{"id":412350,"date":"2025-11-09T17:10:37","date_gmt":"2025-11-09T16:10:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412350"},"modified":"2025-11-09T17:10:39","modified_gmt":"2025-11-09T16:10:39","slug":"wrong-detroit-free-press-hurricane-melissa-wasnt-caused-by-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=412350","title":{"rendered":"Wrong, Detroit Free Press, Hurricane Melissa Wasn\u2019t Caused by Climate Change"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Satellite<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By H. Sterling Burnett<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Screenshot<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

In a Detroit Free Press <\/em>(FP) opinion piece, \u201cClimate change denial can\u2019t stand up to Category 5 Hurricane Melissa,\u201d<\/a> meteorologist Paul Gross claims that Hurricane Melissa proves climate change is making hurricanes stronger, faster, and more destructive. This is false. Hurricanes are weather, not climate<\/a>. A single storm\u2014or even a series of active storm seasons\u2014says nothing about long-term global trends. No data or credible scientific opinion supports the claim that Hurricane Melissa is an indicator of the effect of climate change on hurricane formation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gross cites Melissa\u2019s Jamaica landfall as \u201cthe strongest Atlantic hurricane strike in recorded history,\u201d but this is false. Melissa was not the most powerful hurricane ever to form or to make landfall in recorded<\/a> history. Building on this falsehood, Gross goes on to state that powerful storms, like Milton in 2024 and Otis in 2023, are proof positive that climate change is making hurricanes more powerful than ever. Gross writes that \u201cclimate change denial can\u2019t stand up to the data.\u201d In fact, it\u2019s his argument that doesn\u2019t stand up to the data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hurricane Rita, 20 years and millions of tons of carbon dioxide emissions ago, was as powerful as Milton. And Hurricane Otis, a compact and powerful Pacific hurricane, was not record breaking for wind speeds, exceeded by Hurricane Patricia in the Eastern Pacific, and Typhoon Tip, from 46 years ago, in the Western Pacific. Since Gross can\u2019t get these basic facts straight, one should not trust his assertion that climate change is creating more powerful hurricanes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The real evidence\u2014from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NASA) and the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)\u2014shows no statistically significant trend of increasing hurricane strength, frequency, or landfall intensity. That\u2019s not denial; that\u2019s science.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gross\u2019 argument is built entirely cherry-picked weather events, not long-term climate evidence. As Climate at a Glance: Hurricanes<\/a><\/em> explains, there has been no increase in either the number or intensity of hurricanes worldwide during the past century<\/strong>, even as global carbon dioxide concentrations have risen sharply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The IPCC agrees. Its most recent Sixth Assessment Report<\/em> found \u201clow confidence in any long-term trends in hurricane activity.\u201d<\/strong> Specifically, Chapter 12 of the IPCC AR6 Working Group I report<\/a> concluded that there is no detectable increase in global tropical cyclone frequency or landfall intensity<\/strong>. In other words, there is no measurable evidence linking stronger hurricanes to human-caused climate change. See the Figure 1 table below, specifically the highlighted section:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"A
Figure 1. Table 12.12 from\u00a0Page 90\u00a0\u2013 Chapter 12 of the UN IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Emergence of\u00a0Climate Impact Drivers\u00a0(CIDs) in time periods.\u00a0The color corresponds to the confidence of the region with the highest confidence: white colors indicate where evidence of a climate change signal is lacking or the signal is not present, leading to overall low confidence of an emerging signal.\u00a0See the key at the bottom for the meaning of all colors.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Gross\u2019 claim that Hurricane Melissa is proof of climate-driven intensification also ignores the fundamental difference between causation and correlation. Warm ocean water certainly provides energy for hurricanes\u2014that has always been true\u2014but attributing any single storm\u2019s strength to \u201cclimate change\u201d is scientifically unsound. Hurricane formation and rapid intensification depend on a combination of atmospheric factors, including wind shear, humidity, and upper-level pressure dynamics, none of which are directly caused by global temperature trends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Also, there has been no sustained increase in Accumulated Cyclone Energy, a measure of intensity, over more than 50 years, as demonstrated in Figure 2 below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Graph
Figure 2: Last 50-years+ of Global and Northern Hemisphere Accumulated Cyclone Energy: 24 month running sums. Note that the year indicated represents the value of ACE through the previous 24-months for the Northern Hemisphere (bottom line\/gray boxes) and the entire global (top line\/blue boxes). The area in between represents the Southern Hemisphere total ACE. Source: Ryan N. Maue, \u201cGlobal Tropical Cyclone Activity,\u201d Climate Atlas, https:\/\/climatlas.com\/tropical\/global_running_ace.png<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The \u201crapid intensification\u201d phenomenon that Gross cites as a hallmark of climate change is not new. As Climate Realism<\/em> has documented repeatedly<\/a>, improved satellite monitoring and better detection methods since the 1970s make today\u2019s storms appear more frequent and extreme simply because modern technology captures every detail that earlier weather observers missed. Earlier storm intensities were also harder to measure, making today\u2019s apparent \u201cincrease\u201d partly a result of better weather detection technology such as satellites, radar, and continuous monitoring. Past storms often were very strong and intensified rapidly\u2014they just weren\u2019t observed continuously from space or by coastal technology such as NEXRAD Doppler Radar<\/a>, which didn\u2019t exist before 1990.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gross also doesn\u2019t account for other factors that impact water temperatures, like the strong El Nino event from 2023 to 2024 that produced unusually warm waters that persisted in 2025, and reductions in ship emissions<\/a> that research suggests has contributed to warmer ocean temperatures as more sunlight reached and warmed the surface waters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, when analyzing the long-term record, natural ocean cycles dominate hurricane variability. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation<\/a> (AMO) drives multi-decade swings in hurricane frequency and intensity. Periods of increased storm activity, such as those seen in the 1940s to 1960s, occurred during cooler global temperatures. The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane<\/a>, for example, remains one of the most intense storms to ever hit the United States\u2014and it happened long before modern carbon dioxide emissions were significant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yes, Hurricane Melissa was a powerful storm, and all other things being equal, warmer water should produce more powerful hurricanes. But all other things are not equal, and water temperature is just one factor driving hurricane formation and intensity. Nature has produced strong storms for centuries. To claim that a single storm \u201cproves\u201d anything about global climate change is a red herring\u2014a rhetorical trick used to distract from the lack of long-term supporting data. The actual data speak louder than opinions and states it plainly: \u201cGlobal hurricane frequency and intensity show no meaningful trend in response to global warming.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some opinion pieces are so factually deficient they don\u2019t merit publication. Gross\u2019 hyperbolic and inaccurate piece about Hurricane Melissa is one such piece. Sadly, the Detroit Free Press<\/em> lacked the discernment and objectivity to deny Gross a platform for his patently false claims. Hurricanes have always been part of life on this planet. They wax and wane with natural ocean cycles\u2014not carbon dioxide levels. What has changed isn\u2019t the weather, it\u2019s the narrative the mainstream media continues to push that climate change is responsible for everything bad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In a Detroit Free Press (FP) opinion piece, \u201cClimate change denial can\u2019t stand up to Category 5 Hurricane Melissa,\u201d meteorologist Paul Gross claims that Hurricane Melissa proves climate change is making hurricanes stronger, faster, and more destructive. This is false. Hurricanes are weather, not climate. A single storm\u2014or even a series of active storm seasons\u2014says nothing about long-term global trends. No data or credible scientific opinion supports the claim that Hurricane Melissa is an indicator of the effect of climate change on hurricane formation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":412359,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the truth behind Hurricane Melissa and climate change claims. Discover the real science on hurricane trends and misinformation.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Hurricane Melissa: Debunking Climate Change Myths","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691839241,691829997,691818056,691819743,691839406,691839235,691818104],"class_list":{"0":"post-412350","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-atlantic-multidecadal-oscillation-amo-2","9":"tag-carbon-dioxide-co","10":"tag-climate-change","11":"tag-climate-propaganda","12":"tag-detroit-free-press-fp","13":"tag-hurricane-melissa-2","14":"tag-hurricanes","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQM8CveSYSj6uN58KMIAdJch3ZfmvQ2inDspGYxqYKoCNUz2TbbzHcXCJnNYIkViPyE_qG8WH5lr38VgHI8FDPRT7DNTad5uiF2VU8ShzkFpp7jU65NRK3osi61VlTE6-1.png?fit=1440%2C810&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1JgO","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":411107,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=411107","url_meta":{"origin":412350,"position":0},"title":"The AP Gets Hurricanes Wrong, Again, Melissa\u2019s Intensity Is Not Proof of Climate Change","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"31\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In a widely published\u00a0Associated Press\u00a0(AP) article,\u00a0\u201cClimate change fuels Hurricane Melissa\u2019s rapid intensification to Category 5,\u201d\u00a0reporter Sibi Arasu claims that \u201cthe warming of the world\u2019s oceans caused by climate change helped double Hurricane Melissa\u2019s wind speed in less than 24 hours.\u201d This is highly misleading if not outright false. Scientific data\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Associated Press (AP)\"","block_context":{"text":"Associated Press (AP)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=associated-press-ap"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-31-100804.png?fit=1200%2C718&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":416181,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=416181","url_meta":{"origin":412350,"position":1},"title":"Sorry, NPR, There Is No Evidence That Climate Change Made Hurricane Melissa Worse for Jamaica","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"National Public Radio ran a segment claiming climate change was to blame for Hurricane Melissa\u2019s severity and its impact on Jamaica. There is no data to justify this claim, which is not supported by Jamaica\u2019s hurricane history or Atlantic hurricane trends. Jamaica has been beset by hurricanes throughout its history,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Light_Fades_on_a_Powerful_Hurricane_Melissa_CIRA_2025-10-26.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Light_Fades_on_a_Powerful_Hurricane_Melissa_CIRA_2025-10-26.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Light_Fades_on_a_Powerful_Hurricane_Melissa_CIRA_2025-10-26.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Light_Fades_on_a_Powerful_Hurricane_Melissa_CIRA_2025-10-26.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0Light_Fades_on_a_Powerful_Hurricane_Melissa_CIRA_2025-10-26.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":410910,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=410910","url_meta":{"origin":412350,"position":2},"title":"BBC Lie About Hurricane\u00a0Melissa","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The frequency of very intense hurricanes such as Melissa is increasing This simply is not true.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":411511,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=411511","url_meta":{"origin":412350,"position":3},"title":"Placing Melissa in\u00a0History","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Climatic media has fallen in love with Melissa, many of them blaming \u201cclimate change\u201d, i.e. CO2 for her strength and destructive power.\u00a0 No surprise that Imperial College London (who foisted its covid pandemic models upon us) reports that its IRIS model confirms a \u201crapid attribution\u201d claim.\u00a0 No doubt there will\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/AQMcbpQLc3Hg4E8SPBKConzuCKzERg4wEKBTgm2cdUusHsRn0wMDNPetmyNpUu86uAOuJEoE8rHIZGqpeHTLSzVj8BZgXlZm_eSzeds-JSN2YKHaRXhq3FdfK_Z2vG2e.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":418224,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=418224","url_meta":{"origin":412350,"position":4},"title":"The Critical Flaw in Single-Event Hurricane Climate Attribution","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"22\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Less than a month has passed since the official end of the 2025 hurricane season for the Northern Hemisphere. 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