{"id":400895,"date":"2025-09-08T19:03:50","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T17:03:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=400895"},"modified":"2025-09-08T19:03:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T17:03:52","slug":"new-york-times-on-climate-now-2025-and-then-1988","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=400895","title":{"rendered":"New York Times on Climate: Now (2025) and Then (1988)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Master Resource<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Robert Bradley Jr.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ed. Note<\/strong>: The New York Times<\/em> is the newspaper of record on climate alarm. The latest, \u201cScientists Denounce Trump Administration\u2019s Climate Report<\/a>\u201d (September 3, 2025), brings to mind this paper\u2019s first climate alarm article of note, \u201c\u2018Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate Today<\/a> (June 24, 1988). The latter (by environmental reporter Philip Shabecoff<\/a>) had specific forecasts of anthropogenic activity: 3\u20139\u00b0F and 1\u20134 feet by 2025\u20132050. Into this forecast period, some 37 years later, the recorded increase is under 1.5\u00b0F<\/a> and around four inches<\/a>. The 1,300-word, front-page Times<\/em> article follows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

\u201cIf the current pace of the buildup of these gases continues, the effect is likely to be a warming of 3 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit from the year 2025 to 2050, according to these projections. This rise in temperature is not expected to be uniform around the globe but to be greater in the higher latitudes, reaching as much as 20 degrees, and lower at the Equator.\u201d (Philip Shabecoff<\/a>, below)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The earth has been warmer in the first five months of this year than in any comparable period since measurements began 130 years ago, and the higher temperatures can now be attributed to a long-expected global warming trend linked to pollution, a space agency scientist reported today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Until now, scientists have been cautious about attributing rising global temperatures of recent years to the predicted global warming caused by pollutants in the atmosphere, known as the\u201d greenhouse effect.\u201d But today Dr. James E. Hansen of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration told a Congressional committee that it was 99 percent certain that the warming trend was not a natural variation but was caused by a buildup of carbon dioxide and other artificial gases in the atmosphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Hansen, a leading expert on climate change, said in an interview that there was no \u201dmagic number\u201d that showed when the greenhouse effect was actually starting to cause changes in climate and weather. But he added, \u201dIt is time to stop waffling so much and say that the evidence is pretty strong that the greenhouse effect is here.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An Impact Lasting Centuries<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Dr. Hansen and other scientists are correct, then humans, by burning of fossil fuels and other activities, have altered the global climate in a manner that will affect life on earth for centuries to come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Hansen, director of NASA\u2019s Institute for Space Studies in Manhattan, testifed before the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He and other scientists testifying before the Senate panel today said that projections of the climate change that is now apparently occurring mean that the Southeastern and Midwestern sections of the United States will be subject to frequent episodes of very high temperatures and drought in the next decade and beyond. But they cautioned that it was not possible to attribute a specific heat wave to the greenhouse effect, given the still limited state of knowledge on the subject.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some Dispute Link<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some scientists still argue that warmer temperatures in recent years may be a result of natural fluctuations rather than human-induced changes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Several Senators on the Committee joined witnesses in calling for action now on a broad national and international program to slow the pace of global warming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Senator Timothy E. Wirth, the Colorado Democrat who presided at hearing today, said: \u201dAs I read it, the scientific evidence is compelling: the global climate is changing as the earth\u2019s atmosphere gets warmer. Now, the Congress must begin to consider how we are going to slow or halt that warming trend and how we are going to cope with the changes that may already be inevitable.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trapping of Solar Radiation<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mathematical models have predicted for some years now that a buildup of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels such as coal and oil and other gases emitted by human activities into the atmosphere would cause the earth\u2019s surface to warm by trapping infrared radiation from the sun, turning the entire earth into a kind of greenhouse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If the current pace of the buildup of these gases continues, the effect is likely to be a warming of 3 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit from the year 2025 to 2050, according to these projections. This rise in temperature is not expected to be uniform around the globe but to be greater in the higher latitudes, reaching as much as 20 degrees, and lower at the Equator.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rise in global temperature is predicted to cause a thermal expansion of the oceans and to melt glaciers and polar ice, thus causing sea levels to rise by one to four feet by the middle of the next century. Scientists have already detected a slight rise in sea levels. At the same time, heat would cause inland waters to evaporate more rapidly, thus lowering the level of bodies of water such as the Great Lakes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Hansen, who records temperatures from readings at monitoring stations around the world, had previously reported that four of the hottest years on record occurred in the 1980\u2019s. Compared with a 30-year base period from 1950 to 1980, when the global temperature averaged 59 degrees Fahrenheit, the temperature was one-third of a degree higher last year. In the entire century before 1880, global temperature had risen by half a degree, rising in the late 1800\u2019s and early 20th century, then roughly stabilizing for unknown reasons for several decades in the middle of the century.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Warmest Year Expected<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the first five months of this year, the temperature averaged about four-tenths of a degree above the base period, Dr. Hansen reported today. \u201dThe first five months of 1988 are so warm globally that we conclude that 1988 will be the warmest year on record unless there is a remarkable, improbable cooling in the remainder of the year,\u201d he told the Senate committee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He also said that current climate patterns were consistent with the projections of the greenhouse effect in several respects in addition to the rise in temperature. For example, he said, the rise in temperature is greater in high latitudes than in low, is greater over continents than oceans, and there is cooling in the upper atmosphere as the lower atmosphere warms up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201dGlobal warming has reached a level such that we can ascribe with a high degree of confidence a cause and effect relationship between the greenhouse effect and observed warming,\u201d Dr. Hansen said at the hearing today, adding, \u201dIt is already happening now.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Syukuro Manabe of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration testified today that a number of factors, including an earlier snowmelt each year because of higher temperatures and a rain belt that moves farther north in the summer means that \u201dit is likely that severe mid-continental summer dryness will occur more frequently with increasing atmsopheric temperature.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Taste of the Future<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While natural climate variability is the most likely chief cause of the current drought, Dr. Manabe said, the global warming trend is probably \u201daggravating the current dry condition.\u201d He added that the current drought was a foretaste of what the country would be facing in the years ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. George Woodwell, director of the Woods Hole Research Center in Woods Hole, Mass., said that while a slow warming trend would give human society time to respond, the rate of warming is uncertain. One factor that could speed up global warming is the widescale destruction of forests that are unable to adjust rapidly enough to rising temperatures. The dying forests would release the carbon dioxide they store in their organic matter, and thus greatly speed up the greenhouse effect. Sharp Cut in Fuel Use Urged<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Woodwell, and other members of the panel, said that planning must begin now for a sharp reduction in the burning of coal, oil and other fossil fuels that release carbon dioxide. Because trees absorb and store carbon dioxide, he also proposed an end to the current rapid clearing of forests in many parts of the world and \u201da vigorous program of reforestation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some experts also believe that concern over global warming caused by the burning of fossil fuels warrants a renewed effort to develop safe nuclear power. Others stress the need for more efficient use of energy through conservation and other measures to curb fuel-burning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Michael Oppenheimer, an atmospheric physicist with the Environmental Defense Fund, a national environmental group, said a number of steps can be taken immediately around the world, including the ratification and then strengthening of the treaty to reduce use of chlorofluorocarbons, which are widely used industrial chemicals that are said to contribute to the greenhouse effect. These chemicals have also been found to destroy ozone in the upper atmosphere that protects the earth\u2019s surface from harmful ultraviolet radiation from the sun.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The\u00a0New York Times\u00a0is the newspaper of record on climate alarm. The latest, \u201cScientists Denounce Trump Administration\u2019s Climate Report\u201d (September 3, 2025), brings to mind this paper\u2019s first climate alarm article of note, \u201c\u2018Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate Today\u00a0(June 24, 1988). <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":400899,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the historical climate reports and the alarming predictions of global warming from 1988 to today in this insightful article.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"The Evolution of Climate Science: A Historical Perspective","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691829997,691827929,691818056,691837813,691818228,691819268,691818087,691820367,691837808],"class_list":{"0":"post-400895","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-carbon-dioxide-co","9":"tag-chlorofluorocarbons-cfc","10":"tag-climate-change","11":"tag-dr-james-e-hansen","12":"tag-fossil-fuels","13":"tag-global-temperatures","14":"tag-global-warming","15":"tag-solar-radiation","16":"tag-the-new-york-times-2","18":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQN4n5Rlcqe77zG5PxfvMWt6IZgynJuU7y0aPJDfs3L7Q8OfeNpgP9qNIiD0J3k_P7Pf5Y6lWGLFk8al_ACqu7Jp1M0jwY5Fhsy_h3eyPXFfLDfP3Wmjv0N_WvuG3_YreQfmYd5N1zu9AbaJlqFL76Fpq3hrZw.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Gi3","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":263622,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=263622","url_meta":{"origin":400895,"position":0},"title":"In Search of the \u201cGreenhouse Signal\u201d in the 1990s (and when did they know?)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"When did the \u201cgreenhouse signal\u201d become recognized and \u201csettled science\u201d? Despite the 35th anniversary of James Hansen\u2019s June 1988 testimony to a Senate subcommittee, the historical record should be clear that detection was not in 1988. Or 1991. Or 1995. Or 1998.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0dontpanic3.webp?fit=1200%2C848&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0dontpanic3.webp?fit=1200%2C848&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0dontpanic3.webp?fit=1200%2C848&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0dontpanic3.webp?fit=1200%2C848&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0dontpanic3.webp?fit=1200%2C848&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":405124,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=405124","url_meta":{"origin":400895,"position":1},"title":"The Climate Realist President \u2014 The Climate Realism Show\u00a0#175","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"At the United Nations this week \u2014 during \u201cClimate Week\u201d in New York City \u2014 Donald Trump delivered what may be the most honest climate speech ever given by an American president. He called climate alarmism \u201cthe greatest con job ever perpetrated on the world,\u201d mocked failed doomsday predictions, and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cClimate Week\u201d in New York City\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cClimate Week\u201d in New York City","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-week-in-new-york-city"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-26-140851.png?fit=1200%2C664&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-26-140851.png?fit=1200%2C664&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-26-140851.png?fit=1200%2C664&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-26-140851.png?fit=1200%2C664&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0Screenshot-2025-09-26-140851.png?fit=1200%2C664&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":263515,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=263515","url_meta":{"origin":400895,"position":2},"title":"\u2018Global Warming Has Begun, Expert Tells Senate\u2019 (1988 exaggerations vs. today)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/06\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This\u00a0article\u00a0on the front page of the\u00a0New York Times\u00a0by noted environmental reporter\u00a0Philip Shabecoff, (June 24, 1988) marked the beginning of the media-driven climate scare. Particularly important is the estimated anthropogenic warming and sea level rise: 3-9 degrees F and 1-4 feet between 2025 and 2050. 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Meanwhile, far-too-many scientists remain quiet about the climate model problem and psuedo-scientific attribution studies, while the campaigners link all extreme weather events to mankind\u2019s consumption and energy habits.","rel":"","context":"In \"Al Gore\"","block_context":{"text":"Al Gore","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=al-gore"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-psuedo-scientific.jpg?fit=1200%2C1134&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-psuedo-scientific.jpg?fit=1200%2C1134&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-psuedo-scientific.jpg?fit=1200%2C1134&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-psuedo-scientific.jpg?fit=1200%2C1134&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/0-psuedo-scientific.jpg?fit=1200%2C1134&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419481,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419481","url_meta":{"origin":400895,"position":4},"title":"Good News Everyone! 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All precipitation events. Precipitation events over one inch. In 1988, there were large fires and the Washington\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-341.png?fit=834%2C609&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-341.png?fit=834%2C609&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-341.png?fit=834%2C609&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-341.png?fit=834%2C609&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/400895","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=400895"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/400895\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":400905,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/400895\/revisions\/400905"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/400899"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=400895"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=400895"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=400895"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}