{"id":421518,"date":"2026-01-15T17:13:46","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T16:13:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=421518"},"modified":"2026-01-15T17:13:48","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T16:13:48","slug":"global-hurricane-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=421518","title":{"rendered":"Global Hurricane Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Aerial<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We all know hurricanes are getting worse, don\u2019t we? After the MSM keeps telling us so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After Hurricane Melissa a few months ago, for instance, the BBC\u2019s weathergirl, Sarah Keith-Lucas, was adamant that \u201cThe frequency of very intense hurricanes such as Melissa is increasing\u201d. <\/em>Similar claims abound across the networks and newspapers every time a big hurricane comes along. And that\u2019s before we even mention the fake climate attribution studies designed to make headlines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The only problem is that the data does not agree!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Full data has now been published for hurricanes globally in 2025 and it again confirms that long term trends remain flat, contradicting the fake news published by the media. (Please note that scientifically, hurricanes are strictly referred to as \u201ctropical cyclones\u201d. However, colloquially they are referred to as hurricanes in the Atlantic, typhoons in the Pacific and cyclones in the Indian Ocean \u2013 regardless of the name, they are exactly the same weather phenomenon. For the purposes of this article, I will refer to them all as hurricanes).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The two charts below are published by the Dept of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University. The first shows the number of hurricanes by year and the second major hurricanes \u2013 the most powerful ones categorised as Cat 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir Simpson scale. Data begins in 1980, which is generally regarded as marking the beginning of comprehensive, worldwide satellite coverage.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Line<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"A<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Total hurricanes numbered 52 last year, against the 30-year average of 47. Major hurricanes totalled 24, just below the average of 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is no evidence of long-term increasing trends in either dataset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hurricane scientists also monitor Accumulated Cyclone Energy, or ACE \u2013 this measures a combination of wind speeds and duration. So, a Cat 5 storm will likely have a high ACE, but so would a weak one that had been meandering the Atlantic for a week or two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Again, as with the first two graphs, there is no increasing trend in ACE.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Line<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Inevitably many more hurricanes are observed and counted nowadays than in earlier decades, simply because we have satellites to monitor them. Before 1980, many hurricanes stayed in mid-ocean and were consequently never spotted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is, however, a robust database for hurricanes that have hit the US, going back to the late 19thC. This data confirms that the absence of any worsening trend in hurricanes, whether frequency or intensity, goes as far back as the 1800s. According to the US Federal climate agency, NOAA:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere is no strong evidence of century-scale increasing trends in U.S. landfalling hurricanes or major hurricanes. Similarly for Atlantic basin-wide hurricane frequency (after adjusting for changing observing capabilities over time), there is not strong evidence for an increase since the late 1800s in hurricanes, major hurricanes, or the proportion of hurricanes that reach major hurricane intensity.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Global Warming and Hurricanes \u2013 Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The lack of meaningful trends is apparent in the two graphs below:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Bar<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Bar<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

US hurricane landfalls<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

RAMMB: TC Real-Time: Real-Time Tropical Cyclone Products – 2025 Season<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the media are not interested in facts and hard data, or what the actual hurricane scientists say. They prefer propaganda.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

We all know hurricanes are getting worse, don\u2019t we? After the MSM keeps telling us so.
\nThe only problem is that the data does not agree!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":421528,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the reality behind hurricane trends, challenging media narratives with data showing no increase in frequency or intensity since 1980.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Debunking Myths: Global Hurricane Trends Remain Flat","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJpbWciOiJodHRwczpcL1wvY2xpbWF0ZS1zY2llbmNlLnByZXNzXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI2XC8wMVwvQVFNY2JwUUxjM0hnNEU4U1BCS0Nvbnp1Q0t6RVJnNHdFS0JUZ20yY2RVdXNIc1JuMHdNRE5QZXRteU5wVXU4NnVBT3VKRW9FOHJISVpHcXBlSFRMU3pWajhCWmdYbFptX2VTemVkcy1KU04yWUtIYVJYaHEzRmRmS19aMnZHMmUtMTAyNHg1NzYucG5nIiwidHh0IjoiR2xvYmFsIEh1cnJpY2FuZSBUcmVuZHMiLCJ0ZW1wbGF0ZSI6ImhpZ2h3YXkiLCJmb250IjoiIiwiYmxvZ19pZCI6MTU1ODEyNDQ5fQ.F_cg1zHQsNpccb1wsD4jNf4OLV0OyugPNHdzToPKCa8MQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691840741,691840737,691840740,691840739,691818104,691833237,691840738],"class_list":["post-421518","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-accumulated-cyclone-energy","tag-bbcs-weathergirl","tag-dept-of-atmospheric-science-at-colorado-state-university","tag-globally-in-2025","tag-hurricanes","tag-noaa-national-oceanic-and-atmospheric-administration","tag-sarah-keith-lucas","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1440%2C810&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1LEG","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":412307,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412307","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":0},"title":"Hurricane Forecast Was Overly Alarmist (Again)\u2026Atlantic Season Ending Near Normal","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicted\u00a0that an above average Atlantic hurricane season\u00a0for 2025.","rel":"","context":"In \"catastrophe prophets\"","block_context":{"text":"catastrophe prophets","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=catastrophe-prophets"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQN6N02xsfBE-OSOofSRtyamKpQY6hvhm2tBf5769db6-tFS1WwqPiIf2mKSgccE4G5Q7ovqTNj2ST06c21jdU0Weo3lL8fiadLtXGXxco_I6Pn1wJkWX_-6As1c24XRMP4eOI0ZOnVqzI6M8IiRWLl6RxeZ1w.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":404544,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=404544","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":1},"title":"Hurricane Bloating Discovery \u2013 No Global Warming Needed","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/24\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"When people hear about hurricanes, they often focus on the category rating: Category 1 through 5, based on maximum wind speeds. But not all hurricanes with the same wind speeds are alike. Some are compact storms while others can span the size of entire states. Larger hurricanes bring far greater\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Category 1 through 5\"","block_context":{"text":"Category 1 through 5","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=category-1-through-5"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQNE9m-vHY2t7WraL5DSk1JXgkxMzZfhaVDHKgXNooIqw78rE_GwnRL6-D_E0OXHArIjfyv3vqH_zw14HBKobSWHY1ihcptMxn0PRXJ01bT0Xj0j8u5Ivlq_4RZwR_X-Mcp5AOR2fqdYuLYtvTDINwOkOZx4-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQNE9m-vHY2t7WraL5DSk1JXgkxMzZfhaVDHKgXNooIqw78rE_GwnRL6-D_E0OXHArIjfyv3vqH_zw14HBKobSWHY1ihcptMxn0PRXJ01bT0Xj0j8u5Ivlq_4RZwR_X-Mcp5AOR2fqdYuLYtvTDINwOkOZx4-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQNE9m-vHY2t7WraL5DSk1JXgkxMzZfhaVDHKgXNooIqw78rE_GwnRL6-D_E0OXHArIjfyv3vqH_zw14HBKobSWHY1ihcptMxn0PRXJ01bT0Xj0j8u5Ivlq_4RZwR_X-Mcp5AOR2fqdYuLYtvTDINwOkOZx4-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQNE9m-vHY2t7WraL5DSk1JXgkxMzZfhaVDHKgXNooIqw78rE_GwnRL6-D_E0OXHArIjfyv3vqH_zw14HBKobSWHY1ihcptMxn0PRXJ01bT0Xj0j8u5Ivlq_4RZwR_X-Mcp5AOR2fqdYuLYtvTDINwOkOZx4-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQNE9m-vHY2t7WraL5DSk1JXgkxMzZfhaVDHKgXNooIqw78rE_GwnRL6-D_E0OXHArIjfyv3vqH_zw14HBKobSWHY1ihcptMxn0PRXJ01bT0Xj0j8u5Ivlq_4RZwR_X-Mcp5AOR2fqdYuLYtvTDINwOkOZx4-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":410910,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=410910","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":2},"title":"BBC Lie About Hurricane\u00a0Melissa","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/30\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The frequency of very intense hurricanes such as Melissa is increasing This simply is not true.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":260794,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=260794","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":3},"title":"Surprise: Hurricane Activity Reconstructions Show Greater Storm Frequency When Globe Was Cold","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate science gets violently shaken up! Sediment core analyses show hurricanes were more frequent when the globe was cool, during the Little Ice Age.\u00a0","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Hurricanes.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Hurricanes.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Hurricanes.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Hurricanes.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-Hurricanes.jpeg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":244445,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=244445","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":4},"title":"Wrong, Phys.org, Atmospheric Rivers and Hurricanes are Not Getting Worse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/19\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Atmospheric rivers are a natural part of the West coast\u2019s climate, and neither historic data, nor recent trend data, indicate that the frequency or severity of those events are increasing.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-473.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-473.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-473.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-473.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-473.png?fit=1200%2C673&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":286476,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=286476","url_meta":{"origin":421518,"position":5},"title":"Computer Says \u201cYes\u201d, \u201cWell Maybe\u201d and \u201cNo\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/04\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"What I want to know is how a computer\/robot can give easily provably fake information! Or, for that matter, be confused! From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood I had a very interesting chat with ChatGPT today! Are hurricanes becoming more common? ChatGPT There is scientific\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421518","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=421518"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421518\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":421531,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/421518\/revisions\/421531"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/421528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=421518"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=421518"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=421518"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}