{"id":377271,"date":"2025-05-06T16:34:38","date_gmt":"2025-05-06T14:34:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=377271"},"modified":"2025-05-06T16:34:40","modified_gmt":"2025-05-06T14:34:40","slug":"antarcticas-ice-sheet-stages-a-remarkable-comeback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=377271","title":{"rendered":"Antarctica\u2019s Ice Sheet Stages a Remarkable Comeback"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From Watts Up With That?<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

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Antarctica\u2019s Astonishing Rebound: Ice Sheet Grows for the First Time in Decades<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

A groundbreaking study published in Science China Earth Sciences<\/a> has unveiled a stunning reversal in the fortunes of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), which gained mass at an unprecedented rate between 2021 and 2023. This marks the first significant ice growth in decades, challenging the prevailing narrative of relentless ice loss and highlighting the complex interplay of natural variability and climate dynamics. Using data from NASA\u2019s GRACE and GRACE-FO satellite gravimetry missions, the findings offer a nuanced perspective on Antarctica\u2019s role in global sea level changes and raise critical questions about the drivers of ice sheet behavior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study, led by Dr. Wei Wang and Prof. Yunzhong Shen at Tongji University, reports that the AIS gained mass at a rate of 107.79 \u00b1 74.90 Gt\/yr from 2021 to 2023, a dramatic shift from prior decades of decline. As the article states, \u201cFrom 2002 to 2010, the AIS has experienced a mass loss with a change rate of -73.79 \u00b1 56.27 Gt\/yr, which nearly doubled to -142.06 \u00b1 56.12 Gt\/yr for the period 2011-2020.\u201d This earlier mass loss, driven primarily by intensified depletion in West Antarctica and parts of East Antarctica\u2019s Wilkes Land-Queen Mary Land (WL-QML) region, contributed significantly to global sea level rise\u20140.20 \u00b1 0.16 mm\/yr from 2002-2010 and 0.39 \u00b1 0.15 mm\/yr from 2011-2020. In contrast, the recent ice growth has had a \u201cnegative contribution, offsetting global mean sea level rise at a rate of -0.30 \u00b1 0.21 mm\/yr\u201d from 2021-2023, effectively slowing the rise of global sea levels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The turnaround is particularly pronounced in East Antarctica, where four critical glacier basins\u2014Totten, Moscow, Denman, and Vincennes Bay\u2014reversed their mass loss trends. The article notes, \u201cThe four key glacier basins in WL-QML region\u2026 exhibited mass loss intensification with a rate of 47.64 \u00b1 8.14 Gt\/yr during 2011-2020, compared to 2002-2010, with the loss area expanding inland.\u201d Yet, between 2021 and 2023, these basins showed significant mass gains, attributed to \u201canomalous precipitation accumulation.\u201d This surge in snowfall appears to have counteracted the factors previously driving ice loss, namely surface mass reduction (72.53%) and increased ice discharge (27.47%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The implications of this rebound are far-reaching. The article warns that \u201cthe complete disintegration of these four glaciers could potentially trigger a global mean sea level rise exceeding 7 meters,\u201d emphasizing their pivotal role in global climate stability. The recent mass gains suggest a degree of resilience in East Antarctica, which had been considered relatively stable compared to the rapidly depleting West Antarctica and Antarctic Peninsula. These regional differences underscore the need for a more granular understanding of Antarctica\u2019s ice dynamics, as the AIS does not behave uniformly across its vast expanse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What triggered this abrupt shift? The study points to anomalous precipitation as the primary driver, suggesting that natural variability plays a significant role in short-term ice sheet changes. Some researchers have speculated that episodic events, such as volcanic activity or ocean circulation shifts, could contribute to these fluctuations. For instance, the 2021 Hunga Tonga volcanic eruption, which injected sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, may have temporarily cooled the Southern Hemisphere, potentially enhancing snowfall in Antarctica. Such natural phenomena challenge the assumption that slow, CO2-driven warming is the sole driver of ice trends, highlighting the limitations of climate models that often overpredict warming and ice loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the optimistic data comes with caveats. West Antarctica continues to lose mass, and the risk of marine ice sheet instability remains a concern according to the authors. Rapid ice loss could still occur if underlying glaciers destabilize, potentially overwhelming the gains from increased snowfall. The study\u2019s authors stress the need for continued monitoring, noting that \u201ctheir pronounced ablation patterns already constitute a critical climate warning signal, warranting greater scientific attention to their stability.\u201d \u2014yawn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This development underscores the complexity of Antarctica\u2019s ice system and the pitfalls of oversimplified climate narratives. The interplay of precipitation, potential volcanic influences, and regional variability suggests that short-term fluctuations can significantly alter long-term trends. The unexpected AIS rebound challenges policymakers and researchers to integrate this new data into their understanding of climate dynamics, moving beyond one-size-fits-all assumptions about ice loss and sea level rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Reference: Wang et al., \u201cSpatiotemporal mass change rate analysis from 2002 to 2023 over the Antarctic Ice Sheet,\u201d Science China Earth Sciences, 2025. DOI: 10.1007\/s11430-024-1517-1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A groundbreaking study published in\u00a0Science China Earth Sciences\u00a0has unveiled a stunning reversal in the fortunes of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), which gained mass at an unprecedented rate between 2021 and 2023. This marks the first significant ice growth in decades, challenging the prevailing narrative of relentless ice loss and highlighting the complex interplay of natural variability and climate dynamics. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":121246920,"featured_media":377279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[691823628,691818326,691834880,691818491],"class_list":["post-377271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-antarctic-ice-sheet","tag-antarctica","tag-grace-and-grace-fo-satellite","tag-nasa","fallback-thumbnail"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/paxLW1-1A91","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":383514,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=383514","url_meta":{"origin":377271,"position":0},"title":"New Study: Antarctic Ice Sheet Melt Will Lead To Widespread Cooling, Sea Ice Expansion","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/17\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Scientists have counter-intuitively determined that a melting Antarctic ice sheet serves to mitigate global warming.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS)\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS)","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctic-ice-sheet-ais"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/0NOAAClimategov_Antarctica_locator_map_1860_1.png?fit=1200%2C1200&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":378593,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=378593","url_meta":{"origin":377271,"position":1},"title":"Daily Mail Misses the Real Story About Long-Term Stable Antarctica Ice in Dumb Quip About Climate \u2018Deniers\u2019","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"05\/16\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A remarkably silly headline appeared last week in the\u00a0Daily Mail\u00a0stating: \u2018Shocking Antarctica discovery sends climate change deniers into mass celebration.\u2019 It appears that 100 gigatonnes of ice has been added to the Antarctica ice sheet in a 21-month period to December 2023. Quite how joy will be unconfined in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0wp2012601.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0wp2012601.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0wp2012601.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0wp2012601.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0wp2012601.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":332416,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=332416","url_meta":{"origin":377271,"position":2},"title":"New Study: East Antarctica\u2019s Ice Sheet Thickening, Gaining Mass \u2013 Especially Since The 1980s","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"06\/11\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"A collection of 85-year-old photographs reveal \u201cgrowth and stability\u201d of the East Antarctic ice sheet.","rel":"","context":"In \"East Antarctic Ice Sheet\"","block_context":{"text":"East Antarctic Ice Sheet","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=east-antarctic-ice-sheet"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-East-Antarctica-11.jpg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-East-Antarctica-11.jpg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-East-Antarctica-11.jpg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-East-Antarctica-11.jpg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/0-East-Antarctica-11.jpg?fit=1200%2C701&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":398970,"url":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?p=398970","url_meta":{"origin":377271,"position":3},"title":"Wrong, CBS and Other Media Outlets, Abrupt Antarctic \u201cClimate Shifts\u201d Are Not New or Necessarily Catastrophic","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"08\/30\/2025","format":false,"excerpt":"A recent CBS News article, \u201cAbrupt Antarctic climate shifts could lead to \u2018catastrophic consequences for generations,\u2019 experts warn,\u201d claims that Antarctica is on the brink of irreversible collapse due to climate change, warning that sea levels could rise by meters and that \u201ccatastrophic consequences for generations\u201d are looming. 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Little Ice Age Cooling and Sea Ice Expansion Is Still Ongoing Across Antarctica Today","author":"uwe.roland.gross","date":"11\/23\/2024","format":false,"excerpt":"New research\u00a0indicates there has been no reduction in sea ice in Antarctica\u2019s Robertson Bay (Ross Sea) during the last century. Instead, the frigid Little Ice Age and its expanded sea ice conditions continue unabated through the 20th and 21st centuries.","rel":"","context":"In \"Antarctica\"","block_context":{"text":"Antarctica","link":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/?tag=antarctica"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0-Antarctica-123.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0-Antarctica-123.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0-Antarctica-123.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0-Antarctica-123.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/0-Antarctica-123.jpg?fit=1200%2C801&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/climatescience.press\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/0view-of-antarctica-ice-sheet.jpg?fit=2200%2C1650&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/377271","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/121246920"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=377271"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/377271\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":377281,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/377271\/revisions\/377281"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/377279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=377271"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=377271"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/climatescience.press\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=377271"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}