{"id":422125,"date":"2026-01-19T18:53:16","date_gmt":"2026-01-19T17:53:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422125"},"modified":"2026-01-19T18:53:18","modified_gmt":"2026-01-19T17:53:18","slug":"where-are-the-climate-related-disasters","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=422125","title":{"rendered":"Where Are the Climate-Related Disasters?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"410\" data-attachment-id=\"422137\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=422137\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?fit=1799%2C1019&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1799,1019\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?fit=723%2C410&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=723%2C410&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A dramatic landscape featuring a swirling storm with tornadoes, lightning strikes, and vibrant colors, set against rocky formations and a turbulent sea.\" class=\"wp-image-422137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=1024%2C580&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=300%2C170&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=768%2C435&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=1536%2C870&amp;ssl=1 1536w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=640%2C363&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?resize=1200%2C680&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?w=1799&amp;ssl=1 1799w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQO3dO3vt9IE0MDl_jD7q9PYtJniiyWItO-KVDzlMj-X1nphghTBPCNCI1Ygygax1Ec31aZGxStMceC_KSwbufJVBd31PAAeE9XrI0JdITZ0aZ0lrQVMZ6qDyd84yjdQ-2.jpeg?w=1446&amp;ssl=1 1446w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From The <a href=\"https:\/\/irrationalfear.substack.com\/p\/where-are-the-climte-related-disasters\">Irrational Fear<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/substack.com\/@irrationalfear\">Dr. Matthew Wielicki<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"619\" height=\"810\" data-attachment-id=\"422128\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=422128\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-351.png?fit=619%2C810&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"619,810\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-351.png?fit=619%2C810&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-351.png?resize=619%2C810&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A composite image depicting various climate-related disasters, including a wildfire on the left, a hurricane in the top right, and flooding in a residential area at the bottom. The text 'Where Are the Climate-Related Disasters?' is prominently displayed in the center.\" class=\"wp-image-422128\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-351.png?w=619&amp;ssl=1 619w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-351.png?resize=229%2C300&amp;ssl=1 229w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 619px) 100vw, 619px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>After 25 years of claimed record heat, extreme weather refuses to cooperate<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For decades, the climate crisis narrative has rested on a single, emotionally powerful claim:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>As the planet warms, extreme weather will become more frequent and more intense.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This idea didn\u2019t emerge from nowhere. It has been repeated, often verbatim, by governments, international institutions, scientific bodies, and major media outlets. It became the&nbsp;<em>mechanism<\/em>&nbsp;by which modest warming was transformed into an existential emergency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Extreme weather wasn\u2019t a side effect.<br>It was&nbsp;<em>the<\/em>&nbsp;proof.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Which is why the figure below matters so much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The dataset climate alarmists used\u2026 until it stopped cooperating<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"427\" data-attachment-id=\"422130\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=422130\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?fit=909%2C537&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"909,537\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?fit=723%2C427&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?resize=723%2C427&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Bar graph depicting reported climate-related disasters from 2000 to 2025, showing varying colors representing different disaster types: drought, extreme temperature, flood, storm, and wildfire, with a title suggesting that despite rising emissions and record heat, global climate-related disasters are not increasing.\" class=\"wp-image-422130\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?w=909&amp;ssl=1 909w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?resize=300%2C177&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?resize=768%2C454&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-352.png?resize=640%2C378&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The chart above shows global counts of climate-related disasters, including droughts, floods, storms, wildfires, and extreme temperature events, compiled by the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uclouvain.be\/en\/research-institutes\/irss\/cred-epidemiology-of-disasters\">Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED)<\/a>&nbsp;in Brussels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This database is known as&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.emdat.be\/\">EM-DAT<\/a>, the Emergency Events Database.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is not obscure. EM-DAT has been used by:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/en\/\">The United Nations<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/\">The World Meteorological Organization<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>NGOs and insurers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Climate researchers and IPCC-adjacent studies<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For years, it was routinely cited to argue that climate change was already driving an increase in extreme weather.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now that provisional 2025 data are available, that argument collapses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What the institutions actually claim<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To understand the starkness of the disconnect, it\u2019s essential to examine what authoritative institutions&nbsp;<em>explicitly state<\/em>&nbsp;should be happening.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"636\" height=\"789\" data-attachment-id=\"422132\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=422132\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?fit=636%2C789&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"636,789\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?fit=636%2C789&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?resize=636%2C789&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Infographic discussing scientific consensus on climate change and extreme weather, featuring quotes from IPCC, NASA, NOAA, and the United Nations.\" class=\"wp-image-422132\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?w=636&amp;ssl=1 636w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-354.png?resize=242%2C300&amp;ssl=1 242w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 636px) 100vw, 636px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/assessment-report\/ar6\/\">IPCC Sixth Assessment<\/a>&nbsp;Report states:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAny future warming will increase the occurrence of extreme weather events\u2026 The frequency and intensity of extreme events will considerably increase with warming.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/climate-change\/\">NASA<\/a>&nbsp;echoes this message clearly:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cRecord-breaking heat waves, floods, droughts, wildfires, and hurricanes are all becoming more frequent and more intense.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.climate.gov\/teaching\/literacy\/7-c-increased-extreme-weather-events-due-climate-change#:~:text=Breadcrumb,NOAA\">NOAA\u2019s Climate.gov<\/a>&nbsp;tells the public:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIncidents of extreme weather are projected to increase as a result of climate change.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.un.org\/en\/global-issues\/climate-change\">United Nations<\/a>&nbsp;states bluntly:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cClimate change has led to an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is not subtle language.<br>This is not hedged or cautious.<br>This is the backbone of climate crisis messaging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now compare those claims to the data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What the observational data show instead<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over the last 25 years\u2026 the same 25 years in which:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Atmospheric CO\u2082 reached its highest levels in human history<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Global temperatures rose to claimed record highs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Climate policies expanded dramatically<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Global climate-related disaster counts have not increased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">They are flat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And in 2025, the year following the&nbsp;<em>highest CO\u2082 concentrations and some of the warmest global temperatures on record<\/em>, total disaster counts are lower than at any point in the past quarter-century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yes, the 2025 data are provisional. EM-DAT has a modest reporting lag, particularly for events late in the calendar year. Minor upward revisions are possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But no realistic revision transforms 2025 into a record year for disasters. The signal is not subtle. The trend does not reverse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If warming were driving an explosion of extreme weather, this is precisely where it should appear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>It doesn\u2019t.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The most revealing detail: extreme temperature events<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One detail in the 2025 data deserves special attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the entire world, EM-DAT recorded only one extreme temperature disaster in 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is remarkable given how often we are told that heat waves are becoming ubiquitous, unprecedented, and increasingly deadly everywhere at once.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EM-DAT does not count warm days or uncomfortable summers. It counts documented disaster events that meet thresholds for impact, displacement, or mortality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If heat extremes were spiraling out of control, this category should be surging.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>It isn\u2019t.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why temperature was never the real problem<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Almost no one ever argued that a slightly warmer planet than 1850 was inherently dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The mid-19th century was an exceptionally cold, unstable, and unhealthy period for humanity\u2026 marked by reduced agricultural productivity, widespread disease, and geopolitical turmoil. Returning to 1850 temperatures would not improve human welfare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What made warming \u201cdangerous,\u201d we were told, were the positive feedbacks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>More frequent storms<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>More intense floods<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Worsening droughts<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Escalating wildfires<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expanding heat catastrophes<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Extreme weather was the&nbsp;<em>mechanism<\/em>&nbsp;by which warming became a crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And that&nbsp;<em>mechanism<\/em>&nbsp;is not showing up in the data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The narrative persists anyway<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So why does the crisis framing continue?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"376\" data-attachment-id=\"422134\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=422134\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?fit=1185%2C616&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1185,616\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?fit=723%2C376&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?resize=723%2C376&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Screenshot of an article titled '2025: The fourth warmest year in U.S. history was full of deadly weather extremes' from Yale Climate Connections, discussing weather patterns and billion-dollar disasters.\" class=\"wp-image-422134\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?resize=1024%2C532&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?resize=300%2C156&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?resize=768%2C399&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?resize=640%2C333&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-355.png?w=1185&amp;ssl=1 1185w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/yaleclimateconnections.org\/2026\/01\/fourth-warmest-year-in-u-s-history-2025\/\">https:\/\/yaleclimateconnections.org\/2026\/01\/fourth-warmest-year-in-u-s-history-2025\/<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Because once a narrative becomes institutionalized, it no longer depends on observational confirmation. It depends on repetition, authority, and moral framing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When EM-DAT appeared to support alarmism, it was cited constantly.<br>Now that it doesn\u2019t, it\u2019s quietly ignored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is not how healthy science behaves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The smoking gun problem<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After 25 years of rising emissions and record heat, the disaster surge that was supposed to justify a global emergency never materialized.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That doesn\u2019t mean weather doesn\u2019t happen.<br>It doesn\u2019t mean adaptation isn\u2019t necessary.<br>And it doesn\u2019t mean the climate stops changing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It means the crisis narrative is failing its own empirical test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And that should force a reassessment\u2026 not a doubling down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Closing thought<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If extreme weather is not increasing, then the justification for permanent emergency politics collapses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fear was always the fuel.<br>Disasters were always the proof.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Without them, the climate crisis loses its foundation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For decades, the climate crisis narrative has rested on a single, emotionally powerful claim:<br \/>\nAs the planet warms, extreme weather will become more frequent and more intense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJ0eHQiOiJXaGVyZSBBcmUgdGhlIENsaW1hdGUtUmVsYXRlZCBEaXNhc3RlcnM_IiwidGVtcGxhdGUiOiJoaWdod2F5IiwiZm9udCI6IiIsImJsb2dfaWQiOjE1NTgxMjQ0OX0._uM3A2Yvttyx_JoeEX1BV5-S2gi3y3tT92DBcImKyq0MQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818721,691818056,691818102,691835937,691840816,691818514,691819222],"class_list":["post-422125","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-alarmists","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-crisis","tag-em-dat-the-international-disaster-database","tag-emergency-politics","tag-extreme-weather","tag-temperature","has-post-thumbnail","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1LOt","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":273850,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=273850","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":0},"title":"\u201cThere Is No Climate Crisis\u201d\u20261600 Scientists Worldwide, Nobel Prize Laureate Sign Declaration","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/16\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"The message is clear: there is no climate crisis. The number of critical scientists who no longer submit to the dogma of the alleged man-made climate catastrophe is growing.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate crisis\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate crisis","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-crisis"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/00tince.png?fit=1200%2C642&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":253164,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=253164","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":1},"title":"Sorry, PBS, Bangladeshi Farm Innovation Has Nothing to Do with Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/16\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"That Bangladeshi\u2019s are innovating is laudable and valuable, but their actions have nothing to do with climate change because data show no significant changes are affecting Bangladesh.","rel":"","context":"In \"Bangladesh\"","block_context":{"text":"Bangladesh","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bangladesh"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0N4zfMt.jpg?fit=1025%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0N4zfMt.jpg?fit=1025%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0N4zfMt.jpg?fit=1025%2C685&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0N4zfMt.jpg?fit=1025%2C685&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":294439,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=294439","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":2},"title":"Major U.S. Disaster Database That Was Quoted by President Biden as Proof of Climate Change is Slammed as an \u201cEgregious Failure of Scientific Inquiry\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The findings from this database have fuelled climate alarm for decades, and it is widely quoted by scientific journals, media and politicians.","rel":"","context":"In \"Attribution studies\"","block_context":{"text":"Attribution studies","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=attribution-studies"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/00tornado-supercell-evening-stock.jpg?fit=1200%2C847&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":270863,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=270863","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":3},"title":"Greece\u2019s Fires: A Human Act, Not Climate Change Catastrophe","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Greek Minister of Climate Crisis and Civil Protection, Vassilis Kikilias, informs us that, \u201cDuring this time 667 fires erupted, that is more than 60 fires a day, almost all over the country. Unfortunately, the majority were ignited by human hand, either by criminal negligence or intent.\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"Arson\"","block_context":{"text":"Arson","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arson"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Greece-fires-At-least-74-dead-hundreds-rescued.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Greece-fires-At-least-74-dead-hundreds-rescued.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Greece-fires-At-least-74-dead-hundreds-rescued.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Greece-fires-At-least-74-dead-hundreds-rescued.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/0Greece-fires-At-least-74-dead-hundreds-rescued.jpg?fit=1200%2C798&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":414529,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=414529","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":4},"title":"What is a \u201cclimate crisis?\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/24\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a new\u00a0paper\u00a0by Gianluca Alimonti and Luigi Mariani, they argue that the public needs a proper definition of precisely what a climate crisis is to make rational decisions about how to address potential climate change threats (Alimonti & Mariani, 2025). They propose a set of measurable \u201cResponse Indicators\u201d (RINDs) based\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cResponse Indicators\u201d (RINDs)\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cResponse Indicators\u201d (RINDs)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=response-indicators-rinds"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMGHuBNMDMQEHS1pZ0Wh3vFNa49SpvhvsNfDoGHxh8kMS9yZ-SusihRq8AOq9gIZyonuqIiJqxmGGU1V91QirFatLBKwQ005nhbR0Szo317cV3agkIVj76R-_IA0iGx.jpeg?fit=960%2C947&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMGHuBNMDMQEHS1pZ0Wh3vFNa49SpvhvsNfDoGHxh8kMS9yZ-SusihRq8AOq9gIZyonuqIiJqxmGGU1V91QirFatLBKwQ005nhbR0Szo317cV3agkIVj76R-_IA0iGx.jpeg?fit=960%2C947&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMGHuBNMDMQEHS1pZ0Wh3vFNa49SpvhvsNfDoGHxh8kMS9yZ-SusihRq8AOq9gIZyonuqIiJqxmGGU1V91QirFatLBKwQ005nhbR0Szo317cV3agkIVj76R-_IA0iGx.jpeg?fit=960%2C947&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMGHuBNMDMQEHS1pZ0Wh3vFNa49SpvhvsNfDoGHxh8kMS9yZ-SusihRq8AOq9gIZyonuqIiJqxmGGU1V91QirFatLBKwQ005nhbR0Szo317cV3agkIVj76R-_IA0iGx.jpeg?fit=960%2C947&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":413479,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413479","url_meta":{"origin":422125,"position":5},"title":"No, The Independent, Weather Disasters Do Not Threaten Survival in the U.K.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/16\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In The Independent\u2019s article, \u201cIs your kitchen at risk from climate change? It\u2019s closer to home than you think,\u201d author David Simon warns that the climate crisis has moved from \u201cour children\u2019s future\u201d into our homes. Data show these claims are false. Weather hasn\u2019t turned unusually severe nor is the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQNmHu25U-PyxAHyi1dqLNblCIAYYNEzIElC1Xxf-nO7YccDB3WqRdDxYhlKpcMUI6OVaSW7Q4tC74r0mc9Eqm4ScBQRrjyhl9DtgIS_sjEY1JlwYT7ncOFsdEvVbyr2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQNmHu25U-PyxAHyi1dqLNblCIAYYNEzIElC1Xxf-nO7YccDB3WqRdDxYhlKpcMUI6OVaSW7Q4tC74r0mc9Eqm4ScBQRrjyhl9DtgIS_sjEY1JlwYT7ncOFsdEvVbyr2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQNmHu25U-PyxAHyi1dqLNblCIAYYNEzIElC1Xxf-nO7YccDB3WqRdDxYhlKpcMUI6OVaSW7Q4tC74r0mc9Eqm4ScBQRrjyhl9DtgIS_sjEY1JlwYT7ncOFsdEvVbyr2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQNmHu25U-PyxAHyi1dqLNblCIAYYNEzIElC1Xxf-nO7YccDB3WqRdDxYhlKpcMUI6OVaSW7Q4tC74r0mc9Eqm4ScBQRrjyhl9DtgIS_sjEY1JlwYT7ncOFsdEvVbyr2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQNmHu25U-PyxAHyi1dqLNblCIAYYNEzIElC1Xxf-nO7YccDB3WqRdDxYhlKpcMUI6OVaSW7Q4tC74r0mc9Eqm4ScBQRrjyhl9DtgIS_sjEY1JlwYT7ncOFsdEvVbyr2.jpeg?fit=1200%2C680&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/422125","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=422125"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/422125\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":422138,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/422125\/revisions\/422138"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=422125"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=422125"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=422125"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}