{"id":390461,"date":"2025-07-23T18:59:56","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T16:59:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=390461"},"modified":"2025-07-23T18:59:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-23T16:59:58","slug":"hail-no-nbc-climate-change-isnt-making-hail-more-damaging","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=390461","title":{"rendered":"Hail No! NBC, Climate Change Isn\u2019t Making Hail More Damaging"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From ClimateRealism<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Anthony Watts<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In the NBC News video report titled \u201cHow climate change could make hail storms even more destructive<\/a>,\u201d viewers are warned that stronger storm updrafts caused by climate change might supercharge hailstones, making them up to 75 percent larger. This claim is false and misleading, lacking any evidentiary support. Scientific data\u2014including that from the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC)\u2019s Sixth Assessment Report\u2014shows no observable increase in hail intensity due to climate change. In fact, IPCC AR6 Chapter 12 concludes<\/a> that there are no significant trends or projections<\/em> of increased hail frequency or severity due to a warming climate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Real-world data and atmospheric physics don\u2019t align with NBC\u2019s hype. Hail formation requires a very specific cocktail of atmospheric conditions<\/a>, including strong updrafts and a freezing layer deep enough to support hail growth. Warmer temperatures tend to reduce the vertical depth of this freezing level<\/a>, making it more difficult\u2014not easier\u2014for large hailstones to form and survive to ground level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The most telling and absurd quote in the entire segment is this one: \u201cTheir latest research shows that climate change will make updrafts even stronger, which could make the biggest most destructive hail up to 75 percent larger\u2026\u201d<\/em>. That statistic, plucked from speculative modeling and not grounded in observed trends, is presented as if it is established fact. Worse, it\u2019s paired with ominous warnings about damage to crops and rising insurance claims, all without context or acknowledgment that hailstorms have long been a fact of life in agricultural regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attributing hail damage trends to climate change is scientifically dubious and intellectually dishonest. Hail damage costs have increased over time primarily due to increased development and property values<\/em> in hail-prone areas\u2014not because hailstorms are getting worse. This mirrors the same pattern seen with hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods: more assets in harm\u2019s way, not more severe weather, results in greater damage and higher costs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A thorough analysis by Climate Realism<\/em> debunks the claim that hailstorms are intensifying<\/a>. In fact, the data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) shows a slight decrease<\/em> in reported significant hail events over recent decades. According to a 2019 peer reviewed study \u201cThe characteristics of United States hail reports: 1955-2014<\/a>\u201d says:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hail days, in contrast to hail reports, show no national trend over the last 25 y. Regional and local influences on hail reporting are identified stemming from verification procedures and contributions from local officials. The change in the definition of severe hail size from 0.75 in (1.9 cm) to 1.00 in (2.5 cm) in 2010 has a particularly clear signature in the report statistics. The contribution of storm chasers and source of report factors beyond population to the hail dataset is also explored, and the difficulty in removing these changes discussed. The overall findings highlight the limitations and non-meteorological features present in hail observations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even the American Meteorological Society (AMS) in its journals has noted the difficulty of linking hail trends to climate change<\/a> due to the limited reliability of long-term hail observations noting, \u201cEstimating local\u2011scale hail frequency \u2026 or assessing long\u2011term trends in light of climate change are challenging tasks, particularly because direct, homogeneous, long\u2011term hail observations are mostly missing.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hail is notoriously hard to measure consistently over time. Its occurrence is often underreported in sparsely populated areas, and radar-based detection has only become reliable in recent decades. Thus, claims of increasing trends require more scrutiny than NBC or ICECHIP provides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The IPCC\u2019s Sixth Assessment Report clearly addresses hail concerns in\u00a0Chapter 12<\/a>,\u00a0stating:\u00a0\u201cThere is low confidence in observed trends in hail and low confidence in the attribution of these trends to human influence.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0It continues:\u00a0\u201cFuture changes in hail are uncertain, and there is low confidence in model projections.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"
Table 12.12 |\u00a0on\u00a0<\/em>Page 90<\/em><\/a>\u00a0\u2013 Chapter 12 of the UN IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Emergence of\u00a0<\/em>Climate Impact Drivers<\/em><\/a>\u00a0(CIDs) in time periods, as assessed in this section.\u00a0The color corresponds to the confidence of the region with the highest confidence: white colors indicate where evidence of a climate change signal is lacking or the signal is not present, leading to overall low confidence of an emerging signal.\u00a0See the key at the bottom for the meaning of all colors. Note the section on Hail highlighted in yellow.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Massive hailstorms have occurred throughout history, long before anyone blamed climate change. The 1888 Moradabad hailstorm in India<\/a> killed 246 people. The U.S. has recorded hailstones the size of volleyballs since the 1960s<\/a>; no CO\u2082 fingerprint required. Looking at a deeper historical perspective<\/a> quickly dismantles the \u201cclimate is causing it all\u201d narrative pushed by NBC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The real motivation behind NBC\u2019s video seems to be continuing funding for a particular group of scientists, those participating in ICECHIP<\/a> (Investigation of Convective Hail in the Plains), a project \u201cmade possible through the support of the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF),\u201d not an accurate assessment of hail threats. Nowhere on the site\u2019s mission statement does ICECHIP mention climate change as a research objective. Their stated goal is to better understand the internal dynamics of hailstorms\u2014not to link those storms to global warming aka climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, when NBC laments potential cuts to NSF funding, and suggests that the Trump administration threatens America\u2019s ability to forecast weather hazards, it is not hard to see what\u2019s really going on: special interests using climate change as a fear-inducing narrative to protect their federal funding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Further, if we\u2019re going to talk about research integrity, let\u2019s ask why a group like ICECHIP would publicly tie its work to climate change only after<\/em> securing federal funding. Their project materials don\u2019t reference it, their mission statement doesn\u2019t highlight it, and their methods are entirely focused on hail microphysics and not long-term climate attribution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is not to say that understanding hail formation isn\u2019t important. It is. Improved hail forecasting can reduce economic losses and improve public safety. But turning every scientific endeavor into a climate crusade only erodes public trust in science. When every research grant proposal must include a climate angle, it encourages groupthink, skewing scientific priorities away from discovery and toward narrative compliance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The United States has always experienced hail. It is an inherent feature of mid-latitude convective storms<\/a>, particularly in spring and early summer. Suggesting with little or no evidence that recent hailstorms are somehow novel or worsening because of rising CO\u2082 is just propaganda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NBC\u2019s segment fails to question any of the claims made by the ICECHIP. NBC doesn\u2019t reference the IPCC, it doesn\u2019t compare historical hail trends, it fails examine the extent to which urban expansion in hail prone areas result in rising insurance payouts and rates, and it doesn\u2019t even even distinguish between modeled projections and observed data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Indeed, NBC\u2019s hailstorm climate segment is a masterclass in misleading science communication, conflating speculation with certainty, omitting key data and historical context, and promoting a self-serving narrative designed to secure federal funding for a particular group of researchers. In this story, NBC acts like an advocacy organization rather than an objective news outlet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In the NBC News video report titled \u201cHow climate change could make hail storms even more destructive,\u201d viewers are warned that stronger storm updrafts caused by climate change might supercharge hailstones, making them up to 75 percent larger. This claim is false and misleading, lacking any evidentiary support. Scientific data\u2014including that from the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC)\u2019s Sixth Assessment Report\u2014shows no observable increase in hail intensity due to climate change. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":390467,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691836760,691829997,691818056,691819743,691836759,691821646,691821016,691827694],"class_list":["post-390461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-american-meteorological-society-ams","tag-carbon-dioxide-co","tag-climate-change","tag-climate-propaganda","tag-hail-storms","tag-hailstones","tag-national-oceanic-and-atmospheric-administration-noaa","tag-nbc-news","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ-1.jpeg?fit=1280%2C1280&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1DzL","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":406265,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=406265","url_meta":{"origin":390461,"position":0},"title":"CLAIM: Climate change is supercharging Europe\u2019s biggest hail","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/02\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"From Newcastle University and the \u201cclimate change causes everything\u201d department, comes this \u201cbut models tell us so\u201d bit of faux science\u00a0without one single field measurement of hail size included.\u00a0Of course, they used the highly flawed RCP 8.5 model to generate these headlines\u2026.because no other model would.","rel":"","context":"In \"bigger hailstones\"","block_context":{"text":"bigger hailstones","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=bigger-hailstones"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/AQM7uKDCBmEMYZsvQaVQWFixTsnp7WzaegIU1lwxr-9BH6xAzH-R2dwohclPLIzQ5J9lzS4915ryvVA9LIsoHRVPtle8EvjFv67DmmNZwpBUP32oW_XacCNHHjBYoi-q9FFyFi5ZDw9b-r3zr_id69ToM4x6fQ.jpeg?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":432052,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=432052","url_meta":{"origin":390461,"position":1},"title":"WRONG, Chicago Tribune, Climate Change Isn\u2019t Making Hailstorms Worse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/18\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The Chicago Tribune recently ran a story claiming that climate change is making storms in Illinois \u201cmore severe,\u201d particularly with regard to hail and tornadoes. This is false. There is no evidence that hail is becoming larger or tornadoes more powerful, or that either has become more common.","rel":"","context":"In \"Chicago Tribune\"","block_context":{"text":"Chicago Tribune","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=chicago-tribune"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0lorapalner-first-snow-1821255_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C803&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0lorapalner-first-snow-1821255_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C803&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0lorapalner-first-snow-1821255_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C803&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0lorapalner-first-snow-1821255_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C803&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0lorapalner-first-snow-1821255_1280.jpg?fit=1200%2C803&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":447450,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=447450","url_meta":{"origin":390461,"position":2},"title":"Claim: Climate Change Could Make Hailstorms Worse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/30\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Although the full study is paywalled, it seems likely the study plays fast and loose with thermodynamics.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Copilot_Claim-Climate-Change-Could-Make-Hailstorms-Worse.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Copilot_Claim-Climate-Change-Could-Make-Hailstorms-Worse.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Copilot_Claim-Climate-Change-Could-Make-Hailstorms-Worse.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Copilot_Claim-Climate-Change-Could-Make-Hailstorms-Worse.png?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":435715,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=435715","url_meta":{"origin":390461,"position":3},"title":"Wrong, Chicago Sun Times, Climate Change Isn\u2019t Causing High Insurance Cost in Illinois","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"03\/30\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent article at the Chicago Sun Times (CST) claims that \u201cClimate change is fueling a surge in Illinois home insurance premiums,\u201d via increases in severe weather. 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The story is titled, \u201cSolving Climate Change\u2026or Else!\u201d\u00a0by\u00a0Stan Cox. As we\u2019ve written\u00a0time\u00a0and\u00a0again\u00a0on\u00a0Climate Realism,\u00a0these sorts of claims about worsening disasters are easily proven false simply by looking at historical\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0weather_pictures-1890x699-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0weather_pictures-1890x699-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0weather_pictures-1890x699-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0weather_pictures-1890x699-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/0weather_pictures-1890x699-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C444&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=390461"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390461\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":390469,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/390461\/revisions\/390469"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/390467"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=390461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=390461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=390461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}