{"id":384610,"date":"2025-06-24T11:11:13","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T09:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=384610"},"modified":"2025-06-24T11:11:15","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T09:11:15","slug":"heatwaves-and-excess-deaths-the-facts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=384610","title":{"rendered":"Heatwaves and Excess Deaths\u2013The Facts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Further to the Guardian\u2019s absurd claim that \u201clast week\u2019s heatwave killed 600 people\u201d, it is worth going back to the ONS analysis carried out after the 2022 heatwaves<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\"
https:\/\/www.ons.gov.uk\/peoplepopulationandcommunity\/birthsdeathsandmarriages\/deaths\/articles\/excessmortalityduringheatperiods\/englandandwales1juneto31august2022<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In short, deaths spiked during the hot days, but quickly fell back below average. Over the period as a whole, the number of deaths was no higher than  normal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

People may have died a few days earlier than they would otherwise. But the heat did not kill them at all \u2013 they were dying anyway, and the heat was no more than a trigger, just as a bit of cold or wet weather could have been.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Because the ONS study was carried out before all summer deaths had been registered, they included this table:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Although the number of deaths in 2022 appears to be slightly higher than usual, what is noticeable is that the hot summer of 2018 recorded one of the lowest totals of the decade. In contrast, 2016, a much cooler summer, recorded the highest number of deaths until 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Clearly then, there is no correlation between heat and increased deaths.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We need, of course, to be wary of comparing post pandemic death rates with those before \u2013 we do know that there were large numbers of excess deaths throughout 2022, for reasons never explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Further to the Guardian\u2019s absurd claim that \u201clast week\u2019s heatwave killed 600 people\u201d, it is worth going back to the ONS analysis carried out after the 2022 heatwaves<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":384618,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691820919,691821240,691830756,691818262,691832425],"class_list":{"0":"post-384610","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-deaths","9":"tag-heatwave","10":"tag-office-for-national-statistics-ons","11":"tag-the-guardian","12":"tag-uk-health-security-agency-ukhsa","14":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-32-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1C3o","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":256845,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=256845","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":0},"title":"A Heatwave In Spain","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"10\/05\/2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Maybe the Guardian would like Spain to return to the climate which brought the\u00a0devastating famines\u00a0of 1904-06, as first floods and then record droughts nearly brought about revolution.","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00spain-heatwave.jpg?fit=1024%2C690&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00spain-heatwave.jpg?fit=1024%2C690&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00spain-heatwave.jpg?fit=1024%2C690&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/00spain-heatwave.jpg?fit=1024%2C690&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":384423,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=384423","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":1},"title":"\u201cCurrent heatwave \u2018likely to kill almost 600 people in England and Wales\u201d- Latest Guardian Fake\u00a0News","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"23\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"This shameful article surely marks a new low for the wretched Guardian, and its author, Damian Carrington:","rel":"","context":"In \"Climate change\"","block_context":{"text":"Climate change","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-29-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-29-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-29-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-29-1.jpg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":419835,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=419835","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":2},"title":"Richard Betts Fake Heatwave Deaths\u00a0Claim","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"04\/01\/2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Richard Betts, a prominent UK climate scientist (Head of Climate Impacts Research at the Met Office and Professor at the University of Exeter), appeared on Channel 4 News in early January 2026 discussing the UK's \"hottest year\" claims. During the segment, he reportedly referenced heat-related impacts, including an estimated 1,500\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"\u201chottest year evah in UK\u201d\"","block_context":{"text":"\u201chottest year evah in UK\u201d","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=hottest-year-evah-in-uk"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN1IgTTruXGVL8rEJmXk1mFaL7h6055yzr_So3LYJeIS-BBmTdA2G90e6lR7OfcmmbwThzilUyTq7uDSHyz45tNhuk2312xa4lfRBCRRe3IzS7N_U5pq516WccdArWx.jpeg?fit=1200%2C916&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN1IgTTruXGVL8rEJmXk1mFaL7h6055yzr_So3LYJeIS-BBmTdA2G90e6lR7OfcmmbwThzilUyTq7uDSHyz45tNhuk2312xa4lfRBCRRe3IzS7N_U5pq516WccdArWx.jpeg?fit=1200%2C916&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN1IgTTruXGVL8rEJmXk1mFaL7h6055yzr_So3LYJeIS-BBmTdA2G90e6lR7OfcmmbwThzilUyTq7uDSHyz45tNhuk2312xa4lfRBCRRe3IzS7N_U5pq516WccdArWx.jpeg?fit=1200%2C916&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN1IgTTruXGVL8rEJmXk1mFaL7h6055yzr_So3LYJeIS-BBmTdA2G90e6lR7OfcmmbwThzilUyTq7uDSHyz45tNhuk2312xa4lfRBCRRe3IzS7N_U5pq516WccdArWx.jpeg?fit=1200%2C916&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/AQN1IgTTruXGVL8rEJmXk1mFaL7h6055yzr_So3LYJeIS-BBmTdA2G90e6lR7OfcmmbwThzilUyTq7uDSHyz45tNhuk2312xa4lfRBCRRe3IzS7N_U5pq516WccdArWx.jpeg?fit=1200%2C916&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":402345,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=402345","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":3},"title":"Wrong, The Guardian, Oil Company Operations Aren\u2019t Making Heatwaves Worse","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"15\/09\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"In The Guardian\u2019s article, \u201cCarbon emissions from oil giants directly linked to dozens of deadly heatwaves for first time,\u201d Damian Carrington reports on a study claiming that the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from just 14 major fossil fuel companies were enough to cause more than 50 heatwaves that \u201cwould otherwise\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"1930s Dust Bowl\"","block_context":{"text":"1930s Dust Bowl","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=1930s-dust-bowl"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMEJ8xQofCYRvfhGcC6Mcv2PtJISsQ6u-X1L3PyzD5dge-wHNEdkKhnVpmlhU0Vg1YLGf4fEbIfYbJUqED32sswO4vXHrSOoJWYaZX0wXmXSx70epLQsHB61TJSa5qb-1.jpeg?fit=1000%2C608&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMEJ8xQofCYRvfhGcC6Mcv2PtJISsQ6u-X1L3PyzD5dge-wHNEdkKhnVpmlhU0Vg1YLGf4fEbIfYbJUqED32sswO4vXHrSOoJWYaZX0wXmXSx70epLQsHB61TJSa5qb-1.jpeg?fit=1000%2C608&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMEJ8xQofCYRvfhGcC6Mcv2PtJISsQ6u-X1L3PyzD5dge-wHNEdkKhnVpmlhU0Vg1YLGf4fEbIfYbJUqED32sswO4vXHrSOoJWYaZX0wXmXSx70epLQsHB61TJSa5qb-1.jpeg?fit=1000%2C608&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/0AQMEJ8xQofCYRvfhGcC6Mcv2PtJISsQ6u-X1L3PyzD5dge-wHNEdkKhnVpmlhU0Vg1YLGf4fEbIfYbJUqED32sswO4vXHrSOoJWYaZX0wXmXSx70epLQsHB61TJSa5qb-1.jpeg?fit=1000%2C608&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":232742,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=232742","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":4},"title":"In an \u201cEmergency Heatwave\u201d, wait for it, ABC Nanny tells Australians to \u201cuse air conditioning\u201d","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/12\/2022","format":false,"excerpt":"A couple of weeks ago, our billion dollar ABC, in cohoots with the Bureau of Meteorology, decided to report in prime time news that heatwaves are now so deadly serious we\u00a0need New Emergency Warnings \u2014\u00a0 \u201clike a Bushfire emergency\u201d","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/0Heat-Stroke.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/0Heat-Stroke.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/0Heat-Stroke.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/0Heat-Stroke.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/0Heat-Stroke.jpeg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":385194,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=385194","url_meta":{"origin":384610,"position":5},"title":"30C At Rothamsted","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"26\/06\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"More on that \u201ckiller heatwave\u201d: I now have the temperature data from the Met Office for Rothamsted for last weekend. They say it peaked at 30.0C.","rel":"","context":"In \"30C\"","block_context":{"text":"30C","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=30c"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-2023-08-09T120425.207.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-2023-08-09T120425.207.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-2023-08-09T120425.207.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/OIG-2023-08-09T120425.207.jpeg?fit=1024%2C1024&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=384610"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384610\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":384620,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/384610\/revisions\/384620"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/384618"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=384610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=384610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=384610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}