Cancel Net Zero: Wind Turbines Cause Ocean Heating

Your correspondent’s work is done. Offshore wind farms cause ocean heating, with localised surface sea temperatures rising by a persistent 0.3°C-0.4°C and interannual variability up to 1°C. This is according to ground-breaking calculations made by a group of American scientists and recently published by Science.

Aerial view of offshore wind turbines standing in the ocean against a clear blue sky.

From The Daily Sceptic

By Chris Morrison

Your correspondent’s work is done. Offshore wind farms cause ocean heating, with localised surface sea temperatures rising by a persistent 0.3°C-0.4°C and interannual variability up to 1°C. This is according to ground-breaking calculations made by a group of American scientists and recently published by Science. Cascading effects rippling through eco-systems not only affect sea and atmospheric temperatures but reshape the upper ocean by destabilising marine food supplies and affecting plankton and larval growth. Disruption of the Mid-Atlantic Cold Pool, a key subsurface water mass supporting regional fisheries and ecosystems, can be affected. So, no more ghastly inefficient wind turbines then – if similar fears arose about hydrocarbon extraction, the operation would be shut down quicker than you could say Christopher Gary Packham.

Maybe not. Fracking for natural gas was banned in the UK once activists weaponised fears of ‘earthquakes’ similar in intensity to someone falling off a chair. Different rules apply to wind turbines, despite evidence continuing to accumulate of their destructive ability to rearrange local ecosystems. Builders of the high-speed railway HS2 from London to Birmingham have been forced to spend £100 million to protect a few bats on a 1,000-metre section of the line, but green activists turn a blind eye to the worldwide slaughter of millions of the flying critters by the blades of giant wind turbines. And nobody obsessed with the Net Zero fantasy seems to give a toss when the populations of slow-breeding large raptors – including Golden Eagles, Bald Eagles and the endangered Tasmanian Wedge-tailed Eagle – are decimated.

Imagine if you will the abuse and the likely financial bill given to any non-green industrial enterprise if highly credentialed scientists, including Bloomberg Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science and Wind Energy Julie Lundquist, publishing in a major academic journal had written something similar to: “Offshore wind farms may induce changes in the upper ocean and near surface atmosphere through coupled ocean-atmosphere feedbacks.”

The scientists calculated their findings by examining multi-year data off the coast of the eastern United States during calmer summer months. It is suggested that large wind turbines reduce nearby surface wave energy which in turn weakens natural and important mixing in the upper ocean. These reductions in ‘wind stress’ caused by the revolving turbine blades are said to lead to sea surface warming of up to 0.4°C and a shallower mixed ocean layer. In plain English, there is no free wind energy that can be harnessed without inconvenient side effects – giant turbines extract cooling energy from the near ocean surface, and this leads to rising water temperatures. All of the resulting effects such as different ocean mixing and stratification, along with atmospheric heat exchanges, alter the delicate local balance of the ecosystem and the structure of aquatic food systems.

Needless to say, this 0.3°C -1°C local warming would count as a ‘heatwave’ or even evidence of ‘boiling’ oceans in activist circles. It is of course true that natural changes in ocean temperatures, often seasonal, occur all the time; temperatures rise and fall on a temporary basis and living organisms from coral to fish have adaptive mechanisms. Wind turbine-induced warming is shown to be permanent and marks a radical change in existing conditions. In addition, reduced wind stress supresses upwelling currents that play a vital part in the life of the ocean by spreading nutrients around. Different types of fish may be attracted to warmer waters, but existing food supplies can be threatened. “Changes in wind stress profiles… may alter wind-driven upwelling circulation, with potential impacts on nutrient delivery and coastal ecosystem dynamics,” the scientists observe.

The Mid Atlantic Cold Pool is a large mass of dense colder bottom water that plays an important ecological part off the eastern US. Wind turbines could put this ecosystem at risk since reduced upwelling and general mixing might cause warming or shrinking with widespread implications for commercial fishing and shellfish. The paper suggests the sea creatures might adapt in some ways to local changes, but in an excellent essay written in Watts Up With That?, Charles Rotter notes: “This is the ecological equivalent of installing dozens of parking lots across a forest and wondering if wildlife will ‘adapt’.”

Or, he might have added, chopping down 100,000 mature Amazon rainforest trees to build a four-lane highway for a two-week environmental conference and hoping the local animals look both ways before crossing the road.

Rotter notes that a 0.3°C-0.4°C warming anchored to industrial infrastructure is not subtle, asking: “How can a technology be sold protecting marine ecosystems if it reorganises them?” You do not fix environmental uncertainty by imposing additional uncertainty, he adds.

Cascading alterations and ecological damage caused by wind turbines are attracting increased scientific and media interest. Not in mainstream media of course, where a blind eye is turned to the increasingly obvious ecological disadvantages and the political lies are peddled that green energy is cheap and capable of powering a modern industrial society. To date, most of the attention has been paid to onshore wind turbines, with a recent paper published by Nature noting that the effect of utility-scale wind energy production, “can be far reaching and sometimes have large and unexpected consequences for biodiversity”.

The scientists found large cascading effects that altered ecosystems and degraded habitats, suggesting: “Perhaps the greatest unknown in predicting future effects of wind power on biodiversity lies in the scope of the potential expansion of the technology and the cumulative consequences of this expansion for species and ecosystems.”

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor. Follow him on X.

A common sense experiment to illustrate natural forcing

You have 40 years of no Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Change and whatever atmospheric warming you want to say occurred, yet looking at the 10-year means I can’t tell if it was warmer or colder in the ’80s than in the ’50s.

From CFACT

By Joe Bastardi

Suppose you had four enclosed boxes made of metal. The inner box had a height of 3 inches, the next one 6, the next one 9, and the next one 12.  Each was separated by 3 inches.

Obviously, the area of the 12-inch box is larger than the 3-inch one. Each one to fill needs increased volumes of liquid.

Now, what happens if you start filling the inside box with water at a pace greater than what you are draining it at?

It rises to the level of the box and then overflows. You keep filling the inner box. Obviously, the level of the inner box is at a new height from when there was no water input, but now you are filling the area on the outside. So what happens when it fills completely? It overflows, and a new equilibrium for the total system is established ( the two boxes).

But you keep filling it.  And the same thing will happen at the next 2 levels,   Until such a time that the input equals whatever can be drained out or stops so that what can be drained out can start returning it to normal, it will continue to rise.

Well, that is what you are seeing, and how this is not obvious is beyond me.

You have 40 years of no Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Change and whatever atmospheric warming you want to say occurred, yet looking at the 10-year means I can’t tell if it was warmer or colder in the ’80s than in the ’50s.

SST 51-60

SST 81-90

All this time, CO2 was ramping up. Yet the oceans were largely unchanged as far as the total area of cool, though changes took place, some cooler, some warmer in regional areas. This can be attributed to the natural exchanges that go on in the ocean and interaction with the air.

air temps

I guess the ’50s were a bit cooler, so since CO2 was on the rise, you can use that as a baseline increase and certainly it is not run away or catastrophic. But the Arctic had not warmed BECAUSE THE INPUT OF EXTRA WATER VAPOR DUE TO THE WARMING OCEAN HAD NOT STARTED.

Here is the geothermal input to the ocean, the introduction of the water to the boxes, so to speak.

What happens when the is too much buildup? The base state “overflows” and the strong El Ninos enter in response.

Up goes the temperature in response to water vapor, and where is the greatest increase? In the coldest, driest areas.

Well, here are SST with the jump:

So we got from large scale colder than normal in the ’50s-’80s to large scale normal to above, once the geothermal aspect is introduced (we start filling the boxes).

Air temperature

This cannot be linked to CO2 in any way that would make it the climate control knob. It’s a bit player, minor at that and its actual effect was probably whatever you can find from 1951-1990.

The greatest flip is in the polar regions, where water vapor (WV) makes the biggest difference.

A couple of things. If you are looking at the boxes filled with water, you now have four enclosures, and this means there is a lot of water. So, to continue to increase it so it overflows again, you need an increase in the rate of input. Enter the huge volcano last year, mainly underwater, which showed that the geothermal aspect is huge. But what is incredible is that we DO NOT QUANTIFY WATER VAPOR WHICH IS DIRECTLY RELATED TO TEMPERATURE, BUT WE DO QUANTIFY CO2, WHICH THERE ARE NO KNOWN CORRELATIONS. HENCE THE ARGUMENT THAT CO2 is going UP, SO IT MUST BE WHY THE TEMPERATURE IS GOING UP. Temperature is a lousy metric for evaluating the energy of the system compared to water vapor. But think about what is going on here. What is the source of water vapor? It is not your SUV or fossil fuels. It’s the ocean. So by hiding the source, or dismissing it, the people pushing the CAGW manmade climate change either are ignorant to fundamental questions that need to be addressed, or they darn well know what will happen if we bring in the natural forcing. It’s likely the reason the climate models are all too warm, except for one that did not have the CO2 forcing.

How does it change? IT ISN’T UNTIL SUCH A TIME THAT THE NATURAL PROCESS CHANGES. It does have a diminishing return relative to the absolute value of the input, for once input and output are equal, the temperatures will level off. So it is important that we track underwater volcanic activity. Basically, whether by accident or design, we have swept under the rug the answer to the question. An answer I suspect many pushing the climate catastrophe don’t want to see. That it’s not men, and of course your control of men, that rule the climate, but nature itself.

The so-called boiling oceans reveal how little CO2 has to do with it. That’s right, the warming exposes the whole thing because it reveals the true nature of it!  The warming has to be from large natural sources. The volcano and its water vapor input simply put an exclamation point on it. And anyone not willing to confront this, (actually, they are but saying it’s relatively minor) violates basic laws of nature.

Author


Joe Bastardi

Joe Bastardi is a pioneer in extreme weather and long-range forecasting. He is the author of “The Climate Chronicles: Inconvenient Revelations You Won’t Hear From Al Gore — and Others” which you can purchase at the CFACT bookstore.

His new book The Weaponization of Weather in the Phony Climate war can be found here. phonyclimatewar.com

Boiling Ocean Update: Florida Sea Temperature ‘Record’ Drops 15°F in just 48 Hours

Last week, the BBC reported that seawater along the tip of Florida had exceeded “hot tub” temperatures of 37.8°C (100°F) in recent days, “making it potentially the hottest ever measured”. The Guardian was in fine alarmist form noting that the Florida recording posed a threat to human food supplies and the livelihoods of those working in the water. Similar hysteria was to be found across most of the mainstream media. Alas, curiously missing from all this excitable coverage was a note that just 48 hours later the temperature plummeted to around 85°F.

From The Daily Sceptic

By CHRIS MORRISON

Last week, the BBC reported that seawater along the tip of Florida had exceeded “hot tub” temperatures of 37.8°C (100°F) in recent days, “making it potentially the hottest ever measured”. The Guardian was in fine alarmist form noting that the Florida recording posed a threat to human food supplies and the livelihoods of those working in the water. Similar hysteria was to be found across most of the mainstream media. Alas, curiously missing from all this excitable coverage was a note that just 48 hours later the temperature plummeted to around 85°F.

The reading was taken from a buoy in Manatee Bay which is managed by the Everglades National Park, and located north of Key Largo. The upper left graph below shows that the temperature moved between 90-101°F on consecutive days, then fell away rapidly to around 85°F.

Examining the ‘record’ on the climate site Watts Up With That?, the former ecology lecturer Jim Steele observed that water temperatures were being driven by dynamics other than rising CO2. Steele noted that the Manatee Bay buoy measuring the water temperature was in a small embayment surrounded by landform and this forms a natural hot tub. Low winds and a high pressure system further helped heat the bay, while muddy waters darkened the water enhancing solar heating.

Steele noted that the science of solar ponds has shown that when fresh water overlayed saltier water, heat gets trapped, and temperatures can be as much as 60°F hotter than the surface at depths between five and 10 feet.

To maintain the “crisis hoax”, Steele suggests it’s also important to ignore conflicting data. Southern Florida has several buoys, some measuring water temperature, some air and some both. Just 56 miles to the south-west of Manatee Bay, the VAKF1 buoy measured water temperatures that were 10°F lower than Manatee Bay on those same days, as shown in the lower left graph (above), which then cooled to 86°F. Manatee Bay lacked air temperature data but VAKF1 reported a high air temperature of 91°F (lower right graph) which then cooled to the low 80°Fs, even dipping to 76°F. “These air temperatures don’t even approach being unprecedented,” said Steele.

Jim Steele has a lifetime’s experience in working for environmental education projects. For 25 years he ran the Sierra Nevada Field Campus for San Francisco State University. As part of one monitoring project, he studied the effect of regional climate change on bird populations in the Sierra Nevada.

Mainstream media are now clearly in the grip of a climate catastrophisation mania where activists scour the world for any unusual weather event or recording. Normal reporting standards seem to have been abandoned in the rush to scare populations to comply with the collectivist Net Zero agenda. Top level politicians encourage widespread panic with Al Gore ranting about “boiling oceans”, while a deranged Antonio Guterres claimed earlier this week that we live in an age of “global boiling”. At a stroke, the UN Secretary General seems to have retired the Guardian’s ‘Global Heating’ invention. Last year’s Nobel Physics Laureate Dr. John Clauser says the climate narrative has corrupted his beloved science. Meanwhile, global boiling is promoted as global surface temperatures are retrospectively adjusted upwards by state-funded bodies, while the accurate satellite record shows a near nine-year pause. In the U.K., the Met Office happily uses corrupted station temperature data that the World Meteorology Organisation states has a error estimate of up to 2°C. The British weather service still seems inordinately proud of its 60-second U.K. heat record last year, despite evidence that three Typhoon jets were landing around the time on the runway next to the measuring devise at RAF Coningsby.

On Wednesday, the BBC’s Georgina Rannard wrote a story asking if the Gulf Stream could collapse by 2025. This is pure Day After Tomorrow sci-fi territory, promoting fears of catastrophic cooling in the northern hemisphere, with widespread impacts across the planet. Again the story was all over the mainstream media with USA Today reporting the Atlantic Ocean currents could soon collapse, adding, “how you may endure dramatic weather changes”.

The story originated from a recently published scientific paper and was pure clickbait for impressionable activists. The claims are based on limited observation evidence producing computer model projections. The authors state “with high confidence” that the change will occur between 2025-2095. However, the paper does contain this massive caveat, which went unreported in any of the media coverage: this prediction is only valid “under the assumption that the model is approximately correct, and we of course, cannot rule out that other mechanisms are at play, and thus, the uncertainty is larger”.

Needless to say, the story went around the world and was reported in blazing headlines. However, it seems eyebrows are starting to be raised about this sort of guff, even in alarmist circles. The climate alarmist’s climate alarmist is Professor Michael ‘Hockey Stick’ Mann of Penn University, but rerunning the Day After Tomorrow script was not wholly to his taste. According to USA Today, he said: “I’m not sure the authors bring much to the table other than a fancy statistical method. History is littered with flawed predictions based on fancy statistical methods; sometimes they’re too fancy for their own good.”

Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.