{"id":404603,"date":"2025-09-24T17:40:22","date_gmt":"2025-09-24T15:40:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=404603"},"modified":"2025-09-24T17:40:23","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T15:40:23","slug":"game-on-in-the-tropics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=404603","title":{"rendered":"Game on in the tropics"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"404622\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404622\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw (1)\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Three leaning palm trees on a sandy beach under dark storm clouds, with lightning striking in the background.\" class=\"wp-image-404622\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=300%2C300&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=150%2C150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=768%2C768&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=1200%2C1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=600%2C600&amp;ssl=1 600w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=400%2C400&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=200%2C200&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfact.org\/2025\/09\/24\/game-on-in-the-tropics\/\">CFACT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfact.org\/author\/guestauthor47181744466634www-cfact-org\/\">Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"450\" height=\"299\" data-attachment-id=\"404606\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404606\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-527.png?fit=450%2C299&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"450,299\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-527.png?fit=450%2C299&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-527.png?resize=450%2C299&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Two palm trees swaying in the wind with a cloudy sky and ocean in the background.\" class=\"wp-image-404606\" style=\"width:528px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-527.png?w=450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-527.png?resize=300%2C199&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 450px) 100vw, 450px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I kept cautioning some of my AGW friends, gloating over the lack of a hurricane season, that a frenzy was likely, and here it comes. While Gabrielle is going east, the next two hatched areas are going to develop, and one, or both of them, is likely to impact the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The media is already making a deal about the rapid feedback of Gabrielle yet would not mention for 4 days she did not intensify at all. Imagine what they will do if this happens.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"526\" data-attachment-id=\"404608\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404608\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-529.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,526\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-529.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-529.png?resize=640%2C526&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Meteorological forecast map showing 500mb height and MSLP for the eastern United States with potential hurricane impacts.\" class=\"wp-image-404608\" style=\"width:714px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-529.png?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-529.png?resize=300%2C247&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Remember the epic movie&nbsp;<em>Cool Hand Luke<\/em>&nbsp;(and later in&nbsp;<em>Smokey and the Bandit<\/em>)? The two redneck Southern sheriffs make a comment, \u201d What we are dealing with here is a&nbsp; complete lack of respect for the law.\u201d Well, we have the same thing today in weather and climate due to the whole sewage-based politicization of the matter. What I suspected ten years ago, but now know, is for non-science reasons. Every year, it\u2019s the same thing with weather events that should happen naturally. I do not subscribe to using the same tactics as the bulk of the media. I feel simply pointing out the truth (like distorted warming and its impacts, for instance, and then trying to circle back to its cause) suffices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By the way, we have had several rapid feedback storms. All of them are compact, which means they can focus their feedback. Erin was 100 miles north of St. Maarten, and they had 10 mile an hour winds. Gabrielle passed within 150 of Bermuda, and it had 15 mph winds. And what of all the storms that don\u2019t intensify fast and all the waves that never develop? Fat chance they bring up that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In any case, one or both of the disturbances are likely to impact the U.S. next week.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"421\" data-attachment-id=\"404610\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404610\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-530.png?fit=640%2C421&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,421\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-530.png?fit=640%2C421&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-530.png?resize=640%2C421&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Weather map showing the projected paths of Tropical Storm Gabrielle and potential disturbances, with areas marked for possible impacts on the U.S.\" class=\"wp-image-404610\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-530.png?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-530.png?resize=300%2C197&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"526\" data-attachment-id=\"404611\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404611\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-531.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,526\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-531.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-531.png?resize=640%2C526&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Satellite image showing weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean, including Hurricane Gabrielle and several developing storm disturbances.\" class=\"wp-image-404611\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-531.png?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-531.png?resize=300%2C247&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We have an upper low north of Hispaniola, the same one that fought Gabrielle, but then, once backing away, allowed her to kick butt with intensification (fat chance media would mention that). It is now backing out of the area that both disturbances are coming toward, and that is a good setup for development.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The AI spreads are impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Saturday:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"526\" data-attachment-id=\"404614\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404614\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-533.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,526\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-533.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-533.png?resize=640%2C526&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Weather map showing minimum sea level pressure across the United States with various pressure systems indicated.\" class=\"wp-image-404614\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-533.png?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-533.png?resize=300%2C247&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"222\" height=\"228\" data-attachment-id=\"404616\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404616\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-535.png?fit=222%2C228&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"222,228\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-535.png?fit=222%2C228&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-535.png?resize=222%2C228&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Map showing weather disturbances in the tropics, highlighted by blue markers indicating potential storm development.\" class=\"wp-image-404616\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then they morph into this by Wednesday:<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"526\" data-attachment-id=\"404618\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404618\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-537.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"640,526\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-537.png?fit=640%2C526&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-537.png?resize=640%2C526&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Weather forecast map showing minimum sea-level pressure across the United States with forecasted systems and pressure values.\" class=\"wp-image-404618\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-537.png?w=640&amp;ssl=1 640w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-537.png?resize=300%2C247&amp;ssl=1 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"196\" height=\"178\" data-attachment-id=\"404620\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=404620\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-538.png?fit=196%2C178&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"196,178\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-538.png?fit=196%2C178&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/image-538.png?resize=196%2C178&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Map showing weather disturbances in the southeastern United States with blue markers indicating areas of interest.\" class=\"wp-image-404620\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And if one or both of them impact the U.S. within a few days of each other, fat chance these outlets will bring up September 4, 1933, with 2 majors hitting the U.S. within 18 hours. Or the Connie, Diane tandem, 2 in 5 days in 1955. Of course not. But then again, should this be correct, it will show why you can\u2019t use it the other way either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is a large-scale reason for, despite the current pickup, the overall lack of activity in the tropics globally, especially the Western Pacific which has had this going on for 2 decades. And if there is any canary in the tropical coal mine, climate-wise, it\u2019s that. But I have found that the weather likes to shut me up when I close my mind to ideas. And when you mess with the tropics, it loves to do that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But what a shame, eh? Ruins the purity and majesty of what is, to someone like me, and probably you, the greatest source of wonder and awe in nature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The point to prove, IMO, is there is no point. It\u2019s the only conclusion I can arrive at.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Game on in the tropics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The media is already making a deal about the rapid feedback of Gabrielle yet would not mention for 4 days she did not intensify at all. Imagine what they will do if this happens.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":404622,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover the latest insights on tropical weather patterns and predictions for potential hurricane impacts on the U.S. in this engaging article.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Storms Brewing in the Tropics: What to Expect Next Week","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691837447,691838265,691821329,691818104,691833027],"class_list":{"0":"post-404603","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-hurricane-erin","9":"tag-hurricane-gabrielle","10":"tag-hurricane-season","11":"tag-hurricanes","12":"tag-weather-and-climate","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMXW0YglThsv7wV0_x8YBGe-KTMFXEZbLx55uX4giqPVsYBbjJrphvPDnIMfFejK-VgpspcFPYVP9-NVc9xCrw-NEZkd5R_tzC5UqJRW_RCsmQTqYPToAqUomZS_iTMgWPXHP33TOy56xLLQkrCLyLQjVaHQw-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1HfR","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":420977,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420977","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":0},"title":"Atlantic Hurricane Season\u00a02025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"By far the most complete and robust data we have for hurricanes is for those which have hit the US coast. The US Hurricane Research Division, which is part of the Federal agency NOAA, have data going back as far as 1851. According to them, hurricane data is pretty reliable\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic Hurricane Season\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic Hurricane Season","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-hurricane-season"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQNQjjXjEchEt8PH6BUA5CzyQwvjuBh7BLKw7e3mxeI-BXCg02t4Ebxu13GaLV187gsAp8zLOY0pbktHwuik-A3hoo0xvh-w-V_BGN7WwCd_0T56WyFGWRjqdXhlEC_5cLfZQS7JnW5ZVPo0oLrFO2IREMsXlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQNQjjXjEchEt8PH6BUA5CzyQwvjuBh7BLKw7e3mxeI-BXCg02t4Ebxu13GaLV187gsAp8zLOY0pbktHwuik-A3hoo0xvh-w-V_BGN7WwCd_0T56WyFGWRjqdXhlEC_5cLfZQS7JnW5ZVPo0oLrFO2IREMsXlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQNQjjXjEchEt8PH6BUA5CzyQwvjuBh7BLKw7e3mxeI-BXCg02t4Ebxu13GaLV187gsAp8zLOY0pbktHwuik-A3hoo0xvh-w-V_BGN7WwCd_0T56WyFGWRjqdXhlEC_5cLfZQS7JnW5ZVPo0oLrFO2IREMsXlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQNQjjXjEchEt8PH6BUA5CzyQwvjuBh7BLKw7e3mxeI-BXCg02t4Ebxu13GaLV187gsAp8zLOY0pbktHwuik-A3hoo0xvh-w-V_BGN7WwCd_0T56WyFGWRjqdXhlEC_5cLfZQS7JnW5ZVPo0oLrFO2IREMsXlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQNQjjXjEchEt8PH6BUA5CzyQwvjuBh7BLKw7e3mxeI-BXCg02t4Ebxu13GaLV187gsAp8zLOY0pbktHwuik-A3hoo0xvh-w-V_BGN7WwCd_0T56WyFGWRjqdXhlEC_5cLfZQS7JnW5ZVPo0oLrFO2IREMsXlA.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":228470,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=228470","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":1},"title":"Hurricane Nicole","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/11\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"No doubt, some climate activist will be wheeled out to claim that hurricanes this late in the year are rare, but as Fox point out, there have been other November hurricanes in Florida, in 1935 and 1985. They were both Cat 2s, with winds of 98 mph.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-30.png?fit=1024%2C620&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-30.png?fit=1024%2C620&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-30.png?fit=1024%2C620&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/0image-30.png?fit=1024%2C620&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":346857,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=346857","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":2},"title":"POLITICO: \u2018Hurricanes are doing little to change Republicans\u2019 minds on climate change\u2019 \u2013 GOP still refusing to \u2018endorse tougher action against climate change\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Two major hurricanes hitting the same region of the country just weeks apart are not moving the needle for most congressional Republicans when it comes to endorsing tougher action against climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Screenshot-2024-10-15-120112-1.png?fit=1200%2C709&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Screenshot-2024-10-15-120112-1.png?fit=1200%2C709&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Screenshot-2024-10-15-120112-1.png?fit=1200%2C709&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Screenshot-2024-10-15-120112-1.png?fit=1200%2C709&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0Screenshot-2024-10-15-120112-1.png?fit=1200%2C709&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":286476,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=286476","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":3},"title":"Computer Says \u201cYes\u201d, \u201cWell Maybe\u201d and \u201cNo\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/11\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"What I want to know is how a computer\/robot can give easily provably fake information! Or, for that matter, be confused! From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT By Paul Homewood I had a very interesting chat with ChatGPT today! Are hurricanes becoming more common? ChatGPT There is scientific\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/0AI_Electronic_Beats.webp?fit=1200%2C685&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":221481,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=221481","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":4},"title":"NYTimes Hurricane Analysis is Purposefully Misleading","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/09\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"There is no strong evidence of century scale increasing trends in: U.S. landfalling hurricanes, frequency of hurricanes or major hurricanes, or the proportion of hurricanes that reach major hurricane intensity.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1458.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1458.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1458.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1458.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1458.png?fit=1200%2C600&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":410910,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=410910","url_meta":{"origin":404603,"position":5},"title":"BBC Lie About Hurricane\u00a0Melissa","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"30\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The frequency of very intense hurricanes such as Melissa is increasing This simply is not true.","rel":"","context":"In \"BBC\"","block_context":{"text":"BBC","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bbc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0Screenshot-2025-10-30-083734.png?fit=1200%2C679&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/404603","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=404603"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/404603\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":404624,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/404603\/revisions\/404624"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/404622"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=404603"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=404603"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=404603"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}