{"id":480111,"date":"2026-10-18T03:46:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-18T10:46:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=480111"},"modified":"2026-10-18T03:46:48","modified_gmt":"2026-10-18T10:46:48","slug":"i-feel-the-need-to-hurricane-seed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=480111","title":{"rendered":"I feel the need, to (hurricane) seed"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A
A person analyzes a holographic hurricane forecast displayed above a laptop. Clear details and vi…<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From CFACT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Every hurricane season, three issues come up with me, not necessarily in order of importance. One of them was evident a couple of weeks ago with the nor\u2019easter that developed an eye. Its formation over abnormally warm water near or above the threshold for tropical cyclones fueled the debate, along with objective evidence that it had become a warm-core system. I reviewed that in a previous blog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another is a complete overhaul of the Saffir-Simpson scale. The Weatherbell Power Impact Scale accounts for storm size by assigning values to the radius of hurricane-force winds, 50-knot winds, and 34-knot winds. It also considers sea-level pressure, maximum wind, and maximum wind gust. So, it\u2019s quite comprehensive \u2014 not just one value. At the very least, it should grade the Saffir-Simpson scale in tenths. A category two storm at 110 miles per hour becomes category three at 111. It should be labeled as a 2.9, as opposed to, say, a 95-mile-per-hour storm, which would be lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By the way, Bill O\u2019Reilly gave me this idea the night Ike was on the way to hit Texas. It had been lowered to a two, and he remarked off air that it meant it should not be as bad.  As an example of what my scale would give:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Text<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The max wind we classify off the Saffir-Simpson scale is 2.8. Wind gusts get a 3.8.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

SLP gets a 3.3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The hurricane-force winds get a rating of 3.2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

50 kt wind is also at 3.2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

34kt force winds: 3.7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This gives a total of 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Divided by 6 makes it a 3.7 at landfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The explanation as to parameter computation is on the Weatherbell.com site.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A spot wind at one place does not do justice to the storm. Conversely, some smaller storms may have the same Saffir-Simpson rating but not be in the same ballpark, except where the center crosses the coast. Charley, a Cat 4, vs. Donna, also a Cat 4 when it hit the same place in Florida, is a classic example. We want to look at the storm as a whole, not just one spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what I really want to talk about here is something I\u2019ve been trying to push for many years and that is to seed intensifying hurricanes as they\u2019re coming to the coast in the last 12-24 hours before landfall. There was a seeding project many years ago \u2014 Project Stormfury \u2014 and the results were inconclusive, although some were pretty impressive, especially with Hurricane Debbie in 1969. I remember as a kid being upset that they were going to seed the storm because I wanted it to intensify. But it was out in the middle of nowhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The idea is that if you can disrupt the storm\u2019s eye wall and focus energy away from the center, you can reduce wind intensity at the center. This is not dropping atomic bombs into the eye wall. It\u2019s trying to force condensation in a way that spreads out the hurricane\u2019s concentrated energy. We see practical examples of this where you have a strong hurricane that will hit land \u2014 the eyewall will fall apart and it will then get back out over the water, but it takes a long time to get back to where it was. In most cases, it never gets back to where it was. You should examine anything you can do to disrupt the processes that are causing the storm to intensify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, there are people who will say, \u201cWell, there\u2019s no real proof this will do anything.\u201d So what?\u00a0 \u00a0Can you not try it? What do you have to lose if you have a Category 4 hurricane and could knock it down to a Category 3 in terms of max wind? You can help mitigate the cost. Sometimes I think that there are people who are simply anti-progress in this country that don\u2019t want to see this. Some people also think you shouldn\u2019t mess with nature at all, and of course they go off the deep end with the whole chemtrail argument. But the fact is, with something so disruptive as this, why would you not want to give it a shot of knocking it down? It\u2019s like the whole nuclear power argument. People fear something going wrong. Not only did Jane Fonda protest the war, but her movie \u201cThe China Syndrome\u201c<\/strong> also set the stage for an almost irrational resistance to moving forward with nuclear power. It\u2019s one of the most interesting things about the so-called progressive movement\u2014in many things it\u2019s the opposite. But again, what do you have to lose?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you have a hurricane and can induce eyewall replacement \u2014 which we know can stop the storm from intensifying, if not briefly bring it down \u2014 why wouldn\u2019t you try it? We live in the United States. It\u2019s the year 2026. Why should we live like it was 75 years ago, afraid of something when we could mitigate it? It almost seems like some people don\u2019t want to stop hurricanes from being destructive when they hit the United States. Pardon my skepticism or cynicism, but I think some people want to see the worst happen so they can make a point about things getting worse climate-wise. And then there\u2019s the other part that just loves it when these storms wrap up and go wild.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I believe someday all three of these ideas will be addressed, if not to my suggestion, then in some way that resembles the ideas put forth. But until such a time, the status quo remains.  Interesting, since what got you to a place is also what can get you stuck there if there is no change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Every hurricane season, three issues come up with me, not necessarily in order of importance. One of them was evident a couple of weeks ago with the nor\u2019easter that developed an eye. Its formation over abnormally warm water near or above the threshold for tropical cyclones fueled the debate, along with objective evidence that it had become a warm-core system. I reviewed that in a previous blog.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":480112,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore innovative ideas to mitigate hurricane intensity with advanced forecasting and storm seeding techniques for future safety.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Revolutionizing Hurricane Forecasting: New Insights & Methods","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691846496,691818104,691838542,691846495,691846497],"class_list":["post-480111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-hurricane-force-winds","tag-hurricanes","tag-saffir-simpson-scale","tag-weatherbell-power-impact-scale","tag-weatherbell-com-site","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-20TJ","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":475705,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=475705","url_meta":{"origin":480111,"position":0},"title":"Wrong, TIME, One Nor\u2019easter Isn\u2019t Proof of Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In their article How Does Climate Change Impact Nor\u2019easters? TIME magazine claims that a nor\u2019easter which struck the northeastern United States in mid- September illustrates how climate change is making powerful storms more intense. That\u2019s false. There is no evidence that the recent nor\u2019easter was at all unusual or represents\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"1993 \u201cSuperstorm\"","block_context":{"text":"1993 \u201cSuperstorm","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=1993-superstorm"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Wrong-TIME-One-Noreaster-Isnt-Proof-of-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C658&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Wrong-TIME-One-Noreaster-Isnt-Proof-of-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C658&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Wrong-TIME-One-Noreaster-Isnt-Proof-of-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C658&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Wrong-TIME-One-Noreaster-Isnt-Proof-of-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C658&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Wrong-TIME-One-Noreaster-Isnt-Proof-of-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C658&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":477496,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=477496","url_meta":{"origin":480111,"position":1},"title":"A good old-fashioned weather debate on the \u201cnor\u2019easter\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/08\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"I was involved in a weather debate on the so-called Nor\u2019easter this weekend (you will see why I say so-called below), and it was refreshing to see there was no one blaming climate change for that storm. I believe this storm should have been classified as such because it transitioned\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic hurricanes\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic hurricanes","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-hurricanes"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Screenshot-2026-10-08-131534.png?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Screenshot-2026-10-08-131534.png?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Screenshot-2026-10-08-131534.png?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Screenshot-2026-10-08-131534.png?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/0-Screenshot-2026-10-08-131534.png?fit=1200%2C843&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":420977,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420977","url_meta":{"origin":480111,"position":2},"title":"Atlantic Hurricane Season\u00a02025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/11\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"By far the most complete and robust data we have for hurricanes is for those which have hit the US coast. 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