{"id":474923,"date":"2026-09-29T03:18:08","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T10:18:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=474923"},"modified":"2026-09-29T03:23:28","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T10:23:28","slug":"no-arctic-sea-ice-is-not-near-a-20-year-high","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=474923","title":{"rendered":"No, Arctic Sea Ice Is Not Near a 20-Year High"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"485\" data-attachment-id=\"474924\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=474924\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1168,784\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;\\u00fe&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;Signature: 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&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 No, Arctic Sea Ice Is Not Near a 20-Year High\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"&lt;p&gt;Signature: 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&lt;\/p&gt;\n\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?fit=723%2C485&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?resize=723%2C485&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Aerial view of Arctic sea ice with floating icebergs under a night sky illuminated by the northern lights, featuring text about Arctic sea ice levels and climate statistics.\" class=\"wp-image-474924\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?resize=1024%2C687&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?resize=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?resize=768%2C516&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?resize=640%2C430&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?w=1168&amp;ssl=1 1168w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">AI generated by Grok<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The key Arctic section asserts that sea ice \u201chas rebounded sharply from its summer minimum, with late-September extent now running near the top of the entire post- 2007 range\u201d and is \u201cclose to the highest late-September level of the past 20 years,\u201d citing a Sept 27 value near 5.7 million km\u00b2. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It contrasts this with Al Gore- era warnings and notes the 2026 minimum (4.60 million km\u00b2) was higher than 2007 and 2012. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>What the actual data show<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>NSIDC (primary satellite record):<\/strong> The 2026 daily minimum was <strong>4.60 million km\u00b2<\/strong> on Sept 12, tied for 10th- lowest in the nearly 48- year record (with 2008, 2010, and 2025). The last 20 years (2007- 2026) are the <strong>lowest 20 September<\/strong> minima on record. It remains ~1.62 million km\u00b2 below the 1981-2010 average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>There has been little net decline in the September minimum since ~2007<\/strong> (a well- documented plateau amid natural variability), but every year in that period is still far lower than pre- 2007 values. Calling late- September levels a<strong> \u201cnear 20-year high\u201d<\/strong> within a period that itself contains only the lowest extents is rhetorical sleight- of- hand.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Seasonal freeze- up after the mid-September minimum is normal.<\/strong> Rapid early freeze does not erase the low starting point or the long-term loss of multi-year ice. Independent trackers (e.g., Zack Labe\/JAXA) place <strong>late- September 2026 extent<\/strong> in the lower part of the recent distribution (roughly 13th-16th lowest for the date), still hundreds of thousands of km\u00b2 below the 2000s mean and well below earlier decades.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alternative products (OSI SAF, MASIE) can show modestly higher numbers due to different sensors or and processing, but they do not change the ranking relative to the modern low baseline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"777\" data-attachment-id=\"474950\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=474950\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?fit=1480%2C1591&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1480,1591\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?fit=723%2C777&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=723%2C777&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Map showing Arctic sea ice extent on September 12, 2016, with highlighted modern ice extent area compared to historical data from 1981-2010.\" class=\"wp-image-474950\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=953%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 953w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=279%2C300&amp;ssl=1 279w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=768%2C826&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=1429%2C1536&amp;ssl=1 1429w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?resize=640%2C688&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-165.png?w=1480&amp;ssl=1 1480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>This NASA Blue Marble image shows Arctic sea ice on September 12, 2026, when sea ice likely reached its minimum extent for the year. Sea ice extent for September 12 was 4.60 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles)\u2014ranked tenth lowest with 2008, 2010, and 2025 in the satellite record.<\/em> <em>\u2014 Credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center\/ NASA Earth Observatory<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Arctic sea ice extent in late September 2026 is among the lowest in the satellite record (tied for ~10th lowest minimum), not near a 20- year high.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the <strong>National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)<\/strong>, <strong>Arctic sea ice<\/strong> reached its likely annual minimum of 4.60 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles) on September 12, 2026. This ties with 2008, 2010, and 2025 for tenth- lowest in the nearly 48- year satellite record (starting 1979). It sits well below the 1981- 2010 average minimum (by about 1.62 million km\u00b2, roughly the size of Alaska) and is consistent with the post- 2007 pattern of persistently low extents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key points from NSIDC and related analyses:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The 20 lowest September minima in the satellite record all occurred in the last 20 years (2007- 2026).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The long- term trend (1979- 2026) shows a decline of about 11.8% per decade relative to the 1981-2010 average, or roughly 73,200 km\u00b2 lost per year, though the September minimum has shown little net decline (a \u201cplateau\u201d) since around 2007 amid year- to- year variability.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>This year\u2019s value is still far lower than any pre- 2007 minimum and remains well below 1980s, early 2000s levels. Scientists note it reflects a fundamentally changed Arctic with thinner, younger ice, even if weather (e.g., cooler conditions or cloud cover in parts of recent summers) limited further losses this year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Slight differences appear across datasets due to sensors, processing, and definitions (e.g., concentration thresholds or multi- day averaging).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Met Office\/OSI SAF index reported a minimum around 5.06 million km\u00b2 (14th lowest), and some products like MASIE have shown modestly higher daily values in recent weeks, but these still rank low historically and do not approach mid- 2000s or earlier levels for the seasonal minimum period. By late September (after the minimum), ice is typically beginning its seasonal regrowth, but current extents remain in the low recent range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Claims of a \u201cnear 20- year high\u201d do not align with the primary observational records. <\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Authoritative sources such as NSIDC, NASA, and supporting analyses consistently describe 2026 as another low year in a long- term downward trend, with the recent period dominated by the lowest extents on record. Full monthly analyses are typically released in early October.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"708\" height=\"749\" data-attachment-id=\"474948\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=474948\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?fit=708%2C749&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"708,749\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?fit=708%2C749&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?resize=708%2C749&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Map showing Arctic sea ice extent on 12th September 2026, highlighting the Beaufort Sea, Laptev Sea, and Greenland Sea with annotations. The white area indicates sea ice, while the surrounding blue represents ocean water.\" class=\"wp-image-474948\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?w=708&amp;ssl=1 708w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?resize=284%2C300&amp;ssl=1 284w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/image-164.png?resize=640%2C677&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 708px) 100vw, 708px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Arctic sea ice extent on 12<\/em><sup><em>th<\/em><\/sup> <em>September 2026, with 1981-2010 average extent indicated in orange, and the regions referred to in the text labelled. Data are from EUMETSAT OSI SAF (Baordo et al., 2023).<\/em>  <br><a href=\"https:\/\/www.metoffice.gov.uk\/research\/approach\/monitoring\/sea-ice\/2026\/briefing-on-arctic-sea-ice-minimum-and-antarctic-sea-ice-maximum-report---september-2026\">Briefing on Arctic sea ice minimum and Antarctic sea ice maximum report &#8211; September 2026 &#8211; Met Office<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The last 20 years (2007- 2026) hold the 20 lowest Arctic September sea ice minima in the satellite record (since 1979), not the highest.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the <strong>National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC Sea Ice Index)<\/strong>, the 2026 daily minimum (5-day average) was 4.60 million km\u00b2 on September 12, tying with 2008, 2010, and 2025 for 10th- lowest overall. All post- 2006 years remain lower than every pre- 2007 year. There has been little net trend (a \u201cplateau\u201d) in the September minimum since ~2007 amid year- to- year variability, but the levels stay far below those of the 1980s, early 2000s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Lowest September daily minima (NSIDC, million km\u00b2)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Approximate values from NSIDC rankings and analyses (5-day averages; values within ~0.04 million km\u00b2 are treated as tied):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><th>Rank (lowest)<\/th><th>Year(s)<\/th><th>Minimum extent (million km\u00b2)<\/th><th>Approximate date<\/th><\/tr><tr><td>1<\/td><td>2012<\/td><td>3.39<\/td><td>Sept. 17<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2<\/td><td>2020<\/td><td>3.82<\/td><td>Sept. 16<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>3- 5<\/td><td>2007, 2016, 2019<\/td><td>4.16- 4.19<\/td><td>Mid-to-late Sept.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>6- 7<\/td><td>2024, 2023<\/td><td>4.25- 4.26<\/td><td>Mid-to-late Sept.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>8<\/td><td>2011<\/td><td>4.34<\/td><td>Sept. 11<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>9<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td>4.43<\/td><td>Sept. 9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>10- 13<\/td><td>2008, 2025, <strong>2026<\/strong>, 2010<\/td><td><strong>4.59- 4.62<\/strong><\/td><td>Mid- to- late Sept.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The remaining years in 2007- 2026 (e.g., 2009, 2013, 2014, 2017, 2018, 2021, 2022) fill out the rest of the lowest 20, generally in the ~4.6- 5.3 million km\u00b2 range for their daily minima (still well below pre- 2007 values). September monthly average extents are typically a bit higher than the single-day (or 5- day) minimum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>For context:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1981- 2010 average September minimum \u2248 6.22 million km\u00b2.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Pre- 2007 minima were consistently higher (often 5.5- 7 and more million km\u00b2).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Long- term linear decline (1979- 2026):<\/strong> ~11.8% per decade relative to the 1981- 2010 average, or roughly 73,000 km\u00b2 per year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Data come primarily from NSIDC\u2019s passive- microwave satellite record (Sea Ice Index). Minor differences exist across products (e.g., OSI SAF, JAXA, MASIE) due to sensors and processing, but the ranking of the last 20 years as the lowest is consistent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Full monthly summaries and final confirmation of the 2026 minimum are typically released by NSIDC in early October. Interactive graphs and downloadable tables are available on the NSIDC Sea Ice Today \/ Charctic tools.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The key Arctic section asserts that sea ice \u201chas rebounded sharply from its summer minimum, with late-September extent now running near the top of the entire post- 2007 range\u201d and is \u201cclose to the highest late-September level of the past 20 years,\u201d citing a Sept 27 value near 5.7 million km\u00b2.<\/p>\n<p>According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Arctic sea ice reached its likely annual minimum of 4.60 million square kilometers (1.78 million square miles) on September 12, 2026. This ties with 2008, 2010, and 2025 for tenth- lowest in the nearly 48- year satellite record (starting 1979). It sits well below the 1981- 2010 average minimum (by about 1.62 million km\u00b2, roughly the size of Alaska) and is consistent with the post- 2007 pattern of persistently low extents.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":474924,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover the truth behind Arctic sea ice levels as 2026 data shows a continuation of low extents, contradicting claims of a rebound.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Latest Arctic Sea Ice Extent Data: Not Near 20-Year High","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691845834,691818605,691827867,691845832,691824722,691845833],"class_list":["post-474923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-10th-lowest-2","tag-arctic","tag-national-snow-and-ice-data-center-nsidc-2","tag-satellite-record","tag-sea-ice-extent","tag-sea-ice-minima","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Zy3","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":405503,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=405503","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":0},"title":"2025 Arctic Sea Ice Minimum Nearly Half A Million Square Kilometers More Than 2007","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/28\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Late summer Arctic Sea ice extent has remained steady for almost 2 decades.","rel":"","context":"In \"Al Gore\"","block_context":{"text":"Al Gore","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=al-gore"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQPcOacUDXcdedQ2tNDRCZJ8F8y2ya9jXGx9uwoFmYpy8ILkfUByx13dk_whWwg1oj7JXg44nJrjgwPKn25qBX44XTqtNqRqbVGs4cKSiqI3rtP-bCbG-miTsqFifupYwEdYtiFUmAGP73BmnFK8PaKDC41B1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQPcOacUDXcdedQ2tNDRCZJ8F8y2ya9jXGx9uwoFmYpy8ILkfUByx13dk_whWwg1oj7JXg44nJrjgwPKn25qBX44XTqtNqRqbVGs4cKSiqI3rtP-bCbG-miTsqFifupYwEdYtiFUmAGP73BmnFK8PaKDC41B1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQPcOacUDXcdedQ2tNDRCZJ8F8y2ya9jXGx9uwoFmYpy8ILkfUByx13dk_whWwg1oj7JXg44nJrjgwPKn25qBX44XTqtNqRqbVGs4cKSiqI3rtP-bCbG-miTsqFifupYwEdYtiFUmAGP73BmnFK8PaKDC41B1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQPcOacUDXcdedQ2tNDRCZJ8F8y2ya9jXGx9uwoFmYpy8ILkfUByx13dk_whWwg1oj7JXg44nJrjgwPKn25qBX44XTqtNqRqbVGs4cKSiqI3rtP-bCbG-miTsqFifupYwEdYtiFUmAGP73BmnFK8PaKDC41B1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQPcOacUDXcdedQ2tNDRCZJ8F8y2ya9jXGx9uwoFmYpy8ILkfUByx13dk_whWwg1oj7JXg44nJrjgwPKn25qBX44XTqtNqRqbVGs4cKSiqI3rtP-bCbG-miTsqFifupYwEdYtiFUmAGP73BmnFK8PaKDC41B1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":294385,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=294385","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":1},"title":"The Embarrassing Pause In Arctic Sea Ice Loss Has Lasted 17 Years, Defying IPCC, NSIDC Predictions","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Scientists have been using the year 2007 as the starting point for assessing Arctic sea ice trends for nearly a decade. A\u00a02015 study\u00a0published in\u00a0Nature Climate Change\u00a0reported a \u201cnear-zero trend\u201d in summer sea ice over the 7 years from 2007-2013.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic sea ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic sea ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-sea-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/0september-arctic-sea-ice-second-lowest-on-record-climate-change-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":401071,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=401071","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":2},"title":"September 2025 Arctic Ice\u00a0Outlook","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"After the dip there will be continuing recovery of ice extent, with end of September usually higher than the beginning.\u00a0 The September monthly average will be interesting to compare.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMdvRrPd8AapbqS598oXlkKL8lNU7wsJBLh3lBQbLXWVp8gPxPHVJ-c7_IyaJq2InhtPF4rh1Pm1Nr0yWAI8PFpn_cmf8Qs4FqzCtKq9vyhUnJ2IkdmpVNu6ZbDUspvvyl6vBhZ_OaycAK7i7JQcb1lXNUVlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":283797,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=283797","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":3},"title":"Mid October 2023 Arctic Ice Recovering\u00a0Rapidly","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/18\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The Arctic ice was rapidly growing from September 30 to yesterday October 16.\u00a0 Despite much ado about September minimums, in fact the ice recovers quickly from its annual low extent.\u00a0 From Science Matters By\u00a0Ron Clutz The animation shows Arctic ice rapidly growing from September 30 to yesterday October 16.\u00a0 Despite\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/OIGP-7.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/OIGP-7.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/OIGP-7.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/OIGP-7.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":282822,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282822","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":4},"title":"October 2023 Arctic Ice Flash\u00a0Freezing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/11\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"All climate models and doomed predictions of Ice - Free Arctic had been wrong. From Science Matters By\u00a0Ron Clutz The animation shows the rapid refreezing of Arctic ice from September 30 to yesterday October 9.\u00a0 Despite much ado about September minimums, in fact the ice recovers quickly from its annual\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-272.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-272.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-272.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-272.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":282685,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282685","url_meta":{"origin":474923,"position":5},"title":"2023 September Arctic Outlook and Results Not\u00a0Scary","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Science Matters By\u00a0Ron Clutz The graph above shows the monthly averages for September Arctic ice extents including 2023 compared to previous years back to 2007.\u00a0 This year is slightly below the 17 year average of 4.63M km2;\u00a0 MASIE shows 4.43M and SII shows 4.37.\u00a0 For comparison the 2007 September\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Artic sea ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Artic sea ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=artic-sea-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/00Arctic-sea.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/00Arctic-sea.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/00Arctic-sea.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/00Arctic-sea.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/00Arctic-sea.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/0-No-Arctic-Sea-Ice-Is-Not-Near-a-20-Year-High.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/474923","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=474923"}],"version-history":[{"count":28,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/474923\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":474955,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/474923\/revisions\/474955"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/474924"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=474923"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=474923"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=474923"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}