{"id":433368,"date":"2026-03-23T08:13:21","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T07:13:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=433368"},"modified":"2026-03-23T08:13:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T07:13:23","slug":"electric-car-mandates-start-to-bite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=433368","title":{"rendered":"Electric Car Mandates Start To\u00a0Bite"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Car manufacturers must ensure that electric cars make up at least 33% of their total registrations this year or face swingeing government fines of \u00a312000 for every car they are short.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

So far, they are struggling at below 22%, which is even less than at the same stage last year. They finished 2025 at 23.4%, well below the government Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandated target of 28%. The harsh reality is that few private buyers want one, despite what the government orders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Manufacturers who fall below target may be able to offset part of their shortfall if the CO2 emissions from non-electric cars are below the baseline set, for instance if they sell a lot of hybrids. But this is a limited option. They can also buy surplus ZEV allowances on the open market or \u201cborrow\u201d against future surpluses.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
UK New Car Registration Data – Latest Figures & Statistics | SMMT<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The Dept of Transport has now published the full overview of ZEV compliance for 2024 registrations, when EV sales reached 19.8% against a target of 22%. Overall, credits from lower emissions have balanced out the 2.2% shortfall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But as ever, the devil is in the detail, with some manufacturers forced to buy surplus allowances or borrow, while others make a handy profit.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

According to the DfT overview, major manufacturers who have had to buy ZEV allowances include:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

That\u2019s over 43000 allowances. According to the DfT, the average price was around \u00a34000, making a total bill of around \u00a3170 million.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But it does not stop there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The principal beneficiaries of this car industry destroying madness have been Tesla and the three major Chinese electric carmakers. Together they have been handed a windfall of around \u00a3150 million.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

This is, however, just the tip of the iceberg.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Auto industry experts say that the market for ZEV allowances was soft in 2024, given the overall availability of allowances. Carmakers with surpluses have been tempted to cash in now, rather than risk holding out for a higher price in future years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But already it appears that it will be a much tighter market for 2025. If this year carries on as it has started, the demand for allowances will be much higher than the supply; as a consequence, the price for them will rise close to the \u00a312000 fine, with buyers desperate to outbid each other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is not a stretch to guess that the bill for allowances\/fines could reach a billion next year. It is no wonder many carmakers, such as Stellantis and Hyundai, are warning that ZEV targets will lead to some manufacturers simply pulling out of the UK market. It is estimated by the SMMT that the car industry is already subsidising EVs to the tune of \u00a311000 for every car sold, in an attempt to attract buyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the meantime, the British Government is happy to hand over hundreds of millions to the Chinese car industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you wanted to decimate the country\u2019s motor industry, it is hard to think of a better way to do it!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Car manufacturers must ensure that electric cars make up at least 33% of their total registrations this year or face swingeing government fines of \u00a312000 for every car they are short.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":433381,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691841978,691829997,691820974,691830885,691841979,691824444],"class_list":["post-433368","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-car-manufacturers","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-co2-emissions","tag-electric-cars-evs","tag-uk-market","tag-zero-emission-vehicle-zev","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Electric-Car-Mandates-Start-To-Bite1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1OJO","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":287245,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=287245","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":0},"title":"EV Sales Falter As Private Purchasers Remain\u00a0Unconvinced","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/09\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Car registrations across all fuel types grew 14.3% to a five-year high, SMMT says. Automakers initially touted EVs as electric variants of traditional combustion vehicles, which did themselves a disservice. That couldn\u2019t be further from the truth, as EVs are as dissimilar to pure combustion vehicles as propellor aircraft are\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"China\"","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0mfrack_realistic_photo_of_man_and_future_of_electric_cars_46158029-fa27-46a8-b89a-891a9826cef0.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0mfrack_realistic_photo_of_man_and_future_of_electric_cars_46158029-fa27-46a8-b89a-891a9826cef0.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0mfrack_realistic_photo_of_man_and_future_of_electric_cars_46158029-fa27-46a8-b89a-891a9826cef0.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0mfrack_realistic_photo_of_man_and_future_of_electric_cars_46158029-fa27-46a8-b89a-891a9826cef0.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0mfrack_realistic_photo_of_man_and_future_of_electric_cars_46158029-fa27-46a8-b89a-891a9826cef0.jpeg?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425000,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425000","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":1},"title":"The EV Car Crash","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/07\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"With the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars less than four years away now, there remains one seemingly insurmountable obstacle: nobody wants to buy electric cars.","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicles (EV\u2019s)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicles (EV\u2019s)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicles-evs-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425213,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425213","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":2},"title":"Britain needs \u2018reality check\u2019 over electric car targets, warns Hyundai","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/08\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Hyundai's European boss, Xavier Martinet, has warned that Britain's strict electric vehicle (EV) targets under the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate risk causing \"severe disruption\" in the market. He suggested the policy no longer makes sense and requires a \"reality check,\" potentially leading some carmakers to stop selling vehicles in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicle (EV)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicle (EV)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicle-ev"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":420415,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420415","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":3},"title":"EV Sales End Year Way Below\u00a0Target","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/08\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In the UK specifically, EV sales reached about 23% of new cars in 2025, below the government's 28% mandate target, prompting criticism and expectations of further policy adjustments.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":416624,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=416624","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":4},"title":"Electric Car Demand Sinks as Drivers Face Pay-Per-Mile Tax","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Demand for electric cars has slumped as Rachel Reeves prepares to hit them with a\u00a0new pay-per-mile tax.","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicle (EV)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicle (EV)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicle-ev"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/OIG.RSiK_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/OIG.RSiK_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/OIG.RSiK_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/OIG.RSiK_.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":299418,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=299418","url_meta":{"origin":433368,"position":5},"title":"UK To Subsidise China Car\u00a0Manufacturers","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"As noted previously, the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate took effect last month.","rel":"","context":"In \"China\"","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433368","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=433368"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433368\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":433382,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/433368\/revisions\/433382"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/433381"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=433368"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=433368"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=433368"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}