{"id":418324,"date":"2025-12-23T10:59:30","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T09:59:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=418324"},"modified":"2025-12-23T10:59:32","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T09:59:32","slug":"climate-apocalypse-fantasy-from-next-year-crop-yields-will-begin-to-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=418324","title":{"rendered":"Climate Apocalypse Fantasy: From Next Year, Crop Yields will Begin to Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"609\" data-attachment-id=\"418332\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=418332\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?fit=1124%2C946&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1124,946\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?fit=723%2C609&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?resize=723%2C609&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A farmer holding a pitchfork stands in front of a red tractor, silhouetted against a vibrant sunset over rolling hills.\" class=\"wp-image-418332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?resize=1024%2C862&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?resize=300%2C252&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?resize=768%2C646&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?resize=640%2C539&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?w=1124&amp;ssl=1 1124w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2025\/12\/20\/climate-apocalypse-fantasy-from-next-year-crop-yields-will-begin-to-fall\/\">Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Essay by<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/author\/eworrall1\/\">Eric Worrall<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"418330\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=418330\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A scenic vineyard with rows of grapevines bearing dark grapes and a house in the background, under a sunset sky.\" class=\"wp-image-418330\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=768%2C768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=640%2C640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=1200%2C1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=600%2C600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=400%2C400&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=200%2C200&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMg2VdrXPE46BXD_MHCH2w9biTrnW2DRHb182WiKi7M1FJ5j5sh0siFvbroHZhIJukvdfRpij4cEMY2saOuTREGxR0JsBrZJUVIfRMrvUuHtT3SHXainWGKw5k40eXk7Rl3M5VkAs4pytz2NWOAC7DmSStrbw.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A graph with a predictive inflection point like that would be laughed out of a high school science class.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>How climate breakdown is putting the world\u2019s food in peril \u2013 in maps and charts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From floods to droughts, erratic weather patterns are affecting food security, with crop yields projected to fall if changes are not made<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/frederick-o-brien\">Frederick O\u2019Brien<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/pablo-gutierrez\">Pablo Guti\u00e9rrez<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/ashley-kirk\">Ashley Kirk<\/a><br>Thu 18 Dec 2025 18.00 AEDT<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Experts have warned that the world\u2019s ability to feed itself is under threat from the \u201cchaos\u201d of extreme weather caused by climate change.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crop yields have increased enormously over the past few decades. But early warning signs have arrived as crop yield rates flatline, prompting warnings of efficiency hitting its limits and the impacts of climate change taking effect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At first glance trends seem positive. Farming methods have become more and more efficient over the last 80 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, multiple projections suggest that climate change will soon have key crops plateauing, then sliding down again. The chart shows how crop yields could fall over the rest of the century under a high-emissions scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The effects of climate change are predicted to reduce the yields of all of these key crops.&nbsp;<strong>This modelling<\/strong>&nbsp;only takes into account forecasts for climate change and income growth, and&nbsp;<strong>does not account for other factors that may limit this effect or boost yields, such as technological innovations or land use changes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, the world\u2019s population is expected to grow by a further 2 billion by the end of the century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More than 600 million people worldwide are projected to face food insecurity \u2013 or worse \u2013 by 2030. Increasingly erratic climates will only make the situation worse unless action is taken.<br><br>\u2026Read more:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/ng-interactive\/2025\/dec\/18\/how-climate-breakdown-is-putting-the-worlds-food-in-peril-in-maps-and-charts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/ng-interactive\/2025\/dec\/18\/how-climate-breakdown-is-putting-the-worlds-food-in-peril-in-maps-and-charts<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The following is the abstract of a study cited by the Guardian authors, but I don\u2019t think the Guardian authors had anything to do with the study;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Article<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.springernature.com\/gp\/open-science\/about\/the-fundamentals-of-open-access-and-open-research\">Open access<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Published:\u00a018 June 2025<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Andrew-Hultgren-Aff1\">Andrew Hultgren<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Tamma-Carleton-Aff2-Aff3\">Tamma Carleton<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Michael-Delgado-Aff4\">Michael Delgado<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Diana_R_-Gergel-Aff5\">Diana R. Gergel<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Michael-Greenstone-Aff3-Aff6-Aff7\">Michael Greenstone<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Trevor-Houser-Aff4\">Trevor Houser<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Solomon-Hsiang-Aff3-Aff8\">Solomon Hsiang<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Amir-Jina-Aff3-Aff7\">Amir Jina<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Robert_E_-Kopp-Aff9\">Robert E. Kopp<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Steven_B_-Malevich-Aff4\">Steven B. Malevich<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Kelly_E_-McCusker-Aff4\">Kelly E. McCusker<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Terin-Mayer-Aff10\">Terin Mayer<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Ishan-Nath-Aff11\">Ishan Nath<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-James-Rising-Aff12\">James Rising<\/a>,\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Ashwin-Rode-Aff6\">Ashwin Rode<\/a>\u00a0&amp;\u00a0<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#auth-Jiacan-Yuan-Aff13\">Jiacan Yuan<\/a>\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/\"><em>Nature<\/em><\/a>&nbsp;<strong>volume&nbsp;642<\/strong>,&nbsp;pages&nbsp;644\u2013652 (2025)<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#citeas\">Cite this article<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"Abs1\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Climate change threatens global food systems<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR1\">1<\/a><\/sup>, but the extent to which adaptation will reduce losses remains unknown and controversial<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR2\">2<\/a><\/sup>. Even within the well-studied context of US agriculture, some analyses argue that adaptation will be widespread and climate damages small<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR3\">3<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR4\">4<\/a><\/sup>, whereas others conclude that adaptation will be limited and losses severe<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR5\">5<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR6\">6<\/a><\/sup>. Scenario-based analyses indicate that adaptation should have notable consequences on global agricultural productivity<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR7\">7<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR8\">8<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR9\">9<\/a><\/sup>, but there has been no systematic study of how extensively real-world producers actually adapt at the global scale. Here we empirically estimate the impact of global producer adaptations using longitudinal data on six staple crops spanning 12,658 regions, capturing two-thirds of global crop calories. We estimate that global production declines 5.5&nbsp;\u00d7\u200910<sup>14<\/sup>\u2009kcal annually per 1 \u00b0C global mean surface temperature (GMST) rise (120\u2009kcal per person per day or 4.4% of recommended consumption per 1 \u00b0C;&nbsp;<em>P<\/em>\u2009&lt;\u20090.001). We project that adaptation and income growth alleviate 23% of global losses in 2050 and 34% at the end of the century (6% and 12%, respectively; moderate-emissions scenario), but substantial residual losses remain for all staples except rice. In contrast to analyses of other outcomes that project the greatest damages to the global poor<sup><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR10\">10<\/a>,<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w#ref-CR11\">11<\/a><\/sup>, we find that global impacts are dominated by losses to modern-day breadbaskets with favourable climates and limited present adaptation, although&nbsp;losses in low-income&nbsp;regions losses are also substantial. These results indicate a scale of innovation, cropland expansion or further adaptation that might be necessary to ensure food security in a changing climate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2026Read more:&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09085-w<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The lack of allowance for adaption cited by the Guardian authors has a substantial impact on outcomes. The following is a graph from the study above, indicating that&nbsp;<strong>even using the pessimistic assumptions of climate alarmists, yields of some crops such as rice might significantly rise<\/strong>, once adaption such as land use changes and CO2 fertilisation are taken into consideration, though the study still predicts a 17.6% drop in per capita calorie consumption, even when adaption is taken into consideration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"362\" data-attachment-id=\"418328\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=418328\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?fit=800%2C400&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"800,400\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?fit=723%2C362&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?resize=723%2C362&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Graph showing the projected global impact of climate change on staple crop yields, including percentage changes for maize, rice, soybean, cassava, sorghum, and wheat from 2010 to 2100, factoring in adaptation and CO2 fertilization.\" class=\"wp-image-418328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?w=800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?resize=300%2C150&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?resize=768%2C384&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image-376.png?resize=640%2C320&amp;ssl=1 640w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Fig. 3: Global impact of climate change on staple crops.<br>From: Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Food is insensitive to temperature, because humans are smart. In Bundaberg, near where I live, farmers grow Maine potatoes, even though subtropical Bundaberg (average temperature 72F) is far warmer than Maine (average temperature 45-46F). The farmers defeat scorching hot Bundaberg Summer weather by planting the potatoes in Fall. The potatoes have no problem growing through our mild winters, and are ready for harvest in Spring, before the arrival of our intense Summer heat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-watts-up-with-that wp-block-embed-watts-up-with-that\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Nu6k3IBnxP\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2024\/12\/19\/gm-high-yield-potatoes-are-now-climate-change-resistant\/\">GM High Yield Potatoes are Now &#8220;Climate Change Resistant&#8221;?<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;GM High Yield Potatoes are Now &#8220;Climate Change Resistant&#8221;?&#8221; &#8212; Watts Up With That?\" src=\"https:\/\/wattsupwiththat.com\/2024\/12\/19\/gm-high-yield-potatoes-are-now-climate-change-resistant\/embed\/#?secret=BEvdL4xVvO#?secret=Nu6k3IBnxP\" data-secret=\"Nu6k3IBnxP\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>I am so fed up with end of food articles which ignore obvious responses to warmer weather, such as planting different crops, or adjusting sowing times.<\/strong>\u00a0And not including error bars in the Guardian graph at the top of this article in my opinion adds even more unnecessary alarm to the pessimistic study on which the Guardian article is based.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"418334\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=418334\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A lush field of green corn plants with a sign reading 'CO2 Fertilization Effect' in bold yellow letters.\" class=\"wp-image-418334\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=768%2C768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=640%2C640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=1200%2C1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMYOsAm4YGxnpSC6oNEFMGuagorN22lYvyeazZ6H3T2KEwMy8gu2K1vJGIBIZHYkBxd0ivlJ5WksS2S3OAlHAhu9R12ypvhk14ebTTL_LIT-xBOhXq00BNAAGROiwIWiIUxGnzXmHN3-sPkaOI514jhNwyDJw.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A graph with a predictive inflection point like that would be laughed out of a high school science class.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":418332,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore how climate change threatens global food security and crop yields, with insights on adaptation and future agricultural 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Falsely Says Climate Change is Harming Crop Production, Reality Says Otherwise","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/01\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent post at Bloomberg, titled \u201cClimate Change Is Helping Pests and Diseases Destroy Our Food,\u201d\u00a0claims that recent crop shortages are due to increases in pest infestations and disease because of climate change. This is false for multiple reasons. First, the crops listed are not seeing substantial declines outside of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Bloomberg\"","block_context":{"text":"Bloomberg","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bloomberg"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0image-6-1024x653-2.webp?fit=1023%2C653&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0image-6-1024x653-2.webp?fit=1023%2C653&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0image-6-1024x653-2.webp?fit=1023%2C653&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0image-6-1024x653-2.webp?fit=1023%2C653&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":371202,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=371202","url_meta":{"origin":418324,"position":1},"title":"Study Destroys Basis of EPA Climate Regulations","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/21\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"For two decades, the public has been bombarded with dire warnings of an impending climate-induced agricultural apocalypse. The claim is that a climate warmed excessively by the\u00a0carbon dioxide\u00a0emissions of human activity will ravage the food supply and plunge humanity into famine and chaos.","rel":"","context":"In \"Biden Administration\"","block_context":{"text":"Biden Administration","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=biden-administration"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Massive-global-crop-yield-variations-explained-by-climate-extremes.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Massive-global-crop-yield-variations-explained-by-climate-extremes.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0Massive-global-crop-yield-variations-explained-by-climate-extremes.jpg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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Change Is Not Harming Crop Productivity","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"However, actual global food production data show no sign that crop production or yields have been declining due to climate change.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Crop_production_feature.jpg?fit=1200%2C683&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Crop_production_feature.jpg?fit=1200%2C683&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Crop_production_feature.jpg?fit=1200%2C683&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/0Crop_production_feature.jpg?fit=1200%2C683&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, 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\"Australia\"","block_context":{"text":"Australia","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=australia"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Australia-Produced-Record-Harvests.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Australia-Produced-Record-Harvests.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Australia-Produced-Record-Harvests.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-Australia-Produced-Record-Harvests.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":412382,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412382","url_meta":{"origin":418324,"position":5},"title":"The Independent is Wrong \u2013 Coffee, Chocolate, and Wine Are 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The whole story is based on a false premise that some technological fix is necessary to prevent crops like cocoa,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPXRz3uGbW9HjAsH6ILTFhiOu3erpz8Im9khGBPJR1quebzzwn1x5ay-QutoPCkHONqyE3gtpoguyKirDP7D9LW2H4lcwXs_leRWFwBLLCemedWSVSX8gxjgYvwHzy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPXRz3uGbW9HjAsH6ILTFhiOu3erpz8Im9khGBPJR1quebzzwn1x5ay-QutoPCkHONqyE3gtpoguyKirDP7D9LW2H4lcwXs_leRWFwBLLCemedWSVSX8gxjgYvwHzy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPXRz3uGbW9HjAsH6ILTFhiOu3erpz8Im9khGBPJR1quebzzwn1x5ay-QutoPCkHONqyE3gtpoguyKirDP7D9LW2H4lcwXs_leRWFwBLLCemedWSVSX8gxjgYvwHzy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPXRz3uGbW9HjAsH6ILTFhiOu3erpz8Im9khGBPJR1quebzzwn1x5ay-QutoPCkHONqyE3gtpoguyKirDP7D9LW2H4lcwXs_leRWFwBLLCemedWSVSX8gxjgYvwHzy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0AQPXRz3uGbW9HjAsH6ILTFhiOu3erpz8Im9khGBPJR1quebzzwn1x5ay-QutoPCkHONqyE3gtpoguyKirDP7D9LW2H4lcwXs_leRWFwBLLCemedWSVSX8gxjgYvwHzy-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C676&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AQMkffIJWoTdtIshcsEixNb0Leb9bZTyhH1GcwRMkLSl1IQv5w2TI-Qi0L2EUg1-_gKc9E6JE4JtUW3nGEqieSxga8awol3z24WEx-sUVBxGxg5NBQNrrdBvCxdW8x9Q.jpeg?fit=1124%2C946&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/418324","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=418324"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/418324\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":418335,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/418324\/revisions\/418335"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/418332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=418324"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=418324"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=418324"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}