{"id":399547,"date":"2025-09-02T14:40:49","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T12:40:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399547"},"modified":"2025-09-02T14:40:51","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T12:40:51","slug":"is-the-latest-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc-collapse-paper-scientific-fraud","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=399547","title":{"rendered":"Is the Latest Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) “Collapse” Paper Scientific Fraud?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As a published scientist with papers in prestigious journals like PNAS, Science Advances, and others, I’m intimately familiar with the peer-review process. Irrationalfear.substack.com<\/a> has the story.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s far from perfect\u2014plagued by biases, delays, and occasional gatekeeping\u2014but it remains the gold standard for disseminating expert, evidence-based information in a timely and accurate manner. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

That said, when peer review gets weaponized to push a narrative, it crosses into dangerous territory. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We’ve seen this before in the climate science community, as I detailed in my piece\u00a0“Manufacturing Consensus”<\/a>\u00a0and as exposed in the infamous Climategate emails from 2009. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In those leaked messages, Dr. Michael Mann (of hockey-stick graph fame) explicitly discussed using the peer-review system to block dissenting papers, stating they would “redefine what the peer-review literature is” to keep out views that challenged the alarmist consensus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Email<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Fast forward to today, and it feels like history is repeating itself. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

A brand-new paper in Environmental Research Letters (ERL), titled\u00a0“Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections”<\/a>\u00a0by Sybren Drijfhout and colleagues, claims the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), often sensationalized as the “ocean conveyor belt” that could trigger a climate catastrophe, is on track for a shutdown after 2100 under high-emission scenarios.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"A
https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/adfa3b\/pdf<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The paper relies heavily on computer model projections (CMIP6) and paints a dire picture of collapsing deep ocean mixing, leading to extreme cooling in Europe and global disruptions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But here’s the red flag: it mis-cites a key 2024 paper on the Florida Current (a major AMOC component) that actually shows long-term stability, and it completely omits two bombshell papers published this year in the journal Nature that directly contradict the idea of an imminent AMOC collapse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This isn’t just sloppy science\u2026 it’s hard to imagine experienced authors, reviewers, and editors overlooking such recent, high-profile work by accident. <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As someone who’s navigated peer review countless times, I can tell you: omitting or misrepresenting directly relevant papers from the same year, especially ones that torpedo your core claims, would never pass muster with my academic advisors, co-authors, reviewers, or editors. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It smacks of deliberate cherry-picking, ignoring any data that doesn’t fit the alarmist narrative. Why? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because this narrative fuels billions in taxpayer-funded grants for activist scientists, NGOs, and global elites, while justifying more control over everyday life\u2014from energy policies to, yes, even restrictions on things like owning a dog under “sustainable” living mandates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Read the full story here<\/a>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A brand-new paper in Environmental Research Letters (ERL), titled\u00a0“Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections”\u00a0by Sybren Drijfhout and colleagues, claims the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), often sensationalized as the “ocean conveyor belt” that could trigger a climate catastrophe, is on track for a shutdown after 2100 under high-emission scenarios.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":399558,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the controversial use of peer review in climate science and how it may shape narratives on AMOC collapse. Read more for insights.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Examining AMOC Collapse Claims: Misrepresentation in Science","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821384,691819134,691831597,691837663,691835487,691837662],"class_list":{"0":"post-399547","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc","9":"tag-climate-alarmism","10":"tag-climate-models-cmip6","11":"tag-dr-richard-lindzen-mit-emeritus","12":"tag-environmental-research-letters-erl","13":"tag-extreme-cooling","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQPMM-Ew0Jt6uX4BW6Snm4b18JV1x05YMuTI4OD90u0bvCTHm3UXORDJtJZA_jAD-X_hNKPprW2OKlkQ1hE9rj0tQ0SSXC5IglK1SFciwcBysa82FjwlrYnlROKcy7kmkoDU77qitLEjyFYNrHisOaMlmA-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1FWj","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":409239,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=409239","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":0},"title":"New Study Contradicts The Alarmist Narrative That Says The AMOC Is Catastrophically Collapsing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"20\/10\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Alarmists claim that, due to anthropogenic climate change (AGW), the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is weakening to the point that it\u2019s on the verge of\u00a0collapsing. It\u2019s claimed this will lead to abrupt cooling and extreme weather in the North Atlantic region.","rel":"","context":"In \"anthropogenic climate change (AGW)\"","block_context":{"text":"anthropogenic climate change (AGW)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anthropogenic-climate-change-agw"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/0AQMJvBPBebog8Xm49_ERkrVz9uWa4J5OdkYLJThsovaKBw055yTJnhg5mKHmbygBlnRZF12QFuK21htLK4u7vMobZbPFYdbf-a4yvSDfNXNJ6yBnujkF1uDqJXQYgg-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C649&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":282169,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=282169","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":1},"title":"AMOC: A Non-Tipping point","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/10\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"From Watts Up With That? Gabriel Oxenstierna, Ph.D The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is one of Earth\u2019s major ocean circulation systems\u2014it redistributes heat on our planet and is a key driver of climate variability. There is a northward transport of heat throughout the Atlantic, comprising one quarter of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/0PBwTwPhNHqHE294xqxrPed-1200-80.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":413569,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=413569","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":2},"title":"Nature Claims Their Circulation Is Decreasing","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/11\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Let\u2019s get something straight: this new study entitled Equatorial Atlantic mid-depth warming indicates Atlantic meridional overturning circulation slowdown, hot off the Nature presses and already getting the full catastrophe-trending treatment, claims that mysterious \u201cmid-depth warming\u201d in the equatorial Atlantic\u2014between 1,000 and 2,000 meters down\u2014is the long-sought \u201cfingerprint\u201d proving that the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0Screenshot-2025-11-17-094353.png?fit=1200%2C729&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0Screenshot-2025-11-17-094353.png?fit=1200%2C729&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0Screenshot-2025-11-17-094353.png?fit=1200%2C729&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0Screenshot-2025-11-17-094353.png?fit=1200%2C729&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/0Screenshot-2025-11-17-094353.png?fit=1200%2C729&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":203446,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=203446","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":3},"title":"Model vs Model: Is the North Atlantic Current Collapsing?","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/06\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Essay by Eric Worrall h\/t Dr. Willie Soon; 12,900 years ago, the North Atlantic Current failed, likely\u00a0due to the emptying of an enormous glacial lake. This catastrophic lake failure is believed to have disrupted ocean currents, which led to an abrupt return to ice age conditions which lasted for over\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/image-38.png?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/image-38.png?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/image-38.png?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/image-38.png?fit=1024%2C768&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":269746,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=269746","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":4},"title":"Climate Disaster Study: Gulf Stream Could Collapse as Early as 2025","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"An AMOC collapse is believed to have caused the\u00a0Younger Dryas, an abrupt return to Northern Hemisphere ice age conditions which occurred 12,900 years ago, which lasted over a thousand years.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/0globaloceancurrents.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":362826,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362826","url_meta":{"origin":399547,"position":5},"title":"Surprise! The North Atlantic Current is Stable","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/01\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Another nail in the coffin of climate models? A study published in Nature suggests there is no evidence for a decline in AMOC over the last 60 years.","rel":"","context":"In \"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)\"","block_context":{"text":"Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-amoc"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/0Screenshot-2025-01-21-073653.png?fit=1198%2C672&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=399547"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":399559,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/399547\/revisions\/399559"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/399558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=399547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=399547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=399547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}