{"id":399547,"date":"2025-09-02T14:40:49","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T12:40:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399547"},"modified":"2025-09-02T14:40:51","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T12:40:51","slug":"is-the-latest-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc-collapse-paper-scientific-fraud","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399547","title":{"rendered":"Is the Latest Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) “Collapse” Paper Scientific Fraud?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As a published scientist with papers in prestigious journals like PNAS, Science Advances, and others, I’m intimately familiar with the peer-review process. Irrationalfear.substack.com<\/a> has the story.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s far from perfect\u2014plagued by biases, delays, and occasional gatekeeping\u2014but it remains the gold standard for disseminating expert, evidence-based information in a timely and accurate manner. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That said, when peer review gets weaponized to push a narrative, it crosses into dangerous territory. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’ve seen this before in the climate science community, as I detailed in my piece\u00a0“Manufacturing Consensus”<\/a>\u00a0and as exposed in the infamous Climategate emails from 2009. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In those leaked messages, Dr. Michael Mann (of hockey-stick graph fame) explicitly discussed using the peer-review system to block dissenting papers, stating they would “redefine what the peer-review literature is” to keep out views that challenged the alarmist consensus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Email<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fast forward to today, and it feels like history is repeating itself. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A brand-new paper in Environmental Research Letters (ERL), titled\u00a0“Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections”<\/a>\u00a0by Sybren Drijfhout and colleagues, claims the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), often sensationalized as the “ocean conveyor belt” that could trigger a climate catastrophe, is on track for a shutdown after 2100 under high-emission scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A
https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/adfa3b\/pdf<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The paper relies heavily on computer model projections (CMIP6) and paints a dire picture of collapsing deep ocean mixing, leading to extreme cooling in Europe and global disruptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But here’s the red flag: it mis-cites a key 2024 paper on the Florida Current (a major AMOC component) that actually shows long-term stability, and it completely omits two bombshell papers published this year in the journal Nature that directly contradict the idea of an imminent AMOC collapse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This isn’t just sloppy science\u2026 it’s hard to imagine experienced authors, reviewers, and editors overlooking such recent, high-profile work by accident. <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As someone who’s navigated peer review countless times, I can tell you: omitting or misrepresenting directly relevant papers from the same year, especially ones that torpedo your core claims, would never pass muster with my academic advisors, co-authors, reviewers, or editors. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It smacks of deliberate cherry-picking, ignoring any data that doesn’t fit the alarmist narrative. Why? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because this narrative fuels billions in taxpayer-funded grants for activist scientists, NGOs, and global elites, while justifying more control over everyday life\u2014from energy policies to, yes, even restrictions on things like owning a dog under “sustainable” living mandates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read the full story here<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A brand-new paper in Environmental Research Letters (ERL), titled\u00a0“Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections”\u00a0by Sybren Drijfhout and colleagues, claims the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), often sensationalized as the “ocean conveyor belt” that could trigger a climate catastrophe, is on track for a shutdown after 2100 under high-emission scenarios.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":399558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the controversial use of peer review in climate science and how it may shape narratives on AMOC collapse. Read more for insights.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Examining AMOC Collapse Claims: Misrepresentation in Science","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821384,691819134,691831597,691837663,691835487,691837662],"class_list":["post-399547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc","tag-climate-alarmism","tag-climate-models-cmip6","tag-dr-richard-lindzen-mit-emeritus","tag-environmental-research-letters-erl","tag-extreme-cooling","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1FWj","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":409239,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409239","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":0},"title":"New Study Contradicts The Alarmist Narrative That Says The AMOC Is Catastrophically Collapsing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/20\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Alarmists claim that, due to anthropogenic climate change (AGW), the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is weakening to the point that it\u2019s on the verge of\u00a0collapsing. It\u2019s claimed this will lead to abrupt cooling and extreme weather in the North Atlantic region.","rel":"","context":"In \"anthropogenic climate change (AGW)\"","block_context":{"text":"anthropogenic climate change (AGW)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anthropogenic-climate-change-agw"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":362826,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362826","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":1},"title":"Surprise! The North Atlantic Current is Stable","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/21\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Another nail in the coffin of climate models? A study published in Nature suggests there is no evidence for a decline in AMOC over the last 60 years.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":363205,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=363205","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":2},"title":"AMOC Alarmism Doesn\u2019t Stick (Wunsch caution)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/24\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent peer-reviewed\u00a0article\u00a0in\u00a0Nature\u00a0(discussed\u00a0here) has, once again, knocked this speculative \u201cfat tail\u201d hypothesis down to size. \u201cBased on the here identified relationship and observation-based estimates of the past air-sea heat flux in the North Atlantic from reanalysis products,\u201d the authors concluded, \u201cthe decadal averaged AMOC at 26.5\u00b0N has not weakened from\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0348_1255575_f1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C466&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0348_1255575_f1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C466&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0348_1255575_f1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C466&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0348_1255575_f1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C466&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0348_1255575_f1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C466&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":368165,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=368165","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":3},"title":"Why Isn\u2019t the Mainstream Media Reporting that Ocean Circulation Is Doing Well?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/01\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"For decades, mainstream media outlets have asserted that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is on the verge of collapse, bringing catastrophic consequences to the planet. This is false. Recent research indicates that climate change has not altered the Atlantic Ocean current, despite repeated claims by the media and some\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0atlanticocea.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0atlanticocea.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0atlanticocea.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0atlanticocea.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/0atlanticocea.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":362457,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362457","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":4},"title":"Critical ocean current has not declined in the last 60 years, AMOC study\u00a0finds","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"01\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The headline says it all. Time for persistent AMOC worriers\u00a0like the BBC\u00a0to pack up their coulds, mights and maybes and move on to other speculations. AMOC has many variables and alarmist guessing games are a waste of time.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0pnbldqksjui21.png?fit=1200%2C761&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0pnbldqksjui21.png?fit=1200%2C761&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0pnbldqksjui21.png?fit=1200%2C761&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0pnbldqksjui21.png?fit=1200%2C761&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0pnbldqksjui21.png?fit=1200%2C761&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":349662,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=349662","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":5},"title":"Mann\u2019s AMOC Collapse\u00a0Hoax","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/31\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Likely you\u2019ve heard the recent and previous warnings from Mann and friends about the ocean conveyor belt (including the Gulf Stream) slowing down and freezing us all.\u00a0 With the COP gathering next month, something scary must be proclaimed, and Global Freezing is it, replacing Global Boiling earlier this year. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Arctic tipping point risks\"","block_context":{"text":"Arctic tipping point risks","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-tipping-point-risks"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00-The-day-after-tomorrow-1024x576.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00-The-day-after-tomorrow-1024x576.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00-The-day-after-tomorrow-1024x576.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/00-The-day-after-tomorrow-1024x576.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQPMM-Ew0Jt6uX4BW6Snm4b18JV1x05YMuTI4OD90u0bvCTHm3UXORDJtJZA_jAD-X_hNKPprW2OKlkQ1hE9rj0tQ0SSXC5IglK1SFciwcBysa82FjwlrYnlROKcy7kmkoDU77qitLEjyFYNrHisOaMlmA-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=399547"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":399559,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547\/revisions\/399559"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/399558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=399547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=399547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=399547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}