{"id":388664,"date":"2025-07-14T10:03:58","date_gmt":"2025-07-14T08:03:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388664"},"modified":"2025-07-14T10:04:00","modified_gmt":"2025-07-14T08:04:00","slug":"math-and-logic-debunk-the-man-made-flood-hysteria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388664","title":{"rendered":"Math and logic debunk the man-made flood hysteria"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"
heavy rain on sky with clouds – beautiful weather backdrop – photo of nature<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From CFACT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Joe Bastardi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I guess what I resent most about the portrayal of extreme weather events is that, like snakes in the grass, the usual suspects hide until the event occurs. And when it occurs, they never even reference the entire picture. They simply use it to push whatever agenda they have, even though it has nothing to do with actually solving the major problem of a country that has expanding infrastructure and population, where normal occurrences (normal is different from averages, which are a product of all events, including extremes) or things that are expected to happen at some time are then portrayed as a justification for their agenda. It\u2019s akin to bowling, but instead of 10 pins on the alley, there are 30. So, more get knocked over if you simply throw the same ball. There is more in the way, so more damage is going to be done. But that is their strategy in how they push these events. Particularly egregious here is that this summer\u2019s US rain is occurring while global temperatures are returning to pre-Tonga and Ni\u00f1o levels, and there is no reference to the big picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I wrote this 2 years ago, showing why the jump in temperature could not be from a man made source:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.cfact.org\/2023\/07\/14\/the-temperature-may-prove-it-is-not-co2<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Just like the drop is not from that either.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

The combination of the impacts of the Tonga eruption, a strong el Ni\u00f1o and its water vapor input wearing off, along with the rapid drop off of geothermal activity and the resulting cooling of the Atlantic and Southern Hemisphere to temperatures not seen in its mid-winter since 2004, is a far bigger story from a global climate perspective than the floods.<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Which is exactly opposite the 10 year means:<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Consider this: If you divide Earth\u2019s land mass into 5-mile by 5-mile areas, there are 2,280,000 25-square-mile land \u201cboxes\u201d on the planet. In an average year, you could expect approximately 1,000 to 3,000 1-in-100-year floods and 100 to 300 1-in-1,000-year floods in those 5-by-5 areas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Now, what if your 5-by-5 area is flood-prone in a given pattern? In other words, what if the global pattern favored heavy rain in one area? There would naturally be more floods in that area, with other areas compensating with less. The pattern across the US (as I have outlined previously, fooled me back in Texas) but certainly not east of there, where a wetter-than-normal summer was forecasted. But if it\u2019s going to be wetter than average, then the odds of someone getting a 1-in-100- to 300-year flood and also a 1-in-1,000-year flood have to be higher. Since we know they have to occur in any given normal year\u2014some as little as 100 a year, others as much as 300 a year\u2014screaming it\u2019s man-made climate change is complete nonsense, as it\u2019s a normal occurrence to have bad flooding somewhere. There will be years when these areas are dry. Just like with the tropics, when one basin is down in activity, others are up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We have major meteorological outlets that all simply try to echo the same stories. How is it that none of them dig into the big picture? If everyone simply says the same thing, why even look at it? Given the advances of AI, which is going to make media outlets on weather obsolete (they don\u2019t even know they are building the roads they are riding to their death by constant man-made climate change emphasis), they have a chance to show value and separate themselves by actually digging in behind the scenes. After all, to paraphrase the Apostle Paul, those who know what they know don\u2019t yet know what they ought to know.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The floods are devastating. But if you are in a rainy pattern, simply to balance out the entire planet and what is expected, such things are to be expected. And trying to make them, as bad as they are, more than they are to push a missive that is being proven false simply by looking at what the actual weather is doing globally, shows either ignorance of the total picture or deception to hide it. That is what we are seeing here with people with nefarious motives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I guess what I resent most about the portrayal of extreme weather events is that, like snakes in the grass, the usual suspects hide until the event occurs. And when it occurs, they never even reference the entire picture. They simply use it to push whatever agenda they have, even though it has nothing to do with actually solving the major problem of a country that has expanding infrastructure and population, where normal occurrences (normal is different from averages, which are a product of all events, including extremes) or things that are expected to happen at some time are then portrayed as a justification for their agenda. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":388666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691819287,691818514,691836581,691821579,691836582],"class_list":{"0":"post-388664","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-el-nino-2","9":"tag-extreme-weather","10":"tag-flood-hysteria","11":"tag-tonga-eruption","12":"tag-us-rain","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/0Heavy-Rain-Cloud-scaled-2.jpg?fit=2560%2C1440&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1D6M","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":388627,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388627","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":0},"title":"CNN Analyst Shocked Americans Aren\u2019t Afraid of Media-Created \u2018Climate Crisis\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"14\/07\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Meanwhile, the press intends to double down on its climate hysteria.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/00Screenshot-2025-07-14-083626.png?fit=1163%2C815&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/00Screenshot-2025-07-14-083626.png?fit=1163%2C815&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/00Screenshot-2025-07-14-083626.png?fit=1163%2C815&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/00Screenshot-2025-07-14-083626.png?fit=1163%2C815&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/00Screenshot-2025-07-14-083626.png?fit=1163%2C815&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":360967,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=360967","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":1},"title":"Alarmists going to alarm.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/01\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"So after licking their wounds after the election, they are not done whipping up the hysteria that gives their life meaning. After all, without such claims, would anyone know them, or care?","rel":"","context":"In \"Anti-Science\"","block_context":{"text":"Anti-Science","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=anti-science"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/00Establish-Credibility.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/00Establish-Credibility.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/00Establish-Credibility.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/00Establish-Credibility.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/00Establish-Credibility.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":267114,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=267114","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":2},"title":"Surviving the hottest ever propaganda by showing the total picture","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"13\/07\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"This is meteo-misinformation media using\u00a0 Marxist tactics of deception, distortion, and delusion to push their agenda where weather and climate is a tool for the destruction of our way of life.","rel":"","context":"In \"CO2\"","block_context":{"text":"CO2","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=co2"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-374.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-374.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-374.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-374.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/image-374.png?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":416259,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=416259","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":3},"title":"From Storm to Scare Story: How the Guardian Wrongly Claimed Climate Change Caused a \u2018Climate Breakdown\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The Guardian\u2019s recent article, \u201c\u2018My husband and daughter went down to the garage in case it flooded. Then I heard a strange noise\u2019 \u2013 This is climate breakdown,\u201d by Ajit Niranjan, presents the tragic story of a family caught in the Valencia floods of October 2024, framing the disaster as\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Ajit Niranjan\"","block_context":{"text":"Ajit Niranjan","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=ajit-niranjan"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/0AQPU-YK0Q4NRnbTvedqbUezG2B3PaYnGZbAeXUc3YrS9GAcMEosNTQU0eFGekBm50WH_t2zuG5HOg98WVzglQ3dwssG2SG0ci0Z6G-tL3SpaW2EhY5yKtSV_Ul3G1lY-1.jpeg?fit=1200%2C793&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":345748,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=345748","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":4},"title":"Hurricane Helene Hype Nonsense","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"07\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The basis of the emotion driven narrative that there is an existential threat of climate change is fueled by endless articles and opinion pieces in the mass media that conflate every extreme weather event with climate change. Remember climate is what you expect, and weather is what you get. This\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-232.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-232.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-232.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/image-232.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":346450,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=346450","url_meta":{"origin":388664,"position":5},"title":"Hype and Nonsense Surrounding Hurricane Helene","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"12\/10\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"The basis of the emotion driven narrative that there is an existential threat of climate change is fueled by endless articles and opinion pieces in the mass media that conflate every extreme weather event with climate change.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0helene_bablyon-bee.webp?fit=1200%2C1023&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0helene_bablyon-bee.webp?fit=1200%2C1023&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0helene_bablyon-bee.webp?fit=1200%2C1023&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0helene_bablyon-bee.webp?fit=1200%2C1023&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/0helene_bablyon-bee.webp?fit=1200%2C1023&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388664","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=388664"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388664\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":388680,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/388664\/revisions\/388680"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/388666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=388664"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=388664"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=388664"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}