{"id":398970,"date":"2025-08-30T19:03:21","date_gmt":"2025-08-30T17:03:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=398970"},"modified":"2025-08-30T19:03:23","modified_gmt":"2025-08-30T17:03:23","slug":"wrong-cbs-and-other-media-outlets-abrupt-antarctic-climate-shifts-are-not-new-or-necessarily-catastrophic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=398970","title":{"rendered":"Wrong, CBS and Other Media Outlets, Abrupt Antarctic \u201cClimate Shifts\u201d Are Not New or Necessarily Catastrophic"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"398977\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=398977\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w (1)\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Three emperor penguins standing on ice in Antarctica with a scenic backdrop of mountains and ice formations.\" class=\"wp-image-398977\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=1200%2C1200&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=800%2C800&amp;ssl=1 800w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=600%2C600&amp;ssl=1 600w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2025\/08\/wrong-cbs-and-other-media-outlets-abrupt-antarctic-climate-shifts-are-not-new-or-necessarily-catastrophic\/\">ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/author\/admin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Heartland Institute<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"439\" data-attachment-id=\"398972\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=398972\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?fit=1467%2C891&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1467,891\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0ABC-CBS-antarctica\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?fit=723%2C439&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?resize=723%2C439&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A split-screen image showing two news headlines about climate shifts in Antarctica, with a large red 'WRONG' overlay on the left side, featuring a female news presenter on CBS News and a group of penguins in front of ice formations on the right.\" class=\"wp-image-398972\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?resize=1024%2C622&amp;ssl=1 1024w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?resize=300%2C182&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?resize=768%2C466&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?resize=1200%2C729&amp;ssl=1 1200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0ABC-CBS-antarctica.jpg?w=1467&amp;ssl=1 1467w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>By Anthony Watts and H. Sterling Burnett<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A recent CBS News article, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/abrupt-antarctic-climate-shifts-catastrophic-consequences-for-generations\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Abrupt Antarctic climate shifts could lead to \u2018catastrophic consequences for generations,\u2019 experts warn<\/a>,\u201d claims that Antarctica is on the brink of irreversible collapse due to climate change, warning that sea levels could rise by meters and that \u201ccatastrophic consequences for generations\u201d are looming. This is false or, at best, deeply misleading. The actual data and history of Antarctic ice show that \u201cabrupt changes\u201d are neither unprecedented nor a reason to panic. Natural variability and cyclical shifts are being ignored in favor of sensational headlines pushing the increasingly untenable climate crisis narrative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CBS was not alone in pushing the Antarctic climate crisis narrative. On 21 August 2025, The Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC) joined the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=antarctic+sea+ice+climate+shift&amp;sca_esv=263d6f8b3f719809&amp;rlz=1C1GIGM_enUS1172US1172&amp;biw=1138&amp;bih=627&amp;tbm=nws&amp;sxsrf=AE3TifM_rVjclB0ortztXQdwL_S5g3xnQA%3A1756128828510&amp;ei=PGasaJz2HujNkPIPuaDQsAc&amp;ved=0ahUKEwichIPYiaaPAxXoJkQIHTkQFHYQ4dUDCA4&amp;uact=5&amp;oq=antarctic+sea+ice+climate+shift&amp;gs_lp=Egxnd3Mtd2l6LW5ld3MiH2FudGFyY3RpYyBzZWEgaWNlIGNsaW1hdGUgc2hpZnQyBhAAGBYYHjILEAAYgAQYhgMYigUyCxAAGIAEGIYDGIoFMgsQABiABBiGAxiKBTILEAAYgAQYhgMYigUyCxAAGIAEGIYDGIoFMggQABiiBBiJBTIIEAAYgAQYogQyCBAAGKIEGIkFMggQABiABBiiBEj7BVC6BFi6BHAAeACQAQCYAW2gAccBqgEDMS4xuAEDyAEA-AEBmAICoALOAcICBRAAGO8FmAMAiAYBkgcDMS4xoAedDbIHAzEuMbgHzgHCBwUwLjEuMcgHBg&amp;sclient=gws-wiz-news\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">chorus of media outlets with alarming headlines<\/a>&nbsp;warning of pending ice collapse, publishing a report claiming&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/news\/2025-08-21\/iconic-antarctic-species-at-risk-amid-antarctic-regime-shift\/105676324\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Antarctica is undergoing \u201crapid, self-perpetuating changes\u201d<\/a>&nbsp;that are \u201cpotentially irreversible.\u201d Each of the reports cited a new&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-025-09349-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Nature<\/em>&nbsp;review led by Professor Nerilie Abram,<\/a>&nbsp;as the source of the information for their alarming articles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ABC\u2019s article presents Antarctica as being in a state of runaway decline, with imminent threats to emperor penguins and global sea levels, parroting language from the Abram paper as if it were observed fact, rather than the speculative synthesis of research papers that the Nature study cites. CBS, ABC, and other media outlets are covering this story as if a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/climate-at-a-glance-tipping-point-1-5-degrees-celsius-warming\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tipping point<\/a>&nbsp;is upon us\u2014but a closer look at the evidence reveals otherwise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CBS News warns:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Abrupt and potentially irreversible changes in Antarctica driven by climate change could lift global oceans by meters and lead to \u2018catastrophic consequences for generations,\u2019 scientists warned Wednesday. \u2026 After increasing slightly during the first 35 years that satellite data was available, Antarctic sea-ice cover plunged dramatically over the last decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Australia\u2019s ABC News, meanwhile, uncritically repeats Abram\u2019s claims and, describing the Antarctic as \u201crapidly, self-perpetuating\u201d on the cusp of collapse, while offering little discussion of data\u2014leaning instead on worst-case modeling and literature reviews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Antarctic data and an examination of its history show that such events have happened previously, long before anyone was worried about human-caused climate change, and they are not self-perpetuating but rather, seem cyclical in nature.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The CBS article claims that \u201cAntarctic sea-ice cover plunged dramatically over the last decade,\u201d citing a \u201cregime shift\u201d since 2014. ABC News, echoing the same theme, refers to a sudden and supposedly \u201cirreversible\u201d decline. But both articles omit key facts, among them:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The \u201cAbrupt\u201d Decline Follows Decades of Expansion. Satellite measurements of Antarctic sea-ice\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/nsidc.org\/news-analyses\/news-stories\/modern-sea-ice-satellite-record-turns-40#:~:text=On%20October%2025%2C%201978%2C%20the,the%20resulting%20sea%20ice%20data.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">began in late 1978<\/a>. For most of the next 36 years, Antarctic sea-ice was stable or\u00a0<em>increasing<\/em>, setting multiple record highs between 2007 and 2014. In October 2014, the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatecentral.org\/news\/antarctic-sea-official-record-maximum-18144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">reported<\/a>: \u201cAntarctic sea-ice extent set an all-time record high for the third straight year.\u201d This expansion occurred for more than 30 years during the period when the Earth was warming, contradicting claims that warming\u00a0<em>inevitably<\/em>\u00a0reduces Antarctic sea-ice.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The recent sharp declines since 2016 are real, but as the most robust satellite records show, these represent a\u00a0<em>regime shift within a variable system<\/em>\u2014not evidence of permanent or \u201crunaway\u201d collapse as\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.1906556116\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">one recent paper<\/a>\u00a0detailed.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Evidence of Antarctica\u2019s history shows that natural variability dominates changes in\u00a0 Antarctica. Longer reconstructions, stretching back to 1905, confirm that Antarctic sea-ice has experienced periods of large growth and subsequent declines over the past century. One 2020<a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1029\/2019GL086724\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">, study demonstrated<\/a>\u00a0that natural variability, including the influence of atmospheric and oceanic circulation, have likely played a role in any recent changes, as they drove such changes in the past.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As importantly as all this is, concern for the recent decline is sea ice is largely misplaced since, as even CBS news acknowledged in its story, [f]loating sea ice does not significantly add to sea level when it melts . . ..\u201d As a result, neither the \u201crecord setting\u201d expansion of sea-ice spanning the late 20<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;and early 21<sup>st<\/sup>&nbsp;century nor the recent decline significantly effect sea levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps that\u2019s why the new stories tried to tie the sea-ice decline to rising seas indirectly saying the sea ice retreat, \u201c . . . does replace white surfaces that reflect almost all of the sun\u2019s energy back into space with deep blue water, which absorbs the same amount instead.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The problem here is, there is no evidence the earlier multidecade expansion of sea-ice or the recent decline has a causal connection to ice growth or expansion on mainland Antarctica, the latter of which could impact sea levels. Indeed, the record indicates that for some of the period when sea-ice was expanding, Antarctica was losing mass, and now, while it is in decline, Antarctica is gaining ice on net, reducing sea level rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shifting focus from sea-ice to Antarctica\u2019s mainland, the CBS and ABC News shift attention to recent ice losses on the West Antarctic ice sheet and in particular the declining Thwaites glacier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When discussing ice sheets, both outlets repeat claims that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet has crossed a point of no return. But they fail to mention that West Antarctica sits atop a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/West_Antarctic_Ice_Sheet#:~:text=The%20West%20Antarctic%20Rift%20System,and%20no%20post%2Dglacial%20rebound\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tectonic rift system with&nbsp;<em>elevated geothermal heat flux<\/em><\/a>, which drives melting from below, regardless of atmospheric conditions. In short, subsurface volcanic activity or heating from tectonic shifts is melting the region\u2019s ice from below, and causing increased flow into the sea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeed, Direct&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/doi\/10.1126\/sciadv.1500093\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">borehole measurements<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1002\/2017GL075609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">aeromagnetic surveys<\/a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-021-00242-3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">radar-based research<\/a>&nbsp;confirm&nbsp;<em>anomalously high heat flow<\/em>&nbsp;in the region from beneath the mass. This subglacial influence helps explain why areas like Amundsen and Thwaites behave differently from the stable East Antarctic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Also, the northern Antarctic Peninsula, which is frequently highlighted for its instability, extends north of the Antarctic Circle into sub-Antarctic latitudes. Its climate and dynamics cannot be generalized to the rest of the continent according to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/earthobservatory.nasa.gov\/blogs\/fromthefield\/2014\/11\/19\/east-and-west-the-geography-of-antarctica\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">NASA Earth Observatory in 2014<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Climate Realism<\/em>&nbsp;has previously discussed the causes and consequences of ice loss on the Antarctic peninsula and in the West Antarctic multiple times previously,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2023\/02\/thanks-frontline-news-for-debunking-alarming-claims-made-about-antarcticas-temperature-and-ice-trends\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2023\/10\/cnn-peddles-alarm-about-western-antarctica-melting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>, for example, in each case debunking a media claim that humans are behind the loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Antarctica\u2019s ice loss is important, CBS and ABC tell us, because the Antarctic Ice Sheet\u2019s collapse could \u201craise sea levels by meters,\u201d threatening \u201chundreds of millions.\u201d But the actual rate of global sea level rise, measured by satellites and tide gauges, is about 3 millimeters per year as detailed in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/climate-at-a-glance-sea-level-rise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate at a Glance: Sea Level Rise.<\/a>&nbsp;At this rate, it would take 333 years to reach even a single meter of rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The idea of meters of sea level rise by 2100 is rooted in&nbsp;<em>computer models<\/em>, not observation. Even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/report\/ar6\/wg1\/downloads\/report\/IPCC_AR6_WGI_SPM.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">concedes that melting the East Antarctic Ice Sheet would require thousands of years and temperature increases far beyond any plausible scenario this century<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Loss of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS) is&nbsp;<em>very unlikely<\/em>&nbsp;over this century and beyond under scenarios of greenhouse gas emissions considered in this report. Complete loss of the EAIS would require sustained global warming significantly above the levels projected for this century, and would take thousands of years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Putting the supposed amount of Antarctic glacier loss in context is important, because as a percentage of the continents total ice volume, recent reported losses from the continent are miniscule, contrary to media hype. See the figure below, as presented at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/climate-at-a-glance-antarctic-ice-melt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate at a Glance Antarctic Ice Melt<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"411\" data-attachment-id=\"398974\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=398974\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?fit=900%2C512&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"900,512\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?fit=723%2C411&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?resize=723%2C411&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"Comparison chart illustrating Antarctic ice mass loss from 1992 to 2017, highlighting magnified losses versus total ice mass.\" class=\"wp-image-398974\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?w=900&amp;ssl=1 900w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?resize=300%2C171&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-646.png?resize=768%2C437&amp;ssl=1 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Figure:\u00a0(click to enlarge)\u00a0Comparison of satellite data for Antarctic ice mass loss. Cumulative ice mass loss on the left and that same data compared to the total mass of ice on the right.\u00a0Data source:\u00a0http:\/\/imbie.org. Graphs originally by Willis Eschenbach, adapted and annotated by Anthony Watts.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Describing the ice changes in Antarctica as \u201cirreversible\u201d or \u201crunaway\u201d is nothing more than alarming speculation, that ignores evidence to the contrary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CBS, ABC, and the other mainstream media outlets touting the study\u2019s warnings about the future also ignore the fact that contrary to the implication of the study, Antarctica is actually gaining ice at present and has for the past couple of years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As discussed at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/heartland.org\/opinion\/climate-change-weekly-547-polar-ice-is-not-following-the-climate-crisis-narrative\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate Change Weekly<\/a>, In late April and early May, mainstream media outlets ran dozens of stories discussing the findings of a recent study that showed Antarctica\u2019s ice mass was growing. The outlets called the ice and snow gain \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/scitechdaily.com\/antarcticas-astonishing-rebound-ice-sheet-grows-for-the-first-time-in-decades\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">astonishing<\/a>,\u201d \u201csurprising,\u201d and \u201cshock[ing]\u201d and said it \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/weather\/topstories\/antarctic-ice-increase-shocks-climate-scientists\/ss-AA1Gh58y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">startled the scientific community<\/a>.\u201d That\u2019s right, recent research shows that Antarctic has not warmed over the past seven decades and that the vast bulk of Antarctica experienced substantial ice growth in the past couple of years, reversing the decline reported in Nature that&nbsp; ABC, CBS, and other outlets are writing about. Glacial melt which had been contributing to sea level rise reversed itself over a period of three years, adding mass and cutting Antarctica\u2019s contribution to sea level rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Any reporting that omits the physics, history, and current trends is incomplete and misleading. And any story that blames global warming for glacier melt in Antarctica and subsequent sea level rise, when the continent has not experienced warming, glaciers on the whole are growing and thus reducing sea level rise, is just false.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both ABC and CBS also point to emperor penguin breeding failures as a result of climate change, implying an existential threat across the species. Yet&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-025-02345-7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">the 2025 study<\/a>&nbsp;making these claims conducted a&nbsp;<em>regional<\/em>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<em>local<\/em>&nbsp;survey of selected colonies from 2009 to 2024, reporting a 22 percent decline in those specific locations. It didn\u2019t look at the health of emperor penguin colonies across Antarctic as a whole. The authors themselves specifically cautioned that their results may not represent the entire Antarctic coastline\u2014a vital caveat that ABC and CBS\u2019s stories lack. With emperor penguins living for decades, a 15-year record is simply too short to establish population trajectories. These penguins have&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climateataglance.com\/claims-of-hottest-in-125000-years\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">survived warm and cold phases across the Holocene<\/a>. To suggest continent-wide extinction risk by 2100 is not supported by the available evidence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the end, history shows that the expansion and contraction of Antarctic sea-ice are natural features of a highly variable system<strong>.<\/strong>&nbsp;Short-term losses are not proof of a \u201crunaway\u201d tipping point; rather, they are well within known ranges of natural variability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CBS, ABC, and other media outlets are constructing a narrative of Antarctic collapse by cherry-picking short-term declines, ignoring decades of stability and increase, omitting key physical context, and leaning on speculative reviews.&nbsp;<em>Climate Realism<\/em>&nbsp;has factually debunked similar media scare stories in the past,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2022\/03\/claims-on-the-antarctic-ice-breakup-suffer-from-limited-history\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/climaterealism.com\/2021\/01\/the-antarctic-ice-sheet-isnt-melting\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">here<\/a>. The actual Antarctic observational record reveals a dynamic system\u2014one that expands and contracts, shaped by natural variability, oceanic and atmospheric cycles, and unique geographic barriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The catastrophic claims ABC and CBS are parroting are not only unsupported, but they also fly in the face of decades of data and scientific understanding. Had the mainstream media displayed a little investigative curiosity, it would have questioned the recent study\u2019s findings, since the evidence clearly shows Antarctic \u201cclimate shifts\u201d are not a harbinger of doom but another chapter in a long story of natural change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A recent CBS News article, \u201cAbrupt Antarctic climate shifts could lead to \u2018catastrophic consequences for generations,\u2019 experts warn,\u201d claims that Antarctica is on the brink of irreversible collapse due to climate change, warning that sea levels could rise by meters and that \u201ccatastrophic consequences for generations\u201d are looming. This is false or, at best, deeply misleading. The actual data and history of Antarctic ice show that \u201cabrupt changes\u201d are neither unprecedented nor a reason to panic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":398977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Discover the truth behind recent media claims on Antarctic climate shifts. Learn about the real data and history of ice stability in the region.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Debunking Antarctic Climate Crisis Claims: A Data-Driven Analysis","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818326,691830767,691820739,691818056,691819102,691818989],"class_list":{"0":"post-398970","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-antarctica","9":"tag-australian-broadcasting-corporation-abc","10":"tag-cbs-news","11":"tag-climate-change","12":"tag-computer-models","13":"tag-sea-levels","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQMI_GllZNwtLMfGQo7zTgeWhRPGfyEhY00Cil7Zae_QvPSFs8mS3fIF_S6nrxQmKYfj3rXGKPhyqrfp1G6K1mVhpP-4mzrW1LwFWNKXuOWZ_gl1u0ovFG0pSuifNOBUgJam78rEVVgxYfhlJXoZPZ4eMAst4w-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1FN0","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":397174,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397174","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":0},"title":"The Experts who got everything wrong about Antarctica want you to sign UN documents to help penguins (and bankers)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/08\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The ABC ran another Agony-Antarctica column in the news \u2014 talking about mysterious\u00a0\u201crapid, interacting and sometimes self-perpetuating changes\u201d in ominous but vague terms. Blob-Scientists hinted at ambiguous, unnamed, \u201cchanges\u201d which might wipe out the cute emperor penguins, or at least non-specifically \u201cheighten the risk\u201d of their extinction, sometime, maybe.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPzuRckOMEiJtNOcngWGxp5qnJ6ncD-chBP_Uw0iLxXOi2NHPIZc7ptSUtPWC14AYU1DWUPy6FOwHmIJKWQTsPKa9YBP-IAipYQb_rRVYMQDpbQrm-szvNmO9zwMH1OC6e6nI5OfPKIBI6TthEbFDCWEc-Gxg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPzuRckOMEiJtNOcngWGxp5qnJ6ncD-chBP_Uw0iLxXOi2NHPIZc7ptSUtPWC14AYU1DWUPy6FOwHmIJKWQTsPKa9YBP-IAipYQb_rRVYMQDpbQrm-szvNmO9zwMH1OC6e6nI5OfPKIBI6TthEbFDCWEc-Gxg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPzuRckOMEiJtNOcngWGxp5qnJ6ncD-chBP_Uw0iLxXOi2NHPIZc7ptSUtPWC14AYU1DWUPy6FOwHmIJKWQTsPKa9YBP-IAipYQb_rRVYMQDpbQrm-szvNmO9zwMH1OC6e6nI5OfPKIBI6TthEbFDCWEc-Gxg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPzuRckOMEiJtNOcngWGxp5qnJ6ncD-chBP_Uw0iLxXOi2NHPIZc7ptSUtPWC14AYU1DWUPy6FOwHmIJKWQTsPKa9YBP-IAipYQb_rRVYMQDpbQrm-szvNmO9zwMH1OC6e6nI5OfPKIBI6TthEbFDCWEc-Gxg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQPzuRckOMEiJtNOcngWGxp5qnJ6ncD-chBP_Uw0iLxXOi2NHPIZc7ptSUtPWC14AYU1DWUPy6FOwHmIJKWQTsPKa9YBP-IAipYQb_rRVYMQDpbQrm-szvNmO9zwMH1OC6e6nI5OfPKIBI6TthEbFDCWEc-Gxg.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":377271,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=377271","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":1},"title":"Antarctica\u2019s Ice Sheet Stages a Remarkable Comeback","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/05\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A groundbreaking study published in\u00a0Science China Earth Sciences\u00a0has unveiled a stunning reversal in the fortunes of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), which gained mass at an unprecedented rate between 2021 and 2023. This marks the first significant ice growth in decades, challenging the prevailing narrative of relentless ice loss and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic Ice Sheet\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic Ice Sheet","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic-ice-sheet"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":378263,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=378263","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":2},"title":"Fritz Vahrenholt: The ice of the Antarctic is increasing!","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/05\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"If you look at the Helmholtz Society's climate website with the ambitious name \"Climate Facts\" under Antarctica, you will read the following: \"The important Antarctic continental ice is disappearing, and at an increasing pace\".\u00a0According to the Helmholtz Society, this would be of great importance for rising sea levels. And indeed,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic Glaciers\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic Glaciers","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic-glaciers"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/02361_antarctic-peninsula.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/02361_antarctic-peninsula.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/02361_antarctic-peninsula.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/02361_antarctic-peninsula.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/02361_antarctic-peninsula.jpg?fit=1200%2C900&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":383514,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=383514","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":3},"title":"New Study: Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt Will Lead To Widespread Cooling, Sea Ice Expansion","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Scientists have counter-intuitively determined that a melting Antarctic ice sheet serves to mitigate global warming.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS)\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic-ice-sheet-ais"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":330323,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330323","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":4},"title":"Doomsday Glacier 2024 Hot News\u00a0(again)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/05\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate alarmists are known to recycle memes to frighten the public into supporting their agenda. The climate news control desk calls the plays and the media fills the air and print with the scare du jour.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\u2019s Thwaites Glacier\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica\u2019s Thwaites Glacier","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarcticas-thwaites-glacier"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0What_is_Thwaites_Glacier_7664e414f0.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0What_is_Thwaites_Glacier_7664e414f0.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0What_is_Thwaites_Glacier_7664e414f0.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0What_is_Thwaites_Glacier_7664e414f0.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/0What_is_Thwaites_Glacier_7664e414f0.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":333199,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=333199","url_meta":{"origin":398970,"position":5},"title":"Redressing Antarctic Glacier\u00a0Porn","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"17\/06\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate alarmists are known to recycle memes to frighten the public into supporting their agenda. 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