Surplus Arctic Ice Mid June 2023

From Science Matters

By Ron Clutz

The graph for the last four weeks shows that 2023 Arctic ice continues to exceed the 17 year average from mid April to mid May. SII (Sea Ice Index) tracked MASIE with higher extents most of this period, while ending nearly the same.  Meanwhile, other years, especially 2010 and 2020 were losing ice much more rapidly than average.  

Why is this important?  All the claims of global climate emergency depend on dangerously higher temperatures, lower sea ice, and rising sea levels.  The lack of additional warming is documented in a post Satellite Temps Hit Bottom: February 2023.

The lack of acceleration in sea levels along coastlines has been discussed also.  See USCS Warnings of Coastal Floodings

Also, a longer term perspective is informative:

The table below shows the distribution of Sea Ice across the Arctic Regions, on average, this year and 2010.

Region2023166Day 166 Average2023-Ave.20101662023-2010
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere1101078510850760 160025 10534077476708 
 (1) Beaufort_Sea1004738970162 34577 93319471545 
 (2) Chukchi_Sea866965797144 69820 83987327092 
 (3) East_Siberian_Sea10458631050728 -4865 1068901-23038 
 (4) Laptev_Sea806824768140 38684 77218534639 
 (5) Kara_Sea638316715045 -76730 717539-79224 
 (6) Barents_Sea114873199057 -84184 138264-23391 
 (7) Greenland_Sea811202565292 245910 524612286589 
 (8) Baffin_Bay_Gulf_of_St._Lawrence849180711581 137599 667457181723 
 (9) Canadian_Archipelago792429798400 -5971 76664225787 
 (10) Hudson_Bay802506984719 -182214 826781-24275 
 (11) Central_Arctic32391853220413 18772 320645332732 
 (12) Bering_Sea949035600 -26110 21317-11827 
 (13) Baltic_Sea0243 -243 0
(14) Sea_of_Okhotsk2807495869 -67795 49697-21623 

Overall, the extent is above average by 160k km2, or 1.5%.  The main deficits are in Barents, Kara, Hudson Bay and Okhotsk, more than offset by surpluses especially in Baffin Bay, Greenland and Chukchi seas. Note that Arctic extent will now go below 11 Wadhams heading toward its August minimum.  2010 was nearly 1/2 Wadham below average on day 166.


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