{"id":429268,"date":"2026-03-03T08:55:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T07:55:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=429268"},"modified":"2026-03-03T08:55:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T07:55:10","slug":"why-the-us-exit-from-the-ipcc-is-an-unmitigated-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=429268","title":{"rendered":"Why the US Exit from the IPCC is an Unmitigated Good"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Tilak\u00b4s Substack<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Tilak Doshi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u2018It\u2019s better to be at the table than on the menu\u2019 is a commonly used idiom in politics, business, and negotiations, meaning that it is crucial to be actively involved in decision-making processes rather than being the subject of decisions made by others. The idea is simple enough \u2013 stay inside a flawed institution to wield influence rather than bolt and shout from the sidelines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bj\u00f8rn Lomborg argued for the case to \u2018be at the table\u2019 in a Washington Post <\/a><\/em>op-ed<\/a> last week, urging the United States to remain in the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) rather than follow through on President Trump\u2019s instincts to withdraw. Lomborg argues that for a mere $1.8 million annually \u2013 pocket change in Washington\u2019s bloated budget \u2013 the US can leverage its position as the largest donor to push for \u201chonesty, cost-effectiveness and balance\u201d in the IPCC\u2019s work. It\u2019s a pragmatic pitch, one that appeals to those who believe in incremental reform over radical rupture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But here\u2019s the rub: what if the game is so rigged, so profoundly dysfunctional, that staying in only props up the rot? In such cases, exiting isn\u2019t surrender \u2013 it could be a strategic masterstroke, a way to delegitimise the entire charade and force real change from without.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is precisely the case with the IPCC, an organisation whose apex has long devolved into a pulpit for alarmist prophecies, distorting science in its \u2018Summary for Policymakers<\/a>\u2018 to serve the Net Zero agendas of European elites. Lomborg\u2019s advice, well-intentioned as it may be, misses the forest for the trees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US should pull the plug, not just on participation but especially on funding, delivering a major shake-up to the UN\u2019s climate machinery and loosening the EU\u2019s grip on global environmental policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Exit vs Voice<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The adage about being \u2018at the table\u2019 assumes a functional system where voices can be heard, compromises struck and progress made. Think of trade negotiations or arms control talks, where insiders can nudge outcomes. But in dysfunctional institutions, entrenched interests, bureaucratic inertia and ideological capture co-opt, marginalise or expel dissenters. Remaining legitimises the farce, lending credibility to outcomes that perpetuate harm. From the outside, an ex-member has options to build alternatives, rally coalitions and apply pressure without the constraints of internal protocols.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Founded in 1988 under the UN umbrella, the IPCC was meant to provide objective assessments of climate science. Instead, it has become a vehicle for catastrophe-mongering, with summaries for policymakers \u2013 drafted and approved by governments \u2013 amplifying worst-case scenarios while burying nuances in the fine print. In his book Unsettled<\/a><\/em>, Steve Koonin gives a detailed account of how the climate change message gets distorted as the underlying research literature goes through successive political filters and gets converted to report summaries subject to alarmist and apocalyptic media coverage and politicians\u2019 soundbites.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lomborg misses a key fact. The IPCC\u2019s power comes not from thousands of pages of analysis. It comes from one document: the \u2018Summary for Policymakers\u2019 (SPM). This is not a neutral scientific pr\u00e9cis. It is a negotiated political text, approved line by line by government delegates, many of whom arrive with explicit policy objectives already fixed. Scientists may object but governments decide. As Steve Koonin and others show, this process often deletes doubts. It weakens warnings. And it changes facts to fit policy narratives. Whatever \u2018voice\u2019 scientists exercise inside the IPCC is overridden at precisely the point where it would matter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lomborg himself has spent decades criticising this, from his seminal The Sceptical Environmentalist<\/a><\/em> to False Alarm<\/a><\/em>, where he dismantles the economic absurdities of trillion-dollar green schemes that impoverish the poor \u201cwithout cooling the planet\u201d. He knows the IPCC\u2019s reports are laced with alarmism: models that overstate warming, ignore adaptation and peddle doomsday narratives to justify draconian policies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet Lomborg clings to the insider illusion. He believes that leverage by the US as typically the top funder can temper the excesses \u2013 keep the summaries honest, inject objective cost-benefit analysis and curb the hysteria. But this overlooks the IPCC\u2019s structural rot. The panel\u2019s processes favour consensus over contestation, with lead authors often being activists rather than pursuing dispassionate science. Dissenting views, like those on solar forcing or natural variability, are side-lined. Governments, especially from the EU bloc, dominate the approval sessions, ensuring outputs align with Net Zero imperatives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Withdrawal is Liberation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Staying in means the US ultimately endorses the IPCC \u2013 its scientists contribute chapters, its diplomats haggle over wording and its dollars bankroll the show. Even if America pushes back, the compromises dilute its stance. Resources squandered on endless meetings could fund independent research. Exiting frees Washington to denounce the IPCC unreservedly, eroding its aura of infallibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, withdrawal isn\u2019t isolation; it\u2019s liberation. The US can forge parallel institutions: a coalition of sceptical nations \u2013 India, Brazil, Argentina \u2013 focused on pragmatic climate policy. Think adaptation over mitigation, energy security over virtue-signalling. Public advocacy, diplomacy and media campaigns can spotlight the IPCC\u2019s biases, much like Lomborg does, but amplified by state power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, consider the funding angle, which Lomborg downplays but is central to the case for exit. The US isn\u2019t just a donor: it\u2019s the whale in the UN pond. In 2024, America footed over a quarter of the IPCC\u2019s budget \u2013 about $1.9 million out of a modest total, dwarfing China\u2019s $23,000. The US provides 22% of the regular UN budget and up to 26% of peacekeeping. No other nation comes close. China, the second largest, pays far less relative to its economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In recent years, the IPCC has operated on a relatively modest annual budget financed through voluntary government contributions, with total income for 2024 reported at approximately $5-6 million. Meanwhile, within the broader United Nations system, the United States is the largest assessed contributor, responsible for about 22% of the regular UN budget<\/a> and roughly 26% of the peacekeeping budget \u2014 shares set by assessment rules and far larger than those of most other states, including China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This dependency is the Achilles\u2019 heel of the UN\u2019s climate apparatus. The IPCC, UNFCCC and related bodies rely on American largesse to function. Pull the funding, and the shockwaves reverberate. Bureaucrats scramble, programmes stall, and the edifice cracks. It\u2019s not hyperbole: the Trump administration\u2019s recent withdrawals from 66 UN and non-UN entities<\/a>, including the key climate-focused IPCC and UNFCCC, have already triggered alarms about budget shortfalls and mission cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The United Nations is confronting its most severe financial crisis in years as sweeping budget cuts approved by the US Congress threaten to dismantle critical programmes and eliminate hundreds of positions worldwide. According to press reports, the UN\u2019s 2026 operational budget faces a devastating shortfall<\/a> following Washington\u2019s decision to significantly reduce its contributions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This financial hammer is especially potent against the EU\u2019s Net Zero stranglehold. Brussels has colonised UN agencies with its alarmist ideology, pushing carbon taxes, emissions trading and green deals that prioritise ideology over economics. The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism<\/a> (CBAM), set for 2026, exemplifies this \u2013 a tariff on carbon-intensive imports that\u2019s less about the planet and more about protecting uncompetitive European industries while forcing the Global South to toe the Net Zero line. As I\u2019ve argued elsewhere, the days are numbered for carbon colonialism<\/a>, and the EU\u2019s attempt to repeat imperial patterns under green guise will get increasingly threadbare and difficult as the US pursues a pro-fossil fuels agenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Time to Starve the Beast<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The EU\u2019s influence permeates the IPCC: European scientists dominate authorship, and summaries echo Brussels\u2019 doomsaying to justify policies like the Green New Deal. Net Zero, with its ruinous costs \u2013 deindustrialisation in Germany<\/a>, increasing risks of blackouts<\/a> in the UK, farmer revolts<\/a> in Europe \u2013 is exported via UN channels, pressuring developing nations to abandon fossil fuels. India and Brazil, for example, rightly decry this as hypocritical: the West industrialised on coal and oil, now denying others the same ladder out of poverty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US withdrawal and defunding would shatter this hegemony. Without American dollars, the UNFCCC\u2019s and IPCC\u2019s credibility plummets \u2013 no more veneer of global consensus when the world\u2019s largest economy calls it quits. EU nations, already straining under their own green follies (for instance, Germany\u2019s chemical sector in precipitous decline<\/a> thanks to Energiewende<\/em>), can\u2019t fill the gap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shock forces introspection: perhaps it might help dial back the alarmism and incorporate credible energy scenarios. Chancellor Friedrich Merz\u2019s recent admission<\/a> that Germany\u2019s nuclear phase-out was a \u201cserious strategic mistake\u201d indicates the extent to which Germany\u2019s dalliance with the Energiewende <\/em>has unravelled.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Critics like the Environmental Defence Fund warn that this undermines US \u201cglobal standing<\/a>\u201c. Nonsense. Standing comes from strength, not from subservience to flawed multilateral agencies<\/a> held captive to the climate industrial complex. The Trump administration has rightly called for audits of international commitments which prioritise US national interest, yielding trade wins and energy independence. Exiting the IPCC aligns with this. Why patronise an organization which fuels policies which harm American workers and offshores jobs to China under green pretexts?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lomborg fears abandonment cedes the field to alarmists. But that\u2019s inverted logic. Insiders like him have poked holes for years, yet the narrative persists. External opposition, backed by funding cuts, is the disruptor needed. Of course, risks exist. Allies might grumble, but a weak and geopolitically irrelevant Europe is in no position to retaliate. Developing countries, weary of EU dictates, might applaud. Domestically, climate hawks will howl, but public fatigue with green costs (soaring bills, unreliable grids) provides cover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In sum, the IPCC isn\u2019t a table worth sitting at; it\u2019s a trapdoor to economic suicide. Lomborg\u2019s stay-and-fight strategy risks perpetual compromise in a rigged game. Exit, defund and oppose from outside \u2013 that\u2019s the path to dismantling the alarmist edifice. As the largest UN benefactor, America\u2019s withdrawal isn\u2019t just symbolic; it\u2019s a weapon against EU-driven Net Zero madness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This article was first published in The Daily Sceptic https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2026\/02\/27\/why-the-us-exit-from-the-ipcc-is-an-unmitigated-good\/<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr Tilak K. Doshi is the <\/em>Daily Sceptic\u2018s Energy Editor. He is an economist, a member of the CO2<\/sub> Coalition and a former contributor to <\/em>Forbes. Follow him on Substack<\/a> and X<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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The idea is simple enough \u2013 stay inside a flawed institution to wield influence rather than bolt and shout from the sidelines.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":429273,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821839,691831058,691818154,691824179,691820304,691833487],"class_list":{"0":"post-429268","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-bjorn-lomborg-2","9":"tag-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change-ippc","10":"tag-net-zero","11":"tag-united-nations-un","12":"tag-united-states","13":"tag-us-president-donald-j-trump","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQMyAoGMPtiGFjOddUOfYL0Zi46SUTlrFEZUq4S_j5a0DYScLcrMxy7-HGR_eStxQDjDfTBo2_1-hK_cc-Clgw_zjsyg0D3HOPAUWPLwt4q3DSmEWLLPghBAIBlErQ2k.jpeg?fit=1280%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1NFG","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":324431,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=324431","url_meta":{"origin":429268,"position":0},"title":"Legal Absurdities in Climate Policy: A Critical Review of Tilak Doshi\u2019s Analysis","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/27\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In his recent Forbes article,\u00a0Tilak Doshi criticizes a landmark ruling by Europe\u2019s highest human rights court, which mandates countries to protect their citizens from the consequences of climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0njmptva.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0njmptva.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0njmptva.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0njmptva.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/0njmptva.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":322669,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=322669","url_meta":{"origin":429268,"position":1},"title":"Monday Mirthiness: A Reversed Ode to the St. Greta Believers","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/25\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Never mind the varying tilt of the earth\u2019s axis Nor its changing elliptical orbit around the sun","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00D8Ehc7AX4AAm1SG.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00D8Ehc7AX4AAm1SG.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00D8Ehc7AX4AAm1SG.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00D8Ehc7AX4AAm1SG.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/00D8Ehc7AX4AAm1SG.jpg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":328477,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=328477","url_meta":{"origin":429268,"position":2},"title":"As Europe Deindustrializes: Is it Undergoing Economic Suicide","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/13\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In an illuminating piece by Tilak Doshi on Forbes, the economic trajectory of Europe under the weight of its environmental policies is critically analyzed. 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