{"id":408064,"date":"2025-10-14T08:44:33","date_gmt":"2025-10-14T06:44:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=408064"},"modified":"2025-10-14T08:44:34","modified_gmt":"2025-10-14T06:44:34","slug":"aultbea-no-2-wmo03034-how-the-met-office-makes-the-climate-change-by-extreme-measures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=408064","title":{"rendered":"Aultbea No. 2 WMO03034 \u2013 How the Met Office makes the \u201cClimate Change\u201d by Extreme\u00a0measures."},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"Three<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Tallbloke’s Talkshop<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Ray Sanders<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Graph<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Viewing the above Met Office graph, the majority of the general public will almost certainly assume a dramatic, rapid and alarmingly upward trend in \u201ctemperatures\u201d starting around the latter 1980s. Such evidence supports the current mantra of Anthropogenic Global Warming\/ Manmade climate Change. It is \u201cblatantly obvious\u201d to those using \u201cthe science\u201d to promote and impose on the rest of us their own personal political ideologies \u2013 \u201cjust look at the data!\u201d The\u00a0Surface Stations Project<\/a>\u2018s intended aim is to do exactly that and look at the data in a genuinely accurate, scientific and open manner. Aultbea is a classic example of just one of the many ways in which the Met Office data collection and representation system is vastly more important in producing the above misleading graphs than any actual significant temperature changes are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Aerial
57.85899 -5.63294 Met Office\u00a0CIMO\u00a0<\/a>Assessed Class 4 Temperature records from 1\/9\/1990<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAultbea <\/a>is a small coastal fishing village in the North-West Highlands of Scotland. It is situated on the southeast shore of Loch Ewe, about 30 kilometres west of Ullapool.\u201d Although noted as a \u201cNumber 2\u201d site, the original site was solely a rain gauge site not recording temperatures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paul Homewood, author of the excellent \u201cNot a Lot of People know That<\/a>\u201d blog recently acquired under Freedom of Information Act a list of all currently operational and CIMO assessed Met Office weather stations by \u201cinstallation date\u201d. This list was very informative as it showed all sites by their original start date for whatever their original purpose and not necessarily temperature recording. A not atypical example of this was Achfary<\/a> which was shown as starting in 1914 as confirmed by its CEDA Archived entry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It would seem difficult to argue with the Met Office that this site has a 111 year history. Furthermore it is a double national all-time highest temperature record holder for December 2019 and January 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"Table<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Again the very recent nature of these \u201cClimate Extremes\u201d {Ed note: since when were weather events defined as \u201cclimate\u201d}<\/em>\u00a0must be proof positive of this dramatic warming\u2026\u2026BUT<\/strong>\u00a0\u2026\u2026.what the Met office did not make clear in its FOI response was that Achfary did not actually commence temperature readings until 1st October 2006. As I also highlighted in my report, it is an atrociously located site (\u201cCIMO Class 5 (additional estimated uncertainty added by siting up to 5 \u00b0C \u201c<\/strong>) in a domestic front garden, has been relocated more than once in its short life, and is \u201csite selected\u201d to catch transient weather (not climate) effects known as\u00a0Foehn Effect<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Article<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Met Office clearly states the Foehn Effect is a weather phenomenon. How does all this relate to Aultbea? The fact is that Aultbea is also an area likely to frequently record Foehn Effects and despite the Met Office showing a station start date of 1980 it actually only started its temperature record in 1990.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As \u201cGrok\u201d AI described this weather station site \u2013 \u201cAultbea is on the northwest (leeward) coast of Wester Ross, immediately downwind of significant orographic barriers like the Torridon Hills (up to 1,100m) and Beinn Eighe massif, just 10\u201315 km inland to the southeast. These features force Atlantic air to rise, deposit rain\/snow on their western slopes, and descend as warm, dry Foehn winds toward the coast. The station\u2019s low elevation and coastal position (in a \u201cdrainage stream\u201d area) allow it to detect the full warming and drying as air funnels toward the sea, often channeling winds along Loch Ewe\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

All the above only indicates two things so far. Firstly, Foehn Effects occur in this region and secondly that there are relatively modern sites there to record them. The implications though are the key issue. These relatively rare Foehns are \u201cextreme\u201d events and, as I explained in the Reification of Averages<\/a> the Met Office retention of their crude averaging system is \u201cextremely\u201d responsive to extremes. Indeed It is quite apparent that these extremes are often sought out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Again, under Freedom of Information Request a list of the highest recorded temperatures for each day of the year of 2025 so far was recently obtained. Foehn effects are most noted in winter and early spring. Below is the data for January. {note some rather odd Scottish county names.<\/em>}<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The first extreme that stands out is the dominance of the unrepresentative Scilly Isles Airport <\/a>site \u2013 a geographic \u201cextreme\u201d that appears on 10 occasions. Possibly the less immediately noticeable issue is the appearances of so many Scottish sites recording daily highs in January. Achnagart<\/a>, Cassley<\/a>, Banff<\/a>, and Tain provide a 7 consecutive day run of almost certainly Foehn phenomena \u2013 brief extreme events all contributing to cause distortion on daily means. However short lived these events may have been, a single sixty second reading is all that is required, their eager inclusion into \u201cClimate\u201d records is grossly misleading. 17 days (over half) of all January daily high temperatures come from either geographic or weather event extremes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

February data continues this distortion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Table<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Scilly makes 7 appearances but perhaps the most interesting feature is Achfary making 3 appearances \u2013 perhaps this site can achieve the record highs for all three winter months of December, January and February. Adding in Poolewe<\/a> (close to Aultbea), Aultbea itself again and both Kinloss and Lossiemouth make a total of seven. 14 out of the 28 days of February are again from geographic or likely weather event extremes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of the 59 winter days of 2025 so far, 31 of them are unlikely to be representative of the overall UK climate producing one-off \u201cextremes\u201d. Scilly has already been demonstrated to have artificially uplifted figures from poor relocation in 1991<\/strong>. Aultbea No 2 has temperature records from 1990<\/strong>, Banff from 1990<\/strong>, Tain from 1994 <\/strong>Achnagart from 2003<\/strong>, Achfary from 2006.<\/strong> Even Poolewe has been subject to a recent relocation. Whilst the aviation sites of Kinloss and Lossiemouth are long term it is quite apparent there are increased numbers of new reporting points in locations prone to Foehn Effects and producing \u201cextremes\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is blindingly obvious to the vast majority that deriving a daily mean from just the maximum and minimum readings (that may only last 60 seconds each) is not going to give a genuine impression of a day\u2019s weather let alone a 30-year rolling climate trend. To a \u201cClimate Activist\u201d this antiquated system is a golden opportunity to manipulate input data to produce a pre-determined end result. As noted in the Achnagart report, in the past meteorologists would ignore and rule out one-off occasional phenomena now it is evident such spurious data is actively chased and used to manipulate data presentation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Viewing the above Met Office graph, the majority of the general public will almost certainly assume a dramatic, rapid and alarmingly upward trend in \u201ctemperatures\u201d starting around the latter 1980s. Such evidence supports the current mantra of Anthropogenic Global Warming\/ Manmade climate Change. It is \u201cblatantly obvious\u201d to those using \u201cthe science\u201d to promote and impose on the rest of us their own personal political ideologies \u2013 \u201cjust look at the data!\u201d The Surface Stations Project\u2018s intended aim is to do exactly that and look at the data in a genuinely accurate, scientific and open manner. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":408083,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover how the Met Office's data practices may distort climate change perceptions in Aultbea, highlighting extremes vs. reality.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"How the Met Office Misrepresents Climate Data in the UK","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691838785,691818056,691838783,691838786,691818087,691820306,691838784,691822015,691818545],"class_list":{"0":"post-408064","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-aultbea","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-extreme-measures","11":"tag-foehn-effect","12":"tag-global-warming","13":"tag-scotland","14":"tag-the-surface-stations-project","15":"tag-uk-met-office","16":"tag-weather-stations","18":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM8SiVr9RHe1YZX6oQXIY7oEpCdExFA5UGTjrskjSsm8zHiIdYRZ2c0zHjmYjraUWAMDI_rF0eIITcQ2kLuPeGs7KiZcBa_6hl9QZwSYhj6bYG8xSTdA-EoxZ2Gs3f7LSPh-B9PNP96JLC5USP6ZsQ0pSVm.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1I9G","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":210751,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=210751","url_meta":{"origin":408064,"position":0},"title":"UK Sea Level Rise Speeding Up\u2013Claim Met Office: Data Proves Otherwise","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"28\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"By Paul Homewood Sea levels are rising much faster than a century ago, reveals the Met Office\u2019s annual look at the UK\u2019s climate and weather. The State of the Climate report also says that higher temperatures are the new normal for Britain. 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Leaving aside the fact that a busy airport may not be a suitable location to accurately measure temperatures for the official record,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0palace-g7726fc1f0_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0palace-g7726fc1f0_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0palace-g7726fc1f0_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0palace-g7726fc1f0_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/0palace-g7726fc1f0_1920.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/408064","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=408064"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/408064\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":408085,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/408064\/revisions\/408085"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/408083"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=408064"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=408064"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=408064"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}