{"id":397854,"date":"2025-08-26T08:33:25","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T06:33:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397854"},"modified":"2025-08-26T08:33:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T06:33:26","slug":"britains-quixotic-carbon-capture-crusade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=397854","title":{"rendered":"Britain\u2019s Quixotic Carbon Capture Crusade"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tilak\u2019s Substack<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"A<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

There is a certain tragicomic quality to Britain\u2019s current climate policy. Having long proclaimed itself a \u201cclimate leader<\/a>\u201d on the world stage, the United Kingdom is now preparing to stake tens of billions of pounds of taxpayers\u2019 money on technologies that have failed everywhere else. At the centre of this quixotic crusade is carbon capture and storage (CCS), with a special emphasis on its most extravagant and least viable variant \u2013 direct air capture (DAC). The problem is simple: CCS has an abysmal track record<\/a>, DAC is even worse<\/a> and no commercial project anywhere in the world has succeeded in delivering on the promises made with such fanfare.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And yet, here we are.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The<\/a> Times<\/a><\/em> reports that Energy Secretary Ed Miliband is negotiating with Swiss firm Climeworks to develop Britain\u2019s first DAC plant under the Government\u2019s HyNet cluster. The proposal \u2013 code-named Silver Birch \u2013 would join a \u00a321.7 billion CCS programme, with \u00a39.4 billion earmarked for just the next four years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It is worth pausing to consider what Britain is signing up for: paying prohibitive prices per tonne of CO\u2082 to bury molecules of a trace atmospheric gas essential to photosynthesis under the Irish Sea, with no evidence that the technology can be deployed at scale and with a track record of serial disappointment worldwide.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Abysmal Record of CCS<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

CCS has been the subject of countless reports, academic papers and optimistic government pronouncements. Michael Cembalest, Chairman of Market and Investment Strategy for J.P. Morgan Asset & Wealth Management, observed<\/a> wryly in 2021 that the number of academic papers written on CCS divided by real-life implementation of it yields \u201cthe highest ratio in the history of science\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite billions spent in subsidies, tax credits and demonstration projects, the results have been paltry. After two decades of planning and conjecture, by the end of 2020 carbon capture and storage (CCS) facilities stored just 0.1% of global CO2<\/sub> emissions<\/a>. Challenges include cost overruns, failure of bellwether projects, the US Department of Energy withdrawing support for demonstration projects, cancellations of projects in Europe, legal uncertainties about liability and a 20%-40% energy cost required to perform CCS in the first place. The UK\u2019s own White Rose project at Drax, intended to capture two million tonnes annually, collapsed when the Cameron government cancelled<\/a> its \u00a31 billion CCS commercialisation programme in 2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many of the \u201csuccesses\u201d were not climate mitigation projects at all but simply enhanced oil recovery<\/a> operations, where CO\u2082 \u2013 typically using CO2<\/sub> from naturally occurring underground deposits \u2013 is pumped into wells to squeeze more hydrocarbons out of the ground. This is pursued as a profitable practice, unrelated to the decarbonisation agenda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Signature failures in CCS projects abound. The Kemper project in Mississippi<\/a>, once hailed as a model for \u201cclean coal\u201d, collapsed after costs ballooned past $7 billion. The FutureGen project<\/a> in Illinois, backed by the US Department of Energy, was cancelled after years of delays and escalating costs. Australia\u2019s Gorgon LNG CCS<\/a> project, designed to capture up to four million tonnes a year, failed to meet its targets and faced technical challenges and leaks. Even Norway\u2019s Sleipner field<\/a>, often cited as an exemplar, captures less than a single power station emits and functions primarily because of favourable local geology. Europe\u2019s grand Mongstad CCS plan<\/a> was abandoned after the Norwegian state auditor called it \u201can embarrassing failure\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The most telling statistic: after three decades of effort, no large-scale CCS project exists that operates economically without government subsidy, outside of enhanced oil recovery where profitability drives investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Direct Air Capture \u2013 Even Worse<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

If CCS attached to smokestacks has failed, DAC is an exercise in futility. CCS concentrates on capturing emissions at the point of release \u2013 power plants, cement factories or steel mills \u2013 while DAC aims to pull carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere. The challenge is obvious. CO\u2082 in the atmosphere is just 0.04% of the air we breathe. According to a J.P. Morgan report<\/a>, sequestering 25% of global CO2<\/sub> through direct air capture would require an astounding 25%\u201340% of the world\u2019s electricity generation plus 11%\u201317% of its primary energy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climeworks<\/a>, the world\u2019s leading DAC company and among Fast Company<\/a>\u2019s \u201cWorld\u2019s Most Innovative Companies of 2024\u201d, built its Orca plant in Iceland in 2021, designed to capture 4,000 tonnes of CO\u2082 annually. Its larger Mammoth plant, now under construction, may eventually capture 36,000 tonnes a year \u2013 minuscule compared to global emissions of 37 billion tonnes. Even at optimistic estimates of $600 per tonne, the arithmetic collapses. More realistic figures put DAC costs closer to $1,200 per tonne. Compare this with the current EU carbon price<\/a> of about \u00a360 per tonne \u2013 a tenth or even a twentieth of DAC\u2019s cost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To capture just 1% of global emissions at DAC\u2019s mid-range costs would run to trillions annually and consume an energy budget larger than that of many developed countries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Britain\u2019s Political Theatre<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Why then is the UK pursuing this dead end? The answer lies in the fact that climate-focused virtue signalling and luxury beliefs<\/a> now dominate elite behaviour. Successive governments, Conservative and Labour alike, have sought to position Britain as a global \u201cclimate leader<\/a>\u201d. Hosting COP26 in Glasgow in 2021, legislating a \u201cNet Zero by 2050\u201d target, and promoting offshore wind as the backbone of green energy were all part of this narrative. Now, CCS and DAC are being folded into the story as evidence that Britain is \u201cdoing something\u201d about hard-to-abate sectors such as steel, cement and aviation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The trouble is that this virtue signalling costs astronomical sums and delivers nothing of value. The HyNet project in Northwest England is projected to capture perhaps 4.5 million tonnes annually by 2030, scaling up to 10 million tonnes. Even if it succeeds \u2013 a heroic assumption \u2013 that is less than 3% of UK emissions which itself is less than 1% of global emissions. Meanwhile, the cluster will absorb billions in subsidies, increase energy costs for consumers and hand over subsidy-laden contracts to Climeworks or other contenders in the CCS sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DAC, the jewel in Miliband\u2019s plan, is worse. Climeworks\u2019 Silver Birch project<\/a>, if built, would capture at best a few tens of thousands of tonnes per year. That would be the emissions equivalent of taking perhaps 10,000 cars off the road \u2013 a rounding error in Britain\u2019s 370-million-tonne carbon footprint. Yet taxpayers are expected to bankroll it at hundreds if not thousands of pounds per tonne, while the EU carbon market (itself a concoction of the climate alarmist establishment in Brussels) says the same ton is worth only \u00a360.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There is something quixotic in all this. Like Cervantes\u2019 knight tilting at windmills, Britain\u2019s leaders are charging headlong at imaginary foes, wasting treasure and deserving ridicule. The pursuit of CCS and DAC is not about rational cost-benefit analysis \u2013 it is about symbolism. Britain wants to lead. To lead in what, precisely, is unclear. If the goal is to waste money on technologies with no commercial track record, then yes, Britain is leading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Interestingly, Dale Vince, Britain\u2019s most high-profile \u201cgreen\u201d tycoon, has weighed in. Vince, an eco-grifter<\/a> riding the wave of lavish subsidies for unreliable wind and solar, now dismisses<\/a> DAC as \u201cridiculous\u201d and \u201ca million miles off working\u201d. His critique, however, is revealing. Vince does not object to CCS\/DAC primarily because it is a costly failure littered with abandoned projects worldwide. Rather, his opposition stems from the fact that CCS and DAC, if they ever worked, would give fossil fuels a longer lease of life \u2014 precisely what he most fears. For Vince and his ilk, the goal is not rational energy policy or cost-effectiveness, but the ideological elimination of hydrocarbons altogether, regardless of the consequences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Europe\u2019s Failures as Warnings<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Britain need only look across the Channel to see the folly. Europe has tried and failed at CCS repeatedly. Germany\u2019s Schwarze Pumpe<\/a> CCS pilot was shut down in 2014 after Vattenfall concluded it was not viable. Norway\u2019s Mongstad project<\/a> was abandoned after nearly $1 billion spent. Even Northern Lights, Europe\u2019s new CCS flagship, faces serious questions<\/a> about costs, storage capacity and customer commitments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These are not teething problems. They are systemic failures rooted in the economics and physics of the technology. CCS is expensive, energy-intensive and operationally fragile. DAC amplifies all these drawbacks. To press ahead regardless, as Britain is doing, is to ignore lessons bought dearly with other people\u2019s money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asia Gets in on the Act<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Alas, Britain and Europe are not alone in chasing the CCS mirage. East Asia<\/a>, too, driven by the Japanese and South Korean initiatives in emission mitigation and the Paris Agreement, is joining the fray. Malaysia\u2019s national oil company Petronas has signed MOUs with Japan and South Korea on CCS potential projects using the depleted oil and gas fields offshore peninsular Malaysia, Indonesia and elsewhere in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Singapore has \u201chub partnership<\/a>\u201d with ExxonMobil and Shell to collaborate in CCS projects in the Southeast Asian region. Interestingly, these plans have sparked accusations<\/a> of \u201ccarbon colonialism\u201d from climate activists, who see exporting emissions for storage in another country as a \u201cget out of jail free\u201d card for continued fossil fuel use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To be sure, East Asia is not the EU. While \u201cNet Zero\u201d and the Paris Agreement are real considerations among policymakers in the region, most countries are unapologetically reliant on fossil fuels for their economic growth and energy security needs. Shortly after President Trump assumed office and exited the US (a second time) from the Paris Agreement, Indonesia\u2019s special envoy for climate change and energy Hashim Djojohadikusumo said<\/a> not unreasonably that he considered the Paris Agreement no longer relevant for Indonesia following the US withdrawal from the deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The implementation of CCS projects in East Asia will ultimately depend on the extent to which governments are willing to underwrite them with subsidies, much as what the EU and the US governments did in the past two decades. Given the litany of failures in CCS projects in the West, perhaps the lessons learnt will not go completely to waste in the planning ministries in Tokyo, Seoul and Singapore.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tilting at Windmills<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The UK\u2019s great gamble on CCS and DAC is not leadership but delusion. After decades of global failure, with no commercial project demonstrating viability, a Britain in steep economic decline is prepared to lavish over \u00a320 billion on burying carbon dioxide underground. And all of this is premised on the still-untested dogma that carbon dioxide is the world\u2019s \u201cclimate control knob\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recently published US Department of Energy report<\/a>, authored by five eminent scientists, has challenged precisely this orthodoxy, questioning the IPCC\u2019s alarmist literature and highlighting the deep uncertainties in climate sensitivity to CO\u2082. Meanwhile, NASA\u2019s own satellite data show a greening of the earth<\/a> over recent decades, with higher atmospheric CO\u2082 acting as a natural fertiliser for plants. If anything, modest CO\u2082 increases is likely a net benefit<\/a> for agricultural productivity and ecosystems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US Department of Energy (DOE) under Secretary Wright recently announced<\/a> the termination of 24 funding awards from its Office of Clean Energy Demonstrations (OCED), totalling over $3.7 billion in taxpayer-funded financial assistance, primarily for carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and decarbonisation projects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Trump administration\u2019s pragmatic stance on \u201cenergy dominance\u201d cuts through the fog: CO\u2082 has economic value if deployed for enhanced oil recovery where it supports greater hydrocarbon output. No subsidies are required. The market dictates the costs and benefits, as it should. Outside of that, in the view of Energy Secretary Chris Wright and EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin, pouring US taxpayers\u2019 money into CCS is little more than virtue signalling dressed up as policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Future historians may indeed view this era not as the moment humankind rose to the \u201cclimate challenge\u201d, but as one where governments squandered resources tilting at an imaginary enemy, vilifying a trace gas that sustains plant life, while ignoring the real challenges of energy security, economic growth and prosperity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Britain\u2019s CCS crusade championed by the climate zealot Ed Miliband, far from being a mark of leadership, may ultimately stand as a cautionary tale<\/a> of how \u201cclimate leadership\u201d ambitions and economically-illiteracy can override both science and economics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The article was first published in The Daily Sceptic https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2025\/08\/23\/britains-quixotic-carbon-capture-crusade\/<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

There is a certain tragicomic quality to Britain\u2019s current climate policy. Having long proclaimed itself a \u201cclimate leader\u201d on the world stage, the United Kingdom is now preparing to stake tens of billions of pounds of taxpayers\u2019 money on technologies that have failed everywhere else. At the centre of this quixotic crusade is carbon capture and storage (CCS), with a special emphasis on its most extravagant and least viable variant \u2013 direct air capture (DAC). <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":397859,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore Britain's controversial carbon capture strategy, investing billions in failing technologies like CCS and DAC, amid climate policy debates.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Britain's Carbon Capture: A Costly Quest for Futile Solutions","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691821807,691829997,691819716,691821973,691831484,691818299,691818818,691827996],"class_list":["post-397854","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-carbon-capture-and-storage-ccs","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-policy","tag-direct-air-capture-dac","tag-energy-secretary-ed-miliband","tag-subsidies","tag-tax-credits","tag-united-kingdom","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOY9gGl0oIWzH5iyBnhfJsDxl1LR8ODnZ0qMo9W53IiLxCcKkIci2hyXEm8FEGFantMsR0vTVIIEwn635lyvlg_MNpsfZ7T0GILEHBYVVYW6lu0B3b7IeS-k3BPk2UVb6_-zfB81ccQV9GGq9hj3mOWhryu-2.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Fv0","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":379633,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=379633","url_meta":{"origin":397854,"position":0},"title":"DAC Dying? (\u201ccorporate theater wrapped in a green ribbon\u201d)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/23\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"\u201cRemoving CO\u2082 from ambient air is a thermodynamic slog,\u201d continues Barnard. \u201cThe concentration is a measly 0.04% \u2014 less than one molecule in 2,500.\u201d","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon capture and storage (CCS)\u00a0projects\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon capture and storage (CCS)\u00a0projects","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-capture-and-storage-ccs-projects"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-23.-Mai-2025-19_54_11.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-23.-Mai-2025-19_54_11.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-23.-Mai-2025-19_54_11.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-23.-Mai-2025-19_54_11.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":389986,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=389986","url_meta":{"origin":397854,"position":1},"title":"CounterPunch is (Partially) Right: Carbon Capture and Storage is a Scam","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/20\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent article at the website CounterPunch titled, \u201cAl Gore Puts Down \u2018Climate Realism,\u2019\u201d responding to a TED talk given by Al Gore, says that carbon capture and storage and direct air carbon capture are \u201clike fool\u2019s gold,\u201d which neither reduces the carbon content of the air to a meaningful\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Al Gore\"","block_context":{"text":"Al Gore","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=al-gore"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0al-gore-ted-talk.jpg?fit=1137%2C659&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0al-gore-ted-talk.jpg?fit=1137%2C659&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0al-gore-ted-talk.jpg?fit=1137%2C659&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0al-gore-ted-talk.jpg?fit=1137%2C659&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0al-gore-ted-talk.jpg?fit=1137%2C659&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":376073,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=376073","url_meta":{"origin":397854,"position":2},"title":"Back-Breaking Taxes","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/23\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"One of the greatest joys in my life is learning. 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