{"id":445009,"date":"2026-05-18T06:25:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T13:25:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=445009"},"modified":"2026-05-18T06:25:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T13:25:35","slug":"climate-headbangers-crawl-from-the-wreckage-of-rcp8-5-implausible-finding-spinning-nothing-to-see-here-claims","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=445009","title":{"rendered":"Climate Headbangers Crawl from the Wreckage of RCP8.5 \u2018Implausible\u2019 Finding Spinning Nothing-to-See-Here Claims"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"578\" data-attachment-id=\"445011\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=445011\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?fit=1402%2C1122&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1402,1122\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 ChatGPT Climate Headbangers Crawl from the Wreckage of RCP8.5 \u2018Implausible\u2019 Finding Spinning Nothing-to-See-Here Claims\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?fit=723%2C578&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=723%2C578&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-445011\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=1024%2C819&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=300%2C240&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=768%2C615&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=640%2C512&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?resize=1200%2C960&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?w=1402&amp;ssl=1 1402w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2026\/05\/17\/climate-headbangers-crawl-from-the-wreckage-of-rcp8-5-implausible-finding-spinning-nothing-to-see-here-claims\/#comments\">The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/author\/chris-morrison\/\">Chris Morrison<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"429\" data-attachment-id=\"445024\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=445024\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?fit=1448%2C860&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1448,860\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?fit=723%2C429&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=723%2C429&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-445024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=1024%2C608&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=300%2C178&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=768%2C456&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=640%2C380&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?resize=1200%2C713&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-137.png?w=1448&amp;ssl=1 1448w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It has taken a few days for the climate headbangers to work out the best spin to counter the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/environment\/article\/most-apocalyptic-climate-scenario-thrown-out-by-experts-5s967j6xx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">recent IPCC ruling<\/a>&nbsp;that the RCP8.5 computer model pathway is \u201cimplausible\u201d. Necessary work of course, since the shock ruling from the UN\u2019s main climate science body about a set of impossible assumptions destroyed the validity of almost every mainstream Net Zero-supporting climate scare story published over the last 15 years. First out of the traps was Adam Vaughan of the&nbsp;<em>Times<\/em>, who said that the most apocalyptic worst-case scenario had&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thetimes.com\/uk\/environment\/article\/most-apocalyptic-climate-scenario-thrown-out-by-experts-5s967j6xx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">been ruled out<\/a>&nbsp;\u201cthanks to the rapid rise in renewable energy\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is the feeble explanation given by the IPCC \u2018s own \u2018implausible\u2019 authors but, alas, it is not borne out by the facts. In 2011 at the start of the RCP8.5 madness, wind and solar accounted for 0.8% of world energy production. According to the latest fully compiled figures for 2023 from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/grapher\/share-of-primary-energy-from-solar-and-wind?utm_source=chatgpt.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The World in Data<\/a>, the percentage rose to 4.5%. In other words, the percentage of total global wind and solar energy supply rose from negligible to almost negligible \u2013 this despite trillions of dollars being spent on an increasingly expensive source of unreliable and industry-destroying power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Supporters were quick to run with this seemingly best explanation.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"218\" data-attachment-id=\"445017\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=445017\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?fit=602%2C218&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"602,218\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?fit=602%2C218&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?resize=602%2C218&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-445017\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?w=602&amp;ssl=1 602w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?resize=300%2C109&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-135.png?resize=600%2C218&amp;ssl=1 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Negligible is a word that also springs to mind given that Vince\u2019s Ecotricity UK onshore wind turbine operation contributes just 0.06 % of current UK electricity generation. Over the last 20 years, he has collected a far from negligible \u00a3145 million in subsidy paid by the British consumer. Electricity only accounts for 20% of all UK energy consumption, so Vince\u2019s contribution to the overall total at 0.012% is not so much negligible as practically invisible. Calculations on how much global warming has been saved by all this expensive effort are sadly impossible to calculate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In passing, Vince also notes a new high scenario figure of 3.5\u00b0C, down from 4.5\u00b0C. This figure is also mentioned by Adam Vaughan, and it arises from slightly different calculations. The rise of temperature established under RCP8.5 is generally held to be 3.9\u00b0C by 2100 from a 1850-1900 baseline. The science writer Roger Pielke Jr., who first drew public attention to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/rogerpielkejr.substack.com\/p\/rcp85-is-officially-dead\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u201cimplausible\u201d finding<\/a>, calculates that a newly proposed high scenario has an upper temperature rise of 3\u00b0C. Still ridiculous, of course, since this is the IPCC, a politically-funded body that gives scientific backing to the belief that almost all global warming in the industrial age is caused by a few trace gases in the atmosphere. Since pre-industrial times, and the lifting of the Little Ice Age, the Earth has warmed around 1\u00b0C. All is not lost it seems for clickbait scientists and their willing messengers flaming up bizarre claims in mainstream media. Now the high-end assumptions fed into computer models suggest a possible rise of about 2\u00b0C in just 74 years compared with 3\u00b0C. Come back Roger Hallam and Extinction Rebellion \u2013 all is forgiven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To digress for a moment. It will be interesting to see if Dale Vince has changed his mind on jailing climate deniers in the light of RCP8.5\u2019s demise. In July 2024, he posted on Twitter, now X, the following in support of five climate vandals who had brought the vital London M25 ring-road to a halt. One of the lunatic disrupters putting emergency services at grave risk was Roger Hallam, who was subsequently imprisoned for five years. The conspiracy was organised by Just Stop Oil, a group given&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2023\/oct\/06\/fund-just-stop-oil-ballot-box-disruption-election-protest\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u00a3340,000 by Vince<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"602\" height=\"293\" data-attachment-id=\"445020\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=445020\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?fit=602%2C293&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"602,293\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?fit=602%2C293&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?resize=602%2C293&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-445020\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?w=602&amp;ssl=1 602w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?resize=300%2C146&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-136.png?resize=600%2C293&amp;ssl=1 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 602px) 100vw, 602px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The \u201cfacing the end of the world\u201d defence has more than a touch of RCP8.5 hysteria about it. Is Vince still in favour of jailing people who have questioned some of the ridiculous stories that have arisen from this now discredited set of assumptions? Are there any other parts of the inquiring scientific process where he thinks jail time is appropriate for those who question the \u2018settled\u2019 narrative? I think we should be told.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alas, Vaughan\u2019s article indicates that the Old Guard has not given up on Hallam-style warnings of the coming apocalypse. IPCC scenario lead author Detlef van Vuuren said that \u201cuncertainties\u201d in how sensitive Earth\u2019s climate is to more greenhouse gases \u201cmean that even under this slightly lower emissions pathway, warming could still end up exceeding 4\u00b0C\u201d. Phrases like that of course give the green light to future scaremongering designed to prop up the fading hard-Left Net Zero fantasy. The \u201cuncertainties\u201d noted over carbon dioxide are unlikely to surround the lack of a conclusive temperature link over 600 million years, or a consideration that the Earth has thrived in the past with gas levels many times higher than today\u2019s denuded levels. No chance. When you are deliberately stoking mass climate psychosis for population controlling aims, the uncertainty scare is all about slyly suggesting scenarios that even King Charles, Sir David Attenborough and the Swedish Doom Goblin might think a bit rich.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Chris Morrison is the&nbsp;<\/em>Daily Sceptic<em>\u2019s Environment Editor. Follow&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CMorrisonEsq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">him on X<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>RCP8.5 had been widely used in media headlines, economic damage studies, and catastrophic climate projections long after many researchers questioned whether its assumptions \u2014 especially massive long-term coal expansion \u2014 matched real-world energy trends.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":445011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691843126,691819134,691818056,691818153,691819743,691820942,691821642,691838747,691834207,691818154],"class_list":["post-445009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-implausible","tag-climate-alarmism","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-models","tag-climate-propaganda","tag-dale-vince","tag-ipcc-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change","tag-ipccs-rcp8-5-model-scenario","tag-mass-climate-psychosis","tag-net-zero","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Climate-Headbangers-Crawl-from-the-Wreckage-of-RCP8.5-%E2%80%98Implausible-Finding-Spinning-Nothing-to-See-Here-Claims.png?fit=1402%2C1122&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1RLz","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":445245,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=445245","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":0},"title":"RCP8.5 Was Never a Credible Business-as-Usual Scenario","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/19\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"RCP8.5 was designed as a high-end (roughly 90th percentile) exploratory scenario, not a central \"business-as-usual\" projection. Its divergence from observed trends stems primarily from unrealistic internal assumptions (especially massive coal expansion), evident well before major post-2015 policy accelerations or renewables cost drops fully took effect.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Was-Never-a-Credible-Business-as-Usual-Scenario.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Was-Never-a-Credible-Business-as-Usual-Scenario.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Was-Never-a-Credible-Business-as-Usual-Scenario.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Was-Never-a-Credible-Business-as-Usual-Scenario.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Was-Never-a-Credible-Business-as-Usual-Scenario.jpg?fit=1168%2C784&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":442725,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=442725","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":1},"title":"IPCC Admits Apocalyptic Climate Scenarios Are \u201cImplausible\u201d \u2013 Meaning Most Media Scare Stories Over Last 15 Years Are Officially Junk","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/06\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Activist climate scientists, journalists and Net Zero-obsessed politicians are in shock following an official admission from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that a set of key assumptions promoting a climate \u2018crisis\u2019 since 2011 are \u201cimplausible\u201d. The notorious set of always-improbable RCP8.5 \u2018pathway\u2019 assumptions which fed into computer models\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":443344,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=443344","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":2},"title":"UN Climate Panel Quietly Admits Its Doomsday Climate Scenarios Were \u2018Implausible\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/10\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The IPCC has published a new generation of climate scenarios \u2013 and buried in the fine print is a remarkable concession: the extreme warming pathways that dominated climate research, policy, and media coverage for decades were never actually plausible. It took a while to notice because almost no one in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"apocalyptic climate messaging\"","block_context":{"text":"apocalyptic climate messaging","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=apocalyptic-climate-messaging"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0AQMx_yo3DrXlHtpV_QLZmSt_cuqpnqFDv5ZW-c4TCk37y6r2RhQXhpbpHIIZQi4_QyKl3CZZrNIbTZPWIarMsPJyCD38dxOTItWJuZ7Q7jEhj-IgVxGqZdZg-CGGF5rk4cgG4iCB0-8k5itOPlAevfQEIKoYNw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0AQMx_yo3DrXlHtpV_QLZmSt_cuqpnqFDv5ZW-c4TCk37y6r2RhQXhpbpHIIZQi4_QyKl3CZZrNIbTZPWIarMsPJyCD38dxOTItWJuZ7Q7jEhj-IgVxGqZdZg-CGGF5rk4cgG4iCB0-8k5itOPlAevfQEIKoYNw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0AQMx_yo3DrXlHtpV_QLZmSt_cuqpnqFDv5ZW-c4TCk37y6r2RhQXhpbpHIIZQi4_QyKl3CZZrNIbTZPWIarMsPJyCD38dxOTItWJuZ7Q7jEhj-IgVxGqZdZg-CGGF5rk4cgG4iCB0-8k5itOPlAevfQEIKoYNw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0AQMx_yo3DrXlHtpV_QLZmSt_cuqpnqFDv5ZW-c4TCk37y6r2RhQXhpbpHIIZQi4_QyKl3CZZrNIbTZPWIarMsPJyCD38dxOTItWJuZ7Q7jEhj-IgVxGqZdZg-CGGF5rk4cgG4iCB0-8k5itOPlAevfQEIKoYNw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0AQMx_yo3DrXlHtpV_QLZmSt_cuqpnqFDv5ZW-c4TCk37y6r2RhQXhpbpHIIZQi4_QyKl3CZZrNIbTZPWIarMsPJyCD38dxOTItWJuZ7Q7jEhj-IgVxGqZdZg-CGGF5rk4cgG4iCB0-8k5itOPlAevfQEIKoYNw.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":444316,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=444316","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":3},"title":"Shocked Silence Greets RCP8.5 Demise as \u2018Implausibility\u2019 Ruling Leaves Net Zero Fearmongering in Tatters","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/15\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The fallout from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ruling that computer model high emissions pathway RCP8.5 is \u201cimplausible\u201d is only just beginning. Most mainstream media fearmongering stories over the last 15 years need to be moved into the junk file, as do the increasingly shrill sandwich-board pronouncements\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"5.1\u00b0C and 3.8\u00b0C warmer\"","block_context":{"text":"5.1\u00b0C and 3.8\u00b0C warmer","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=5-1c-and-3-8c-warmer"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Shocked-Silence-Greets-RCP8.5-Demise-as-%E2%80%98Implausibility-Ruling-Leaves-Net-Zero-Fearmongering-in-Tatters.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Shocked-Silence-Greets-RCP8.5-Demise-as-%E2%80%98Implausibility-Ruling-Leaves-Net-Zero-Fearmongering-in-Tatters.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Shocked-Silence-Greets-RCP8.5-Demise-as-%E2%80%98Implausibility-Ruling-Leaves-Net-Zero-Fearmongering-in-Tatters.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Shocked-Silence-Greets-RCP8.5-Demise-as-%E2%80%98Implausibility-Ruling-Leaves-Net-Zero-Fearmongering-in-Tatters.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-ChatGPT-Shocked-Silence-Greets-RCP8.5-Demise-as-%E2%80%98Implausibility-Ruling-Leaves-Net-Zero-Fearmongering-in-Tatters.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":442178,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=442178","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":4},"title":"RCP8.5 Is Officially Dead: Climate Science Finally Retires Its Implausible Extreme Scenario","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The RCP8.5 (and its close equivalent SSP5-8.5) has effectively been retired from the core framework for the next round of major climate modeling (CMIP7, feeding into IPCC AR7).","rel":"","context":"In \"climate modeling\"","block_context":{"text":"climate modeling","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-modeling"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/0-RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":443164,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=443164","url_meta":{"origin":445009,"position":5},"title":"Ding Dong, RCP8.5 Is\u00a0Dead!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/09\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"For years, we have been fed a never-ending diet of apocalyptic climate scares \u2013 killer heatwaves, biblical floods, deadly droughts, devastating hurricanes, to name just a few. And it is not just sensationalism from the media that I am talking about. The language may have been slightly less dramatic, but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"apocalyptic climate scares\"","block_context":{"text":"apocalyptic climate scares","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=apocalyptic-climate-scares"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/RCP8.5-Is-Officially-Dead-Climate-Science-Finally-Retires-Its-Implausible-Extreme-Scenario.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/445009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=445009"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/445009\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":445026,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/445009\/revisions\/445026"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/445011"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=445009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=445009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=445009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}