{"id":413283,"date":"2025-11-15T14:53:28","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T13:53:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413283"},"modified":"2025-11-15T14:53:30","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T13:53:30","slug":"consultant-class-belatedly-recognizes-energy-realities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413283","title":{"rendered":"Consultant Class Belatedly Recognizes Energy Realities"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The CO2 Coalition<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Vijay Jayaraj<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A new report from McKinsey & Company, the \u201cGlobal Energy Perspective<\/a>,\u201d lays bare what many of us \u2013 dismissed as \u201cclimate deniers\u201d \u2013 have been asserting all along: Coal, oil and natural gas will continue to be the dominant sources of global energy well past 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The McKinsey outlook for 2025 sharply adjusts prior projections. Last year, the management consultant\u2019s models had coal demand falling 40% by 2035. Today, McKinsey projects an uptick of 1% over the same period. The dramatic reversal is driven by record commissioning of coal-fired power plants in China, unexpected increases in global electricity use, and the lack of viable alternatives for industries like steel, chemicals and heavy manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report states that the three fossil fuels will still supply up to 55% of global energy in 2050, a forecast that looks low to me. Today\u2019s share for hydrocarbons is about 64%..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In any case, McKinsey\u2019s report confirms what seasoned energy analysts and pragmatic policymakers have long maintained: The energy transition will not be swift, simple, or governed solely by climate targets. In fact, this energy transition will not happen at all without large scale deployment of nuclear, geothermal or other technological innovations that prove to be practical.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In places such as India, Southeast Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, the top energy priorities are access, affordability and reliability, which together add up to national security. Planners are acutely aware of a trap: Sole reliance on weather-dependent power risks blackouts, industrial disruption, economic decline and civil unrest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That is why many developing nations are embracing a dual track: continued investment in conventional generation (coal, gas, nuclear) while developing alternative technologies. McKinsey says this in consultancy lingo: \u201cCountries and regions will follow distinct trajectories based on local economic conditions, resource endowment, and the realities facing particular industries.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In countries like India, Indonesia and Nigeria, the scale of electrification and industrial expansion is enormous. These countries cannot afford to wait decades for perfect solutions; they need \u201creliable and good enough for now.\u201d That means conventional fuels will be retained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

McKinsey\u2019s analysis also underscores what physics and engineering dictate: Intermittent and weather-dependent sources, such as wind and solar, require vast land areas, backup batteries and generation and power-grid investments, none of which come cheaply nor quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The technologies of wind and solar branded as renewable should instead be called economy killers. They make for expensive and unstable electrical systems that have brought energy-rich nations like Germany to their knees. After spending billions of dollars on unreliable wind turbine and solar panels and demolishing nuclear plants and coal plants, the country is struggling with high prices and economic stagnation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Germans now have a word for their self-inflicted crisis: Dunkelflaute<\/a>. It means \u201cdark doldrums\u201d\u2014a period of cold, sunless, windless days when their \u201cgreen\u201d grid fails. During a Dunkelflaute in November 2024, fossil fuels were called on to provide 70% of Germany\u2019s electricity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If \u201crenewables\u201d were truly capable, planners would be shutting down fossil fuel generation. But that is not the case. While wind and solar are being pursued in some places, coal and natural gas remain much sought-after fuels. In the first half of 2025 alone, China commissioned about 21 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-fired capacity, which is more than any other country and the largest increase since 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Further, China has approved construction of 25 GW of new coal plants in the first half of 2026. As of July, China\u2019s mainland has nearly 1,200 coal plants, far outstripping the rest of the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

McKinsey points to a dramatic surge in electricity demand driven by data centers, which is estimated to be about 17 % annually from 2022 to 2030 in the 38 OECD countries. This kind of growth in electricity use simply cannot be met by wind and solar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When analysts, journalists and engineers point out these realities, they\u2019re branded as \u201cshills\u201d for the fossil fuel industry. However, it is not public relations to point out the physics and economics that make up the math for meeting the world\u2019s energy needs. Dismissing such facts is to deny that reliable energy remains the bedrock of modern civilization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The cost of foolish \u201cgreen\u201d policies is being paid in lost jobs, ruined businesses, disrupted lives and impoverishment that could have been avoided by wiser choices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For those who have repeated energy realities for years, the vindication is bittersweet. The satisfaction of being right is tempered by the knowledge that many have suffered because reality has been ignored.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This commentary was first published by Daily Caller<\/a> <\/em>on November 9, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vijay Jayaraj is a Science and Research Associate at the CO2<\/sub> Coalition<\/a>, Fairfax, Virginia. He holds an M.S. in environmental sciences from the University of East Anglia and a postgraduate degree in energy management from Robert Gordon University, both in the U.K., and a bachelor\u2019s in engineering from Anna University, India.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s New!<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The CO2 Coalition filed this Comment to the EPA on November 3: William Happer EPA GHGRP Comment Nov. 3, 2025 – CO2 Coalition<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In case you missed it, Dr. William Happer and Dr. Richard Lindzen joined Joe Rogan on his podcast The Joe Rogan Experience<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new report from McKinsey & Company, the \u201cGlobal Energy Perspective,\u201d lays bare what many of us \u2013 dismissed as \u201cclimate deniers\u201d \u2013 have been asserting all along: Coal, oil and natural gas will continue to be the dominant sources of global energy well past 2050.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":413287,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover how McKinsey's report highlights the ongoing dominance of coal and fossil fuels in global energy through 2050 and beyond.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"McKinsey's Energy Report: Fossil Fuels to Dominate Till 2050","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":true,"token":"eyJpbWciOiJodHRwczpcL1wvY2xpbWF0ZS1zY2llbmNlLnByZXNzXC93cC1jb250ZW50XC91cGxvYWRzXC8yMDI1XC8xMVwvMGU0Y2M4Y2MtYjQ2Ni00MmQzLWE2NTQtODFhYTEwZGRjNTk5XzE2NDB4OTI0LTEwMjR4NTc3LmpwZyIsInR4dCI6IkNvbnN1bHRhbnQgQ2xhc3MgQmVsYXRlZGx5IFJlY29nbml6ZXMgRW5lcmd5IFJlYWxpdGllcyIsInRlbXBsYXRlIjoiaGlnaHdheSIsImZvbnQiOiIiLCJibG9nX2lkIjoxNTU4MTI0NDl9.jCFdxxdJh6glpdV7a2zhtBLb4Kn7E8imqZbJoIYQYKMMQ"},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691834939,691818341,691819405,691818051,691819094],"class_list":["post-413283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-green-policies-2","tag-china","tag-dunkelflaute-or-dark-doldrums","tag-germany","tag-renewable-green-energy","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0e4cc8cc-b466-42d3-a654-81aa10ddc599_1640x924.jpg?fit=1640%2C924&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1JvR","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":241934,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=241934","url_meta":{"origin":413283,"position":0},"title":"Jeremy Hunt\u2019s Green Industry Deception","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/28\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Jeremy\u00a0Hunt\u00a0has revealed that the UK is sitting on an energy goldmine, as wind power has generated record amounts of energy in the past year. 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