NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

The UK had the hottest June on record, the Met Office has confirmed.

The average monthly temperature of 15.8C (60.4F) exceeded the previous highest average June temperature, recorded in 1940 and 1976, by 0.9C.

Climate change made the chance of surpassing the previous joint record at least twice as likely, scientists also said.

As well as the overall UK June record, England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland each recorded their warmest June since the Met Office started collecting the data in 1884.

Dr Richard Hodgkins, senior lecturer in physical geography at University of Loughborough says it is notable how the warm weather “fits expectations of a changing climate in the UK”.

He said researchers have been predicting patterns where weather appears to get “stuck”, which would mean longer heatwaves.

The hot June was “somewhat like a typical weather event for the UK, but stretched out in time much longer than normal,” he added.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-66084543

The Met Office have announced the hottest June on record, and consulted their oracle, also known as a supercomputer, which has predictably told them that climate change is to blame.

Conveniently of course the Met Office forgot to mention that they do have records before 1884. The CET tells a rather different story, as last month only ranks 5th warmest:*

The fact that the warmest June came in 1846, and 1676, 1822 and 1826 were also hotter rather demolishes the claims about global warming.

A daily comparison between 1846 and 2023 is instructive, as we find a very similar distribution of temperatures:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/meantemp_daily_totals.txt

Mean temperatures peaked at 21.7C this June, as opposed to 22.0C in 1846. There were 5 days this year of 20C and over, and 9 days in 1846.

The CET data is also backed up by temperatures at Oxford Radcliffe Observatory, which again shows 1846 to be the hottest:

https://www.geog.ox.ac.uk/research/climate/rms/daily-data.html

One particular claim sticks out:

He said researchers have been predicting patterns where weather appears to get “stuck”, which would mean longer heatwaves

As we know, all sorts of “predictions” are made about global warming, and most never materialise. Hot, cold, wet, dry, windy, not windy – al of these can and have been blamed on climate change. We were promised dry summers, then wet ones, and now dry summers again. Meanwhile summer rainfall carries on as before, highly variable from year to year.

But where is the evidence for this nonsense about weather blocking. As usual climate scientists are never able to actually provide any proof, merely assertions. The obvious measure of cyclonic blocking would be rainfall, but as the charts below show, there is no evidence from the rainfall data for June or summers as a whole that such blocking is getting worse:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/maps-and-data/uk-temperature-rainfall-and-sunshine-time-series

Neither is there any evidence from the consecutive number of hot days:

Naturally the Met Office wants to use a week or two of sunshine in its campaign to catastrophise summer weather.

“An increase of 0.9C may not seem a huge amount, but it’s really significant because it has taken the average daytime and the night time temperature for the whole of the UK,” Paul Davies, Met Office chief meteorologist and climate extremes principal fellow, told BBC News.

“That’s significant in a warming climate and because of the consequential impacts on society,” he added.

As I am absolutely sure, Paul Davies knows full well that none of this is true, and that we have often had this sort of weather in the past. He also knows that the heatwave in 1976 was considerably longer and more intense than anything seen last month.

But it is obviously not in his job description to give the public the full facts.

BTW – I do accept that the western side of the country saw the highest anomalies, while the east had the lowest. The CET should therefore be a reasonable median point. It is relevant in this respect that the Midlands area within the Met Office’s UK dataset also claims June 2023 as the hottest: