{"id":481160,"date":"2026-10-21T10:54:13","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T17:54:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=481160"},"modified":"2026-10-21T10:54:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T17:54:16","slug":"the-future-of-ccs-can-no-longer-be-assumed-a-supporter-rethinks-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=481160","title":{"rendered":"\u2018The Future of CCS Can No Longer Be Assumed\u2019 (a supporter rethinks \u2026)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Industrial
AI generation by Meta<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From Master Resource<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cToday, global operating nameplate capture capacity is approximately 60 million tonnes a year. If fully utilised, that would represent gross capture equivalent to roughly 14-15 hours of annual global energy and industrial emissions. Actual verified net storage is lower.\u201d (- Martin Jagger, below)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Martin Jagger<\/a>, a climate activist specializing in carbon capture & storage, recently wrote a sobering post<\/a> on the progress of this technology in addressing the assumed-to-be climate crisis. This problematic approach is another example of the tears-in-the-ocean choices of climate mitigation policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cFor twenty years,\u201d he begins, \u201cI have argued that CCS has an important role to play in managing emissions from industries where practical alternatives remain limited.\u201d The progress to date has been small, and the effect on global emissions minuscule. He explains:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Today, global operating nameplate capture capacity is approximately 60 million tonnes a year. If fully utilised, that would represent gross capture equivalent to roughly 14-15 hours of annual global energy and industrial emissions. Actual verified net storage is lower\u2026. Closing even the gap between today\u2019s operating capacity and the announced [EIA estimated] 2030 pipeline would require an extraordinary acceleration in permitting, financing, construction, commissioning and sustained operating performance.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The interest and potential investment are there, he believes, but \u201cdelivery\u201d is small and problematic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u2026 announcements are not delivery, storage resources are not injection capacity, and nameplate capacity is not independently verified climate impact. The next phase of CCS must therefore be more demanding than the last. By 2030, success should no longer be measured primarily by the number of projects announced, memoranda signed, licences awarded or billions committed. It should be measured by verified net tonnes securely stored, year after year. That requires a tougher delivery model.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

He alludes to the problem of getting from hyperbole to practice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

We have largely solved the problem of attracting interest and announcing investment. We have not yet solved the delivery problem. That distinction matters because CCS cannot indefinitely be judged by its potential. Nor should every delay be explained by saying that the industry simply needs more policy support or more public money. After two decades, the burden of proof must begin to shift.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Continuing:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

That shift also requires greater honesty about how progress is reported. Too many of the institutions responsible for advocacy and industry leadership still present CCS largely as a good-news story. New projects, funding awards and headline capacity are publicised; delays, cancellations, operating shortfalls and the absence of verified storage receive much less attention.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Final Comment<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Government incentives for carbon capture and storage, formalized in the Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008<\/a> (Section 45Q tax credit<\/a>), should be terminated to please the free-market community and many environmentalists. [2]<\/strong> The whole initiative is inconsequential to global or regional climate, and projects have been opposed by local residents in the U.S. and elsewhere. [3]<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/strong> Martin Jagger\u2019s bio reads<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

I am an Executive Consultant in Energy Transition Strategy and Decarbonisation Delivery with a track record of bringing operator discipline to CCS policy and projects. I established Shell\u2019s Carbon Capture and Storage Centre of Excellence in 2007 and helped shape international frameworks for long-term CO\u2082 storage that informed UNFCCC CDM mechanisms and regulatory guidance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I currently advise sovereigns, regulators and innovators on areas where policy realism, technical feasibility and capital must align. My work tests the credibility of targets, the true scaling pathways for CCS and low-carbon fuels, and the structural barriers that stall momentum \u2013 especially FID drag, subsidy distortion, infrastructure mis-sequencing and the policy-performance gap.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

[2]<\/strong> The tax credits since 2022 are $85 per ton of CO\u2082 stored for dedicated geologic storage projects and $60 per ton for CO\u2082 utilization projects with associated storage, increased subsidies from $50 and $35 (2018) and $20 and $10 (2008). A summary of federal largess from Taxpayers for Common Sense reads:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

For decades, the federal government has provided billions of dollars in both direct and indirect subsidies to support CCS technology and projects. These subsidies have included research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) funding, loan guarantees, and tax credits.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\n

Over the past few decades some of these subsidies have gone to projects that have been repeatedly started and stopped, only to eventually collapse due to various economic issues and controversies (e.g., FutureGen, Kemper). Additionally, the 45Q tax credit, which has grown significantly in both size and scope, has been mired in fraud and waste. To date, the federal government has spent tens of billions of taxpayer dollars on CCS through research and development funding and tax credits, yet the technology is still struggling with widescale deployment issues due to high costs\u2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the Congressional Research Service (CRS), Congress provided roughly $9 billion (in nominal dollars) in annual appropriations for DOE\u2019s FECM from FY2010 to FY2023, with over $2.8 billion specifically directed towards CCS line items\u2026. Congress appropriated $12 billion more to the technology through the infrastructure law (Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, P.L. 117-58) and greatly expanded the already lucrative tax credit in the Inflation Reduction Act (Public Law 117-169).<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

[3]<\/strong> There are currently 15 operating CCS facilities in the U.S. and another 120 projects under development. The top ten projects are<\/a> (verbatim):<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. Stratos Direct Air Capture (DAC) Project<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Companies: Occidental Petroleum (through its subsidiary 1 Point Five) and Origis Energy
Capacity: 500, 000 metric tons of CO\u2082 annually
Application: Direct Air Capture powered by a dedicated solar portfolio
Source: Origis Energy Commissions 500 MWdc Swift Air Solar Projects in \u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.<\/strong> CF Industries Donaldsonville CCS Facility<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Companies: Calpine Corporation and Exxon Mobil
Capacity: Approximately 2 million metric tons of CO\u2082 annually
Application: Low-carbon power generation from a new natural gas plant
Source: Calpine, Exxon Mobil sign CO 2 transportation and storage \u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Calpine Baytown Energy Center CCS Project<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Companies: CF Industries and Exxon Mobil
Capacity: A key component of Exxon Mobil\u2019s contracted ~9 million metric tons per annum (MTA) portfolio
Application: Decarbonization of ammonia production
Source: Here\u2019s How XOM Is Scaling Up Its CCS Footprint to Reduce Emissions<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. Google-Backed Gas Power Plant with CCS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Companies: Google and Mitsubishi Power
Capacity: Designed to capture 90% of CO\u2082 emissions
Application: Firm, low-carbon power for data centers
Source: Google Commits to First U.S. Gas-Fired Power Plant with Integrated \u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

5. California Resources Corporation (CRC) Carbon Terra Vault I (CTV I)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Company: California Resources Corporation
Capacity: Not specified; designed as a dedicated CO\u2082 storage facility
Application: CO\u2082 injection and permanent geologic storage
Source: California Resources Corporation Breaks Ground on California\u2019s \u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

6. Sweetwater Carbon Storage Hub (SCS Hub)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Companies: Frontier Infrastructure and Baker Hughes
Capacity: Positioned to be one of the largest U.S. CO\u2082 sequestration assets (specific tonnage not provided)
Application: Multi-user CO\u2082 sequestration hub for industrial emitters
Source: Baker Hughes, Frontier Infrastructure Partner on Carbon Capture \u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

7. ADM Decatur CCS Facility<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Company: Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM)
Capacity: Averages nearly 0.5 Mtpa (based on 4.5 million metric tons sequestered over a decade)
Application: Long-term industrial CCS for ethanol production
Source: ADM and Carbon Capture and Storage<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

8. Lake Charles Power Station Integrated CO\u2082 Capture Project<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Company: Project supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)
Capacity: Not specified; large-scale pilot
Application: Advancing capture technologies for power generation
Source: [XLS] Sheet 1 \u2013 Climate Program Portal<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

9. Illinois CO\u2082 Injection Project<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Company: Unnamed Texas-based developer
Capacity: Not specified; early-stage regulatory filing
Application: New CO\u2082 injection and storage project
Source: CP Daily Newsletter: Wednesday February 18, 2026 \u2013 Carbon Pulse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

10. Bantam DAC Facility<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Company: Climeworks
Capacity: Over 5, 000 tons of CO\u2082 annually
Application: Direct Air Capture, noted as the largest operational DAC in the U.S. as of October 2025
Source: Facilities \u2013 CO 2 RE \u2013 Global CCS Institute<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Martin Jagger, a climate activist specializing in carbon capture & storage, recently wrote a sobering post on the progress of this technology in addressing the assumed- to- be climate crisis. This problematic approach is another example of the tears- in-the- ocean choices of climate mitigation policy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":481161,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the challenges and realities of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology in mitigating climate change and its future prospects.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Rethinking the Future of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS)","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691838111,691828745,691829997,691818113,691845627],"class_list":["post-481160","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-crisis-5","tag-carbon-capture-and-storage-ccs-2","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-activist","tag-martin-jagger"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-21aE","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":256272,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=256272","url_meta":{"origin":481160,"position":0},"title":"Carbon capture: a net emitter of CO2 ?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"A BBC article headline asked: \u2018Carbon capture: What is it and how does it fight climate change?\u2019 But a report last year found a Shell Oil project\u00a0output more CO2 than it captured. 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Most \u201cnet-zero\u201d plans assume large amounts of future CO\u2082 removal to offset emissions that cannot be eliminated.","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cCarbon\u201d Capture Utilisation Storage (CCUS)\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cCarbon\u201d Capture Utilisation Storage (CCUS)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-capture-utilisation-storage-ccus"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPUYtpMJxSf23F9jSvrfY64UapAUUL7qNvsaE4MHBlW0rT92oDERglSkWUIzr3c6a2fnv1mjz24s-ucd9hhaWBam5_BkyZ63s82pb4PQxIb8i8NaNnZMC4n36RNrzBq-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPUYtpMJxSf23F9jSvrfY64UapAUUL7qNvsaE4MHBlW0rT92oDERglSkWUIzr3c6a2fnv1mjz24s-ucd9hhaWBam5_BkyZ63s82pb4PQxIb8i8NaNnZMC4n36RNrzBq-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPUYtpMJxSf23F9jSvrfY64UapAUUL7qNvsaE4MHBlW0rT92oDERglSkWUIzr3c6a2fnv1mjz24s-ucd9hhaWBam5_BkyZ63s82pb4PQxIb8i8NaNnZMC4n36RNrzBq-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPUYtpMJxSf23F9jSvrfY64UapAUUL7qNvsaE4MHBlW0rT92oDERglSkWUIzr3c6a2fnv1mjz24s-ucd9hhaWBam5_BkyZ63s82pb4PQxIb8i8NaNnZMC4n36RNrzBq-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0AQPUYtpMJxSf23F9jSvrfY64UapAUUL7qNvsaE4MHBlW0rT92oDERglSkWUIzr3c6a2fnv1mjz24s-ucd9hhaWBam5_BkyZ63s82pb4PQxIb8i8NaNnZMC4n36RNrzBq-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C652&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":405877,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=405877","url_meta":{"origin":481160,"position":4},"title":"Pouring Money Down The CO2\u00a0Drain","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/30\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The UK has\u00a0already pledged\u00a0\u201cup to\u201d \u00a321.7bn of funding over 25 years to support five\u00a0carbon capture and storage\u00a0(CCS) projects, involving \u201cclusters\u201d of connected facilities.","rel":"","context":"In \"Carbon capture\"","block_context":{"text":"Carbon capture","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-capture"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMlyGFvV50mV6oCaNUC96sN9J4nr4JpUNee-YOZOMzon-VFSnanAStUw-yt7X5YG70RpaRrpWqj5EHG-b70Spqul2KwHBRrMrbhpjeWARutOWyrZMFtn1rlwR0C8V89-1.png?fit=675%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMlyGFvV50mV6oCaNUC96sN9J4nr4JpUNee-YOZOMzon-VFSnanAStUw-yt7X5YG70RpaRrpWqj5EHG-b70Spqul2KwHBRrMrbhpjeWARutOWyrZMFtn1rlwR0C8V89-1.png?fit=675%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMlyGFvV50mV6oCaNUC96sN9J4nr4JpUNee-YOZOMzon-VFSnanAStUw-yt7X5YG70RpaRrpWqj5EHG-b70Spqul2KwHBRrMrbhpjeWARutOWyrZMFtn1rlwR0C8V89-1.png?fit=675%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":246984,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=246984","url_meta":{"origin":481160,"position":5},"title":"Battle simmers in Illinois over plans to pipe in and store millions of tons of carbon dioxide","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This article (extracts below) is littered with climate propaganda and evidence-free claims about weather and warming. But then a Stanford University professor is quoted saying carbon capture is \u201cnot going to help the climate\u201d. The story of the Satartia CO2 pipeline rupture is disturbing.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-219.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-219.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-219.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-219.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image-219.png?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-%E2%80%98The-Future-of-CCS-Can-No-Longer-Be-Assumed-a-supporter-rethinks-%E2%80%A6.jpg?fit=2048%2C1152&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481160","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=481160"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481160\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":481172,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481160\/revisions\/481172"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/481161"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=481160"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=481160"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=481160"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}