{"id":394943,"date":"2025-08-13T12:58:09","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T10:58:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=394943"},"modified":"2025-08-13T12:58:11","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T10:58:11","slug":"catastrophic-climate-change-1977-memo-to-carter-in-retrospect","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=394943","title":{"rendered":"Catastrophic Climate Change? (1977 memo to Carter in retrospect)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"723\" height=\"723\" data-attachment-id=\"394946\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=394946\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1280,1280\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA (1)\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?fit=723%2C723&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=723%2C723&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A person wearing a cowboy hat and denim shirt stands in front of oil drilling rigs on a dirt field, smiling at the camera under a clear blue sky.\" class=\"wp-image-394946\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=1024%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 1024w, 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https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=400%2C400&amp;ssl=1 400w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=200%2C200&amp;ssl=1 200w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=450%2C450&amp;ssl=1 450w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=60%2C60&amp;ssl=1 60w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?resize=550%2C550&amp;ssl=1 550w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/0AQOqAfTzKpIiZNSyk9r2ADS5ULz-3ub6AMxu0Sr88iRIzrgGU0DAM7CVm8hj8BmFnNtxWURvbfG9vvHD7AILBxyUcoT7UHD4LHhaIOYaxqf34f72sYmI9FPrCyqW05_wO08EnpuRxP2u6drrRLhVMzzcnHydkA-1.jpeg?w=1280&amp;ssl=1 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 723px) 100vw, 723px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From <a href=\"https:\/\/www.masterresource.org\/climate-exaggeration\/catastrophic-climate-change-1977-wrong\/\">Master Resource<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>By Robert Bradley Jr.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cGood thing that Jimmy Carter\u2019s Administration did not act on this to join their other sins, from price control to conservationism to creating the Department of Energy to synthetic fuel.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Do the math with the 1977 climate memo to Jimmy Carter (below). In the next 60 years (to 2037), the memo predicted that increasing CO2 emissions would increase global average temperatures between 0.5 and 5.0 C (midpoint is&nbsp;<strong>2.75 C<\/strong>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Warming nearing the 50-year market is about 0.8C. Assume the total warming in the next 12 years brings the total to 1C anthropogenic. That makes a mockery of the high end of the estimate, which is the basis of \u201cthe possibility of a Catastrophic Climate Change.\u201d And it is around one-third of the midrange of 2.75C.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It gets worse. Some of the warming in the 60-year period is undoubtedly natural, not anthropogenic. And note that the enhanced greenhouse effect is more oriented toward minimum temperatures going up than maximum temperatures going up\u2013a reduction of the diurnal cycle. Benign-to-positive warming, then.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Good thing that Jimmy Carter\u2019s Administration did not act on this to join their&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.instituteforenergyresearch.org\/fossil-fuels\/gas-and-oil\/carters-national-energy-plan-never-forget-never-again\/\">other sins<\/a>, from price control to conservationism to creating the Department of Energy to synthetic fuels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"691\" height=\"1024\" data-attachment-id=\"394944\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?attachment_id=394944\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?fit=1003%2C1487&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"1003,1487\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"image\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?fit=691%2C1024&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?resize=691%2C1024&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"A historical memorandum from the Executive Office of the President, dated July 7, 1977, discussing the implications of fossil fuel combustion on climate change, signed by Frank Press.\" class=\"wp-image-394944\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?resize=691%2C1024&amp;ssl=1 691w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?resize=202%2C300&amp;ssl=1 202w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?resize=768%2C1139&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/image-230.png?w=1003&amp;ssl=1 1003w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 691px) 100vw, 691px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cGood thing that Jimmy Carter\u2019s Administration did not act on this to join their other sins, from price control to conservationism to creating the Department of Energy to synthetic fuel.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":394946,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691829997,691818056,691820954,691818228,691818296,691836225,691837248],"class_list":["post-394943","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-change","tag-department-of-energy-doe","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-greenhouse-effect","tag-jimmy-carters-administration","tag-solar-and-biomass","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1EK3","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":285435,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=285435","url_meta":{"origin":394943,"position":0},"title":"\u201cBuffer of Stability\u201d (Beware price and allocation controls)","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/28\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"\u00a0AP Photo (left photo); AP Photo\/Ashley Landis (right side) The Biden administration faces an oil crisis the likes of which haven\u2019t been seen since the price shocks of the 1970s. What is clear is that the 1970s was a pivot point for energy. Then-President Jimmy Carter listening to former Sen.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"1970s energy crisis\"","block_context":{"text":"1970s energy crisis","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=1970s-energy-crisis"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-777.png?fit=1110%2C739&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-777.png?fit=1110%2C739&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-777.png?fit=1110%2C739&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-777.png?fit=1110%2C739&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image-777.png?fit=1110%2C739&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 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Act","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=inflation-reduction-act"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/AQMVrl2UmUKTTe0usD7aCIIbnG15aSzAbLdYkl7W6KG-9VQjBLO8wHwTcNzeSYMrYJiZ5g7k8dVMaoBCCST6AyIT00b_fmcRnRsNBbH7C3YWwMzgQKGOMVI3C_ZTfdtu.jpeg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/AQMVrl2UmUKTTe0usD7aCIIbnG15aSzAbLdYkl7W6KG-9VQjBLO8wHwTcNzeSYMrYJiZ5g7k8dVMaoBCCST6AyIT00b_fmcRnRsNBbH7C3YWwMzgQKGOMVI3C_ZTfdtu.jpeg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/AQMVrl2UmUKTTe0usD7aCIIbnG15aSzAbLdYkl7W6KG-9VQjBLO8wHwTcNzeSYMrYJiZ5g7k8dVMaoBCCST6AyIT00b_fmcRnRsNBbH7C3YWwMzgQKGOMVI3C_ZTfdtu.jpeg?fit=1200%2C799&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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populations.\u201d \u2013 Marine Le Pen, leader, National Rally Party (French National Assembly)","rel":"","context":"In \"Air Conditioning\"","block_context":{"text":"Air Conditioning","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=air-conditioning"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Air-Conditioning-vs-Climate-Activism-UK-EU-Face-the-Music.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Air-Conditioning-vs-Climate-Activism-UK-EU-Face-the-Music.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/0-ChatGPT-Air-Conditioning-vs-Climate-Activism-UK-EU-Face-the-Music.png?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, 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