{"id":436298,"date":"2026-04-01T18:31:57","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T16:31:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436298"},"modified":"2026-04-01T18:31:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T16:31:59","slug":"paul-ehrlich-and-michael-mann-both-used-the-media-to-hide-their-misanthropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436298","title":{"rendered":"Paul Ehrlich and Michael Mann \u2013 Both Used the Media to Hide Their Misanthropy"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guest Opinion by Stephen Heins<\/strong>\u00a0at\u00a0The Word Merchant<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the annals of environmental alarmism, few figures loom larger than Paul Ehrlich and Michael Mann. Ehrlich, the Stanford biologist who died in March 2026 at age 93, authored\u00a0The Population Bomb<\/em>\u00a0(1968), a bestseller that warned of imminent global famine, societal collapse, and resource wars driven by overpopulation. Mann, the Penn State climatologist, rose to prominence with his 1998 \u201chockey stick\u201d graph, which depicted a millennium of stable temperatures followed by a sharp 20th-century spike\u2014becoming the visual cornerstone of IPCC reports and the climate movement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both built empires of influence in spite of actual data, but on a sophisticated mastery of media. When their core claims faced empirical scrutiny and outright falsification, they didn\u2019t retreat into the lab. They doubled down in the public square, reframing failure as foresight, critics as villains, and uncertainty as conspiracy. This shared strategy\u2014celebrity amplification, narrative pivots, and aggressive deflection\u2014has papered over profound flaws in their thinking, with lasting consequences for energy policy and human progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ehrlich\u2019s case is the archetype of predictive collapse. The Population Bomb forecasted that \u201chundreds of millions of people\u201d would starve in the 1970s and 1980s, that India could never feed its growing population, that the U.K. would devolve into \u201ca small group of impoverished islands\u201d by 2000, and that U.S. life expectancy would plummet to 42 years. None of it materialized. The global population roughly doubled since 1968, yet per capita food production soared thanks to the Green Revolution, Norman Borlaug\u2019s high-yield crops, fertilizers, and irrigation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hunger rates plummeted; life expectancy rose globally by over 30 percent. Ehrlich himself famously lost the 1980 Simon-Ehrlich wager to economist Julian Simon. Ehrlich bet that prices of five metals (chromium, copper, nickel, tin, tungsten) would rise over a decade due to scarcity; all fell in real terms, and he mailed Simon a check for $576.07.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet Ehrlich never revised his worldview. In interviews and follow-up books such as The Population Explosion (1990) and Betrayal of Science and Reason (1996), he insisted that his warnings were \u201cway too optimistic\u201d or that action had merely delayed catastrophe. On 60 Minutes in 2023, at age 90, he still predicted \u201cthe end of the kind of civilization we\u2019re used to\u201d within decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What sustained Ehrlich? Media complicity. He appeared more than 20 times on Johnny Carson\u2019s Tonight Show, turning a dense academic tome into a cultural phenomenon and spawning the Zero Population Growth organization. Outlets amplified his lurid scenarios without any rigorous challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Post-failure obituaries in 2026 often called his predictions \u201cpremature\u201d rather than wrong\u2014echoing his own spin that prophets avert the disasters they foresee. When pressed on the Simon bet, Ehrlich pivoted to broader environmental \u201climits\u201d or biodiversity loss, never conceding that markets, technology, and human ingenuity had disproved his Malthusian core. This media playbook\u2014alarm first, nuance never\u2014shielded his influence. Policies inspired by his ideas, from India\u2019s forced sterilizations to China\u2019s one-child policy, inflicted real human costs: coerced demographics, gender imbalances, and lost human capital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet Ehrlich\u2019s celebrity insulated him; flaws were recast as moral urgency. The following quote is an example of Ehrlich\u2019s perverse influence on the world: Prince Phillip saying, \u201cIf I were reincarnated I would wish to be returned to Earth as a killer virus to lower human population levels.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Mann\u2019s trajectory mirrors this media deflection, updated for the digital and legal age. His 1998 Nature paper (with Bradley and Hughes) produced the iconic hockey stick: flat temperatures for 900 years, then a blade-like rise post-1900. It visually clinched the case for unprecedented anthropogenic warming and dominated the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But methodological flaws emerged quickly. Independent analysts Stephen McIntyre and Ross McKitrick demonstrated in 2003\u20132005 papers that Mann\u2019s principal component analysis (PCA) used \u201cshort-centering\u201d\u2014subtracting data from a 20th-century mean rather than the full period. This statistical artifact mined for \u201chockey stick\u201d shapes even from random red-noise data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

They also highlighted the over-reliance on flawed bristlecone pine proxies (known to be poor temperature indicators) and the infamous \u201chide the decline\u201d trick from the Climategate emails, in which diverging tree-ring data after 1960 was obscured by splicing in instrumental records.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 2006 Wegman Report to Congress called Mann\u2019s work \u201cobscure and incomplete,\u201d validating McIntyre-McKitrick\u2019s critiques. The National Research Council panel noted \u201cmoderate confidence\u201d in recent warmth but highlighted uncertainties and proxy limitations in earlier centuries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mann\u2019s response? Not a deeper engagement with the data, but a media offensive. In books like The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars (2012) and The New Climate War (2021), op-eds, TED-style talks, and cable interviews, he portrayed himself as a besieged hero fighting a \u201cdenial machine\u201d funded by fossil fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Critics were not fellow scientists with statistical concerns but \u201ccontrarians\u201d and industry shills. He pursued defamation suits against writers like Rand Simberg and Mark Steyn for calling his work \u201cfraudulent\u201d or likening it to data \u201cmolestation\u201d (comparing him to Jerry Sandusky). A 2024 D.C. jury awarded him over $1 million in punitive damages\u2014though later adjustments and sanctions highlighted litigation tactics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climategate emails revealed Mann urging colleagues to \u201ckeep them honest\u201d via peer-review gatekeeping. Media outlets amplified this victim narrative, often framing the hockey stick as \u201csettled science\u201d while downplaying methodological concessions. The Hockey Stick graph\u2019s broad conclusion\u2014recent warming is real and somewhat concerning\u2014holds in later studies, but Mann\u2019s original reconstruction\u2019s precision and statistical robustness do not. By controlling the story, he preserved its iconic status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The parallels are striking. Both Ehrlich and Mann built careers on singular, visually compelling claims that captured public imagination: exploding population bombs and hockey-stick warming. Both encountered the historical evidence\u2014technological abundance for Ehrlich, statistical artifacts and proxy issues for Mann\u2014yet refused substantive retraction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Media became their shield: Ehrlich via broadcast charisma and sympathetic obituaries; Mann via books, lawsuits, and \u201cdenier\u201d framing that delegitimizes debate. Both shifted goalposts\u2014Ehrlich from starvation to \u201cplanetary limits\u201d; Mann from one graph\u2019s details to an unassailable \u201cconsensus.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This media mastery has real-world costs, particularly for energy sanity. Ehrlich\u2019s scarcity mindset justified anti-growth policies that starved developing nations of infrastructure. Mann\u2019s graph underpins net-zero mandates that prioritize intermittent renewables over reliable, abundant energy from nuclear, natural gas, and advanced fossils.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer principles\u2014abundant energy, reliability, adequate infrastructure, economic development, human health, and capital formation through profits and prudent debt\u2014stand in direct opposition to one another. Billions flow annually into PR, lobbying, and communications promoting \u201cclimate emergency\u201d narratives that echo Ehrlich\u2019s doomsaying and support Mann\u2019s \u201cscience.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These \u201cclimate crisis\u201d campaigns have had a profound effect, discouraging capital investment in high-density power sources, inflating energy poverty, and hindering human flourishing. Developing nations cannot industrialize without cheap, dispatchable power; Western grids risk blackouts from over-reliance on weather-dependent sources.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The energy sanity movement\u2014advocates for pragmatic, pro-human abundance\u2014must counter this asymmetry. Where Ehrlich and Mann command legacy media megaphones and institutional capture, sanity proponents need coordinated counter-narratives: data-driven expos\u00e9s of failed predictions, transparent cost-benefit analyses of energy transitions, and celebration of tech triumphs like shale gas or small modular reactors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ehrlich\u2019s death in 2026 offers a moment for reflection: his ideas didn\u2019t die because the media never let them. Mann\u2019s ongoing influence proves the playbook persists.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ultimately, Ehrlich and Mann exemplify how media can transmute flawed science into cultural dogma. Their thinking contained kernels of truth\u2014population pressures and greenhouse gases merit attention\u2014but apocalyptic certainty and methodological shortcuts undermined credibility. By mastering spin over substance, they delayed the very progress they claimed to champion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

True environmental stewardship demands abundant, reliable energy to lift billions from poverty, not media-fueled scarcity myths. The Anti-Ehrlich\/Mann committee have united to offset the \u201cclimate crisis\u201d PR juggernaut. Once discredited, energy and environmental policy will reflect the reality of energy humanism: humans thriving not by fearing limits, but by innovating past them.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In the annals of environmental alarmism, few figures loom larger than Paul Ehrlich and Michael Mann. Ehrlich, the Stanford biologist who died in March 2026 at age 93, authored The Population Bomb (1968), a bestseller that warned of imminent global famine, societal collapse, and resource wars driven by overpopulation. Mann, the Penn State climatologist, rose to prominence with his 1998 \u201chockey stick\u201d graph, which depicted a millennium of stable temperatures followed by a sharp 20th-century spike\u2014becoming the visual cornerstone of IPCC reports and the climate movement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":436300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818245,691828328,691838465,691839679],"class_list":["post-436298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-catastrophic-predictions","tag-michael-mann-hockey-stick-graph","tag-paul-ehrlichs-population-bomb-1968","tag-prophets-of-doom","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Paul-Ehrlich-and-Michael-Mann.jpg?fit=1440%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Pv4","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":436567,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=436567","url_meta":{"origin":436298,"position":0},"title":"Michael Mann Praises Paul Ehrlich (for the record)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"When it comes to the climate debate, Paul R. Ehrlich joins Climategate as a major reason to reject alarmism. And who other than Michael \u201cClimategate\u201d Mann praised Paul \u201cFalse Alarm\u201d Ehrlich.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climategate\"","block_context":{"text":"Climategate","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climategate"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Michael-Mann-Praises-Paul-Ehrlich-for-the-record.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Michael-Mann-Praises-Paul-Ehrlich-for-the-record.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Michael-Mann-Praises-Paul-Ehrlich-for-the-record.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Michael-Mann-Praises-Paul-Ehrlich-for-the-record.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-Michael-Mann-Praises-Paul-Ehrlich-for-the-record.jpg?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":432082,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=432082","url_meta":{"origin":436298,"position":1},"title":"\u2018Ever-wrong Ehrlich\u2019s\u2019 Greatest Hits (er, misses)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/18\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"His famous 1968 book, \u201cThe Population Bomb,\u201d changed the world. 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We Are Not on The Brink of a 6th Mass Extinction Event","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"On January 1, CBS News\u2019 \u201c60 Minutes\u201d rang in the new year by airing a\u00a0segment\u00a0in which several scientists, including Dr. Paul Ehrlich, predicted that we are on the cusp of a sixth mass extinction event and that \u201cthe next few decades will be the end of the kind of civilization\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-193.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-193.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/image-193.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":327792,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=327792","url_meta":{"origin":436298,"position":5},"title":"Alarmism Now \u2013 and Then (Modern Malthusianism in its 6th Decade)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"This post presents the climate alarm quotations of today with the quotations from Paul Ehrlich and the Club of Rome in the late 1960s\/early 1970s for historical perspective.","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0CR-17.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=436298"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436298\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":436304,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/436298\/revisions\/436304"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/436300"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=436298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=436298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=436298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}