{"id":422479,"date":"2026-01-22T09:07:45","date_gmt":"2026-01-22T08:07:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422479"},"modified":"2026-01-22T09:07:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-22T08:07:48","slug":"eye-rolling-climate-science-from-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422479","title":{"rendered":"Eye-rolling climate science from China"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Anthony Watts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

From the \u201ccentral committee told me to pay lip-service to China\u2019s net-zero pathway\u201d department comes this eye-roller via EurekaAlert<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over the past two decades, global warming has continued to accelerate. In response to the climate crisis, the 2015 Paris Agreement established a global consensus to limit global temperature rise to well below 2 \u00b0C by the end of the century. Compared to the initial Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), most parties have submitted updated second-round NDCs since 2020. Against this backdrop, a critical scientific question has emerged: will the accelerating trend of global warming be effectively curbed by current climate actions?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This study, based on a global emissions scenario consistent with China\u2019s net-zero pathway and the 2 \u00b0C target, employed the widely used Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) to conduct more policy-relevant climate change projections. The results indicate that even if all parties fully implement the decarbonization targets outlined in the second-round NDCs, the current acceleration of global warming may still not be effectively curbed over the next two decades. The primary reason is the significant decline in atmospheric aerosol burdens co-emitted with greenhouse gases. Aerosols exert a cooling effect by reflecting solar radiation. A reduction in their emissions weakens this \u201cumbrella\u201d effect, thereby allowing the warming effect of accumulated greenhouse gases\u2014previously partially masked\u2014to become increasingly apparent. The warming acceleration induced by aerosol reduction is particularly pronounced in the Arctic and Eurasia during the Northern Hemisphere winter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate action is crucial for achieving long-term sustainable development: reducing greenhouse gases emissions not only mitigates global warming but also decreases the frequency and intensity of extreme climate events, thereby reducing associated economic losses. Simultaneously, aerosol reduction helps improve air quality and has positive impacts on public health. However, in the process of advancing the net-zero transition, it is essential to consider the additional climate effect owing to co-reduced aerosols and the resulting risks. The study recommends integrating this factor into comprehensive climate policy assessments to more fully capture the long-term benefits and overall climate effectiveness of emission reduction actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Journal Science Bulletin DOI 10.1016\/j.scib.2025.09.024 <\/a><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Graph<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

From the \u201ccentral committee told me to pay lip-service to China\u2019s net-zero pathway\u201d department comes this eye-roller\u00a0via EurekaAlert:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":422486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore how China\u2019s net-zero pathway impacts global warming and the crucial role of aerosol emissions in climate action effectiveness.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"China's Net-Zero Pathway: Impacts on Global Warming Trends","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJpbWciOiJodHRwczpcL1wvY2xpbWF0ZS1zY2llbmNlLnByZXNzXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wMVwvMFNjcmVlbnNob3QtMjAyNi0wMS0yMi0wOTA2MjItMTAyNHg4NTIucG5nIiwidHh0IjoiRXllLXJvbGxpbmcgY2xpbWF0ZSBzY2llbmNlIGZyb20gQ2hpbmEiLCJ0ZW1wbGF0ZSI6ImhpZ2h3YXkiLCJmb250IjoiIiwiYmxvZ19pZCI6MTU1ODEyNDQ5fQ.CPNnwVU4BqTSVL7c5G1DXQHLCw39XCUr9RAZ4TmUynkMQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691840864,691818169,691818341,691818056,691840865,691831096,691818087,691833142,691818154],"class_list":{"0":"post-422479","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-aerosol-reductions","9":"tag-bad-science","10":"tag-china","11":"tag-climate-change","12":"tag-community-earth-system-model-version-2-cesm2","13":"tag-global-mean-surface-temperature-gmst","14":"tag-global-warming","15":"tag-nationally-determined-contributions-ndcs","16":"tag-net-zero","18":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/0Screenshot-2026-01-22-090622.png?fit=1220%2C1015&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1LUb","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":284186,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=284186","url_meta":{"origin":422479,"position":0},"title":"Milloy: Biden\u2019s Kamikaze Climate Plan for the US Economy","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"First, China finally dropped its \u201cnet zero\u201d pose. 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