{"id":424306,"date":"2026-02-02T11:43:18","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T10:43:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=424306"},"modified":"2026-02-02T11:43:21","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T10:43:21","slug":"the-new-federal-reference-manual-on-scientific-evidence-all-the-smartest-people-get-hoodwinked-by-the-climate-charlatans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=424306","title":{"rendered":"The New Federal Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence: All the Smartest People Get Hoodwinked by the Climate Charlatans"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"687\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"424316\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=424316\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"784,1168\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 Climate Charlatans\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?fit=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A courtroom scene featuring two men seated at a witness stand, with a large book titled 'The New Federal Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence' prominently displayed. The book includes icons related to law and science, such as a gavel, scales, and graphs, suggesting a discussion about scientific evidence in a legal context.\" class=\"wp-image-424316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 687w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?resize=201%2C300&amp;ssl=1 201w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?resize=768%2C1144&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?resize=640%2C953&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans.jpg?w=784&amp;ssl=1 784w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 687px) 100vw, 687px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.manhattancontrarian.com\/blog\/2026-1-31-the-federal-reference-manual-on-scientific-evidence-all-the-smartest-people-get-hoodwinked-by-the-climate-charlatans\">Manhattan Contrarian<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/www.manhattancontrarian.com\/?author=503a7965e4b0b543ed24305c\">Francis Menton<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"687\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"424317\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=424317\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"784,1168\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0 Climate Charlatans-1\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?fit=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Book titled 'The New Federal Reference Manual On Scientific Evidence' with a gavel, DNA strand, and upward graph graphic, surrounded by legal documents.\" class=\"wp-image-424317\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?resize=687%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 687w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?resize=201%2C300&amp;ssl=1 201w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?resize=768%2C1144&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?resize=640%2C953&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?w=784&amp;ssl=1 784w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 687px) 100vw, 687px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">It is truly remarkable how easy it is to fool the smartest people. And especially when you tell them they are helping to save the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">So, something called the Federal Judicial Center has just come out with a new edition, the 4th, of something called the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fjc.gov\/content\/396456\/reference-manual-scientific-evidence-fourth-edition\">Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence<\/a>. The publication date appears to be December 31, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The idea that the federal government, and in particular the judiciary, needs a reference manual on scientific evidence seems to date from the 1990s. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The courts, then as now, were facing an increasing volume of cases involving complex scientific evidence; and meanwhile almost none of the judges are trained in science. Best to provide them with a good grounding in the basics. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Fortunately, back in the 60s Congress had established something called the Federal Judicial Center as a \u201cresearch and education agency\u201d of the judicial branch. Here was the perfect opportunity for that bureaucracy to expand their mission and budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">In this latest version of the Reference Manual, the FJC has totally lost its way. Somehow, it got captured by a clique of climate charlatans who have inserted a lengthy section that is anti-science and based on logical fallacy. And many dozens of seemingly smart people who were supposedly reviewing this have gotten hoodwinked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">From the outset this Reference Manual thing was not a small project. For the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fjc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2017\/Reference-Manual-Scientific-Evidence-1st-ed-1994.pdf\">First Edition of the Manual in 1994<\/a>, the FJC partnered with the Carnegie Corporation, rounded up 19 authors and 98 peer reviewers, and produced a document of some 637 pages. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">But they were only getting started. For the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fjc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/2012\/sciman00.pdf\">Second Edition (2000)<\/a>, Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer got involved, and the list of contributors had grown substantially. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">By the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fjc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/materials\/21\/SciMan3D01.pdf\">Third Edition (2011)<\/a>, the National Research Council (part of the \u201cNational Academies\u201d) had joined the project, and the addition of multiple new topics had caused the Manual to expand to 1034 pages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">And now we are up to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fjc.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/materials\/15\/Reference%20Manual.pdf\">Fourth Edition<\/a>. It runs to 1682 pages. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The National Academies have become heavily involved, along with lots of judges. Seven pages preceding the Foreword are taken up listing the dozens of highly distinguished members of various committees and peer review panels who had some role in producing the document. Justice Elena Kagan has written the Foreword.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Many topics have been added. One of those is a section running from page 1561 to 1652 called \u201cReference Guide on Climate Science.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">This is a transparent advocacy piece inserted to further the goals of various \u201cclimate\u201d litigations brought in the court system. At the core of this section is a fundamental logical fallacy. How all the distinguished pooh-bahs who signed on to this Manual allowed this chapter to pass through is beyond me.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Now I\u2019m not saying that everything in the Manual is wrong. I guess that a fundamental problem with 1600-page documents is that there is going to be a lot that is wrong and nobody intelligent is ever going to have the time to root all out all the fallacies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Among sections of the Manual that aren\u2019t too terrible is a section running from pages 47 to 112 titled \u201cHow Science Works.\u201d The authors are Michael Weisberg and Anastasia Thanukos. T<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">his section contains basic information on the logic of the scientific method, along with many examples of applications. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">The section is by no means written the way I would have written it (it is way longer than it needs to be, and the most important points are buried), but still, I can subscribe to its general approach. At page 62 begins a sub-section titled \u201cScience Investigates Testable Hypotheses.\u201d I think the word \u201cfalsifiable\u201d is better than \u201ctestable,\u201d but this is close enough. Here is an excerpt from that sub-section:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Communities engaged in scientific endeavors work with testable hypotheses. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><em>For a hypothesis to be testable, it must, by itself or in conjunction with other hypotheses, generate specific predictions\u2014\u00ad a set of observations that one could expect to make if the hypothesis \u00adwere true and\/or a set of observations that would be inconsistent with the idea and lead one to believe that it is not true.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><em> If an explanation is equally compatible with all pos\u00adsi\u00adble observations, then it is not testable and hence, not within the reach of science.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Yes! I would add after Weisberg\/Thanukos\u2019s first sentence that if a community refuses to articulate testable hypotheses that can be associated with specific predictions, then that community cannot claim to be scientists. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">This is precisely the fundamental problem with the community of people who call themselves \u201cclimate scientists\u201d: they scrupulously avoid ever articulating any proposition that can be associated with specific quantitative predictions, and which thus can be tested and potentially falsified.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">For example, is global warming from human CO2 emissions causing an increase in extreme weather events, like hurricanes and tornadoes? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">You would think that that proposition could be easily articulated as a testable hypothesis, perhaps associated with some known published index like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.severe-weather.eu\/learnweather\/tropical-weather-theory\/what-is-ace-index-accumulated-cyclone-energy-mk\/\">the ACE (\u201caccumulated cyclone energy\u201d) index<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">For example: \u201cWe predict that for each increase of 50 ppm in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere, the ACE index will increase by 20 units.\u201d I\u2019m not saying that that is the only possible testable hypothesis for the association of CO2 emissions with extreme weather, but that is how articulation of a testable hypothesis is done. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Under this prediction, if the atmospheric CO2 concentration goes up by 50 units and the ACE index follows by going up 20 units or more, the prediction is looking good. To the contrary, if the atmospheric CO2 concentration goes up 50 ppm and the ACE index follows by going down, the hypothesis has been contradicted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">By the way, here is NOAA\u2019s graph of the ACE index annually since 1851.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"402\" data-attachment-id=\"424309\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=424309\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?fit=1536%2C854&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1536,854\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?fit=723%2C402&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=723%2C402&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bar graph showing the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of North Atlantic hurricanes from 1851 to 2022, highlighting fluctuations over the years.\" class=\"wp-image-424309\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=1024%2C569&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=300%2C167&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=768%2C427&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=640%2C356&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?resize=1200%2C667&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?w=1536&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/image-19.png?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">(During the time at least since 1950, the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere has been steadily rising. In other words, you would think from the evidence of this publicly available graph that any association of atmospheric CO2 with the level of hurricane energy has been definitively refuted.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">With that background, take a look at the section in the new Manual titled \u201cReference Guide on Climate Science,\u201d beginning at page 1561. The lead author is one Jessica Wentz of Columbia Law School. She is a well-known climate alarm advocate and has served as an expert witness for plaintiffs in litigations seeking to pin climate damage on fossil fuel use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">After lengthy background, we come to the core of this section, beginning at page 1585, with a sub-section titled \u201cClimate Change Detection, Attribution, and Projections.\u201d The very unsubtle idea here is to give support to litigation seeking to blame disasters of various sorts on emitters of CO2 (fossil fuel producers) by \u201cattributing\u201d the disasters to increased CO2 in the atmosphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">There is a legitimate method to attempt use the scientific method to attribute various events to increased CO2 in the atmosphere. That method is to articulate a testable hypothesis and then subject it to test. That is the last thing that these \u201cclimate scientists\u201d would ever allow to be done. Instead, they think they have better ideas. Here is how the authors of this \u201cclimate science\u201d section describe how attribution is done in \u201cclimate science\u201d (from page 1588-89). Get ready for a torrent of meaningless verbiage:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>[A]ttribution involves sifting through a range of possi\u00adble causative \u00ad factors to determine the role of one or more \u00ad drivers with re\u00adspect to the detected change. This is typically accomplished by using physical understanding, as well as climate models and\/or statistical analy\u00adsis, to compare how the variable responds when certain \u00addrivers are changed or eliminated entirely. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>The goal of such studies is to determine \u00adwhether, how, and to what extent anthropogenic drivers have contributed to the observed change. Many attribution studies use a probabilistic approach\u2014\u00ad i.e., researchers \u00adwill seek to quantify the probability of a par\u00adtic\u00adu\u00adlar outcome (e.g., how likely is the occurrence of three inches of rainfall in a day at a given locale) occurring with and without anthropogenic influence on climate. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>However, researchers can also use a mechanistic approach to attribution, whereby they seek to examine how climate change has influenced one or more physical characteristics of an event or \u00ad process.86 Mechanistic studies can provide insights on, for example, the change in magnitude or severity of an extreme event that can be attributed to climate change. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>In the rainfall example above, a mechanistic approach might look at the weather system that produced the heavy rain and describe how one part of climate change that we understand well\u2014\u00ad e.g., the warming of the atmosphere and its resulting increase in the amount of moisture the atmosphere can hold \u2014\u00ad contributed to the event. <\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Mechanistic and probabilistic analyses can be combined in order to develop a more complete picture of whether and to what extent climate change is influencing vari\u00adous pro\u00adcesses and events.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">It goes on and on \u2014 and on and on and on \u2014 from there, burying you in meaningless doubletalk and bafflegab. How about articulating a testable hypothesis and testing it? <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">They will never, ever, ever do that. It could prove the whole enterprise to be wrong!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-medium-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Well, the entire NAS (or maybe it\u2019s now the NASEM) has been taken in. (Or maybe they are in on the scam as a way to keep their funds flowing.) Lots of top federal judges are listed on the boards and committees that signed off on this. Once again, all the smartest people prove that they are not very smart.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It is truly remarkable how easy it is to fool the smartest people.  And especially when you tell them they are helping to save the world.<\/p>\n<p>So, something called the Federal Judicial Center has just come out with a new edition, the 4th, of something called the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence.  The publication date appears to be December 31, 2025.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":424317,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the new Federal Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence and its controversial climate science section, exposing logical fallacies in legal contexts.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Debunking the New Federal Manual on Scientific Evidence","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJpbWciOiJodHRwczpcL1wvY2xpbWF0ZS1zY2llbmNlLnByZXNzXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wMlwvMC1DbGltYXRlLUNoYXJsYXRhbnMtMS02ODd4MTAyNC5qcGciLCJ0eHQiOiJUaGUgTmV3IEZlZGVyYWwgUmVmZXJlbmNlIE1hbnVhbCBvbiBTY2llbnRpZmljIEV2aWRlbmNlOiBBbGwgdGhlIFNtYXJ0ZXN0IFBlb3BsZSBHZXQgSG9vZHdpbmtlZCBieSB0aGUgQ2xpbWF0ZSBDaGFybGF0YW5zIiwidGVtcGxhdGUiOiJoaWdod2F5IiwiZm9udCI6IiIsImJsb2dfaWQiOjE1NTgxMjQ0OX0.dvaB6brK5Ilvs_egZD7oaMgQjzybXhgVSgOK0FjTMW8MQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691829997,691818056,691819140,691841155,691818087,691833237,691841156],"class_list":{"0":"post-424306","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-carbon-dioxide-co","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-climate-science","11":"tag-federal-judicial-center","12":"tag-global-warming","13":"tag-noaa-national-oceanic-and-atmospheric-administration","14":"tag-reference-guide-on-climate-science","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Climate-Charlatans-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1MnE","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":425456,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425456","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":0},"title":"Process Wins One: Federal Judicial Center Deletes Climate Chapter from Judicial Manual","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The Federal Judicial Center (FJC), the research and education arm of the U.S. federal judiciary, has removed a chapter on climate science from the fourth edition of its Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":426035,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=426035","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":1},"title":"U.S. judges saved from alarmist tome","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Quick action by a coalition of States has saved the American judicial system from being presented with a huge hunk of climate alarmism in the guise of guidance. Sounds like a lot and it is. The story starts with a massive judicial tome called the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Climate-justice-paint-mural.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Climate-justice-paint-mural.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Climate-justice-paint-mural.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Climate-justice-paint-mural.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0Climate-justice-paint-mural.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425574,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425574","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":2},"title":"Federal Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence, Climate Science Chapter &#8211; Withdrawn!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"On January 29, a coalition of state Attorneys General from red states, led by the AG of West Virginia (JB McCuskey), had sent a letter to Judge Robin Rosenberg, the Director of the Center, asking for immediate withdrawal of the offending chapter.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0AQMVgOuqu12iybNbN6fYNRnvW2UNsiRszz4jw_HUV2G4hLSYEXfwmcXuXHvkaQ_HiiRpPPsRcyjeNUyH9JGwSkJQkcp4nBxNbxFfda8Cbl66Ynr2j-cmbvHcVx7-GtV5-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C564&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":440411,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=440411","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":3},"title":"The Chief Justice of the Supreme Court must act to restore real science to judicial oversight","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/04\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Judges are not scientists, and the Supreme Court has never claimed they should resolve scientific debates. Their role is procedural and evidentiary: to demand that proffered \u201cscience\u201d in court meets basic standards of reliability before it influences outcomes in toxic torts, regulatory challenges, or mass litigation. Post-Loper Bright, this gatekeeping\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cScientific consensus\u201d\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cScientific consensus\u201d","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=scientific-consensus-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-The-Chief-Justice-of-the-Supreme-Court-must-act-to-restore-real-science-to-judicial-oversight.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-The-Chief-Justice-of-the-Supreme-Court-must-act-to-restore-real-science-to-judicial-oversight.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-The-Chief-Justice-of-the-Supreme-Court-must-act-to-restore-real-science-to-judicial-oversight.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/0-The-Chief-Justice-of-the-Supreme-Court-must-act-to-restore-real-science-to-judicial-oversight.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":424976,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=424976","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":4},"title":"More On the Federal Judicial Center and the Attribution Scam","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"As discussed in the previous post, the Federal Judicial Center\u2019s recently- updated Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence contains a new chapter on Climate Science. That chapter focuses on the promoting the hocus pocus of \u201cattribution\u201d studies that seek to blame every latest hurricane or flood or drought on human emissions\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Federal-Judicial-Center-And-The-Attribution-Scam-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Federal-Judicial-Center-And-The-Attribution-Scam-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Federal-Judicial-Center-And-The-Attribution-Scam-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/0-Federal-Judicial-Center-And-The-Attribution-Scam-1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":430017,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=430017","url_meta":{"origin":424306,"position":5},"title":"Ghostwriters for the Courts: The Climate Litigation Network Behind a Withdrawn Judicial Manual","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Late last year the federal judiciary quietly released a document that almost nobody outside legal circles normally notices: the fourth edition of the Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence. Within weeks one section of that manual vanished. The reason it vanished reveals something deeply troubling about how climate science, academic institutions,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQOtPlj-twVkVNbjMFxg1FfGA2qhjRHqHhEv1jkG_xP2c3_Q-pJlBktiaHEfpipmIiMwHUIqTP_zFBNrxftyKPXc_AXVTtgjjcEcgwOylKHQSRMrkZg9UjlFnntzFx5aUuNQdF0qrxWoVMEYa8D25eVwetWT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQOtPlj-twVkVNbjMFxg1FfGA2qhjRHqHhEv1jkG_xP2c3_Q-pJlBktiaHEfpipmIiMwHUIqTP_zFBNrxftyKPXc_AXVTtgjjcEcgwOylKHQSRMrkZg9UjlFnntzFx5aUuNQdF0qrxWoVMEYa8D25eVwetWT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQOtPlj-twVkVNbjMFxg1FfGA2qhjRHqHhEv1jkG_xP2c3_Q-pJlBktiaHEfpipmIiMwHUIqTP_zFBNrxftyKPXc_AXVTtgjjcEcgwOylKHQSRMrkZg9UjlFnntzFx5aUuNQdF0qrxWoVMEYa8D25eVwetWT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQOtPlj-twVkVNbjMFxg1FfGA2qhjRHqHhEv1jkG_xP2c3_Q-pJlBktiaHEfpipmIiMwHUIqTP_zFBNrxftyKPXc_AXVTtgjjcEcgwOylKHQSRMrkZg9UjlFnntzFx5aUuNQdF0qrxWoVMEYa8D25eVwetWT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/AQOtPlj-twVkVNbjMFxg1FfGA2qhjRHqHhEv1jkG_xP2c3_Q-pJlBktiaHEfpipmIiMwHUIqTP_zFBNrxftyKPXc_AXVTtgjjcEcgwOylKHQSRMrkZg9UjlFnntzFx5aUuNQdF0qrxWoVMEYa8D25eVwetWT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/424306","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=424306"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/424306\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":424318,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/424306\/revisions\/424318"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/424317"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=424306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=424306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=424306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}