{"id":391688,"date":"2025-07-30T16:17:23","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T14:17:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=391688"},"modified":"2025-07-30T16:17:41","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T14:17:41","slug":"july-high-temperature-only-20th-warmest-since-2000-media-silent","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=391688","title":{"rendered":"July high temperature only 20th warmest since 2000 \u2014 Media silent"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"A<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From CFACT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Every year, hysteria over heat and hurricanes reaches a fever pitch. In a couple of weeks, if I am right about MJO progression, some hurricanes will show up and threaten as they are apt to do when the MJO rotates into the favored phases of 8,1,2,3.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Graph<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

8\/1<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Weather<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

2\/3<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Weather<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

So, while the overall global tropical activity is abysmally low:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Line<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

You can be sure if one shows up in our red zone, then moves out of it up the coast or west into the gulf and intensifies, we will hear the screams of anguish about that being worse than ever, as we do with heat.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"A<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

But I want to use where I live as a classic example of where and when warming is occurring and why using temperatures rather than wet bulbs, or better still saturation mixing ratios, is a faulty climate metric. For wet-bulb temperatures and saturation mixing ratios would point the finger for warming at water vapor, not CO2, and then we would have to really get into a fight about what is actually warming the oceans, which there is no way to do because of the laughable data sources we have in the ocean. 1 data buoy for every 100k square miles down to 6k feet when the average bottom of the ocean is 14k and virtually no sensors actually detecting what is going on when 10 million hydrothermal vents, capable of releasing streams as warm as 400 degrees Celsius, may be more active than average, makes it a fight better to ignore just in case it has something to do with it. I am being sarcastic here, but I cannot believe in 2025 we can\u2019t go and get real-time data rather than have to wait months to see what is going on AFTER WE WATCH AREAS OF THE OCEAN SUDDENLY WARM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the fact is, there is more water vapor in the air, as there should be. Just what do you think is going to happen when you have a change like this from 1989 to now?<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Comparison<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

In the period where geothermal increase preceded the rise<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Graph<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

and then a fall like this right in the area of mid-ocean spreading, when it fell off ( graphic lower right).<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The question is, does it continue, and what happens if it does? Another discussion for another time, but it\u2019s a test I am curious about.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Back to State College, PA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The thermometer is near the Walker building on the PSU campus. When I was there, it was open to the southwest with a golf course that got cool at night, and around sunrise, when the air starts getting mixed, that cool air would flow unabated to the site. It\u2019s a classic case we see on clear, calm nights. There are nothing but buildings around it now, so that is no longer the case. Parts of the open areas near the golf course have been paved over by parking lots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, look what has happened to nighttime lows:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Table<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

They are up 2.5 degrees from the 129-year record and a degree vs. the 30-year record. The combination of the UHI that is developing and increased water vapor in the air puts a floor on how low temperatures can drop. The only way you will get a record low now is with a strong wind blowing, and that air is well mixed anyway, so if, let\u2019s say, the average dew point is a couple of degrees higher even in the arctic air mass due to water vapor injection over the past 35 years, it\u2019s highly unlikely you will get a low.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what about daily highs?<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Table<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Isn\u2019t that special. Overall, only .6 vs the 129 year record, but the buildings and concrete are bringing it up more in the last 10 years, as you would expect.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But what does that point the finger at? The only \u201cman-made\u201d aspect of all this is the building that is going on around the site.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anthony Watts has outlined this ad nauseam for years (has to make man-made climate change advocates sick, so they don\u2019t even bother to look).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But for all the hand-wringing on how hot it is, the last 3 months are nowhere near as warm as climate models had it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Actual temps last 90 days:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Model forecast for MJJ<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Euro<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

CFSv2<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

One wonders what we would be hearing if it were actually right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then again, as John Christie shows:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Graph<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Climate models are out of control and can\u2019t see cold when it\u2019s coming, most of the time, until it\u2019s obvious. Last winter was classic in January and February. All models a month before had the month\u2019s warm and completely whiffed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And the spike that had occurred is obvious proof it\u2019s water vapor, as global temps are backing off now. July, for instance, is .25\u00b0C cooler than last July globally. Tonga and El Ni\u00f1o were a double whammy, but the big test in my mind is if geothermal input drops enough so oceans start to cool. So I am going to get my answer, even if no one wants to even hear the question.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But July is classic. For all the hand-wringing about the heat, max temps are only the 20th warmest in the last 25 years against the PRISM temperature record.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Minimum temps are THIRD WARMEST\u00a0 though in the last 25 years.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The mean is 12th warmest in the last 25 years, or right in the middle of the 25 year period (which has been above normal vs the entire record).<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"Map<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

It\u2019s the nighttime lows that are strongly skewing it, and the hysteria about all the heat is being driven by something other than actually looking at the whole picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why are nighttime lows higher? More water vapor and UHI. Man contributes to the UHI, but what is really warming the ocean? If the oceans were the same temperature they were 35 years ago, wet bulbs would be lower. Al Gore is fond of saying oceans are boiling. Well, it\u2019s not from man-made sources to any degree that we can actually measure, given the large natural forcings that are at work here and always have been. Then again, he has gotten rich off it, so he has got that going for him. Even as opined here, he should be one of the people held accountable for all this agenda has done to limit the progress of mankind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.cfact.org\/2025\/07\/05\/it-is-time-to-hold-the-climate-cabal-accountable<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

So to the people screaming about how hot it is, it shows why temperature is a lousy metric. If you were quantifying wet bulbs, you would understand that with more water vapor, nights are warmer and driving the upward trend. You are feeling more uncomfortable because it is more humid, but that also means that there is more rain falling, trying to limit those high temperatures. And the data shows that. Now, if it were just dry everywhere, that\u2019s a problem. But the rain shows, first, the atmosphere\u2019s natural response to extra water vapor, and second, that it\u2019s not warming enough aloft to slow condensation processes, so it rains. But it\u2019s also a strong indicator that water vapor is the reason \u2014 not man-made input, at least not to the kind of hysteria people whip up over normal summer weather. And in this case, it\u2019s actually one of the cooler Julys since 2000, as far as high temperatures go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

But I want to use where I live as a classic example of where and when warming is occurring and why using temperatures rather than wet bulbs, or better still saturation mixing ratios, is a faulty climate metric. For wet-bulb temperatures and saturation mixing ratios would point the finger for warming at water vapor, not CO2, and then we would have to really get into a fight about what is actually warming the oceans, which there is no way to do because of the laughable data sources we have in the ocean. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":391689,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"Explore the truth behind rising temperatures and humidity, and why nighttime lows are driving climate concerns. Discover the real factors at play.","jetpack_seo_html_title":"Understanding July's Unusual Heat: Temperature vs. Water Vapor","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818153,691820108,691821156,691819657],"class_list":{"0":"post-391688","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-climate-models","9":"tag-hysteria","10":"tag-urban-heat-island-uhi","11":"tag-water-vapor","13":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0Jack-Russell-Terrier-umbrella-beach.png?fit=1915%2C1190&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1DTy","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":368980,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=368980","url_meta":{"origin":391688,"position":0},"title":"Recent temperature spike and now downturn raise questions","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/03\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The cumulative buildup of heat in the ocean is adding WV to the atmosphere, which is leading to distorted warming where the coldest, driest areas primarily in their winter seasons are skewing global temperatures up. The global temperature metric is misleading, as the better metric is wet bulb temps and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Al Gore science\"","block_context":{"text":"Al Gore science","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=al-gore-science"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/00Screenshot-2025-03-07-132920.png?fit=1200%2C763&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":245762,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=245762","url_meta":{"origin":391688,"position":1},"title":"A simple proposal to isolate the impact of CO2","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/02\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"We have no correlation between CO2 and\u00a0temperature.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-851.png?fit=848%2C565&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-851.png?fit=848%2C565&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-851.png?fit=848%2C565&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/image-851.png?fit=848%2C565&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":374223,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=374223","url_meta":{"origin":391688,"position":2},"title":"Factoring in water vapor","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/04\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Climate models struggle to accurately predict climate patterns because they are primarily designed to detect warming trends. As I\u2019ll demonstrate in a future blog post, these models are ill-equipped to anticipate cooling periods. When faced with a potential cold spell, they simply adjust their feedback mechanisms, reset to a new\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"arctic temperatures\"","block_context":{"text":"arctic temperatures","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=arctic-temperatures"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Clouds-Blue-Sky.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Clouds-Blue-Sky.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Clouds-Blue-Sky.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Clouds-Blue-Sky.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/0Clouds-Blue-Sky.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":379174,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=379174","url_meta":{"origin":391688,"position":3},"title":"A chitchat with Grok on water vapor","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"21\/05\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Let me say right off the bat, when you combine what I have been showing the past 2 years with other work on solar, cloud, and UHI (urban heat islands), it seems pretty clear that the amount of CO2\u2019s role in the warming is at best questionable.","rel":"","context":"In \"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)\"","block_context":{"text":"carbon dioxide (CO\u2082)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=carbon-dioxide-co%e2%82%82"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0ChatGPT-Image-21.-Mai-2025-16_44_21.png?fit=800%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":330012,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=330012","url_meta":{"origin":391688,"position":4},"title":"The summer offensive on climate ramping up","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"25\/05\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"It\u2019s that most wonderful time of the year for the weather weaponizers. 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What this means is we are throwing less trash up into the air.\u00a0 Yes S02 is trash.\u00a0 It leads to more smog for one and dims the sun a bit,\u00a0 Humans do\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-347.png?fit=799%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-347.png?fit=799%2C600&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-347.png?fit=799%2C600&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/image-347.png?fit=799%2C600&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391688","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=391688"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391688\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":391732,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391688\/revisions\/391732"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/391689"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=391688"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=391688"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=391688"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}