{"id":420415,"date":"2026-01-08T08:40:18","date_gmt":"2026-01-08T07:40:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420415"},"modified":"2026-01-08T10:46:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-08T09:46:43","slug":"ev-sales-end-year-way-below-target","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420415","title":{"rendered":"EV Sales End Year Way Below\u00a0Target"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"420428\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=420428\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A modern electric vehicle displayed in a sleek, illuminated showroom with a blue accent, showcasing its design and charging station in the background.\" class=\"wp-image-420428\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>In the UK specifically, EV sales reached about 23% of new cars in 2025, below the government&#8217;s 28% mandate target, prompting criticism and expectations of further policy adjustments.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>And the sales they did make were inflated by &#8220;unsustainable&#8221; discounts costing the country over \u00a35 BILLION&#8230; and none of this will make any difference whatsoever to the planet&#8217;s climate, just sayin&#8217;&#8230;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"420430\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=420430\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A barren landscape filled with rusted and abandoned cars, under a dark, cloudy sky.\" class=\"wp-image-420430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=200%2C200&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM6WRiIJ49lUHF8edSPdCiaoY-AdVrc-DGU0TSFgLSDA4hAQzMiiql5763RA8gnsdmbWEuSEymJnZnyvziN4WsLekTv2kLbkDu2Ghfghl2FMvmyvudRcsWbN9swh0XzmEg6_qfbcYBUV6jjiiyz05iUnsm3GA.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">_____________________________________________________________________________________________<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com\/2026\/01\/06\/ev-sales-end-year-way-below-target\/\">NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"436\" data-attachment-id=\"420418\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=420418\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?fit=1024%2C617&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1024,617\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?fit=723%2C436&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?resize=723%2C436&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Table comparing electric and traditional vehicle sales data for the years 2025 and 2024, including figures for BEV, HEV, PHEV, PETROL, and DIESEL with percentage changes and market share.\" class=\"wp-image-420418\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?w=1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?resize=300%2C181&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?resize=768%2C463&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-105.png?resize=640%2C386&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.smmt.co.uk\/vehicle-data\/car-registrations\/\">UK New Car Registration Data &#8211; Latest Figures &amp; Statistics | SMMT<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">EV sales have fallen even further below government targets, accounting for 23.43% last year, against a target of 28%, a shortfall of 92397.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The deficit in 2024 was 47641, making a cumulative total of 140,038. Manufacturers will have to pay fines of \u00a315000 for every car they fall short of their EV target or buy certificates from those who exceeded them. There are certain allowances for manufacturers who have beaten their emissions targets in recent years, but these are minor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But ignoring these allowances, the motor industry faces fines of \u00a32.1 billion already. They can carry forward any deficits in the hope that they have surpluses in future years, but is something that is extremely unlikely, given the ramping up of ZEV targets in the next four years:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"441\" height=\"269\" data-attachment-id=\"420422\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=420422\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-107.png?fit=441%2C269&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"441,269\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-107.png?fit=441%2C269&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-107.png?resize=441%2C269&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Table displaying annual electric vehicle sales targets from 2024 to 2035, showing percentage goals for each year.\" class=\"wp-image-420422\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-107.png?w=441&amp;ssl=1 441w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-107.png?resize=300%2C183&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 441px) 100vw, 441px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This video is a good summary:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"723\" height=\"407\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/rewIX326hMs?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"720\" height=\"360\" data-attachment-id=\"420425\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=420425\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?fit=720%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"720,360\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?fit=720%2C360&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?resize=720%2C360&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Screenshot of a news article discussing the challenges faced by car manufacturers in meeting electric vehicle sales targets and the financial implications of failing to do so.\" class=\"wp-image-420425\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?w=720&amp;ssl=1 720w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-109.png?resize=640%2C320&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u00a35 billion of discounts, \u00a311000 per car, is obviously unsustainable. But the alternative of paying a \u00a315000 fine is equally unsustainable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile it will be Tesla and the Chinese who will make billions from selling their ZEV surplus certificates to the highest bidders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two biggest EV sellers are Tesla and BYD, with EV sales of 45000 and 51000 respectively. Their combined \u201csurplus\u201d equates to 69000, worth \u00a310 billion at \u00a315000 a pop.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With the overall market in deficit, demand for these certificates will exceed supply, so the market price for them will be close to \u00a315000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hands up who thought it would be a good idea to fine British carmakers and hand the money over to China?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mike Hawes to bring forward the 2027 review. Sorry Mike, but there is only one solution \u2013 scrap the whole ZEV mandate now and distribute free certificates to any carmaker who is already in deficit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the UK specifically, EV sales reached about 23% of new cars in 2025, below the government&#8217;s 28% mandate target, prompting criticism and expectations of further policy adjustments.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":420428,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJpbWciOiJodHRwczpcL1wvaTAud3AuY29tXC9jbGltYXRlLXNjaWVuY2UucHJlc3NcL3dwLWNvbnRlbnRcL3VwbG9hZHNcLzIwMjZcLzAxXC9BUU9aQWV4UGp1d0h6ZmpuR3RtNFA3cWlVeWJHa0preXZkM2FpYjdXMmhCeTNiT3VOcmZoekdEX2dmQUk3cW5nc2J3dEJER2N5d05XWlJZQ1pOVWRYVy1acHRadk9hX2ZpaUJrYVNpLVpJSk5qUlNDNnNMTzRGM19HQ1l1QTB6U0lkMkhHd0tELW9nbGdUR0M1ZGhtbUZCUkswdk5ZUS5qcGVnP2ZpdD03MjMlMkM3MjMmc3NsPTEiLCJ0eHQiOiJFViBTYWxlcyBFbmQgWWVhciBXYXkgQmVsb3dcdTAwYTBUYXJnZXQiLCJ0ZW1wbGF0ZSI6ImhpZ2h3YXkiLCJmb250IjoiIiwiYmxvZ19pZCI6MTU1ODEyNDQ5fQ.UpkRIj7VSff-EkXIcV8iegsy1VgQnwO7Pc0NnVeTAdsMQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-420415","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","9":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1LmT","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":425213,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425213","url_meta":{"origin":420415,"position":0},"title":"Britain needs \u2018reality check\u2019 over electric car targets, warns Hyundai","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Hyundai's European boss, Xavier Martinet, has warned that Britain's strict electric vehicle (EV) targets under the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate risk causing \"severe disruption\" in the market. He suggested the policy no longer makes sense and requires a \"reality check,\" potentially leading some carmakers to stop selling vehicles in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicle (EV)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicle (EV)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicle-ev"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOZAexPjuwHzfjnGtm4P7qiUybGkJkyvd3aib7W2hBy3bOuNrfhzGD_gfAI7qngsbwtBDGcywNWZRYCZNUdXW-ZptZvOa_fiiBkaSi-ZIJNjRSC6sLO4F3_GCYuA0zSId2HGwKD-oglgTGC5dhmmFBRK0vNYQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":299418,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=299418","url_meta":{"origin":420415,"position":1},"title":"UK To Subsidise China Car\u00a0Manufacturers","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"As noted previously, the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate took effect last month.","rel":"","context":"In \"China\"","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=china"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0byd-tang-bev.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419470,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419470","url_meta":{"origin":420415,"position":2},"title":"Electric car charger rollout suffers slowdown in blow to\u00a0Labour","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"02\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Recent reports from late December 2025 and early January 2026 highlight a significant slowdown in the installation of public electric vehicle (EV) chargers in the UK, marking the first year-on-year decline in the rate of new additions. This development has been described as a setback for the Labour government's net\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Automotive industry\"","block_context":{"text":"Automotive industry","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=automotive-industry"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN7LoMs9IHwl0mGvms12omiIZc3_kNlm00oWaMH-oDI6gNM_UrTHMvYDgj0rhlJZbADZFLnxjR1dPeSvxKTnVl_UpcEY4X1bzWCsm-2zsPO6RSyj3R2YS8XYCZTfcAc1xBnyyIyyX4KkLGOAdYevm6E6BQT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN7LoMs9IHwl0mGvms12omiIZc3_kNlm00oWaMH-oDI6gNM_UrTHMvYDgj0rhlJZbADZFLnxjR1dPeSvxKTnVl_UpcEY4X1bzWCsm-2zsPO6RSyj3R2YS8XYCZTfcAc1xBnyyIyyX4KkLGOAdYevm6E6BQT.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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Crash","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"With the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars less than four years away now, there remains one seemingly insurmountable obstacle: nobody wants to buy electric cars.","rel":"","context":"In \"electric vehicles (EV\u2019s)\"","block_context":{"text":"electric vehicles (EV\u2019s)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=electric-vehicles-evs-2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/AQOQOz0ed3ohL1N2Kns-fG8rB2Pq7RVsfU1ITh8OKJPOIWu75-Y2KDxrmisRjMUADKnmY9JB3EmXinm9qyjsTUUatuyN9UfcFXDJD_Hm0V1e01RZLjzwaeKOt-H5xcc.jpeg?fit=1200%2C559&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, 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manufacturers must ensure that electric cars make up at least 33% of their total registrations this year or face swingeing government fines of \u00a312000 for every car they are short.","rel":"","context":"In \"Car manufacturers\"","block_context":{"text":"Car manufacturers","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=car-manufacturers"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Electric-Car-Mandates-Start-To-Bite1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Electric-Car-Mandates-Start-To-Bite1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Electric-Car-Mandates-Start-To-Bite1.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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Automakers initially touted EVs as electric variants of traditional combustion vehicles, which did themselves a disservice. 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