{"id":388191,"date":"2025-07-11T11:39:50","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T09:39:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388191"},"modified":"2025-07-11T11:39:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T09:39:52","slug":"no-170-londoners-didnt-die-of-climate-change-last-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=388191","title":{"rendered":"No, 170 Londoners Didn\u2019t \u201cDie of Climate Change\u201d Last Week"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From The Daily Sceptic<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By\u00a0Will Jones<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

According to Imperial College and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 170 Londoners died due to climate change in last week\u2019s heatwave. But it\u2019s just more modelling make believe, says Ross Clark in the Spectator<\/em>. Here\u2019s an excerpt<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

So, 260 Londoners died as a result of last week\u2019s heatwave, of which 170 can be attributed to climate change. So claims<\/a> Imperial College and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There\u2019s just the one problem with this: the researchers haven\u2019t actually counted any deaths at all. The study rushed out this week is nothing more than a piece of modelling, which estimates the number of deaths which might be expected to have been caused by the hot weather, as well as trying to guess how much hotter last week\u2019s weather was than it would have been without man-made climate change. We won\u2019t know whether there really were any excess deaths during the hot weather until the Office for National Statistics (ONS) publishes its figures in a few weeks\u2019 time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why rush out a piece of modelling when we will shortly have some real-world data? The researchers will have to explain their reasoning, but it is as well to note that both the participants in this study have a bit of previous when it comes to modelling alarming numbers of deaths. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both were heavily involved in modelling during the Covid pandemic. Many of their predictions were not able to be tested against real data: we will never know, for example, whether 500,000 people really would have died of Covid were it not for social distancing measures \u2013 as Imperial College claimed in its paper of March 16th 2020 \u2013 because, of course, the government did impose a lockdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But towards the end of the crisis, one prediction was able to be tested against reality. On December 11th 2021, the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine put out a paper claiming that 24,000 people would die as a result of the Omicron variant of Covid, with daily hospitalisations peaking above those in January 2021, unless the government introduced a return to lockdown -style measures. Perhaps it was counting on ministers taking its advice, but in the event the cabinet resisted \u2013 and the prediction was exposed for what it was: a gross exaggeration.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Worth reading in full<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

According to Imperial College and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 170 Londoners died due to climate change in last week\u2019s heatwave. But it\u2019s just more modelling make believe, says Ross Clark in the\u00a0Spectator. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":388192,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691823626,691821072,691822729,691819743,691821240,691819103,691835395],"class_list":{"0":"post-388191","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-attribution-studies","9":"tag-climate-model","10":"tag-climate-modeling","11":"tag-climate-propaganda","12":"tag-heatwave","13":"tag-london","14":"tag-london-school-of-hygiene-and-tropical-medicine","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/OIG-2023-08-09T120430.902-1.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1CZ9","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":209007,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=209007","url_meta":{"origin":388191,"position":0},"title":"Dear UK, from hot Australia, your NetZero policies will kill far more people than a 40C weekday","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"18\/07\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Even the Australian ABC was telling Australians with a straight face that the extreme heat in the UK was so dangerously bad that healthy young people might die in the heat. 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