{"id":400653,"date":"2025-09-07T19:55:41","date_gmt":"2025-09-07T17:55:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=400653"},"modified":"2025-09-07T19:55:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-07T17:55:44","slug":"the-tide-is-turning-decisively-against-net-zero","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=400653","title":{"rendered":"The Tide is Turning Decisively Against Net Zero"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In the belief that atmospheric CO2<\/sub>\u00a0is the control knob of \u2018dangerous\u2019 impending climate change, Net Zero emerged in the 2010s as the global rallying cry to \u2018save the planet\u2019. By the time the Paris Agreement was concluded in 2015, the UN\u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established the\u00a0arbitrary<\/a>\u00a01.5\u00b0C limit on global temperature increase and established the \u2018Net Zero by 2050\u2019 policy target for developed countries around the globe. <\/a>Tilak\u2019s Substack<\/a> has the story.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But a spate of recent headlines suggests that the \u2018Net Zero by 2050\u2019 policy is falling apart. There is a growing realisation across advanced economies that the grandiose project of achieving \u2018Net Zero by 2050\u2019 is collapsing under the weight of its own contradictions. What was once heralded as a consensus across the political class, corporate boardrooms and multilateral agencies now looks increasingly like an edifice of ideology built on a vaporous, oxymoronic \u2018consensus science<\/a>\u2018. The rising tide of empirical reality \u2014 the costs of intermittent renewables, the geopolitical consequences of energy insecurity and the sheer scale of power demand growth from artificial intelligence infrastructure \u2014 has swept away the carefully constructed narrative of inevitability around the so-called energy transition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet, as David Blackmon reminds<\/a> us in his well-subscribed Energy Transition Absurdities<\/em> Substack blog, \u201cclimate alarmism is demoralised but it is far from dead\u201d. It would seem that no amount of evidence on prohibitive system costs of intermittent renewable energy<\/a> and their adverse impact on energy prices can convince diehard climate doomsters otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Crumbling Edifice of Climate Orthodoxy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, Conservative party leader Kemi Badenoch pledged<\/a> to \u201cextract every last molecule of oil and gas from the UK North Sea\u201d, as the Tories seek to distance themselves from their previous support for the country\u2019s Net Zero emissions target. She rightly described the abandonment of domestic resources as \u201can act of economic disarmament\u201d. It may be doubtful<\/a> whether Badenoch is serious in her intent to carry out a US-style \u2018drill, baby, drill\u2019 campaign if the Tories were to achieve office (an unlikely prospect). But the fact that she was led to make the radical pledge to dump Net Zero is evidence of the waning influence of the globalist climate agenda of drastic decarbonisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In its \u2018Global Outlook\u2019 published last week, ExxonMobil declared<\/a> what has become increasingly obvious: the world is burning more coal than ever, and global Net Zero goals are \u201cslipping away\u201d. Earlier this year, a poll<\/a> of British energy industry Chief Executives revealed that a majority no longer believe Net Zero by 2050 is remotely achievable \u2014 a stark departure from the optimism of a decade ago. The once-celebrated European climate consensus has fractured, as Hungarian and Austrian MEPs successfully opposed<\/a> a motion to fast-track the EU\u2019s 2040 climate target (a 90% emissions reduction), which failed in July 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The cracks in the climate industrial complex are no longer hairline fractures; they are gaping holes. Even some former apostles of the green faith, such as former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair, now admit<\/a> that phasing out fossil fuels is \u201cdoomed to fail\u201d. Yet for all this, the machinery of climate alarmism keeps churning. Climate activism is not so much a science-based project as it is a secular religion of the globalist Left. It is a belief system too deeply ingrained in the zealous worldview of its adherents to ever be abandoned willingly. The Malthusian spectre that pervades the climate change movement remains to be exorcised.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump\u2019s Counter-Revolution and Paul Krugman\u2019s Fictions<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chief among the shocks delivered to the Church of Climate<\/a> is the re-election of Donald Trump and the energy counter-revolution he has unleashed. Having already withdrawn the United States from the Paris Agreement for the second time, Trump has now gone further.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read the full story here<\/a><\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In the belief that atmospheric CO2 is the control knob of \u2018dangerous\u2019 impending climate change, Net Zero emerged in the 2010s as the global rallying cry to \u2018save the planet\u2019. By the time the Paris Agreement was concluded in 2015, the UN\u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) established the arbitrary 1.5\u00b0C limit on global temperature increase and established the \u2018Net Zero by 2050\u2019 policy target for developed countries around the globe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":400657,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the unraveling of the Net Zero by 2050 policy and the growing skepticism around climate change initiatives in advanced economies.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"The Collapse of Net Zero: A Turning Point in Climate Policy","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819134,691818056,691830765,691818618,691818154,691819807,691821042,691833487],"class_list":{"0":"post-400653","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-alarmism","9":"tag-climate-change","10":"tag-climate-industrial-complex-2","11":"tag-energy-transition","12":"tag-net-zero","13":"tag-north-sea-oil","14":"tag-paris-climate-agreement","15":"tag-us-president-donald-j-trump","17":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/AQMqMmQokZhSf57SBrGq5qSj2FQwPYb2-n_Ng4m6m67EzBc7AXMfJGrcc4s2UNxzgaOT4IuGptXkJts-82fhSxEL_iJvzs_0V-VRho-zcQ5OAucO6ES3HVVgAM9QTKg3CwpmPaq2KHkhYtfGenKKTbW7dfMvcg.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Ge9","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":354648,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354648","url_meta":{"origin":400653,"position":0},"title":"Straight Talk on Climate Science and Net\u00a0Zero","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"16\/12\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The\u00a0UK Net Zero by 2050 Policy was undemocratically adopted\u00a0by the UK government in 2019. Yet the science of so-called \u2018greenhouse gases\u2019 is well known and there is no reason to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), or nitrous oxide (N2O) because absorption of radiation is logarithmic.\u00a0Adding to or\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/0net-zero-new-cover-en.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":354286,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=354286","url_meta":{"origin":400653,"position":1},"title":"Andrew Dessler\u2019s Strange Optimism (post-election groping)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/12\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The recent election should have thrown climate scientist\/alarmist\/activist Andrew Dessler into a funk, even toward self-doubt and need to check his anti-CO2 premises. 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Celebrate! The \u2018climate crisis\u2019 is officially over! Pelosi Declares \u2018We Saved the Planet\u2019 w\/ pork-barrel federal spending bill! \u2014 But wait\u2026Not so fast\u2026","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"24\/09\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Now can we go back to driving cars, eating meat and using appliances, and controlling our own home thermostats?!","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1188.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1188.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1188.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/image-1188.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":368744,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=368744","url_meta":{"origin":400653,"position":3},"title":"IR-Active Gases: H2O Potent, CO2\u00a0Feeble","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/03\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Using a detailed atmospheric radiative transfer model, we derive macroscopic relationships of downwelling and outgoing longwave radiation\u00a0which enable determining the partial derivatives thereof with respect to the explanatory variables that represent the greenhouse gases. 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