{"id":395688,"date":"2025-08-17T17:33:55","date_gmt":"2025-08-17T16:33:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=395688"},"modified":"2026-01-04T06:00:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T05:00:52","slug":"the-road-to-hell-is-paved-with-green-intentions-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=395688","title":{"rendered":"The Road To Hell Is Paved With Green Intentions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Guest Post by<\/em><\/strong> Willis Eschenbach<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sometimes you can\u2019t help but marvel at how much we\u2019re all willing to pay for the illusion of \u201cgreen progress.\u201d<\/em> New Jersey decided\u2014like half the country\u2014that climate purity would be achieved by wind turbines, solar panels, and endless press conferences declaring victory against bad old fossil fuels. But someone forgot to run the numbers, and now the bill arrives, with a little note attached: \u201cDue immediately. No refunds. See: your monthly utility statement.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let\u2019s start with the latest funhouse mirror: PJM\u2019s capacity auction. You\u2019ll see the acronym \u201cPJM\u201d all over any story about electricity markets, grid drama, and ratepayer headaches up and down the Eastern seaboard. So, what actually is PJM\u2014besides an endless font of regulatory press releases and auction results?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PJM, when it\u2019s at home, stands for Pennsylvania-New Jersey-Maryland Interconnection. Despite the name, it\u2019s not just those three states anymore. It\u2019s now the largest regional transmission organization (RTO) in the United States, covering all or part of 13 states (think New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia, Illinois, etc.) plus Washington, D.C., stretching from the rust belt to the edge of the South. Its territory spans 65 million people\u2014nearly one fifth of the country\u2014so what happens in PJM\u2019s control room often decides whether your air conditioner hums or whimpers in August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But PJM isn\u2019t a power company. It owns no transmission lines, no power plants, no substations. It\u2019s the air traffic controller of the grid\u2014coordinating the flow of electricity across 88,000 miles of high-voltage transmission, managing more than 1,400 power generators, and pulling the levers of gigantic energy marketplaces where utilities buy the electrons they deliver to your living room. When you hear about capacity auctions, day-ahead markets, or \u201cgrid reliability events,\u201d PJM\u2019s the referee moving pieces around the giant chessboard of supply and demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PJM works around the clock\u2014like a cross between NASA\u2019s control room and the pit bosses in Vegas who used to give me the hairy eyeball<\/a>\u2014tracking generation, monitoring demand in real-time, and dispatching power plants to keep everything balanced minute to minute. They\u2019re charged (pun intended) with making sure the lights stay on for hospitals, factories, schools, and your midnight TikTok habit. Their holy grail? Reliability and low cost, achieved by\u2014ideally\u2014always calling on the cheapest available source of power and preventing rolling blackouts when the weather or a misbehaving power plant throws a wrench in the works.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Importantly, PJM doesn\u2019t serve customers directly or send you a bill. Your utility\u2014PSEG, JCP&L, Atlantic City Electric, and the like\u2014buys power at these massive auctions and passes the costs through to consumers. When PJM\u2019s auctions spike, your rates spike. When the grid creaks due to \u201crenewable integration,\u201d \u201cdata center demand,\u201d or \u201cretiring nuclear plants,\u201d PJM rings the alarm bell and shuffles the mix, often asking utilities (and by extension, you) to pay more for reliability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So next time you see \u201cPJM\u201d in the news, remember: it\u2019s not a company, it\u2019s not a government agency, and it\u2019s not run by mad scientists or Wall Street quants. It\u2019s the big, complicated, nonprofit grid manager whose job is to juggle electrons, forecast tomorrow\u2019s peaks, referee the markets, and\u2014hopefully\u2014keep your dinner out of the dark. If they cough or sneeze, everyone from New Jersey to Ohio checks their fuse box\u2014just to be safe.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now for years, the PJM auction price for \u201cguaranteed\u201d power\u2014the kind that keeps your lights on after sunset\u2014hovered around $29.92 per megawatt-day. That number just jackknifed straight through sanity\u2019s guardrails and into $329.17\/MW-day for 2026. That is a tenfold hike<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Note that the unit of $ per megawatt-day reflects the market\u2019s annual capacity payment to generators for guaranteeing their availability, regardless of actual energy delivered. The figure is not meant to be directly converted into an energy unit ($\/kWh) for retail bills, as it covers standby and reliability commitment, not dispatched energy.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Utilities don\u2019t swallow those costs; they pass them through like hot potatoes, and suddenly, one fifth of your bill is just \u201ccapacity\u201d\u2014meaning \u201cback-up for things that don\u2019t work when it\u2019s cloudy, calm, or 5 p.m.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why the spike? The grid\u2019s been forced into a juggling act worthy of Cirque du Soleil. New Jersey, like every other \u201cgreen leader,\u201d retires gas plants and nuclear units as a matter of policy, then pins its hopes on renewables that need transmission lines and grid storage which aren\u2019t built yet. There\u2019s a 143-gigawatt backlog\u2014yes, gigawatts, yes, backlog\u2014in PJM\u2019s project queue, most of its wind and solar waiting for bureaucrats, lawsuits, regulatory \u201cstreamlining.\u201d, and continued consumer stupidity. In theory, the state could bathe in zero-carbon glory, but most of these projects are frozen in the interconnection swamp, with offshore wind delayed at least two years and solar farms bottled up behind transmission shortages.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now toss in the wildcard: the AI\/data center gold rush. What used to be a footnote on the demand page now accounts for 4% of total load in the PJM region\u2014with a straight trajectory to 12% before 2030. Nearly 70% of this year\u2019s price hike? Blame the server farms, chewing through terawatts so your robot butler can hallucinate about cat videos. PJM\u2019s own models now admit overall demand growth has tripled, and may hit 5%\/year soon\u2014while new \u201cclean\u201d supply trickles in, stuck on the rails.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And what does all this cutting-edge renewable ambition actually mean for you? By August 2025, residential rates have spiked to 19.74\u00a2 per kWh. The average bill is now $129\/month\u201420% over the national average, with low-income families choosing between groceries and the privilege of running the water heater. Business owners are seeing $2,800 monthly charges for midsize operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The utility companies will offer you energy-saving tips, maybe a rebate on a smart thermostat, but explain\u2014very quietly\u2014that they\u2019re just forwarding the PJM costs from upstream. Auction results, demand modeling, global fuel instability, renewable delays: all rolled into your statement, no line-item for \u201cwishes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Grid modernization? Sure. The Board of Public Utilities rewrites some rules, pushes for \u201cstreamlined\u201d solar connections, and promises to bring everyone into the clean energy fold. But each improvement needs billions for transmission upgrades, \u201cenhanced reliability standards,\u201d and, inevitably, more interconnection paperwork, which brings you\u2026 more delays and higher costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All the while, billions in clean energy projects (offshore wind, storage farms, hydrogen pilots) are being canceled nationwide\u2014$14 to $22 billion in 2025 alone\u2014due to political uncertainty, people looking hard at the real costs of \u201crenewables\u201d, vanished tax credits, and the occasional leadership shuffle. Meanwhile, moratoriums, regulatory drama, and lawsuits ensure that, for every \u201ctransformative\u201d wind project launched, two more are killed or delayed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And here\u2019s the kicker: while the advocates chant that \u201csolar and wind are the cheapest forms of energy,\u201d the real world keeps offering up rate hikes, capacity crises, and bills that read like a ransom note.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What we\u2019re buying isn\u2019t reliability or affordability\u2014it\u2019s a perpetual promise of future savings, forever in the next quarter, if we\u2019re lucky. So New Jersey residents get stuck paying for capacity the grid can no longer guarantee, backups for power sources that quit at sunset, and transmission lines waiting for someday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The folly? Instead of getting affordable \u201cclean\u201d energy, ratepayers are underwriting a circus of subsidies and speculative projects whose delays and failures are a matter of public record. When your rates spike, remember: it\u2019s the cost of betting the farm on renewables dependent on fickle weather, bureaucratic magic, and a market that values wishful thinking over working electrons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And when politicians tout the beauty of renewables as prices climb and climb, just ask\u2014how much does hope cost, per kilowatt-hour?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because in New Jersey, you\u2019ll find out on your next power bill, whether you asked for it or not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My best to everyone,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

w.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PS: When you comment please quote the exact words you are discussing. It avoids all kinds of unnecessary problems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sometimes you can\u2019t help but marvel at how much we\u2019re all willing to pay for the illusion of\u00a0\u201cgreen progress.\u201d\u00a0New Jersey decided\u2014like half the country\u2014that climate purity would be achieved by wind turbines, solar panels, and endless press conferences declaring victory against bad old fossil fuels. But someone forgot to run the numbers, and now the bill arrives, with a little note attached:\u00a0\u201cDue immediately. No refunds. See: your monthly utility statement.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":395691,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691837333,691818581,691819094,691825882,691837332,691818728],"class_list":{"0":"post-395688","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-grid-storage","9":"tag-pjm","10":"tag-renewable-green-energy","11":"tag-transmission-lines","12":"tag-transmission-organization-rto","13":"tag-wind-and-solar","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/AQNKxyJATvkoAc7XQM3o-ZEo8fy98lNolpiFN6B4I8IiiHljOz1xONHrQ1wsOfkTByXfcHGR8U00sn0Tt3LpUevM4gKCnnIvqh1adxg2uQBRqdQeuvuBZ2IaIXnb6rUtrnsCb3HW1xbuj_FhtFWXPoxlII8d.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1EW4","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":313433,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=313433","url_meta":{"origin":395688,"position":0},"title":"Wind and Solar The Grand\u00a0Illusion","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"27\/03\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Next time someone tells you that wind, solar and batteries are the magical solution for all our energy needs ask them if they have an idea of the cost\u2026 to the environment.","rel":"","context":"In \"battery factory\"","block_context":{"text":"battery factory","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=battery-factory"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2quote-star-trek-scotty-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C881&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2quote-star-trek-scotty-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C881&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2quote-star-trek-scotty-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C881&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2quote-star-trek-scotty-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C881&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/2quote-star-trek-scotty-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C881&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":301903,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=301903","url_meta":{"origin":395688,"position":1},"title":"Wind and Solar Slaughtering India\u2019s Iconic Bird","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/02\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"By commissioning expensive and inefficient wind and solar electric generating facilities, India may have dug the grave of its own efforts to save the critically endangered great Indian bustard. 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