{"id":383912,"date":"2025-06-20T08:59:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-20T06:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=383912"},"modified":"2025-06-20T08:59:02","modified_gmt":"2025-06-20T06:59:02","slug":"neso-winter-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=383912","title":{"rendered":"NESO Winter Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Paul Homewood<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
https:\/\/www.neso.energy\/document\/362976\/download<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

NESO has published its preliminary power grid Winter Outlook for this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Telegraph reports:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Britain will rely on electricity from France to guard against the risk of blackouts this coming winter, officials have said.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The National Energy System Operator (Neso), which oversees Britain\u2019s electricity grid, said it would import power from France and other nearby European neighbours this winter to help backstop the network.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

It <\/em>plans to use the interconnectors linking the UK with France<\/em><\/a>, Holland, Belgium, Norway and Denmark to back up the UK\u2019s own power stations on \u201ctight days\u201d when supplies are stretched.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/business\/2025\/06\/18\/britain-to-rely-on-france-to-avoid-blackouts-this-winter<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fact the reality is much worse than that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As NESO\u2019s Outlook shows, that interconnector capacity is no longer a luxury, it will make the difference between blackouts and no blackouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And that is despite the 40 GW+ of nuclear and thermal capacity available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NESO don\u2019t publish the actual numbers \u2013 this will wait till their full Outlook later in the year. But they are projecting around 15 GW of renewables, which looks grossly optimistic. There will be no solar power generated when demand peaks in early evening, and we have regularly seen wind power drop to less than 2 GW. (Biomass, it appears, is included under thermal).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

To make matters worse, they have unaccountably based their modelling on \u201cAverage Cold Spell peak demand\u201d, rather than \u201cWorst Case\u201d which surely any responsible grid operator would do:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

So, we have to keep our fingers crossed that we do have another 1963 winter, that we don\u2019t have a 3-week dunkelflaute and that Europe has ample power to send us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So much for energy security, Mr Miliband!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Britain will rely on electricity from France to guard against the risk of blackouts this coming winter, officials have said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":365948,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","_crdt_document":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691818279,691829913,691831484,691819118,691830946,691818154,691819094],"class_list":{"0":"post-383912","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","6":"hentry","7":"category-uncategorized","8":"tag-blackouts","9":"tag-energy-industry","10":"tag-energy-secretary-ed-miliband","11":"tag-france","12":"tag-national-energy-system-operator-neso","13":"tag-net-zero","14":"tag-renewable-green-energy","16":"fallback-thumbnail"},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/0Net-Zero-City-Blackout.jpg?fit=2543%2C1649&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1BS8","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":362692,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=362692","url_meta":{"origin":383912,"position":0},"title":"NESO 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