{"id":472053,"date":"2026-09-18T08:41:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T15:41:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=472053"},"modified":"2026-09-18T08:41:52","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T15:41:52","slug":"fantasy-climate-models-effectively-denied-energy-to-the-poor-the-white-house-just-set-the-stage-for-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=472053","title":{"rendered":"Fantasy Climate Models Effectively Denied Energy to the Poor: The White House Just Set the Stage for Change"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A
AI generated by Meta<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From The CO2 Coalition<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Vijay Jayaraj<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For two decades, the poorest half of humanity had its energy choices dictated by computer-generated climate predictions now considered to be implausible by the people who made them. Developing countries that are home to the impoverished should be following U.S. actions to abandon these flawed forecasts, which have driven destructive climate policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In August, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy opened a public comment period<\/a> on a proposed amendment to the country\u2019s Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5), a congressionally mandated report that steers American regulation, research funding, and infrastructure budgets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The amendment would tell federal agencies that the United Nations\u2019 unrealistic predictions of dangerous global warming from the industrial emissions of carbon dioxide can no longer be used as a reasonable basis for policy development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to the U.N.\u2019s own reckoning, its most extreme predictions of warming were never based on science. They were the ceiling of a modeling exercise that used computers and assumptions with no basis in reality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matthew Wielicki, who directs the U.S. Global Change Research Program, pointed<\/a> out that much of NCA5 rests on scenarios the field of climate science itself has shelved, recognizing that guidance built on an implausible future cannot produce sound decisions. He expects to hear objections to the proposed amendment from activists rather than researchers because the latter already have conceded the point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The uncomfortable part is that this correction is coming from Washington rather than Delhi or Lagos or Manila. The governments that could least afford the irrational policy prescriptions of the climate industrial complex spent 20 years acquiescing to them. Their negotiators accepted conditions that no Western capital would have tolerated at a comparable stage of its nation\u2019s industrial ascent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

State of Poverty Requires Policy Revisions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 2024 Global Multidimensional Poverty Index counted<\/a> 1.1 billion people in acute poverty across 112 countries. India has 234 million of them; Pakistan, 93 million; Ethiopia, 86 million; Nigeria, 74 million; and Democratic Republic of the Congo, 66 million. Those five countries are home to more than 48% of the world\u2019s poor. The so-called deprivation indicators behind that index are electricity and cooking fuel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recent report issued by the International Energy Agency found<\/a> 655 million people without electricity and roughly 2 billion still cooking over polluting fuels. Sub-Saharan Africa accounts for more than 560 million of the first group and 970 million of the second. That region\u2019s rural electricity deficit grew between 2010 and 2024, affecting 447 million people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Those are the households whose coal plants were cancelled, whose gas projects lost financing, and whose grid connections were deferred \u2013 all on the authority of climate predictions that the modeling community has withdrawn from service.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The effect of climate hyperbole extended to international trade. The European Union\u2019s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism entered a definitive phase in January<\/a>, attaching costs to imported steel, aluminum, cement, fertilizer, hydrogen, and electricity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

India objected 29 times at the World Trade Organization<\/a> between 2020 and 2024, arguing that the measure violated non-discrimination rules. Iron and steel make up 90% of Indian exports exposed to the EU tax.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brussels based the trade barrier on climate predictions now considered implausible. Does the barrier now come down? Put the question to your trade minister. Then ask why nobody has.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Africa, Asia, and Latin America, this is not a technical footnote in an American regulatory document. It is an opening to reclaim energy policy \u2013 and the associated economic benefits \u2013 from the manipulations of a criminally deceptive \u2013 or woefully incompetent \u2013 climate bureaucracy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Leaders in victimized countries can either cling to a debunked climate agenda or rewrite energy laws to prioritize their own citizens. Choosing the former would disregard the millions suffering in poverty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Originally published at The Western Journal<\/em><\/a>, September 17th, 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the<\/em> CO2 Coalition<\/em><\/a>, Fairfax, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University, both in the U.K., and a bachelor\u2019s in engineering from Anna University, India. He served as a research associate with the Changing Oceans Research Unit at University of British Columbia, Canada.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

For two decades, the poorest half of humanity had its energy choices dictated by computer-generated climate predictions now considered to be implausible by the people who made them. <\/p>\n

Developing countries that are home to the impoverished should be following U.S. actions to abandon these flawed forecasts, which have driven destructive climate policies.<\/p>\n

In August, the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy opened a public comment period on a proposed amendment to the country\u2019s Fifth National Climate Assessment (NCA5), a congressionally mandated report that steers American regulation, research funding, and infrastructure budgets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":472057,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore how outdated climate models have hindered energy access for the poor, as the U.S. seeks changes to outdated regulations.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"How Fantasy Climate Models Harm the World's Poor Today","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691845511,691818153,691831886,691845510,691845508,691824179,691820304,691821998],"class_list":["post-472053","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-bureaucracy","tag-climate-models","tag-climate-predictions","tag-european-unions-carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism","tag-fifth-national-climate-assessment-nca5","tag-united-nations-un","tag-united-states","tag-white-house","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1YNL","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":284033,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=284033","url_meta":{"origin":472053,"position":0},"title":"Biden\u2019s Climate Corps resurrection garners congressional pushback","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/19\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"House Republicans opened an investigation into President Biden\u2019s newly formed\u00a0American Climate Corps, a program that will provide government-funded jobs to train more than 20,000 young people in its first year for careers in green energy and the environment. 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