{"id":440778,"date":"2026-04-21T10:21:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T17:21:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=440778"},"modified":"2026-04-21T10:21:24","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T17:21:24","slug":"potentially-existential-crisis-carmakers-lose-nearly-e60-billion-as-e-car-bet-goes-wrong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=440778","title":{"rendered":"\u201cPotentially Existential Crisis\u201d: Carmakers Lose Nearly \u20ac60 Billion as E-Car Bet Goes Wrong"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"687\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"440779\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=440779\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"784,1168\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 \u201cPotentially Existential Crisis\u201d  Carmakers Lose Nearly \u20ac60 Billion as E-Car Bet Goes Wrong\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?fit=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-440779\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 687w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?resize=201%2C300&amp;ssl=1 201w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?resize=768%2C1144&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?resize=640%2C953&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?w=784&amp;ssl=1 784w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 687px) 100vw, 687px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>EY automotive published a study in mid-April 2026. It describes nearly \u20ac60 billion in impairments and write-downs on electric vehicle (EV) projects by European and US carmakers in 2025 (or spanning into early 2026 reporting).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">European and US carmakers recorded nearly<strong> \u20ac60 billion<\/strong> in impairments and write-downs on electric vehicle (EV) investments during 2025. These were not pure operating cash losses in every case but accounting charges on overbuilt battery factories, development programs, joint ventures, and specific models that no longer made economic sense due to weaker demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>19 largest global automakers:<\/strong> Combined operating profit collapsed <strong>59 %<\/strong> (from \u20ac143 bn to \u20ac59 bn).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Average profit margin dropped from 6.7 % to 2.8 %; several companies slipped into the red.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <strong>\u20ac60 <\/strong>bn figure is primarily <strong>accounting impairments<\/strong> on battery factories, development programs, joint ventures, and specific EV model lines that no longer make economic sense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">German manufacturers were hit harder than the global average: revenue<strong> \u20134.1 %<\/strong>, new-car sales <strong>\u20132 %<\/strong>, and a sharp drop in China (their former profit engine).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EY expert<strong> Constantin Gall<\/strong> explicitly described the situation as a \u201cdeep crisis \u2014 for some companies even potentially existential.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Major Individual Write-Downs (2025):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Stellantis<\/strong> (Peugeot, Fiat, Opel, Jeep etc.): ~\u20ac22 bn<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Ford:<\/strong> ~\u20ac18\u201319.5 bn<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Honda:<\/strong> up to ~\u20ac14.5\u201316 bn (announced pivot away from aggressive EV plans)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>General Motors:<\/strong> ~\u20ac7 bn<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Porsche (VW Group):<\/strong> ~\u20ac3.1 bn<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hybrids and efficient combustion engines proved far more resilient in Europe and the US, while Chinese brands (BYD etc.) continued gaining share with cheaper models.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Demand for pure battery EVs grew much slower than carmakers and policymakers had forecast once subsidies were cut or removed (Germany ended its big purchase bonus earlier due to budget reasons). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Persistent real-world barriers remained:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>High purchase prices vs. hybrids\/ICE<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Charging infrastructure gaps and range anxiety<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Higher electricity costs in some markets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer preference for hybrids as a practical \u201cbridge\u201d technology<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Add Chinese competition, US tariff\/policy shifts, and high European energy\/labor costs \u2014 and the overbuilt EV capacity became a \u201cmoney pit.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Carmakers are now reacting pragmatically: pausing battery plants, extending ICE\/hybrid lifecycles in key segments, and reallocating capital. This is <strong>not <\/strong>a full retreat from electrification \u2014 global EV sales (led by China) are still rising \u2014 but a necessary reset to match actual customer demand and economics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany\u2019s auto sector (and its vast supplier network) is a cornerstone of exports and employment. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The combination of:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Massive prior EV investments under EU CO\u2082 rules and national green policies<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>China market share collapse<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>High domestic costs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026has triggered unprecedented restructuring talks (plant idlings, job cuts, multi-billion savings programs at VW and others). Older warnings (e.g., Der Spiegel 2024 \u201cElectric Shock\u201d) have now materialised in hard numbers. BMW still posted a respectable 7.6 % margin, while Toyota, Suzuki, and Kia topped profitability lists with hybrid-heavy strategies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The \u20ac60 billion figure is factual and underscores a painful reality check: top-down mandates and overly optimistic corporate forecasts met stubborn market signals. Rigid ideology (rapid forced full electrification) collided with customer choice, infrastructure reality, and competition. The industry is correcting course toward a technology-neutral mix \u2014 efficient ICE, strong hybrids, and BEVs where they genuinely make sense for buyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s not the end of electric cars \u2014 Chinese brands are thriving, and technology will keep improving \u2014 but a stark reminder that top-down timelines and subsidies can\u2019t override economics and customer choice forever. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany\u2019s car heartland is now adapting the hard way: slower, more pragmatic decarbonization paired with hybrids and targeted incentives looks like the viable path forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>European and US carmakers recorded nearly \u20ac60 billion in impairments and write-downs on electric vehicle (EV) investments during 2025. These were not pure operating cash losses in every case but accounting charges on overbuilt battery factories, development programs, joint ventures, and specific models that no longer made economic sense due to weaker demand.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":440779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691842419,691819238,691842417,691818051,691842422,691842418,691818299,691842420,691842421],"class_list":{"0":"post-440778","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-china-market","9":"tag-e-cars","10":"tag-eu-co-rules","11":"tag-germany","12":"tag-largest-global-automakers","13":"tag-national-green-policies","14":"tag-subsidies","15":"tag-us-carmakers","16":"tag-write-downs-2025","18":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Potentially-Existential-Crisis-Carmakers-Lose-Nearly-E60-Billion-as-E-Car-Bet-Goes-Wrong.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1QFk","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":427153,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=427153","url_meta":{"origin":440778,"position":0},"title":"Big 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Donald Trump pulled the pin on subsidies for EVs and eased the strict emissions rules that punished petrol and diesel cars. US sales of electric cars promptly fell\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicles (EVs)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicles (EVs)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicles-evs"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOp8H41hHwURek6wmICQCdXiWs5UZbgUp3y9Fb-Ps7j5Mg9U5Ml2lUu9vGWtVGzGhWDInZW95KDHlcoCCgkEXDDitS_MWer7d4LbKidv7-NbgNREc4BSbJhUeDyLDLFZvKHlGclebD5zO98MM6z9Np6TwCzew.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOp8H41hHwURek6wmICQCdXiWs5UZbgUp3y9Fb-Ps7j5Mg9U5Ml2lUu9vGWtVGzGhWDInZW95KDHlcoCCgkEXDDitS_MWer7d4LbKidv7-NbgNREc4BSbJhUeDyLDLFZvKHlGclebD5zO98MM6z9Np6TwCzew.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOp8H41hHwURek6wmICQCdXiWs5UZbgUp3y9Fb-Ps7j5Mg9U5Ml2lUu9vGWtVGzGhWDInZW95KDHlcoCCgkEXDDitS_MWer7d4LbKidv7-NbgNREc4BSbJhUeDyLDLFZvKHlGclebD5zO98MM6z9Np6TwCzew.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOp8H41hHwURek6wmICQCdXiWs5UZbgUp3y9Fb-Ps7j5Mg9U5Ml2lUu9vGWtVGzGhWDInZW95KDHlcoCCgkEXDDitS_MWer7d4LbKidv7-NbgNREc4BSbJhUeDyLDLFZvKHlGclebD5zO98MM6z9Np6TwCzew.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQOp8H41hHwURek6wmICQCdXiWs5UZbgUp3y9Fb-Ps7j5Mg9U5Ml2lUu9vGWtVGzGhWDInZW95KDHlcoCCgkEXDDitS_MWer7d4LbKidv7-NbgNREc4BSbJhUeDyLDLFZvKHlGclebD5zO98MM6z9Np6TwCzew.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":227444,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=227444","url_meta":{"origin":440778,"position":4},"title":"Why Your First Electric Car Might Be Chinese","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"I did warn you!","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-19.png?fit=797%2C686&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-19.png?fit=797%2C686&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-19.png?fit=797%2C686&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-19.png?fit=797%2C686&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425213,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425213","url_meta":{"origin":440778,"position":5},"title":"Britain needs \u2018reality check\u2019 over electric car targets, warns Hyundai","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Hyundai's European boss, Xavier Martinet, has warned that Britain's strict electric vehicle (EV) targets under the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate risk causing \"severe disruption\" in the market. He suggested the policy no longer makes sense and requires a \"reality check,\" potentially leading some carmakers to stop selling vehicles in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicle (EV)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicle (EV)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicle-ev"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440778","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=440778"}],"version-history":[{"count":12,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440778\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":440791,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/440778\/revisions\/440791"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/440779"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=440778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=440778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=440778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}