{"id":388606,"date":"2025-07-13T18:10:50","date_gmt":"2025-07-13T16:10:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388606"},"modified":"2025-07-13T18:10:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-13T16:10:52","slug":"no-using-less-oil-wont-boost-americas-energy-security-itll-make-it-poorer-and-beholden-to-china","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388606","title":{"rendered":"No, Using Less Oil Won\u2019t Boost America\u2019s Energy Security \u2013 It\u2019ll Make it Poorer and Beholden to China"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tilak\u2019s Substack<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Tilak Doshi<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic incompetence and geopolitical na\u00efvety never go out of fashion, it seems. In a Foreign Policy<\/em> article<\/a> this week, Jason Bordoff \u2014 Director of Columbia University\u2019s Centre on Global Energy Policy and a former Obama administration official \u2014 resurrects a tired old argument long favoured by the \u2018progressive\u2019 energy policy elite: that the best way to ensure America\u2019s energy security is to reduce its demand for oil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Using the backdrop of escalating tensions between Israel and Iran and a short-lived spike in crude oil prices, Bordoff insists that since oil prices are set globally, domestic production offers little \u201cindependence\u201d against global oil price shocks. His conclusion: we must \u201cuse less oil\u201d, chiefly by subsidising electric vehicles, building charging infrastructure and pressing forward with efficiency and emission mandates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bordoff\u2019s arguments sound awfully similar to the \u2018MEOW<\/a>\u2018 (moral equivalent of war) speech by President Jimmy Carter in 1977 which called for policies to reduce dependence on oil imports. This was when the US was a net importer of oil and dependent on Middle East oil exports during a time of oil price shocks. President Carter\u2019s approach \u2014 which some would call \u2018pussy-footed\u2019, pun intended \u2013 to the \u2018energy crisis\u2019 is a well-worn one advanced for decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, such a thesis is deeply flawed, both economically and philosophically. What Bordoff and his cohort overlook is that human flourishing arises not from technocratic control over consumption, but from the freedom to produce, innovate and engage in voluntary exchange. As Adam Smith and Friedrich Hayek understood, markets \u2014 not mandarins in policy institutes \u2014 are best suited to determine the optimal allocation and consumption of resources. Bordoff\u2019s call for reduced demand is not only economically questionable; it is politically na\u00efve and strategically self-defeating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Misunderstood Value of Production<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Bordoff notes, oil prices are determined by global markets. This is a truism: oil is a fungible global commodity and any disruption in its supply anywhere <\/em>effects all consumers everywhere<\/em>. But from this he draws the erroneous conclusion that domestic production is of limited strategic value. This logic fails to grasp that even in a globally priced commodity market, domestic production plays a vital role in national resilience, economic growth and geopolitical strength. President Trump\u2019s \u2018energy dominance agenda\u2019 and \u201cdrill, baby, drill<\/a>\u201d is not PR spin: it actually means something positive for the US economically and geopolitically.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As any Econ 101 student knows, in the simple identity of the components of GDP, exports add<\/em> and imports subtract<\/em> from the nation\u2019s annual economic pie. When oil prices shoot up, a net oil exporter like the US benefits even if a segment of the economy (e.g. motorists) pays more at the pump. By the same token, when prices fall, motorists benefit while oil producing companies and their workers suffer adverse effects. When a nation produces and exports a commodity in global demand, it does more than hedge itself from price volatility \u2014 it creates income, jobs and technological advancement. Production is not a sideshow in the oil market; it is the main engine of prosperity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Consider the case of the United States, which today stands as the world\u2019s largest oil producer. This achievement is not the result of government planning or demand reduction. It is the consequence of private entrepreneurship, innovation in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, and an ecosystem that respected property rights and competitive markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shift from perceived oil scarcity to a brave new world of oil abundance<\/a> was brought about in an astonishingly short period of time by the advent of the \u2018fracking\u2019 revolution in the US. This involved horizontally drilling and hydraulically fracturing shale rock with high-pressure liquids to extract \u2018unconventional\u2019 oil and gas. After US crude oil production more than doubled in a decade, US production was rated at over 12 million barrels per day<\/a> by mid-2019, surpassing Russian and Saudi Arabian output as the world\u2019s largest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shale revolution, born in Texas and North Dakota, not only upended global energy geopolitics but restored the US as a credible energy superpower. That success story is grounded in production, not abstinence. The wealth generated by US oil and gas exports flows into the broader economy, stimulates investment in infrastructure and manufacturing and reinforces the country\u2019s trade balance. The Trump administration\u2019s \u2018energy abundance\u2019 agenda adds unmistakable strength to an economy which even its fiercest detractors will find hard to dispute.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Furthermore, Bordoff\u2019s claim ignores the inherent flexibility and dynamism of US energy producers. Shale oil can respond to price signals far more rapidly<\/a> than traditional conventional projects. This flexibility has transformed oil markets from rigid, cartel-dominated systems into more responsive and competitive arenas. Domestic production creates optionality in foreign policy and ensures that no single regime \u2014 whether in Riyadh, Tehran or Moscow \u2014 can weaponise energy without consequences. To dismiss the value of production because of price globalisation is akin to arguing that the US shouldn\u2019t manufacture semiconductors simply because their price is set in global markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bureaucratic Control vs Market Coordination<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the heart of Bordoff\u2019s argument lies a deep-seated belief that consumption choices must be managed from above. He calls for demand-side management, taxpayer-funded EV subsidies and public spending on charging infrastructure as pathways to \u201cenergy security\u201d. This is nothing less than a modern variant of central planning \u2014 a belief that bureaucrats can calculate the correct level of energy use and steer society accordingly. But as Hayek warned<\/a>, no centralised authority possesses the knowledge necessary to outperform decentralised market processes. The idea that a handful of policymakers can determine the \u2018right\u2019 level of oil use is not just presumptuous and hubristic \u2014 it is dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This technocratic vision also fails to grapple with the geopolitical and strategic contradictions of the proposed EV transition. While Bordoff advocates electrification as a route to energy independence, he overlooks the fact that electric vehicles and their batteries are deeply embedded in supply chains dominated by China<\/a>. From lithium and cobalt to rare earths and anode materials, the majority of EV components flow through Chinese-controlled processing and manufacturing nodes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Thus, the vision of \u201creduced dependence on oil\u201d effectively amounts to a transfer of dependence \u2014 from Middle Eastern oil producers to Chinese oligopolistic suppliers of EV supply chains, even if the US were a net energy importer. Even in this hypothetical scenario \u2013 where the US is not the world\u2019s leading oil producer \u2013 depending on a range of oil producers in the Middle East made up mainly of Gulf Arab states that have long been key American allies is surely preferable to dependence on a single geopolitical competitor under Communist Party rule. In the name of reducing energy insecurity and national vulnerability, Bordoff would have policymakers incentivise Americans to drive EVs manufactured cheaply by China in industries powered largely by coal! This certainly is prime material for the \u2018can\u2019t make it up\u2019 files.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Moreover, subsidising demand reductions sends perverse signals to producers. Artificially constrained demand discourages investment, undermines supply stability and ultimately drives up volatility. If fossil fuel use is relentlessly stigmatised and regulated<\/a>, as it was under the previous Biden administration, capital will flee, supply chains will degrade and prices will grow more erratic. Indeed, the Biden administration did a fine job of precisely this process of self-destruction, all in the name of the \u201cfirst climate Presidency<\/a>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Energy Freedom as a Path to Prosperity<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beyond economics and geopolitics, Bordoff\u2019s worldview clashes with the moral and philosophical foundation of a free society. The choice to drive a gasoline car, heat one\u2019s home with natural gas or invest in oil drilling should not be pre-empted by technocratic fiat. Human flourishing arises when individuals are free to produce, consume, innovate and pursue their own goals. The market, not the state, is the best arbiter of such choices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is not to say that alternatives such as EVs or renewable energy have no place. Quite the opposite. Innovation should be encouraged. But it must be guided by competition and market feedback, not by centralised subsidies that entrench inefficiencies and favour politically connected industries. If EVs offer superior value, consumers will adopt them. If renewable energy proves cost-effective and reliable, the market will embrace it. Let the best technologies win through price, performance and consumer preference, not through bureaucratic decree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Crucially, the push to reduce consumption often disguises a regressive and elitist undertone. While energy elites advocate green degrowth<\/a> from the comfort of coastal boardrooms, it is rural and working-class Americans who bear the brunt of restricted energy access. Affordable, abundant energy is the bedrock of upward mobility \u2014 powering farms, trucks, small businesses and homes. When policymakers artificially constrain supply or mandate expensive \u2018energy transitions\u2019, they impose disproportionate costs on those least able to bear them. A vision of prosperity that rests on enforced scarcity is not only misguided, it is morally bankrupt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Making America Great Again<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States dramatically changed the trajectory of US energy policies as pursued by the Biden administration and the previous two-term Obama presidency. No longer is climate alarmism a factor in energy policy, and mandates to force energy choices on the ordinary American consumer have become a thing of the past. Fossil fuels are no longer vilified, and coal mineworkers are no longer held out as \u2018deplorables\u2019. The recently passed \u2018Big Beautiful Bill<\/a>\u2018 will no longer provide subsidies for EVs even as it nullifies draconian emission standards and phases out production tax credits and other subsidies for wind and solar projects.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Today, America exudes confidence in its ability to lead across the energy industry. President Trump\u2019s key executive orders affecting the industry, together with the appointment of economically literate conservatives and businessmen \u2013 instead of climate zealots \u2013 in leadership roles in the energy (Chris Wright), environment (Lee Zeldin) and interior (Douglas Burgum) portfolios have put the country on a path of energy bounty, enhancing not only energy and national security at home but also America\u2019s strategic standing abroad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Climate cultists and central planners continue to have a grapple hold on university departments<\/a>. But with the Trumpian counter-revolution in energy policy, Americans can look forward to an energy future where human flourishing is enabled by freedom, not rationing, by production, not prohibition, and by opportunity, not scarcity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A version of this article was first published in The Daily Sceptic https:\/\/dailysceptic.org\/2025\/07\/08\/no-using-less-oil-wont-boost-americas-energy-security-itll-make-it-poorer-and-beholden-to-china\/<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economic incompetence and geopolitical na\u00efvety never go out of fashion, it seems. In a Foreign Policy article this week, Jason Bordoff \u2014 Director of Columbia University\u2019s Centre on Global Energy Policy and a former Obama administration official \u2014 resurrects a tired old argument long favoured by the \u2018progressive\u2019 energy policy elite: that the best way to ensure America\u2019s energy security is to reduce its demand for oil.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":291846,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691835268,691821808,691836571,691836572,691832854,691833487],"class_list":{"0":"post-388606","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-big-beautiful-bill","9":"tag-energy-security","10":"tag-foreign-policy-article","11":"tag-jason-bordoff","12":"tag-us-crude-oil-production","13":"tag-us-president-donald-j-trump","15":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/01973-Oil-Crisis.jpg?fit=2454%2C1842&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1D5Q","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":432033,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=432033","url_meta":{"origin":388606,"position":0},"title":"New energy policies in California threatening America\u2019s national security.","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/03\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"America\u2019s economy and national security are heavily reliant on California, the 4th largest economy in the world.","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201cEnergy Island\u201d\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201cEnergy Island\u201d","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=energy-island"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-New-energy-policies-in-California-threatening-Americas-national-security.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-New-energy-policies-in-California-threatening-Americas-national-security.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-New-energy-policies-in-California-threatening-Americas-national-security.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/0-New-energy-policies-in-California-threatening-Americas-national-security.jpg?fit=784%2C1168&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":209876,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=209876","url_meta":{"origin":388606,"position":1},"title":"BRICS In the New World Energy Order: Hedging in Oil Geopolitics","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Reposted with permission from Forbes Tilak DoshiContributorI analyze energy economics and related public policy issues. 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Shortly after the Biden visit, the Kingdom made it clear that\u00a0it would not act unilaterally\u00a0outside\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-275.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-275.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-275.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/image-275.png?fit=1024%2C512&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":420902,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=420902","url_meta":{"origin":388606,"position":2},"title":"How One Arrest Could Refill the Strategic Oil Reserves Biden Drained","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"The Trump administration\u2019s capture of socialist Venezuelan dictator Nicol\u00e1s Maduro has thrown the region into uncertainty while presenting opportunities that could give the U.S. a geopolitical and economic advantage.","rel":"","context":"In \"Nicol\u00e1s Maduro\"","block_context":{"text":"Nicol\u00e1s Maduro","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=nicolas-maduro"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM1LwVCdTWsBCNLj2Ms9age1TphWeFUNnWCIkBxoyj9uB9gWwGNexkGpT3JlxI9UJGHakwggKCsJVOY1_kzJDvzmLlKYzaEgfKFqjPPCnn6CYovfA-YxTED0TaI2rZf.jpeg?fit=1200%2C686&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM1LwVCdTWsBCNLj2Ms9age1TphWeFUNnWCIkBxoyj9uB9gWwGNexkGpT3JlxI9UJGHakwggKCsJVOY1_kzJDvzmLlKYzaEgfKFqjPPCnn6CYovfA-YxTED0TaI2rZf.jpeg?fit=1200%2C686&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM1LwVCdTWsBCNLj2Ms9age1TphWeFUNnWCIkBxoyj9uB9gWwGNexkGpT3JlxI9UJGHakwggKCsJVOY1_kzJDvzmLlKYzaEgfKFqjPPCnn6CYovfA-YxTED0TaI2rZf.jpeg?fit=1200%2C686&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM1LwVCdTWsBCNLj2Ms9age1TphWeFUNnWCIkBxoyj9uB9gWwGNexkGpT3JlxI9UJGHakwggKCsJVOY1_kzJDvzmLlKYzaEgfKFqjPPCnn6CYovfA-YxTED0TaI2rZf.jpeg?fit=1200%2C686&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQM1LwVCdTWsBCNLj2Ms9age1TphWeFUNnWCIkBxoyj9uB9gWwGNexkGpT3JlxI9UJGHakwggKCsJVOY1_kzJDvzmLlKYzaEgfKFqjPPCnn6CYovfA-YxTED0TaI2rZf.jpeg?fit=1200%2C686&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":425437,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=425437","url_meta":{"origin":388606,"position":3},"title":"The International Energy Agency\u2019s Reluctant Return to Energy Realism","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/02\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In a\u00a0report\u00a0published last week by the National Center for Energy Analytics (NCEA), two seasoned veterans of the global energy forecasting establishment delivered what can only be described as a sober and consequential verdict on the state of international energy realism. 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