
Yet another much-predicted climate-change catastrophe turns out to be baseless: Worldwide sea levels are not rising any faster than a century ago. The New York Post has the story.
This doesn’t mean climate change isn’t happening, nor that particular locales don’t face a rising-seas problem — but it does mean no apocalypse is coming unless the whole world takes drastic action to prevent it.
For decades, complex climate-change models have indicated global sea levels to be rising at twice or more the historic level, but until now, no scientists had bothered checking that against actual observed reality.
Dutch engineer Hessel Voortman and researcher Rob de Vos finally did the work; their peer-reviewed study in the Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, “A Global Perspective on Local Sea Level Changes,” shows the models have gotten it completely wrong.
They reviewed actual data (on an average of a century of observations) at 150,000 coastal locations across the planet to determine that sea-level rise this century will likely be about 6 inches, the same as last century.
The models, which extrapolated from observations in the Antarctic only, plus a host of assumptions about how the oceans respond to rising global temperatures, suggested sea levels increasing by 1 foot to 3 feet by 2100.
Indeed, Princeton University’s Michael Oppenheimer predicted in 2019 that sea levels would rise by more than 34 inches by century’s end.
The Dutch researchers’ “first-ever global study of sea level rise” refutes those claims — and raises the huge question of why no one else had bothered to test the predictions.
As of 2020, they found, the worldwide rise is only around 1.5 millimeters per year — far less than the 3 mm to 4 mm (0.12 to 0.16 inches) a year routinely reported in scientific literature and the general news media.
Read the full story here.

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