{"id":405032,"date":"2025-09-26T08:27:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T06:27:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=405032"},"modified":"2025-09-26T08:36:50","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T06:36:50","slug":"arctic-sea-ice-refuses-to-disappear-again","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=405032","title":{"rendered":"Arctic Sea Ice Refuses To Disappear\u00a0(Again!)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We can now provisionally declare that Arctic Sea ice hit its minimum extent on September 10, relatively early this year, measured at 4.602 million sq km. This compares to the 2011 \u2013 2020 average of 4.422 million sq km.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Graph<\/figure>\n\n\n
\n
\"Graph
https:\/\/nsidc.org\/sea-ice-today\/sea-ice-tools\/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

For a clear picture, I have charted the annual minimums since 2001. It shows the same story as in previous years \u2013 a sudden decline in extent in 2007, since when things have remained stable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This was not, of course, how things were supposed to be!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over the years we have been assured by many experts that all the sea ice in the Arctic would soon have melted away.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In 2007, for instance, Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told us that northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.  In December that year, Jay Zwally of NASA agreed, giving the ice till 2012.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A year later, Professor David Barber went one step further, saying the ice would all be gone that very summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For sheer persistence in getting it wrong, however, the prize must go to Professor Peter Wadhams, Professor of Ocean Physics, and Head of the Polar Ocean Physics Group in the Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics at the University of Cambridge:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • In 2012, he predicted that the Arctic would be ice free by 2015\/16.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • In 2014, he thought it might last till 2020<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • In 2016, he confidently predicted the Arctic would be ice free that summer (though curiously he now defined \u201cice free\u201d as less than 1 million square kilometers!)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    We can now provisionally declare that Arctic Sea ice hit its minimum extent on September 10, relatively early this year, measured at 4.602 million sq km. This compares to the 2011 \u2013 2020 average of 4.422 million sq km.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":405039,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover the surprising stability of Arctic sea ice as it reaches 4.602 million sq km, defying predictions of complete disappearance.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Arctic Sea Ice Update: Minimum Extent Shows Unexpected Resilience","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818990,691821266,691838298,691838299,691838297],"class_list":{"0":"post-405032","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-arctic-sea-ice","9":"tag-ice-free-2","10":"tag-jay-zwally","11":"tag-professor-david-barber","12":"tag-professor-wieslaw-maslowski","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQN4n5Rlcqe77zG5PxfvMWt6IZgynJuU7y0aPJDfs3L7Q8OfeNpgP9qNIiD0J3k_P7Pf5Y6lWGLFk8al_ACqu7Jp1M0jwY5Fhsy_h3eyPXFfLDfP3Wmjv0N_WvuG3_YreQfmYd5N1zu9AbaJlqFL76Fpq3hrZw-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1HmM","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":344682,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=344682","url_meta":{"origin":405032,"position":0},"title":"Arctic Ice Still\u00a0There!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Another summer ends, and yet again the Arctic sea ice refuses to melt away!","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/00Screenshot-2024-09-26-103622-1024x678.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/00Screenshot-2024-09-26-103622-1024x678.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/00Screenshot-2024-09-26-103622-1024x678.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/00Screenshot-2024-09-26-103622-1024x678.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":315581,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=315581","url_meta":{"origin":405032,"position":1},"title":"BBC\u2019s Failed \u2018Fact Check\u2019 of Daily Sceptic Report on Arctic Sea Ice","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/04\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The BBC\u00a0More or Less\u00a0radio programme recently \u2018fact checked\u2019 the\u00a0Daily Sceptic\u2019s report\u00a0that sea ice in the Arctic had soared to its highest level for 21 years on January 8th this year. Alas, the report was confirmed to be true so the Beeb went down the \u2018cherry pick\u2019 line of attack.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/1_112080366_p08c03dy.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/1_112080366_p08c03dy.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/1_112080366_p08c03dy.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/1_112080366_p08c03dy.jpg?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":343761,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=343761","url_meta":{"origin":405032,"position":2},"title":"2024 Arctic Ice Abounds at Average Daily\u00a0Minimum","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"19\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"2024 extent of 4.58 is 1.3% over average, mainly due to surpluses in Chukchi and East Siberian seas.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic Ice\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic Ice","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/059829-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C794&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":306686,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=306686","url_meta":{"origin":405032,"position":3},"title":"Arctic Sea Icecapades","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"09\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"I see that the usual gloomy hype about arctic sea ice continues unabated. This has been going on for a while. Here\u2019s the dean of failed serial doomcasting, James Hansen, pontificating on the subject back in 2008.","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic ice extent\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic ice extent","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-ice-extent"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/0Arctic-sea-ice.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":341404,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=341404","url_meta":{"origin":405032,"position":4},"title":"August 2024 Arctic Ice, NOAA Missing Nearly Half a\u00a0Wadham","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/09\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The annual competition between ice and water in the Arctic ocean is approaching the maximum for water, which typically occurs mid September.\u00a0 After that, diminishing energy from the slowly setting sun allows oceanic cooling causing ice to regenerate. 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