If Every Volcano on Earth Erupted at Once, Humanity Wouldn’t Stand a Chance

It would be a near- extinction- level catastrophe for humanity and most complex life, driven primarily by global ash fallout, a severe volcanic winter, acid rain, and collapse of ecosystems and infrastructure, though it is vanishingly unlikely to occur.

A dramatic scene depicting multiple erupting volcanoes with flowing lava and dark stormy skies, surrounded by a smoky atmosphere and a distant city in the foreground.
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It would be a near- extinction- level catastrophe for humanity and most complex life, driven primarily by global ash fallout, a severe volcanic winter, acid rain, and collapse of ecosystems and infrastructure, though it is vanishingly unlikely to occur.

There are roughly 1,350-1,500 potentially active volcanoes on land worldwide (about 500 have erupted in historical time), concentrated especially along the Pacific “Ring of Fire”, plus many more undersea volcanoes along mid- ocean ridges that are not fully counted. These are driven by localized magma systems, so simultaneous eruption of all of them would require an impossible coincidence of independent processes.

Immediate effects (hours to days)

Explosive eruptions (stratovolcanoes and any supervolcanoes such as Yellowstone) would produce pyroclastic flows, lava bombs, and shock waves that devastate areas near the volcanoes, collapsing buildings, triggering landslides, and generating tsunamis from undersea or coastal activity.

Ash columns would reach the stratosphere in many cases. Ash is dense (roughly five times denser than water in bulk deposits) and would quickly blanket regions, collapsing roofs, clogging engines and filters, contaminating water supplies, and grounding all air travel. Planes already airborne near eruptions would face extreme risk.

Local death tolls near active volcanic zones (parts of Indonesia, Japan, the western Americas, southern Europe, etc.) would be enormous, but these would be dwarfed by later global effects.

Atmospheric and climate impacts (days to years)

Volcanic ash and especially sulfur dioxide (SO₂) injected into the stratosphere would form sulfate aerosols that reflect sunlight.

Even a single large eruption like Tambora in 1815 cooled the Northern Hemisphere by ~0.5°C and caused the “Year Without a Summer”. Scaling to all volcanoes (including multiple VEI 7- 8 events) would produce far thicker global coverage.

Skies would darken dramatically or turn to prolonged twilight/darkness in many regions as ash and aerosols block sunlight.

Global temperatures could drop by several degrees Celsius (estimates for multiple supervolcanoes reach ~15°C temporarily in extreme scenarios), triggering a volcanic winter lasting months to years. Photosynthesis would collapse, killing most plants and crops.

Acid rain from sulfur compounds would poison soils, freshwater, and further destroy remaining vegetation and infrastructure.

Ocean acidification from gases and ash would harm shellfish, corals, and marine food webs.

Agriculture and food systems worldwide would fail rapidly.

Famine, respiratory illness from ash, and infrastructure breakdown (power grids, transport, water treatment) would kill the vast majority of people even far from volcanoes. Experts describe the result as many times worse than a nuclear winter.

Longer- term effects (years to decades and beyond)

Once aerosols settle, the large release of CO₂ could eventually drive significant greenhouse warming, potentially shifting the climate in the opposite direction after the cold phase.

In extreme interpretations involving massive magma outpourings, some speculative accounts raise the possibility of severe long- term heating or even mass imbalances that could slightly alter Earth’s rotation or axial tilt (drawing analogies to ancient events on Mars), though this is far less certain.

Most complex surface and marine life would face mass extinction.

Microbial and extremophile life would likely persist in protected niches.

Human civilization as we know it would end.

Survival of isolated groups in less- affected or underground or other protected locations is theoretically possible but extremely limited by the global environmental collapse.

In short, the planet itself would survive, but the biosphere and human society would be devastated on a scale comparable to or exceeding past mass- extinction events linked to massive volcanism (e.g., flood basalt episodes). Fortunately, volcanoes are independent systems; simultaneous global eruption is not a realistic geological risk.

Volcanoes Spew 3X More CO2 Than Thought & 19,000 New Undersea Volcanoes Found: Is Human-Driven Climate Narrative Crumbling?

Folks, hold onto your hats—two groundbreaking studies dropped this past month, and they’re shaking up everything we thought we knew about carbon dioxide (CO2) in Earth’s atmosphere. The first, from The University of Manchester, reveals that volcanic CO2 emissions could be three times higher than previously estimated. The second, from the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), uncovers a staggering 19,325 previously unknown undersea volcanoes.

From Watts Up With That?

By Anthony Watts

Folks, hold onto your hats—two groundbreaking studies dropped this past month, and they’re shaking up everything we thought we knew about carbon dioxide (CO2) in Earth’s atmosphere. The first, from The University of Manchester, reveals that volcanic CO2 emissions could be three times higher than previously estimated. The second, from the School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), uncovers a staggering 19,325 previously unknown undersea volcanoes. Together, these findings throw a massive wrench into the narrative that human activity is the sole driver of rising atmospheric CO2. Let’s dive in.

Manchester’s Volcanic CO2 Bombshell might be a game changer. The Manchester team, led by Alexander Riddell, deployed cutting-edge sensors on a helicopter to measure emissions from the Soufrière Hills Volcano in Montserrat. Published in Science Advances DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ads8864, their findings are a wake-up call. Traditional monitoring focused on hot volcanic vents (fumaroles) that spew easily detectable gases like sulfur dioxide (SO2). But cooler, water-rich hydrothermal systems absorb acidic gases, masking significant CO2 output. The new tech revealed that Soufrière Hills emits three times more CO2 than earlier estimates suggested.

Riddell notes, “Volcanoes play a crucial role in the Earth’s carbon cycle,” but he’s quick to downplay the impact, claiming volcanoes contribute less than 5% of global CO2 compared to human activities like fossil fuel burning. Fair enough, but if one volcano’s emissions are underestimated by a factor of three, what about the thousands of others worldwide? The study hints at a broader issue: our volcanic CO2 estimates could be way off, especially for volcanoes with similar hydrothermal systems.

Meanwhile, researchers at SOEST, including Paul Wessel and Scripps’ David Sandwell, used high-resolution radar satellite data to map the ocean floor. Their study, published in Earth and Space Science, identified 19,325 new seamounts—undersea volcanoes—bringing the total to over 43,000 SOEST News. With only a quarter of the seafloor mapped by sonar, most of these underwater giants remain uncharted. These seamounts aren’t just geological curiosities; they’re potential CO2 sources, stirring ocean currents and influencing carbon cycles.

The study emphasizes their role in ocean mixing, where currents around seamounts create “wake vortices” that drive upwelling, pulling carbon-rich deep water to the surface. This process could amplify the ocean’s role in atmospheric CO2 exchange, yet we’ve barely scratched the surface of their emissions. If terrestrial volcanoes are underestimated, what’s the bet that these underwater behemoths are too?

Here’s where it gets spicy. The climate establishment loves to pin the rise in atmospheric CO2—now around 420 ppm—squarely on human emissions. But these two studies, released within weeks of each other, expose massive gaps in our understanding of natural CO2 sources. If volcanic emissions on land are triple what we thought, and we’ve just found 19,000+ new undersea volcanoes, the natural contribution to atmospheric CO2 is likely far higher than the “less than 5%” figure tossed around.

Let’s do some back-of-the-envelope math. The USGS estimates global volcanic CO2 emissions at about 0.26 gigatons per year USGS Volcano Hazards Program, compared to human emissions of ~35 gigatons. But if Manchester’s findings apply broadly, that 0.26 could be closer to 0.78 gigatons or more. Add in unknown contributions from tens of thousands of undersea volcanoes, and the natural CO2 flux starts looking like a serious player. We’re not saying humans don’t contribute—fossil fuels are a big factor—but the certainty of attribution just took a major hit.

These discoveries don’t just challenge climate models; they demand a rethink of how we monitor and predict CO2 trends. Manchester’s sensor tech could revolutionize volcano monitoring, potentially improving eruption forecasts and safety for nearby communities. Meanwhile, SOEST’s seamount catalog opens new avenues for studying Earth’s carbon cycle and ocean dynamics. But until we quantify these natural sources, we’re flying blind on how much CO2 is truly “anthropogenic.”

The climate debate thrives on certainty, but science thrives on doubt. These studies remind us that nature is full of surprises, and our grasp of Earth’s complex systems is shakier than we’d like to admit. It’s time to dial back the dogma and invest in better data—because if we’re underestimating volcanic CO2 by this much, what else are we missing?

Bingo front row, 19k undersea volcanoes “discovered”

A team of oceanographers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, working with a colleague from Chungnam National University and another from the University of Hawaii, has mapped 19,000 previously unknown undersea volcanoes in the world’s oceans using radar satellite data.

From CFACT

By Joe Bastardi 

I have been outlining my suspicions that geothermal activity may have more to do with ocean temperature than is convenient for the warming narrative.  More and more data is coming out indicating geothermal activity may be significant.  Yet the paper here glosses over that and concludes with .. take a guess.

Please read to get the entire picture of the paper:  

https://phys.org/news/2023-04-radar-satellite-reveals-previously-unknown.html

Two seamounts from the Kim-Wessel catalog before and after being centered (20 Eotvos contours). Light blue colored points indicate the original location of the seamounts. Red points are the new centers chosen based on the maximum VGG value. Credit: Earth and Space Science (2023). DOI: 10.1029/2022EA002331

Headline:19000 undersea volcanoes not known discovered.

But let’s do a critique of this.

A team of oceanographers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, working with a colleague from Chungnam National University and another from the University of Hawaii, has mapped 19,000 previously unknown undersea volcanoes in the world’s oceans using radar satellite data. In their paper published in the journal Earth and Space Science, the group describes how they used radar satellite data to measure seawater mounding to find and map undersea volcanoes and explains why it is important that it be done.

MY COMMENT:  This is precisely my argument based on SSTs. that was essentially steady state from the 50s to the early 90s, but have come up in the age of increased activity.

Given seismic activity increase scored during this time

and  TSI and WV are almost in lock stop

vs CO2

Seismic activity and the sun seem to have a better correlation

Given Super Ninos pump so much WV into the air and lead to step up functions

you would think they would then allow for this as a large natural cause for overwhelming man-made contribution   But that is not what they do.

Here is where  the article  goes for a conclusion ( please read it yourself)

……But most importantly, they have a very strong impact on deep-sea ocean flow. As currents run into seamounts, they are pushed upward, carrying colder water with them, and mix in unknown ways. Mapping such currents has become more important as the oceans absorb more heat and carbon dioxide from the atmosphere and freshwater melt, due to ongoing climate change.

This is unbelievable.  Do the oceans absorb heat?   It is a true statement but hides vital components that put this whole  thing into the correct perspective,, that  the amount of energy coming from the atmosphere, yet alone co2s role whatever that may be is dwarfed  by the oceans

THE OCEANS  AND THE SUN ARE THE LEADING CAUSES OF THE HEATING.   

How is that not intuitive?

At least enough to demand a rethinking of some of the ideas that are running away with what passes for solid science today Unless you are just looking at one thing rather than the whole picture.  They release wv and CO2 as they warm.

Again why are we quantifying CO2 and not WV?   We have the mixing ratio chart that shows.a direct correlation of WV to Temp, there is no such thing  FOR CO2.  Why because there is no link that we can use.

But it goes to something I have been pointing out. Something is going on that we have no idea about and its natural.   But the amazing thing about this article is it simply ignores all that and  goes right back to the agenda being pushed

At the very least, and given what the warming SSTs mean for weather and climate,  Ask yourself how man’s input to what is a tiny amount of energy vs the entire system,  Is moving the system.

Author

  • Joe BastardiJoe Bastardi
  • Joe Bastardi is a pioneer in extreme weather and long-range forecasting.
  • He is the author of “The Climate Chronicles: Inconvenient Revelations You Won’t Hear From Al Gore — and Others” which you can purchase at the CFACT bookstore. His new book The Weaponization of Weather in the Phony Climate war can be found here. phonyclimatewar.com