{"id":409841,"date":"2025-10-23T13:54:41","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T11:54:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409841"},"modified":"2025-10-23T13:54:43","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T11:54:43","slug":"climate-tipping-points-may-already-have-arrived-claims-new-report-just-in-time-for-cop30","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409841","title":{"rendered":"Climate Tipping Points \u201cMay Already Have Arrived\u201d Claims New Report \u2013 Just in Time for COP30"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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From The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Chris Morrison<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Writing in the Spectator<\/a><\/em> last week, the Daily Sceptic\u2019s <\/em>Esteemed Editor-in-Chief Lord Tobes noted that eco-activists were fond of plucking numbers out of the air and claiming that\u2019s how long we have left to save the Earth. But, he added, \u201cit looks like they are now facing a \u2018tipping point\u2019 of their own\u201d. Also last week, the Guardian<\/em> commented on the Green Blob-funded \u2018Global Tipping Points Report 2025<\/a>\u2019 and reported its contention that the planet\u2019s first catastrophic climate tipping point<\/a> had been reached with \u201ccoral reefs facing widespread dieback\u201d. About time too, Guardian<\/em>istas might have felt. In June 1999, the newspaper\u2019s veteran eco loon George Monbiot wrote that \u201cthe imminent total destruction of the world\u2019s coral reefs is not a scare story but a fact<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toby went on to observe Sun Tzu\u2019s maxim that you should never interrupt your enemy when he\u2019s making a mistake, \u201cbut I\u2019m beginning to feel sorry for the climate hysterics\u201d. There is none more hysterical (G. Monbiot excepted) than the annual \u2018Global Tipping Points Report\u2019, which is primarily bank-rolled by the Bezos Earth Fund. Along with numerous other scare reports, it is timed to lift mass climate psychosis ahead of the annual COP conference. Humanity will soon be in a danger zone where \u201cmultiple climate tipping points pose catastrophic risks to billions of people\u201d, it wails. Already warm water coral reefs are crossing their \u201cthermal tipping points\u201d, it is claimed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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The work is headed by Professor Timothy Lenton from the University of Exeter and is said to draw on research from scientists across the world. In fact, the agitprop is mostly climate-catastrophising codswallop produced by wishful thinking activists consulting their modern-day crystal balls, otherwise known as climate computer models. In the case of the coral reefs, the scare is risible. Tropical coral has existed for millions of years in waters between 24\u00b0C-32\u00b0C. Small local increases in temperature can lead to a natural process called bleaching, but there is\u00a0solid scientific evidence<\/a>\u00a0that recovery is rapid when temperatures stabilise. Despite significant bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef over the last two decades, coral cover is currently at its fourth highest level since serious observations began about 40 years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The so-called \u201ccentral estimate\u201d of coral\u2019s \u201cthermal tipping point\u201d is claimed to be 1.2\u00b0C of global warming and this threshold is now said to have been passed. There is nothing right about this claim given the wide range of current temperatures that coral grows in today. In fact, coral grows faster in warmer waters as evidenced by comparing growth near the equator and the southern Great Barrier Reef. Sceptics might also ask how such temperature tipping point precision is available given what is now known about the lamentable state of much Government-organised meteorological measurement activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Net Zero is dying in many parts of the world, but the politically motivated settled science crowd is desperate to keep the fantasy alive by holding up the pseudoscientific results of computer models as some kind of convincing evidence. However, the report is not just about what is incorrectly referred to as \u2018the\u2019 science. High politics is on show with the COP30 President Designate Andr\u00e9 Aranha Correa do Lago writing the foreword and claiming: \u201cUnited, we can reverse the dangerous trend towards a sequence of systems collapse in domino effect\u201d. There is something for m\u2019learned friends as well with the report suggesting: \u201cTipping points science should be used to strengthen future litigation efforts related to human rights.\u201d Similar ambitions are shared by single weather \u2018attribution\u2019 agitators using computer model findings to pump up the claims in climate lawfare cases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report observes that climate communications can be instrumental in generating political momentum, particularly when targeted to policy advocacy and \u201ctrusted messengers\u201d. Few messenger are trusted more than the BBC and its fellow climate bedwetters at the\u00a0Guardian<\/em>. In July 2023, Georgina Rannard of the BBC reported that \u201cscientists say\u201d a weakened Gulf Stream, which is a major part of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC),\u00a0could collapse by 2025<\/a>. Most people are aware of the film\u00a0The Day After Tomorrow<\/em>\u00a0when such a collapse caused the onset of Arctic weather conditions across the northern hemisphere. The AMOC collapse remains the gold standard of climate fearmongering. Computer models are worked hard to produce the often-outlandish claims.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe cannot exclude that an AMOC tipping point may already have been passed,\u201d states the report. Many computer models are said to predict the AMOC declining to a weak state by 2050. The tipping brigade\u2019s answer to imaginary global disaster is of course to shorten Net Zero timelines, \u201cand the immediate investment in the developing and scaling of sustainable carbon removal technologies\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile back in the real world, where unlimited pots of money are not available for ridiculous schemes like carbon capture and where the product of agitprop-narrated computer models is taken with a large pinch of salt, there is good news on the Gulf Stream. A group of scientists recently found that the AMOC had shown no decline<\/a> since at least the 1960s. In a paper published recently in Nature, <\/em>the scientists noted that many of the AMOC observations arise from examining sea-surface temperature anomalies, but these records \u201care not long enough to differentiate between low-frequency variability and long-term trends\u201d. In other words, much alarmists copy is little more than opinions based on short-term variability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the detailed body of the \u2018tipping points\u2019 report, a median AMOC temperature tipping point of 1.8\u00b0C is established based on the latest computer modelling incorporating reduced overturning strength. Another tempting story here for the BBC\/Guardian <\/em>perhaps. Admittedly it comes with \u201clow confidence\u201d, but \u201cscientists say\u201d their scenario indicates imminent collapse of the AMOC from 2025 onwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chris Morrison is the<\/em> Daily Sceptic\u2019s<\/em> Environment Editor. Follow<\/em> him on X<\/a><\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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