts were responsible for the most extensive damage.

The next major storm is bound to come

The 1990 storm cluster brought several companies or entire markets to the limits of their financial capabilities. This underlines how important it is to prepare for these peak events. Experience has shown that several areas are critical.

https://www.swissre.com/risk-knowledge/mitigating-climate-risk/winter-storms-in-europe/cyclone-daria-burns-day-storm.html

As a footnote, the BBC blamed Burns Day on, you guessed it, global warming:

One other comment. The Met Office have claimed the 99 mph winds at Scilly St Marys is a new record at the site – see here. This seems highly unlikely, given the 107 mph winds at Gwennap Head in 1990.

It turns out that the Met Office did not publish data from the Scillies back then!

A list of locations in South West England including Avon, Somerset, Dorset, Devon, and Cornwall with various places under each county.
A table displaying data columns for weather stations, including Station (Region/County), Type Published in MWR, Latitude, Longitude, Grid Reference, and Authority.
A weather table displaying information about Scilly (St Mary's) and Scilly/St Mary's Airport, including their coordinates.
https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_e37c8c8e-5182-4971-9347-2855e03ce30c/