{"id":459111,"date":"2026-07-30T09:34:15","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T16:34:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=459111"},"modified":"2026-07-30T09:34:18","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T16:34:18","slug":"bordeaux-fires-highlight-rising-risks-but-one-season-doesnt-prove-a-drying-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=459111","title":{"rendered":"Bordeaux Fires Highlight Rising Risks \u2014 But One Season Doesn&#8217;t Prove a Drying Climate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"485\" data-attachment-id=\"459114\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=459114\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1168,784\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 Bordeaux Fires Highlight Rising Risks \u2014 But One Season Doesn&amp;#8217;t Prove a Drying Climate\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?fit=723%2C485&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?resize=723%2C485&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-459114\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?resize=1024%2C687&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?resize=300%2C201&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?resize=768%2C516&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?resize=640%2C430&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-Bordeaux-Fires-Highlight-Rising-Risks-%E2%80%94-But-One-Season-Doesnt-Prove-a-Drying-Climate.jpg?w=1168&amp;ssl=1 1168w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In late July 2026, <strong>major wildfires in France&#8217;s Gironde department (home to Bordeaux) <\/strong>burned approximately 42,000 hectares (about 103,000 acres, or an area roughly four times the size of Paris), mainly in pine forests. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This led to evacuations of over 220,000 people, destruction of around 240 homes, and significant disruption. President Macron called it one of the toughest situations since WWII. The fires were stabilized at times but involved<strong> &#8220;zombie fires&#8221; (re-ignitions)<\/strong> and <strong>pyrocumulonimbus clouds<\/strong>, with risks from shifting winds and heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vineyards themselves were largely spared direct damage, though smoke taint was a concern and broader drought stressed vines, contributing to an early harvest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Attribution science<\/strong>, <strong>historical context<\/strong>, l<strong>and management<\/strong>, and <strong>meteorological nuance<\/strong> all matter. Here&#8217;s a more rigorous breakdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fire Weather Attribution for Similar Events<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Studies on the 2022 Gironde fires <\/strong>(similar scale and location: ~30,000+ ha in Landiras\/La Teste-de-Buch) using <strong>CMIP6 models<\/strong> and <strong>Fire Weather Index (FWI)<\/strong> show:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Anthropogenic climate change made those extreme FWI conditions <strong>2\u201310 times more likely in 2022<\/strong>, depending on scale (local vs. regional, duration-specific). Attribution fractions reached ~73\u201379% for key fires.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Under moderate scenarios, such conditions could become orders of magnitude more probable by late century, with fire danger expanding northward\/westward.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For 2026, similar dynamics apply: multiple heatwaves, prolonged drought, low humidity, and winds created &#8220;fire weather&#8221; (e.g., 30\u00b0C+, &lt;30% humidity, winds). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Climatologists like <strong>Val\u00e9rie Masson-Delmotte<\/strong> note warming (France +2.2\u00b0C since 1900, more in summer) dries fuels and multiplies conducive days. Projections (M\u00e9t\u00e9o-France) suggest fire risk could multiply by 5 at +4\u00b0C, with the season lengthening.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Historical and Regional Trends<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Burned area in France: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Highly variable. Pre-2010s averages were low (&lt;8,000\u201310,000 ha\/year often); recent years show spikes (2022 ~66k\u201372k ha nationally, a record). Mediterranean areas saw declines in burned area earlier due to better prevention, but risk is shifting north\/west (Gironde now prominent). No simple linear &#8220;explosion,&#8221; but more extreme years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Gironde\/Landes specifics:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Major fires are not new (1949: ~50,000 ha in Landes; 1989, 2022 events). The area is a vast 19th-century pine plantation on sandy, low-retention soils\u2014flammable monoculture. Experts (e.g., INRAE&#8217;s Sylvain Delzon) argue the pin maritime is drought-resistant and well-adapted; the core issue is extreme dryness from climate + soil, not the species itself. Large contiguous stands aid spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Precipitation in Bordeaux: <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Long-term data shows variability with a modest decline in some analyses (~10% in recent decades vs. earlier 20th century, though not always statistically significant). Summers can be drier, but annual totals fluctuate (wet years like 2023\/2024 contrast dry ones). No collapse into permanent aridity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Why &#8220;Drying Climate&#8221; Is an Oversimplification<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Not uniform drying:<\/strong> Precipitation changes are seasonal\/regional\u2014potentially wetter winters in places, drier summers, more extremes (deluges and droughts). Soil moisture and evaporative demand are key; warming amplifies the latter.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fuel and management dominate locally:<\/strong> Vast pine plantations, post-storm regrowth (dense even-aged stands after 1999\/2009 storms), urban-forest interface, and ignitions drive spread. Better prevention reduced Mediterranean burned areas for decades despite warming.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Natural precedents: <\/strong>Historical mega-droughts\/fires existed (e.g., 1540 Europe, 1949 Landes). Today&#8217;s frequency\/severity of extremes is rising faster due to the rate of warming.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Counter-trends:<\/strong> Some North American forests show a &#8220;fire deficit&#8221; relative to pre-industrial eras despite recent increases, due to suppression. European prevention has mixed effects.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Single events prove little in isolation<\/strong> because weather is noisy. &#8220;Proof&#8221; requires long-term emergence of signals above variability (e.g., FWI trends, attribution studies showing human influence on extremes). The 2026 fires fit the pattern of heightened risk but are amplified by a flammable landscape.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Adaptation Realities for Bordeaux Region<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Winegrowers report mixed effects: warmer vintages yield riper grapes (benefits in 2020\/2022\/2025), but drought stresses vines, prompting earlier harvests, rootstock trials, variety shifts, and debates over irrigation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Forests need diversified planting, breaks, and management for resilience\u2014not abandonment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Climate attribution science<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Climate attribution science (also called extreme event attribution) <\/strong>is a rapidly evolving field that seeks to quantify how human-caused climate change has altered the probability, intensity, duration, or other characteristics of specific extreme weather events. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It does not typically ask \u201cDid climate change cause this event?\u201d (almost all weather has natural components) but rather \u201cHow much more (or less) likely\/intense was this event because of anthropogenic warming?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Core Methods<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Attribution studies generally compare the \u201cfactual\u201d world (current climate with human emissions) to a \u201ccounterfactual\u201d world (what the climate would have been without large-scale human influence on greenhouse gases, aerosols, etc.).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1. <strong>Risk-Based (Probabilistic) Approach<\/strong><br>This is the most common framing. Scientists estimate how the odds of an event (or worse) have changed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Use long observational records or large climate model ensembles (e.g.,<strong> CMIP6<\/strong>).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fit statistical models, often extreme value theory (e.g., Generalized Extreme Value distributions), sometimes with a covariate like global temperature.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Calculate a <strong>risk ratio (RR)<\/strong>: probability in current climate \u00f7 probability in pre-industrial climate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Example: An RR of 5 means the event is 5 times more likely due to climate change. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2. <strong>Storyline (or Conditional) Approach<\/strong><br>This examines how climate change modified the specific event that occurred, given the observed atmospheric setup.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Often uses high-resolution models or <strong>\u201cpseudo-global warming\u201d simulations<\/strong> (add observed warming to historical conditions).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Strong for thermodynamics (e.g., \u201cThis heatwave was X\u00b0C hotter\u201d; \u201cThis storm produced Y% more rain via Clausius-Clapeyron scaling\u201d).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Less emphasis on changing probability, more on intensity changes. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">3. <strong>Combined and Emerging Methods<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Multi-method studies for robustness.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Forecast-based attribution (using operational weather models).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Impact attribution (linking to damages, health, or ecosystems).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Dynamical vs. thermodynamic separation (isolating circulation changes from warming effects).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rapid attribution <\/strong>(e.g., World Weather Attribution) delivers preliminary results within days\/weeks using peer-reviewed methods for timeliness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Application to Wildfires (Including Bordeaux\/Gironde)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For wildfires, scientists typically attribute fire weather conditions (high temperatures, low humidity, drought, winds) rather than the burned area directly, because ignition and spread also depend heavily on fuels, management, and human starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>2022 Gironde example:<\/strong> Studies found anthropogenic climate change made the extreme fire weather 2\u201310 times more likely (multi-model median), with high attribution fractions (~70\u201380% for specific fires). Projections show such conditions becoming far more common.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Similar logic applies to 2026:<\/strong> Successive heatwaves and drought created record fire danger. Attribution would likely show a clear human fingerprint on the heat\/dryness, though exact numbers require a dedicated study.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Strengths of the Field:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Rapidly improved with better models, observations, and ensembles.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Highest confidence for temperature-driven events (heatwaves) and related extremes (drought, fire weather).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Useful for communication, adaptation planning, and legal contexts (e.g., loss and damage).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Limitations and Uncertainties (Important for Nuance):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Event-specific:<\/strong> Confidence varies widely. High for heat\/drought\/fire weather; lower for small-scale convective events, hail, or tornadoes (poorly resolved in models). <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Model and observational limits:<\/strong> Coarse resolution misses local processes; short records for rare events increase uncertainty.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Definition sensitivity:<\/strong> Results depend on how the \u201cevent\u201d is defined (threshold, spatial scale, duration). Different choices can yield different RRs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Natural variability:<\/strong> Still plays a large role, especially for circulation patterns.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Compound events:<\/strong> Wildfires involve multiple factors (heat + drought + wind + fuels); full attribution is complex.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Counterfactual challenges:<\/strong> Perfect \u201cworld without humans\u201d is impossible; studies approximate it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">National Academies (2026 update) note the field is faster and broader but has geographic and event-type gaps, calling for better models, standards, and Global South capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Relevance to the Bordeaux Fires Discussion<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>In the context of the 2026 Gironde fires:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Attribution science would likely conclude that human-caused warming substantially increased the likelihood and severity of the hot, dry conditions that enabled rapid spread in the flammable pine landscape. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It would not claim the fires themselves were \u201ccaused\u201d solely by climate change\u2014<strong>human ignitions, land management (19th-century plantations), and weather variability are critical.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>This aligns with our earlier points:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The fires illustrate heightened risk in a warming world but do not standalone \u201cprove\u201d a simple, uniform \u201cdrying climate.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Attribution provides probabilistic nuance, not binary causation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The 2026 Bordeaux\/Gironde wildfires align with expected increases in fire risk under warming, a single event (or even a cluster) cannot &#8220;prove&#8221; a broad, irreversible &#8220;drying climate&#8221; in isolation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":459114,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"The 2026 Bordeaux\/Gironde wildfires align with expected increases in fire risk under warming, a single event (or even a cluster) cannot \"prove\" a broad, irreversible \"drying climate\" in isolation.","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691844341,691844345,691844343,691844344,691844346,691844342],"class_list":["post-459111","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-zombie-fires-re-ignitions","tag-bordeaux","tag-climate-attribution-science","tag-gironde","tag-historical-and-regional-trends","tag-pyrocumulonimbus-clouds","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Vr1","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":458431,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=458431","url_meta":{"origin":459111,"position":0},"title":"Wildfires in France","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/28\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The 2026 fires resulted from a lethal mix: the vast majority started by people (carelessness or arson), but extreme, climate-amplified heat\/drought turned minor sparks into record-breaking blazes. Human ignitions are the direct trigger in ~90% of cases, while meteorological conditions (supercharged by climate trends) explain the scale, intensity, and early\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"2026 fires\"","block_context":{"text":"2026 fires","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=2026-fires"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Image-28.-Juli-2026-11_35_06.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Image-28.-Juli-2026-11_35_06.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Image-28.-Juli-2026-11_35_06.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Image-28.-Juli-2026-11_35_06.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Image-28.-Juli-2026-11_35_06.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":463665,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=463665","url_meta":{"origin":459111,"position":1},"title":"When Experts Obfuscate!\u00a0 How Alarmist Scientists like D. Swain, J. Abatzoglou, A. Williams Falsely Attribute Wildfires to Climate Change.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/17\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In their Goss et al (2020) paper Climate Change Is Increasing the Likelihood of Extreme Autumn Wildfire Conditions Across California, those alarmist scientists clearly stated their intention was to make climate change the culprit by presenting an investigation that \u201conly considers changes in climatic contributions to wildfire risk, irrespective of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"alarmist scientists\"","block_context":{"text":"alarmist scientists","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alarmist-scientists"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/00-ChatGPT-When-Experts-Obfuscate-How-Alarmist-Scientists-like-D.-Swain-J.-Abatzoglou-A.-Williams-Falsely-Attribute-Wildfires-to-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/00-ChatGPT-When-Experts-Obfuscate-How-Alarmist-Scientists-like-D.-Swain-J.-Abatzoglou-A.-Williams-Falsely-Attribute-Wildfires-to-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/00-ChatGPT-When-Experts-Obfuscate-How-Alarmist-Scientists-like-D.-Swain-J.-Abatzoglou-A.-Williams-Falsely-Attribute-Wildfires-to-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/00-ChatGPT-When-Experts-Obfuscate-How-Alarmist-Scientists-like-D.-Swain-J.-Abatzoglou-A.-Williams-Falsely-Attribute-Wildfires-to-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/00-ChatGPT-When-Experts-Obfuscate-How-Alarmist-Scientists-like-D.-Swain-J.-Abatzoglou-A.-Williams-Falsely-Attribute-Wildfires-to-Climate-Change.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":255966,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=255966","url_meta":{"origin":459111,"position":2},"title":"No, AP, Climate Change Is Not Increasing Wildfires in Anchorage","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/04\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"In fact, the increase in human population alone explains the increase in wildfires far better than climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Alaska\"","block_context":{"text":"Alaska","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=alaska"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00alaska-heat-wave-wildfires.jpg?fit=1024%2C538&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00alaska-heat-wave-wildfires.jpg?fit=1024%2C538&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00alaska-heat-wave-wildfires.jpg?fit=1024%2C538&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00alaska-heat-wave-wildfires.jpg?fit=1024%2C538&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":403002,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=403002","url_meta":{"origin":459111,"position":3},"title":"Realtor.com and Yahoo News Are Wrong: Insurance Is Not Rising Due to Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/18\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Yahoo News reposted an article from Realtor.Com titled \u201cWould You Drop Insurance To Stay Put in Your Neighborhood? Most Owners Say Yes,\u201d claims that increasing \u201cclimate risk\u201d is forcing people to go without insurance and insurers to pull out of high risk areas. 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Canadian Wildfires, a Stroke of Misfortune","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/15\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The weather conditions in Quebec preceding the wildfire event were largely normal, and the high pressure over southern Canada, responsible for the warming, has no proven association with climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Canadian wildfires\"","block_context":{"text":"Canadian wildfires","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=canadian-wildfires"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0prothomalo-english_2023-06_21ff7ab1-e53a-4240-83da-d71ac73b0c63_CANADA_WILDFIRES_FORESTRY.webp?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0prothomalo-english_2023-06_21ff7ab1-e53a-4240-83da-d71ac73b0c63_CANADA_WILDFIRES_FORESTRY.webp?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Times\u00a0(LA Times)\u00a0published on September 4, 2023 makes the claim\u00a0that a study by a Berkeley think tank proves \u201cClimate change has ratcheted up the risk of explosive wildfire growth in California by 25%.\u201d This is false.","rel":"","context":"In \"California\"","block_context":{"text":"California","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=california"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0TEDSIXR5IRCAVCYBE7F5PNINAI.webp?fit=1024%2C641&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0TEDSIXR5IRCAVCYBE7F5PNINAI.webp?fit=1024%2C641&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0TEDSIXR5IRCAVCYBE7F5PNINAI.webp?fit=1024%2C641&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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