{"id":409976,"date":"2025-10-24T10:04:04","date_gmt":"2025-10-24T08:04:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409976"},"modified":"2025-10-24T10:04:12","modified_gmt":"2025-10-24T08:04:12","slug":"every-last-drop-of-oil-lets-go","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409976","title":{"rendered":"\u201cEvery Last Drop\u201d of Oil? Let\u2019s Go!"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"An<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Master Resource<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cIn plain language: fossil fuels were becoming too difficult and expensive to produce \u2013 until AI came along to make them profitable again. That isn\u2019t \u2018innovation\u2019 \u2013 it\u2019s acceleration toward climate collapse.\u201d \u2013 Holly Alpine, climate activist (below)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

And so, the litany and narrative goes on. Oil was supposed to run out a half-century ago. <\/strong>Then horizontal drilling and fractionation came along (bad luck!). Now AI has come to the rescue to, again, postpone the inevitable\u2013more bad luck! (Never mind that thing called\u00a0resourceship<\/a><\/em>, explaining how the improvement process is open-ended.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What is good is bad to the nature-is-optimal-and-fragile\u00a0Deep Ecologists<\/a>. More people. Growing resource usage. Higher living standards. All bad. Remember this quotation by Paul and Anne Ehrlich and two-term Obama science advisor John Holdren?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

A massive campaign must be launched to restore a high-quality environment in North America and to de-develop the United States. . . . Resources and energy must be diverted from frivolous and wasteful uses in overdeveloped countries to filling the genuine needs of underdeveloped countries. This effort must be largely political. [1]<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Holly Alpine<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Holly Alpine<\/a>, \u201cclimate strategist & campaign leader; co-founder, Enabled Emissions Campaign; Ex-Microsoft Sustainability board member; plant-based athlete,\u201d [2]<\/strong> recently posted<\/a> on LinkedIn:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cEvery Last Drop\u201d\u2026 they\u2019re not even trying to hide it at this point. You may have seen this new Wood Mackenzie<\/a> report shared by Ketan Joshi<\/strong> or Pete Bronski<\/a>, but I need to weigh in too, because\u2026 I hope now you see why Will<\/a> and I quit our jobs to start our campaign on the topic.

Just two quotes:
\u2022 \u201cUsing our data on reservoir geology, hydrocarbon quality, in-place resources, operator access to finance and technology, costs and fiscal terms, we estimate upside oil recovery factors for every significant field in the world.\u201d
\u2022 \u201cThe results of our new AI-powered analysis, therefore, are encouraging. Better recovery from existing fields could yield an additional 470 billion to over 1,000 billion barrels of oil\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

She complained:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

That\u2019s a TRILLION ADDITIONAL barrels of oil [that] would not otherwise be possible.\u00a0\ud83e\udd2f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our math (thanks Chris Adams<\/a>!) shows that could be 400 *gigatons* of emissions \u2013 using up the entire remaining 1.5 \u00b0C carbon budget, erasing decades of global climate progress, and gravely threatening a livable future on this planet. Is there any other issue on Earth that comes anywhere close to that scale of impact?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In plain language: fossil fuels were becoming too difficult and expensive to produce \u2013 until AI came along to make them profitable again. That isn\u2019t \u201cinnovation\u201d \u2013 it\u2019s acceleration toward climate collapse.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

She explained:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I\u2019m NOT talking here about the energy use of AI or datacenters \u2013 those issues are critical fights in their own right and are deeply connected within the same system. But this post is focused on a different systemic dimension: how AI is directly enabling expanded fossil fuel production on a global scale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The framing of \u201cAI for sustainability vs. datacenter energy use\u201d is completely missing a huge factor in the equation. How are we comparing infrastructure impacts to hypothetic, potential emissions reductions use cases, while ignoring the entire other side of the equation \u2013 the technology\u2019s role in driving more fossil fuel production itself (and incredible resulting emissions)? We\u2019re comparing apples to oranges and ignoring the other VERY big orange.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

She then touches on the futility problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you work in climate (or live on Earth), your efforts and future are being undermined in real time. You\u2019re running on a treadmill on a train going backward. Pick your analogy \u2013 AI is being used today to erase climate progress.

And the audacity of Wood Mackenzie<\/a>, writing their tagline: \u201cthe leading global data and analytics solutions provider for the energy transition.\u201d

Please, join us at the Enabled Emissions Campaign<\/a> (www.enabledemissions.com<\/a>) to envision a world where digital technologies help secure a livable future \u2013 not drive rising emissions.
https:\/\/lnkd.in\/gVjbyR_d<\/a> And thanks to Amory Lovins for first sharing the report with us. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

COMMENT<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check your premises, Holly Alpine! Don\u2019t quit your day job. Don\u2019t further tie your emotions and being to a futile, wasteful crusade against the gas of life\u2013carbon dioxide (CO2). Fossil fuels are not the problem but part of the solution for human betterment in a free society. It is industrial wind and solar, from production to decommissioning, that are the problem: dilute, intermittent, fragile, and resource-intensive (including land and transmission).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[1]<\/strong> John Holdren, Anne Ehrlich, and Paul Ehrlich, Human Ecology: Problems and Solutions<\/em> (San Francisco; W.H. Freeman and Company, 1973), p. 279.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2]<\/strong> Holly Alpine described herself as follows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Organizer and climate strategist confronting power with truth and action. I build movements that push institutions toward real environmental accountability \u2013 from inside the system and out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After a decade leading global sustainability work at Microsoft, I co-founded the Enabled Emissions campaign \u2013 holding Big Tech accountable for how its technologies accelerate fossil fuel production. Our work exposes these hidden links, drives policy reform, and builds coalitions for systemic change.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

At Microsoft, I launched the company\u2019s first Community Environmental Sustainability program, scaling nature-based investments across 45+ global communities, as well as co-founded the company\u2019s Employee Engagement program, mobilizing a 10,000-member climate movement in 37 countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today I serve on the boards of American Forests and Zero Waste Washington, where I continue advancing equity-centered, science-based environmental policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

And so, the litany and narrative goes on. Oil was supposed to run out a half-century ago. Then horizontal drilling and fractionation came along (bad luck!). Now AI has come to the rescue to, again, postpone the inevitable\u2013more bad luck! (Never mind that thing called\u00a0resourceship, explaining how the improvement process is open-ended.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":409981,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover how AI is reshaping fossil fuel production, risking climate progress by enabling new oil recovery and threatening global sustainability.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"AI's Role in Expanding Fossil Fuel Production and Emissions","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691823433,691829997,691818113,691818228,691839030,691818136,691839029],"class_list":["post-409976","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-ai-artificial-intelligence-2","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-activist","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-holly-alpine","tag-oil","tag-paul-and-anne-ehrlich","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQPvIIVp27uz_82H77vPP5ummdtGJmJjgW0fU3WJOGTeisAe8wMVMoObl8HoAJIAggRmXbZFWcqVV8ZCmGrbRO1r5R1P2k1m_hqCPfpORf5kdOu6BH6bGQj7SKgeWMIv-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C630&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1IEw","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":413577,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413577","url_meta":{"origin":409976,"position":0},"title":"No, Al Jazeera, Fossil Fuels Aren\u2019t Killing Billions\u2014They\u2019re Saving Them","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In Al Jazeera\u2019s article, \u201cWorld\u2019s \u2018fossil fuel obsession\u2019 threatens billions of lives: Amnesty,\u201d reporter Jillian Kestler-D\u2019Amours repeats Amnesty International\u2019s (AI) claim that fossil fuels are \u201ca major source of human rights violations\u201d and an \u201cexistential threat\u201d to billions of people. 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A high-profile climate lawsuit threatens reliable energy supplies.","rel":"","context":"In \"blue states\"","block_context":{"text":"blue states","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=blue-states"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMZtqwaiiSQZSRAim3i8mBB2mzwhKUp6KZfqOzAO44s6NEHmonIrCSAGvlDjnhHj8AmOfxKbGb5UtkQjPXAL4dr4MWp0dPavdtYNOt6tAexZOlIcXmo8H1lisebISzB.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMZtqwaiiSQZSRAim3i8mBB2mzwhKUp6KZfqOzAO44s6NEHmonIrCSAGvlDjnhHj8AmOfxKbGb5UtkQjPXAL4dr4MWp0dPavdtYNOt6tAexZOlIcXmo8H1lisebISzB.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMZtqwaiiSQZSRAim3i8mBB2mzwhKUp6KZfqOzAO44s6NEHmonIrCSAGvlDjnhHj8AmOfxKbGb5UtkQjPXAL4dr4MWp0dPavdtYNOt6tAexZOlIcXmo8H1lisebISzB.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMZtqwaiiSQZSRAim3i8mBB2mzwhKUp6KZfqOzAO44s6NEHmonIrCSAGvlDjnhHj8AmOfxKbGb5UtkQjPXAL4dr4MWp0dPavdtYNOt6tAexZOlIcXmo8H1lisebISzB.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQMZtqwaiiSQZSRAim3i8mBB2mzwhKUp6KZfqOzAO44s6NEHmonIrCSAGvlDjnhHj8AmOfxKbGb5UtkQjPXAL4dr4MWp0dPavdtYNOt6tAexZOlIcXmo8H1lisebISzB.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":411124,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=411124","url_meta":{"origin":409976,"position":3},"title":"Bill Gates Returns to Energy\u00a0Pragmatism","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/31\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"I thought you were worried about a climate catastrophe. 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