{"id":432629,"date":"2026-03-20T12:54:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-20T11:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=432629"},"modified":"2026-03-20T12:54:02","modified_gmt":"2026-03-20T11:54:02","slug":"aep-wants-north-sea-oil-gas-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=432629","title":{"rendered":"AEP Wants North Sea Oil &amp; Gas\u00a0Now!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"440\" data-attachment-id=\"432630\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=432630\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?fit=1447%2C881&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1447,881\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?fit=723%2C440&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=723%2C440&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-432630\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=1024%2C623&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=768%2C468&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=640%2C390&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?resize=1200%2C731&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?w=1447&amp;ssl=1 1447w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/2026\/03\/19\/aep-wants-north-sea-oil-gas-now\/#more-91082\">NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">h\/t Ian Magness<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Poor AEP\u2019s head must be spinning. After years of condemning fossil fuels to the Net Zero bin, the chance of a global shortage has made him realise how much we need them!<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From the Telegraph:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"245\" data-attachment-id=\"432633\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=432633\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?fit=982%2C333&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"982,333\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?fit=723%2C245&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?resize=723%2C245&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-432633\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?w=982&amp;ssl=1 982w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?resize=300%2C102&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?resize=768%2C260&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-168.png?resize=640%2C217&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>But, right now, we are halfway between the old and the new energy order. That leaves us in an uncomfortable position \u2013 neither molecule fish nor electron fowl \u2013 as&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/news\/2026\/03\/16\/trumps-war-iran-hormuz-gulf-states-allies-consequences\/\"><em>Gulf War III<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;hurls another oil and gas shock our way.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The UK has a chronic balance of payments deficit. It is leaking wealth on fuel imports at a pace of nearly 2pc of GDP a year, even in good times. The sane economic choice is to exploit everything we can from our one outstanding energy resource: the North Sea.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>That means capturing the superb wind conditions on the Dogger Bank and the&nbsp;<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/business\/2026\/02\/06\/energy-giant-revives-north-sea-wind-farm-miliband-subsidy\/\"><em>Hornsea cluster<\/em><\/a><em>&nbsp;with a capacity factor reaching 50pc to 60pc. It also means extracting as much oil and gas as the free market will deliver from the remaining \u2013 highly depleted \u2013 hydrocarbon fields.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Full story&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/business\/2026\/03\/18\/britain-should-max-out-on-both-renewables-north-sea-oil\/\">here.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thanks for the advice about North Sea oil, Ambrose. But a ten-year old could have told me that!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Actually I have no objection to anybody building wind farms in the North Sea, but don\u2019t expect us to subsidise it. They should also have to pay an Intermittency Tax for every unit of electricity generated, to cover the system costs imposed by their intermittency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But he still does not get it!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He talks about \u201c50% to 60% capacity factor\u201d, as if this has any meaning where a wind farm is concerned. He gives the impression this is regular power, in the same way that a CCGT plant might produce at 85% capacity over the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If we take his example of Hornsea, the monthly load percentage from Phase 1 regularly fluctuates from the 20s to the 70s:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"253\" data-attachment-id=\"432635\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=432635\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?fit=1024%2C358&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,358\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?fit=723%2C253&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?resize=723%2C253&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-432635\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?resize=300%2C105&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?resize=768%2C269&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-169.png?resize=640%2C224&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ref.org.uk\/generators\/view.php?id=HOR&amp;tab=lf&amp;returnurl=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ref.org.uk%2Fgenerators%2Fsearch.php%3FGeneratorName%3Dhornsea\">Renewable Generators<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Daily variations are, inevitably, much more acute, ranging from virtually nothing to 99% of capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Phase 1 of Hornsea 1, with capacity of 400 MW and 9600 MWh a day, has generated less than 1000 MWh a day for 15% of the time since it became operational. For a third of the time, it runs at less than a third of capacity.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"689\" height=\"400\" data-attachment-id=\"432637\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=432637\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?fit=689%2C400&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"689,400\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?fit=689%2C400&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?resize=689%2C400&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-432637\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?w=689&amp;ssl=1 689w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?resize=300%2C174&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/image-170.png?resize=640%2C372&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 689px) 100vw, 689px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Low Carbon Contracts Company<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What does AEP suggest we do when the wind does not blow?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Poor AEP\u2019s head must be spinning. After years of condemning fossil fuels to the Net Zero bin, the chance of a global shortage has made him realise how much we need them!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":432630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818128,691819973,691818610,691819148,691819220],"class_list":{"0":"post-432629","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-energy","9":"tag-hornsea","10":"tag-north-sea","11":"tag-oil-and-gas","12":"tag-oil-prices","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQNWq-Fgia9UO-GORg3L2bp-KFa-Tyyyv9kMj1VSeRASUSOsLqpNYRc-0arGeFi-E-8snWzu-2MIUPctCOSxXa6JYQCcD-Dq2FV_Sy_pWU7wFyMXNZ-BciaKdR66HUzS.jpeg?fit=1447%2C881&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1OxT","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":336520,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=336520","url_meta":{"origin":432629,"position":0},"title":"AEP Does Not Understand Energy\u00a0Markets","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/15\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"AEP\u2019s regular claims that oil and gas assets will soon be stranded are based on the assumption that governments around the world will mandate the end of fossil fuels. But where is the actual evidence for this?","rel":"","context":"In \"AEP\"","block_context":{"text":"AEP","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=aep"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0fossilfuelsu.jpg?fit=1200%2C781&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0fossilfuelsu.jpg?fit=1200%2C781&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0fossilfuelsu.jpg?fit=1200%2C781&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0fossilfuelsu.jpg?fit=1200%2C781&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/0fossilfuelsu.jpg?fit=1200%2C781&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":400035,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=400035","url_meta":{"origin":432629,"position":1},"title":"Does AEP Think We Will Stop Using Oil &amp;\u00a0Gas?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/04\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"AEP criticises Kemi Badenoch\u2019s plan to maximise North Sea oil and gas. As I wrote yesterday, he offers no economic justification for his position. It is purely based on Net Zero dogma.","rel":"","context":"In \"Future Energy Scenarios (FES)\"","block_context":{"text":"Future Energy Scenarios (FES)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=future-energy-scenarios-fes"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMQ3EXQfDoTnaSSZxgBP8_3nPUjNg5p18IhIyzgQoxV8oeFHjbc4Kn29vb5H4Yx_rDijRixEDc2GSownyspY1Km42glN_JWqcOoKsPoI5C2pmWAx2EsggrctUBQnW6x8yD0gZHwqh1U432ZwU801XoDgh09gg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMQ3EXQfDoTnaSSZxgBP8_3nPUjNg5p18IhIyzgQoxV8oeFHjbc4Kn29vb5H4Yx_rDijRixEDc2GSownyspY1Km42glN_JWqcOoKsPoI5C2pmWAx2EsggrctUBQnW6x8yD0gZHwqh1U432ZwU801XoDgh09gg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Fuels In 2050\u2013AEP\u2019s U-Turn","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/18\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"As the IEA projections above make clear, we may still be needing almost as much oil as we do now in 2050.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-407.png?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-407.png?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-407.png?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-407.png?fit=1200%2C750&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, 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