{"id":381371,"date":"2025-06-04T11:26:16","date_gmt":"2025-06-04T09:26:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=381371"},"modified":"2025-06-04T11:26:30","modified_gmt":"2025-06-04T09:26:30","slug":"the-faux-science-of-outlawing-fossil-fuels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=381371","title":{"rendered":"The Faux Science of Outlawing Fossil Fuels"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By Dr. Bruce Everett and Gordon Tomb<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The recent Nature article, \u201cCarbon Majors and the Scientific Case for Climate Liability<\/a>,\u201d tries to further the alarmists\u2019 dream of pinning alleged harms of \u201cextreme\u201d weather on the world\u2019s largest producers of fossil fuels<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Christopher W. Callahan<\/a> and Justin S. Mankin<\/a>, both at Dartmouth College when their article was prepared, accept \u2013 without substantiation \u2013 climate activists\u2019 position that industrial emissions of carbon dioxide cause catastrophic warming and perpetuate the demonization of oil and gas companies as global villains.  Instead of casting light on the climate issue, the authors attempt to provide a blueprint for a \u201c\u2018coming wave of climate legal action\u2019 for which courts are woefully unprepared.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cMore than 100 climate-related lawsuits have been filed annually since 2017,\u201d report the authors. \u201cAnd as extreme events intensify and losses accumulate \u2026 more people are turning to the legal system for relief.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors, however, fail to provide a sound foundation for such lawsuits. Their claim that Chevron Corp. is liable for nearly $2 trillion in \u201cclimate damages\u201d has no basis in science, fact or common sense. Moreover, in making the case, they violate important tenets of scientific inquiry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Nature article uses the words \u201cscience\u201d and \u201cscientific\u201d 44 times, but the writers disregard the scientific method, a centuries-old system of inquiry that relies on testing by empirical observation. Repeated are fallacies of popular climate research such as trusting computer models that have failed validation by real-world data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The research is bestowed with the supposed credibility of \u201cpeer review\u201d \u2013 a term that once described a dispassionate assessment by third parties but long ago was corrupted into a seal of approval for ideological purity. At best, the authors attempt to cover their conclusions with a patina of authority by using faddish jargon and opinions that are more political than scientific.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors claim to establish the liability of oil and gas companies for climate damage through a four-step process:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First, relying on discredited analytical models, they find that Chevron\u2019s emissions of carbon dioxide are responsible for 0.025 degrees Celsius of warming since 1920, or less than 0.01% of the Earth\u2019s average temperature. Attributing this level of precision to crude computer analysis makes no sense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dr. Richard Lindzen<\/a>, professor emeritus of physics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has declared such analysis the basis of \u201ca quasi-religious movement predicated on an absurd \u2018scientific\u2019 narrative.\u201d Suffice it to say that the many parameters influencing climate are too poorly understood to construct a useful predictive model. Among those factors are changes in Earth\u2019s orbit, fluctuations in solar energy, volcanic emissions, changes in ocean currents and cloud formation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Second, the authors purport to show that heat waves induced by increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide are becoming more severe and frequent without showing a connection between hot weather and CO2<\/sub> and without having a baseline to establish a trend of greater severity and frequency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

How could they? Earth has been in a beneficial warm period for nearly 12,000 years, but satellite data to track heat waves cover only the last half century and scattered thermometer readings a mere 150 years. The trend for U.S. heat waves has been flat since at least 1890 except for the Dust Bowl period of the 1930s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The third and fourth steps assume connections \u2013 with little or no empirical backup \u2013 between changes in global surface temperatures and extreme heat at a regional level and between unusually hot days and per capita income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The least rigorous of the researchers\u2019 analyses is that of weather\u2019s influence on income. For centuries, economists have tried to understand why per capita income varies from country to country, region to region, year to year and month to month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Individual income is influenced by culture, geography, demographics, normal weather variations, government policy, war, civil strife, crime, natural disasters of all types, trade, influences from friendly or hostile neighbors, world commodity prices, exchange rates, interest rates and consumer sentiment \u2013 to name just some variables.  To assert that the effect of several hot days on income can be screened from all manner of influences \u2013 natural or otherwise \u2013 is well beyond any reasonable interpretation of data.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In summary, the authors use unvalidated computer models, opinions and assumptions and specious economic correlations to calculate down to two decimal places a climate liability for Chevron of $1.98 trillion \u2013 more than eight times the company\u2019s market capitalization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors ignore the direct benefits of increasing CO2<\/sub> \u2013 mainly an overall greening of Earth and record crop production from the gas\u2019s fertilization effect. Although they note that fossil fuels have \u201cproduced immense prosperity,\u201d even that is an understatement. After all, coal, oil and natural gas are largely responsible for sustaining 8 billion people \u2013 tenfold the population prior to the Industrial Revolution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Such facts, hopefully, would be considered should the faux science of Messrs. Callahan and Mankin ever be introduced to a judge and jury.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This commentary was first published at The Daily Signal<\/em> <\/a>on June 2, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The authors are with the <\/em>CO2 Coalition<\/em><\/a>, Fairfax, Virginia \u2013 Bruce Everett as a member of the board of directors and Gordon Tomb as a senior advisor. Dr. Everett has published a <\/em>paper<\/em><\/a> on the research of Callahan and Mankin.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The recent Nature article, \u201cCarbon Majors and the Scientific Case for Climate Liability,\u201d tries to further the alarmists\u2019 dream of pinning alleged harms of \u201cextreme\u201d weather on the\u00a0world\u2019s largest producers of fossil fuels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":381375,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691835575,691829604,691819102,691819179,691818514,691818228,691827506],"class_list":["post-381371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-chevron-corp","tag-climate-lawsuits","tag-computer-models","tag-dr-richard-lindzen-2","tag-extreme-weather","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-nature-article","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0Chevron.webp?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1Bd9","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":377995,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=377995","url_meta":{"origin":381371,"position":0},"title":"Nature Paper Claims to Pin Liability for \u2018Climate Damages\u2019 on Oil Companies","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/12\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The drumbeat of climate litigation has grown louder in recent years, fuelled by activists and dubious science. In this crusade against major oil and gas companies, \u2018attribution science\u2019 has been a fast-growing field of climate research which is explicitly meant to serve legal ends. According to the\u00a0World Weather Attribution\u00a0initiative, \u201cUnlike\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Attribution studies\"","block_context":{"text":"Attribution studies","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=attribution-studies"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/04232373.jpg?fit=1200%2C788&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/04232373.jpg?fit=1200%2C788&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/04232373.jpg?fit=1200%2C788&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/04232373.jpg?fit=1200%2C788&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/04232373.jpg?fit=1200%2C788&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 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In fact, the truth is the exact opposite; we don\u2019t take a safe climate and make it dangerous; we take a dangerous climate and make it safe. High-energy civilization,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"climate alarmism\"","block_context":{"text":"climate alarmism","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=climate-alarmism"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0371764703_862193618598976_7227497400339540244_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C1123&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0371764703_862193618598976_7227497400339540244_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C1123&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0371764703_862193618598976_7227497400339540244_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C1123&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0371764703_862193618598976_7227497400339540244_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C1123&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/0371764703_862193618598976_7227497400339540244_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C1123&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381371","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=381371"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381371\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":381376,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/381371\/revisions\/381376"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/381375"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=381371"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=381371"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=381371"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}